UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee (April 21, 2018)

[JIBBBY]

Kevin Lee missed weight... He was cutting hard missed it by 2 pounds.. Not sure how that is going to effect the fight now???

https://www.mmafighting.com/2018/4/20/17261806/kevin-lee-misses-weight-ufc-atlantic-city-main-event-bout-with-edson-barboza

[RussianMike]

Kevin Lee missed weight... He was cutting hard missed it by 2 pounds.. Not sure how that is going to effect the fight now???

https://www.mmafighting.com/2018/4/20/17261806/kevin-lee-misses-weight-ufc-atlantic-city-main-event-bout-with-edson-barboza

Cutting weight ain't that difficult especially coming off training. These muthafukas wanna walk around at 210 and cut to welterweight is the problem. Otherwise, dropping 15-20 in a few days with the right science isn't difficult. UFC needs to start implimenting some kinda restrictions and penalties for missing weight. Not just cash, but maybe automatically bump fighters who miss up a class and bar them from competing in that weight class for a year.

[Sanity Check]

BTW!

Interesting trivia fact.

This guy:



Is the same actor who played this guy:

edit

There's a certain irony there, the bald monk "killed" Pai Mei in 1970s shaw bros films.

Later he played Pai Mei in Kill Bill, etc.

[Teem]

Ha nice! Might need to watch those Shaw bros films.

[Teem]

Damn, hard fights to pick... Honestly, I feel like Cummins gets KO'd here. Dude is made of glass. Although, Anderson may be gun shy after getting KO'd in both his fights last year. Honestly, who the hell am I supposed to pick here?

[Richard Clock]

BOL for all on tomorrow's card. Taking a break for this event besides one bet (Corey Anderson) on the opening odds.

[JIBBBY]

BTW!

Interesting trivia fact.

This guy:



Is the same actor who played this guy:

edit

There's a certain irony there, the bald monk "killed" Pai Mei in 1970s shaw bros films.

Later he played Pai Mei in Kill Bill, etc.

Lol I did not know that.. Thanks Sanity for the history lesson.. ..

Now I will show respect to the master in my Avatar..

[Kermit]

Listening to the MMAJunkie interview w/ Leslie. I completely change my opinion, she's 100% in the right.

They paid her show and win money and sent her on her way with no interest in resigning her.

I remember when her ear exploded.

[Hugo de Naranja]

I'll give some BetPoints for the first poster to name the last guy that Cub Swanson finished and what year that happened.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Damn, hard fights to pick... Honestly, I feel like Cummins gets KO'd here. Dude is made of glass. Although, Anderson may be gun shy after getting KO'd in both his fights last year. Honestly, who the hell am I supposed to pick here?

It's a real Mirror Match. Two reasonably skilled top control wrestlers who like to push a high pace but have terrible chins.

[rsynweap84]

Gonna be foolish and go for the Barboza TKO here

[SmellMyFinger]

siever in 2013

[SmellMyFinger]

at +325 i think barbosa by ko/tko will probable not be the worst bet i've made in my life, especially after the missed weight on lee, fight won't start round 3 at +145 is also tempting

[Shagdogy]

I'll give some BetPoints for the first poster to name the last guy that Cub Swanson finished and what year that happened.

Siver in 2013. Dang. That's a long time ago.

[RussianMike]

I'll give some BetPoints for the first poster to name the last guy that Cub Swanson finished and what year that happened.

Never really been a finisher. Even in XFC, he was one of their marquee fighters coming up, and to tell the truth, hasn't gotten any better with time. Fights the same fights (not necessarily a diss). For sure Cub vs Edgar has distance written all over it.

[Shagdogy]

Is no one concerned about Edgar's chin? He had been rocked multiple times coming into that Ortega fight and finally got put out, and now he's on a suuuuuuper fast turnaround. I don't want to see it, but he has been in a lot of fights and while it may not be the most likely outcome I can definitely imagine a very sad scene where Edgar gets put out again.

*Edit - Think Bisping vs. Gastelum on the quick turnaround from the GSP fight and he wasn't even KO'd vs GSP, though he was rocked.

[JIBBBY]

Is no one concerned about Edgar's chin? He had been rocked multiple times coming into that Ortega fight and finally got put out, and now he's on a suuuuuuper fast turnaround. I don't want to see it, but he has been in a lot of fights and while it may not be the most likely outcome I can definitely imagine a very sad scene where Edgar gets put out again.

*Edit - Think Bisping vs. Gastelum on the quick turnaround from the GSP fight and he wasn't even KO'd vs GSP, though he was rocked.

Edgar's chin was lit up in his last fight with Ortega, last I checked Cub Swanson can bang and hit hard.. Not ruling out a KO victory for Cub...

Likely that Frankie will go right into wrestling mode though and dump Swanson on his back..

Frankie is 36 years old now, chin could be starting to go....

[HurlSweatPants]

Really think Edgar starches Swanson here. Jumped on Edgar -3.5 (+175) for 2.5u plus some on Edgar ITD/R2/R3

Damn, thought I had a good line at +145. BOL I am all over this too and think that if it goes to the judges, we are looking at 30-27 or worse. I love Cub and he is a tough SOB, but there are levels to this shit. I am not buying the noise about Edgars chin.

[Slevin07]

Think I'll take lee straight up. Hedge with barboza ko in later rounds, if lee's pressure fades and his takedown attempts get sloppy due to fatigue.

Prob take Edgar in some fashion for a small bet. Only concern is quick turnaround.

[Shagdogy]

Fight Night 128 Bets

Nakamura +196, .51u
Chagas -130, 1.3u
Chagas/Baha o1.5, -130, 2.5u
Miller/Hooker FDGTD +190, .53u
Johns -107, 2.5u
Willis TKO/KO +100, 1u

Willis + Branch parlay, +222, .45u
Hooker + Anderson parlay, +127, .79u

I haven't pulled the trigger... keep hoping the line will get better, but I want some action on Simon. I just like the dude.

[Shagdogy]

Justin Willis was -220 against Allen Crowder who doesn’t have the size or the skill to belong in the ufc HW division at all. Sherman sucks but he’s not Allen Crowder bad, but now the line on Willis is -315. This is one of the reasons I love things like the contender series and lookin for a fight... you get guys who win on those shows and get way too much respect in their debuts as a result.

[Hugo de Naranja]

siever in 2013

Correct. Swanson hasn't Knocked Anyone Out in 5 Years

[Hugo de Naranja]

Is no one concerned about Edgar's chin? He had been rocked multiple times coming into that Ortega fight and finally got put out, and now he's on a suuuuuuper fast turnaround. I don't want to see it, but he has been in a lot of fights and while it may not be the most likely outcome I can definitely imagine a very sad scene where Edgar gets put out again.

*Edit - Think Bisping vs. Gastelum on the quick turnaround from the GSP fight and he wasn't even KO'd vs GSP, though he was rocked.

Comparing Edgar's chin to Bisping? C'mon now.

I for one am not worried about Edgar's chin at all. In fact, I think him getting KO'd last fight is the reason we're getting such great lines on Edgar ML and props in this fight. He absolutely torched Cub in their first fight and I believe he will do so again.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Damn, thought I had a good line at +145. BOL I am all over this too and think that if it goes to the judges, we are looking at 30-27 or worse. I love Cub and he is a tough SOB, but there are levels to this shit. I am not buying the noise about Edgars chin.

Edgar could finish him too (like he did late in their first fight). I highly recommend a sprinkle on Edgar ITD (+712).

[Hugo de Naranja]

Think I'll take lee straight up. Hedge with barboza ko in later rounds, if lee's pressure fades and his takedown attempts get sloppy due to fatigue.

Prob take Edgar in some fashion for a small bet. Only concern is quick turnaround.

Could also Live Bet Barboza if that's how you see the fight going.

[Hugo de Naranja]

I think Bahadurzada+Chagas is going to be super exciting.

[JIBBBY]

Last event I bombed out.. I'm hedging alot in this event.. Too many bets to post.. I'll be posting live though this go around..

Could use a good rebound event win today..

Tony Martin I got in this first fight.. Parlayed.. Just need him to win in this first prelim.... Applying the Asian fade theory here.. ..



UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



Tony
Martin
vs
Keita
Nakamura
"K-Taro"

UNITED STATES
Country
JAPAN

12-4-0
Record
33-8-2, 1NC

0%
KO/TKO
21%

67%
SUB
48%

33%
DEC
30%

72 in
Height
71 in

170 lbs
Weight
170 lbs

73 in
Reach
73 in

41 in
Leg Reach
40 in

[SmellMyFinger]

Correct. Swanson hasn't Knocked Anyone Out in 5 Years

ty hugo for keeping things fun here i think even after the ko loss that frankie took, cub is still a fade here , price is not good enough for me to play straight, might have a look at edgar itd its +712 now

[Shagdogy]

I think Bahadurzada+Chagas is going to be super exciting.

Hopefully we get at least 7.5mins of it!

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 128: Barboza vs. Lee Picks:
Tony Martin Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Patrick Cummins Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Siyar Bahadurzada Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Ricky Simon Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Ryan LaFlare Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Dan Hooker Round 2 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Brett Johns Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Thiago Santos Round 2 TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
Justin Willis Round 1 KO (Punches)
Frankie Edgar Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Edson Barboza Round 2 KO (Flying Knee)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 128: Barboza vs. Lee

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Martin vs. Nakamura
Martin ITD (+928) 1u

Hedge:
Nakamura Submission (+505) .5u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #2: Cummins vs. Anderson
Cummins+Anderson Under 2.5 (+210) .5u
Cummins KO/TKO (+790) .5u

Fight #3: Bahadurzada vs. Chagas
Bahadurzada (+125) 1u
Bahadurzada Round 2 (+735) .5u
Bahadurzada Round 3 (+1150) .5u
Bahadurzada+Chagas Draw (+8000) .25u

Fight #4: Simon (DEBUT) Dvalishvili
Simon Decision (+171) 1u

Fight #5: LaFlare vs. Garcia
LaFlare -3.5 (+190) .75u
LaFlare Round 3 (+1750) .25u

Hedge:
Garcia KO (+500) .5u

Main Card:

Fight #6: Hooker vs. Miller
Hooker ITD (+230) 2.5u
Hooker Submission (+1060) .5u

Hedge:
Miller Decision (+460) 1u

Fight #7: Johns vs. Sterling
Johns (-130) 3.25u to win 2.5u
Johns Submission (+1185) .5u

Hedge:
Sterling Submission (+750) 1u

Fight #8: Santos vs. Branch
Santos ITD (-102) 1.65u to win 1.625u
Santos Decision (+415) .5u
Santos Round 2 (+500) .5u

Hedge:
Branch Submission (+650) .5u

Fight #9: Willis vs. Sherman
Willis ITD (+110) 1.5u
Willis Round 1 (+250) .5u

Fight #10: Edgar vs. Swanson
Edgar -3.5 (+175) 2.5u
Edgar ITD (+581) 1.5u
Edgar Round 2 (+1425) .5u
Edgar Round 3 (+2375) .5u

Fight #11: Barboza vs. Lee
Barboza (+110) 2.5u
Barboza+Lee WSR3 (+142) 1u
Barboza Decision (+520) 1u

Straight Parlays:
Willis/Edgar (-106) 1.5u to win 1.41u
Santos/Willis (+107) 1.5u
Bibulatov/Johns (+116) 2u
Hooker/Johns (+118) 1u
Bahadurzada+Chagas WGD/Santos+Branch WGD (+118) 1u
Bahadurzada+Chagas WGD/Bibulatov+Sasaki GD (+135) 1u
Ladd/LaFlare (+161) 1u
Simon/LaFlare (+186) 1u
Simon/LaFlare/Edgar (+300) .5u
Martin/Cummins/Bahadurzada (+647) .25u

Prop Parlays:
Willis+Sherman WSR3/Edgar/Barboza (+527) .25u
Hooker -3.5/Johns/Santos (+551) .25u
Simon Decision/LaFlare -3.5 (+686) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+107) 1.25u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+312) .5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+965) .25u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Edgar/Whittaker (+121) 2.5u

[Thrilla]

Let's do this! GL everybody!

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[UncleChael]

The motown phenom rounds 1 and 2 for me.

[JIBBBY]

UFC Fight Night 128: Barboza vs. Lee

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Martin vs. Nakamura
Martin ITD (+928) 1u

Hedge:
Nakamura Submission (+505) .5u

Liking your 1st fight hedge.. Played the same myself Hugo... I didn't get those odds though.. .... Fight could go the distance but I agree it's worth the shot on both those props.. Value is high..... IN...

[Hugo de Naranja]

The motown phenom rounds 1 and 2 for me.

Makes sense. I think an early finish is his best path to victory