UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis (April 15, 2017)

[dlowilly]

3.5 means the 2:30 mark of R4. So if it occurs in the second half of the round its over, and first half of R4 its under

Thanks

[KalouKalou]

This fight is boring, Reis is just too slow.

[bjpenn85]

Haha, i thought about it, most likely yes.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Passing on WGD on these odds but will look again after R2

[bjpenn85]

I dont know why these bantamweight even show up. Reis is realistically about three times as slow. Reis looks like a chef hehe

[bjpenn85]

Reis is one of the absolute best fighters that prior was a chef. An excellent chef

[KalouKalou]

Great job Hugo, you found the best way to bet this fight :

Johnson Unanimous Decision (+160) 1uJohnson ITD (+162) 1u

[Sanity Check]

Dj hurt him with that knee.

[JIBBBY]

You might consider throwing a 20 spot on fight won't go distance after R2. Reis has a limited gas tank and DJ is a great late finisher when his opponents are tired. Plus you'll probably get like (+500)

Good insight.. All you Hugo.. Weis looks done after 2... I'm done betting on MMA tonight...

[Hugo de Naranja]

WGD was (+105) after R2. Passed at those odds but I think DJ will finish. Hopefully he can wait one more round.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Would love to see DJ vs. Garbrandt. That would be a fun fight and Garbrandt would have a solid chance to win

[dlowilly]

Damn it

[JIBBBY]

Mouse is solid...

[Hugo de Naranja]

11 seconds too fast haha. Great performance from DJ

[bjpenn85]

What an absolute bad day for the bookies. Had 8 bets. Cashed all by a mile. Wasnt even close to loosing. Doubled my account. That doesnt happen often hehe. I can tell you that.

[Sanity Check]

DJ embarrassing his opponent yet again.

Scary.

[GunShard]

About mighty mouse being the best P4P fighter.
The following fighter could be the next fighter that could defeat him: http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Magomed-Bibulatov-141553

[Hugo de Naranja]

What an absolute bad day for the bookies. Had 8 bets. Cashed all by a mile. Wasnt even close to loosing. Doubled my account. That doesnt happen often hehe. I can tell you that.

You should start posting again bud. We miss ya on the forum

[Hugo de Naranja]

Good insight.. All you Hugo.. Weis looks done after 2... I'm done betting on MMA tonight...

Unfortunately live odds weren't playable since DJ kept hurting Reis right before rounds ended.

[Pinoy-T-X]

Pinoy with the solid hits!

Thanks Hugo, not bad yourself brother

[Hugo de Naranja]

It looks like I missed cashing a DK lineup by 1 significant strike lol

[JIBBBY]

WGD was (+105) after R2. Passed at those odds but I think DJ will finish. Hopefully he can wait one more round.

Damn I didn't even check.. Got lazy and content.. I saw that the finish was coming though.. Mouse was sure to finish after 2.. He was getting stronger and more dominate with every round..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Damn I didn't even check.. Got lazy and content.. I saw that the finish was coming though.. Mouse was sure to finish after 2.. He was getting stronger and more dominate with every round..

Yup. DJ dominant as penetrate. Reis did almost nothing to him that whole fight.

[JIBBBY]

I'll never bet Mouse by decision again after this fight.. Dude is solid and very capable of finishing in these 5 rounders..

I always think the small chicks go the distance and confuse that with the small guys.. ...

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 24: Johnson vs. Reis Picks:
Ashlee Evans-Smith Round 3 TKO (Elbows and Punches)
Zak Cummings Round 1 [Technical] Submission (D’Arce Choke)
Andrew Sanchez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Devin Clark Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Aljamain Sterling Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Tim Elliott Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Rashid Magomedov Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Tom Duquesnoy Round 1 [T]KO (Standing Elbow)
Roy Nelson Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Renato Moicano Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Robert Whittaker Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Rose Namajunas Round 1 Submission (Kimura)
Demetrious Johnson Round 4 TKO (Knees and Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

I'll never bet Mouse by decision again after this fight.. Dude is solid and very capable of finishing in these 5 rounders..

I always think the small chicks go the distance and confuse that with the small guys.. ...

He decisions some guys. For extra value, just go for UD. It's usually 60 to 80 cents better

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 24: Johnson vs. Reis Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Demetrious Johnson ($9,800) 113 Points
Tom Duquesnoy ($9,300) 108 Points
Ashlee Evans-Smith ($8,500) 34 Points
Robert Whittaker ($7,500) 107.5 Points
Augusto Mendes ($7,400) 30 Points
Louis Smolka ($7,200) 60.5 Points

Risk: 1u
Total Points: 453 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -1u

UFC on Fox 24: Johnson vs. Reis Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Demetrious Johnson ($9,800) 113 Points
Zak Cummings ($9,400) 102.5 Points
Rose Namajunas ($8,200) 122.5 Points
Roy Nelson ($8,100) 27 Points
Augusto Mendes ($7,400) 30 Points
Bobby Green ($7,100) 37.5 Points

Risk: .2u
Total Points: 432.5 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -.2u

[bjpenn85]

You should start posting again bud. We miss ya on the forum

Thanks bud! No thread as for now, busy period now it seem. Hope you did good!

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 24: Johnson vs. Reis

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Evans-Smith vs. Vieira
Evans-Smith -3.5 (+175) -.5u
Evans-Smith ITD (+299) -1u
Evans-Smith Round 2 (+775) -.5u
Evans-Smith Round 3 (+1325) -.5u

Result: Ketlen Vieira Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: -2.5u
Card: -2.5u

Fight #2: Cummings vs. Coy
Cummings+Coy Under 1.5 (+160) +1.6u
Cummings Submission (+255) +1.275u
Cummings Round 2 (+400) -.25u

Result: Zak Cummings Round 1 Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Fight: +2.625u
Card: +.125u

Fight #3: Sanchez vs. Smith
Sanchez Decision (+160) -.5u

Result: Anthony Smith Round 3 KO (Knee and Punches)
Fight: -.5u
Card: -.375u

Fight #4: Clark vs. Collier
No Bet

Result: Devin Clark Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-26)

Fight #5: Sterling vs. Mendes
Mendes (+265) -2u
Mendes Submission (+1350) -.25u

Hedge:
Sterling Round 3 (+1325) -.5u

Result: Aljamain Sterling Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -2.75u
Card: -3.125u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #6: Elliott vs. Smolka
Smolka (+230) -1u
Smolka ITD (+750) -1u

Hedge(s):
Elliott -3.5 (+135) +.675u
Elliott Submission (+474) -.5u

Added Hedge:
Elliott -3.5 (+135) +.675u

Result: Tim Elliott Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -1.15u
Card: -4.275u

Fight #7: Magomedov vs. Green
Magomedov Decision (-115) +1u

Added Hedge:
Green Scorecards = No Action (+384) +0u

Result: Rashid Magomedov Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: +1u
Card: -3.275u

Fight #8: Duquesnoy (DEBUT) vs. Williams
Duquesnoy+Williams Under 1.5 (-110) +2u
Williams (+600) -.5u
Williams Submission (+1465) -.25u

Result: Tom Duquesnoy Round 2 TKO (Elbows)
Fight: +1.25u
Card: -2.025u

Fight #9: Nelson vs. Volkov
Nelson Scorecards = No Action (+100) +0u
Nelson Decision (+479) -.5u

Result: Alexander Volkov Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -.5u
Card: -2.525u

Main Card:

Fight #10: Stephens vs. Moicano
Moicano Decision (+350) +3.5u
Moicano Submission (+650) -.5u

Hedge:
Stephens Round 3 (+1050) -.25u

Result: Renato Moicano Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: +2.75u
Card: +.225u

Fight #11: Souza vs. Whittaker
Whittaker (+201) +5.025u
Whittaker Decision (+650) -.5u

Hedge:
Souza Round 1 (+250) -1u

Added:
Whittaker ITD (+350) +1.75u
Souza KO/TKO (+560) -.5u

Result: Robert Whittaker Round 2 TKO (Head Kick, Elbows, and Punches)
Fight: +4.775u
Card: +5u

Fight #12: Namajunas vs. Waterson
Namajunas Submission (+415) +6.225u

Hedge(s):
Waterson Submission (+585) -1u
Waterson Round 3 (+1700) -.25u

Added:
Namajunas Round 1 (+575) -.25u

Result: Rose Namajunas Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +4.725u
Card: +9.725u

Fight #13: Johnson (C) vs. Reis
Johnson Unanimous Decision (+160) -1u
Johnson ITD (+162) +1.62u
Johnson KO/TKO (+210) -1u
Johnson Round 4 (+1450) -.25u
Johnson Round 5 (+2150) -.25u

Added Hedges:
Johnson+Reis Won’t Start Round 2 (+415) -1u
Reis Submission (+1040) -.5u

Result: Demetrious Johnson Round 3 Submission (Armbar)
Fight: -2.38u
Card: +7.345u

Straight Parlays:
Duquesnoy+Williams Under 1.5/Johnson (+104) +1.04u
Cummings/Magomedov+Green Over 2.5 (+105) +1.05u
Sanchez/Magomedov+Green Over 2.5 (+125) -1u
Cummings/Duquesnoy+Williams Under 1.5 (+129) +1.29u

Results: All Except Sanchez Win
Fights: +2.38u
Card: +9.725u

Prop Parlays:
Magomedov -3.5/Johnson -5.5 (+117) -1u
Nelson+Volkov GD/Namajunas+Waterson WGD (+302) +3.02u
Evans-Smith/Cummings+Coy WGD/Sanchez+Smith WGD (+367) -.25u
Sterling Decision/Magomedov Decision/Duquesnoy KO (+598) +2.99u
Whittaker/Namajunas/Johnson+Reis GD (+879) -.25u
Clark Decision/Sterling Decision/Elliott+Smolka GD (+1082) +2.705u
Mendes Decision/Whittaker (+1965) -.25u
Magomedov Decision/Duquesnoy KO/Nelson/Moicano (+1994) -.25u
Evans-Smith ITD/Whittaker KO/Johnson+Reis WGD (+3259) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: +6.465u
Card: +16.19u

Live-Betting:
Moicano (+160) +.8u
Green (+215) -.5u
Waterson (+220) -1u

Results: Moicano Wins, Green and Waterson Lose
Fights: -.7u
Card: +15.49u

Full Card Props:
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+223) -1.25u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+550) -.5u
Duquesnoy Wins Fastest KO (+700) +7u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+1525) -.25u
Over 10.5 Fights Go Distance (+6100) -.1u

Results: 7 Decisions, Duquesnoy Wins Fastest KO
Fights: +4.9u
Final Card Total = +20.39u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Thanks bud! No thread as for now, busy period now it seem. Hope you did good!

Yeah it was a really solid night even if Main Event outcome was worst possible lol

[PaperTrail07]

MM cruises---damn

[Hugo de Naranja]

MM cruises---damn

That was honestly one of the most one sided fights I've ever seen.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Thanks for the BPs Jibs. Sounds like you had a solid night yourself with some good prop hits down the stretch.

[JIBBBY]

That was honestly one of the most one sided fights I've ever seen.

IDK? I'd say Rose beat down Karate Hottie til the finish there very convincingly.. That chick left beaten and bloody in the end after that head kick landed and then the choke out soon after.... Rose dominated..

[JIBBBY]

Thanks for the BPs Jibs. Sounds like you had a solid night yourself with some good prop hits down the stretch.

I was down early but closed out strong again in this event just like the last one..

Don't like having to come from behind and chase in each event though.. W/L percentage not solid right now for Jibs..

Probably ended up + $1000 or so on each book with MMA, but down $500 on each book today in the NBA.. Clippers win I'll have a really good day though...

With Gambling it's all about trying to win day after day... I was chasing a bit in the end with this event I can't lie... I hate doing that... Hit some big wins and props with Whittaker and Rose and that made all the difference... ...

Onto the next event.... Hope to get off to a better start next go around..

Looks like you did outstanding based on your profit totals for this event in your above post.. That's 2 in a row now!!.. You da man Hugo!!! Keep it up!!!

PS.. I don't mind giving out bet points.. NO need to thank me.. It's always good Karma to give and lady luck likes that..