UFC Fight Night 121: Werdum vs. Tybura | November 18, 2017 (Sydney, Australia)

[turbozed]

Going to lay off this final fight... Solid night. Gonna take it to the bank. I think Werdum works over Tybura as he gasses later in the fight. We'll see.

At 40 when does Werdum's chin no longer have it for the heavyweight division?

Glad you had a good weekend. Pretty much even for me but feel lucky to come out in the green. Could've been a nightmare if Benoit didn't finish and Belal didn't get the split. Live to fight again is fine for me!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Glad you had a good weekend. Pretty much even for me but feel lucky to come out in the green. Could've been a nightmare if Benoit didn't finish and Belal didn't get the split. Live to fight again is fine for me!

Yeah I'm just glad not to get torched in an Aussie fight night card. I've struggled with them in the past.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Does Tybura usually switch stances this much? I haven't really noticed that before.

[turbozed]

Can't believe people keep falling for Werdum's "look over here" tricks lol

[Hugo de Naranja]

Can't believe people keep falling for Werdum's "look over here" tricks lol

And again haha

[Hugo de Naranja]

Tybura is starting to slow

[Hugo de Naranja]

Not quite enough time to get that Guillotine

[Hugo de Naranja]

I've got it 49-45 Werdum (10-8 R4)

[firekillex]

bless your heart hugo...
checked out live betting first time tonight because i had +170 werdum submission and didnt like how it was looking after rd 3

got fight goes to decision -170... had to sweat that shit out jesus but at least i didnt lose anything on that

[Shagdogy]

I have it super split decision. 3 rounds Tybura, 1 round Theodorou, 1 round Mokhtarian. Honorable mention to Werdum.

[turbozed]

Werdum looked really sharp. Had enough gas at 40 to go the distance too.

Very impressed.

[turbozed]

Team Boomerang undefeated in Australia

[firekillex]

wow that replay of werdums take down .....
that was extremely slick / creative for a HW

[Hugo de Naranja]

I have it super split decision. 3 rounds Tybura, 1 round Theodorou, 1 round Mokhtarian. Honorable mention to Werdum.

Lmao

[Hugo de Naranja]

Werdum looked really sharp. Had enough gas at 40 to go the distance too.

Very impressed.

Dude still has a ton of skills + a good chin. Will be tough to beat

[Hugo de Naranja]

Too bad I didn't take O9.5 Decisions (+2600). Still happy with my other Full Card Props

[turbozed]

Too bad I didn't take O9.5 Decisions (+2600). Still happy with my other Full Card Props

I gotta start taking a look at these full card props. I just hate having to spend time capping it and then have the bet cancelled because one fight always seems to drop off the card.

[Shagdogy]

All right, here we go:

Weiczorek -175, 1.75u
Lausa +270, 1u
Brown/Camacho won't go distance -155, 2.5u
Camacho -140, 1.4u
Tuivasa ml + Tuivasa/Coulter u1.5 parlay +150, .66u
Benoit -280, 2u
Benoit KO/TKO +220, 1u
Volkanovski TKO +100, 1u
Means/Muhammad o1.5 + Volkanovski ML parlay -150, 1.5u
Rawlings -130, 1.3u

We'll see how the night is going... may add some things here or there. Nothing I'm too confident about tonight so not trying to go crazy. Good luck!

I also added Dan Kelly for .37u (I think I posted .66u - that was a mistake).

Card Total: 6-5, +0.74u
YTD: 107-95, +14.85u

Miscalculated my night... thought I had a decent win, but didn't realize my book had graded Camacho/Brown won't go the distance as a win. That's a 4.11u swing. LOL. Oh well, like the rest of us, I snuck out of here with a little extra change. I'll take it. My book is still showing that bet as a win, I'm almost starting to believe it's mine.

[TPowell]

penetrate Werdum. All of his shoutouts to a penetrating dictator accused of war crimes. Hope he goes to jail for assault.

[Hugo de Naranja]

penetrate Werdum. All of his shoutouts to a penetrating dictator accused of war crimes. Hope he goes to jail for assault.

How'd you end up tonight T?

[Hugo de Naranja]

My guesses on FOTN/POTN

FOTN: Camacho+Brown
POTN1: Tuivasa
POTN2: Lentz

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 121: Werdum vs. Tybura Picks:
Adam Wieczorek Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Eric Shelton Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Nadia Kassem Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Frank Camacho Round 1 KO (Punch)
Tai Tuivasa Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Will Brooks Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Ryan Benoit Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Alex Volkanovski Round 1 KO (Punch)
Dan Kelly Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Jake Matthews Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Tim Means Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Bec Rawlings Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fabricio Werdum Round 2 Submission (Armbar)

[Hugo de Naranja]

My guesses on FOTN/POTN

FOTN: Camacho+Brown
POTN1: Tuivasa
POTN2: Lentz

Looks like these were the bonuses.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 121: Werdum vs. Tybura

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Wieczorek vs. Hamilton
Wieczorek+Hamilton Under 1.5 (+120) -1u
Hamilton Round 1 (+425) -.5u

Result: Adam Wieczorek Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: -1.5u

Fight #2: Shelton vs. Lausa
Shelton Submission (+510) -.5u

Result: Eric Shelton Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)
Fight: -0.5u
Card: -2u

Fight #3: Kassem (DEBUT) vs. Chambers
Kassem ITD (+165) -.5u
Kassem Round 1 (+355) -.5u
Kassem Submission (+1250) -.5u

Hedge:
Chambers Submission (+401) -.5u

Result: Nadia Kassem Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-27 x2)
Fight: -2u
Card: -4u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #4: Brown vs. Camacho
Camacho KO/TKO (+210) -.5u
Camacho Round 1 (+300) -.5u

Result: Frank Camacho Split Decision (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
Fight: -1u
Card: -5u

Fight #5: Tuivasa (DEBUT) vs. Coulter
No Bet

Result: Tai Tuivasa Round 1 KO (Flying Knee)

Fight #6: Brooks vs. Lentz
Lentz (+425) +4.25u
Lentz ITD (+1050) +5.25u

Hedge:
Brooks Round 3 (+1050) -.5u

Result: Nik Lentz Round 2 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Fight: +9u
Card: +4u

Fight #7: Benoit vs. Mokhtarian
Benoit ITD (+165) +1.65u
Benoit KO/TKO (+230) +2.3u

Hedge:
Mokhtarian Submission (+865) -.5u

Added Hedge:
Mokhtarian KO/TKO (+950) -.5u

Result: Ryan Benoit Round 3 KO (Head Kick)
Fight: +2.95u
Card: +6.95u

Main Card:

Fight #8: Volkanovski vs. Young (DEBUT)
Volkanovski KO/TKO (+120) -1u

Result: Alexander Volkanovski Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26 x2)
Fight: -1u
Card: +5.95u

Fight #9: Kelly vs. Theodorou
Kelly (+160) -2u
Kelly Decision (+390) -1.5u
Kelly ITD (+840) -.5u

Hedge:
Theodorou KO/TKO (+590) -.5u

Result: Elias Theodorou Unanimous Decision (30-28, 30-27, 30-26)
Fight: -4.5u
Card: +1.45u

Fight #10: Matthews vs. Velickovic
Matthews Submission (+800) -1u

Result: Jake Matthews Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -1u
Card: +0.45u

Fight #11: Means vs. Muhammad
Muhammad Submission (+1050) -.25u

Result: Belal Muhammad Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -0.25u
Card: +0.2u

Fight #12: Rawlings vs. Rose-Clark (DEBUT)
Rose-Clark KO/TKO (+720) -.5u

Result: Jessica Rose-Clark Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -0.5u
Card: -0.3u

Fight #13: Werdum vs. Tybura
Werdum ITD (+100) -3.1u
Werdum KO/TKO (+450) -.5u

Added Hedge(s):
Werdum Unanimous Decision (+375) +1.875u
Tybura ITD (+429) -.75u

Result: Fabricio Werdum Unanimous Decision (50-45 x2, 49-46)
Fight: -2.475u
Card: -2.775u

Straight Parlays:
Volkanovski/Means+Muhammad Over 1.5 (-114) +2u
Kassem/Rawlings (+175) -1u

Results: See Above
Fights: +1u
Card: -1.775u

Prop Parlays:
Camacho+Brown WGD/Volkanovski -3.5 (+102) -2u
Means+Muhammad GD/Rawlings/Werdum ITD (+496) -.25u
Wieczorek/Shelton Decision/Kassem -3.5 (+538) +1.345u
Volkanovski+Young WGD/Kelly/Matthews (+824) -.25u
Camacho+Brown WSR3/Tuivasa ITD/Brooks Decision/Benoit -3.5 (+825) -.25u

Added:
Brooks Decision/Volkanovski -3.5 (+122) -2u
Means+Muhammad WGD/Rawlings+Clark WGD (+437) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -3.905u
Card: -5.68u

Live-Betting:
Camacho+Brown Goes Distance (+105) +.525u
Velickovic (+170) -.5u

Results: Camacho+Brown Goes Distance Wins, Velickovic Loses
Fights: +.025u
Card: -5.655u

Full Card Props:
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+310) +3.1u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+808) +4.04u
Camacho+Brown FOTN (+500) +2.5u
No Fights End in Submission (+795) -.5u
Matthews+Velickovic FOTN (+800) -.5u

FOTN: Camacho+Brown
POTN: Tuivasa, Lentz
Fastest Submission: Lentz R2 (2:05)
Fastest KO: Tuivasa R1 (4:35)
Decisions: 10
Results: See Above
Fights: +8.64u
Final Card Total = +2.985u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Strickland+McGee Over 2.5/Wieczorek (+150) +3u

Result: Wieczorek Wins
Fight: +3u
Multi-Event Parlays = +3u

[TPowell]

How'd you end up tonight T?

Lost around a unit. Stupid ass Brooks ruined a 2 unit parlay.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Made about 6u between bets for this card and Multi Event Parlays. Thank you Nik Lentz and Full Card Props.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Lost around a unit. Stupid ass Brooks ruined a 2 unit parlay.

Yeah that guy has been one of the biggest busts in UFC history given his reputation coming into the promotion. On the bright side, I'm 3/4 fading Brooks in his UFC fights so far.

[Sanity Check]

penetrate Werdum. All of his shoutouts to a penetrating dictator accused of war crimes. Hope he goes to jail for assault.

Who did Werdum shoutout?

I finished the night down a small amount. Crazy winning run up til tonight tho.

[Sato]

Lentz wow. Brooks just dashed right into his doom. Was a big favorite too.

[PaperTrail07]

Weird--But totalyl crushed this card....Never know which ones are gonna profit big...Tuivasa and Belal made the $

Over 1.5 to start the night and rolled from there --Hope everyone had a good weekend...