UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Penn (January 15, 2017)

[Hugo de Naranja]

Cheers to Asker backers. Smolyakov absolutely awful lol

[TPowell]

penetrate, right guy but I had the round wrong and got burned

[Thrilla]

Good evening

[TPowell]

damn it, lost 4 bets on that fight and had the right winner picked in a pickem fight

[LiquidNuke]

Hello everybody!

[Thrilla]

livestream http://www.sportingvideo.org/2017011...9-1549974.html

[Rich Benjamins]

The under barely won.

[Thrilla]

Always bet on black ???

[TPowell]

yep, black the much more technical striker and white can't move his head. Will take a great grinding style fight from Sherman to win IMO which is very unlikely.

[Thrilla]

yep, black the much more technical striker and white can't move his head. Will take a great grinding style fight from Sherman to win IMO which is very unlikely.

hmmmzzz...White looks lighter on his feet though. if he loses this one it will back2back losses to black.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Always bet on black ???

Yes...

[TPowell]

hmmmzzz...White looks lighter on his feet though. if he loses this one it will back2back losses to black.

Lighter yeah but he just can't move his head at all. Good performance from Harris but kind of hitting the sparring bag

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

[Hugo de Naranja]

Bad start to the night with Harris getting the finish at 2:38, 8 seconds after my under busted.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Playing line movement here.

Adding:
Held KO/TKO (+1515) .5u

[barkus]

penetrate I can't login on 5D. I wanted to load up on White after rd 2.

[JC2008]

penetrate I can't login on 5D. I wanted to load up on White after rd 2.

- Most assuredly a blessing in disguise...

[barkus]

- Most assuredly a blessing in disguise...

[barkus]

Damn, 30-27s across the board. I thought White should have taken round 2.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hit Oliynik ITD with that Ezekiel Choke from bottom

[JC2008]

- Saenz from -143 to -163... He's also 36 against someone with a 100% finish rate... PASS! GL all!

[Thrilla]

Saenz by dec. I gave up on my Mendez bet with 2 min left. Heś gassed....short notice.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Got pretty close with a long shot on Mendes KO/TKO (+1192)

[Thrilla]

lol he won

[Hugo de Naranja]

Called that one exactly right in my picks. Mendes Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)

[onoon14]

Whats the next pick

[onoon14]

200 klose

[Thrilla]

Klose closes the distance.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Another exact pick with Klose UD (30-27 x3). Wish I had bet the fight but I usually stay away when it's two debuting guys

[eligibletackle]

digging "Penn (scorecards = no action)" prop - it's higher than BJ straight up now on 5D. betting on BJ doesn't seems prudent but I still believe in his durability

[Thrilla]

Playing line movement here.

Adding:
Held KO/TKO (+1515) .5u

80 % of tapoligy predictions on Lauzon..... pickem odds

http://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/bouts/286614-ufc-fight-night-103-joe-j-lau-lauzon-vs-marcin-held

[Hugo de Naranja]

80 % of tapoligy predictions on Lauzon..... pickem odds

http://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/...vs-marcin-held

My biggest bet of the night is on Lauzon Scorecards No Action and ITD. Just think there is more than a 7% chance that Held TKOs him

[Hugo de Naranja]

digging "Penn (scorecards = no action)" prop - it's higher than BJ straight up now on 5D. betting on BJ doesn't seems prudent but I still believe in his durability

I think if he wins, it's by early sub. SNA is definitely good value as Yair is not a great finisher and BJ has always had a decent chin.

[Hugo de Naranja]

The under barely won.

Which one?

[Thrilla]

My biggest bet of the night is on Lauzon Scorecards No Action and ITD. Just think there is more than a 7% chance that Held TKOs him

how many units? + What are your bets in Saunders Mcgee fight?