UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor (Sat. Nov. 12, 2016) New York, NY

[eddycash]

I thought chael is on alvarez

[TPowell]

I like Conor here but you guys taking Eddie be careful. Eddie will NOT TKO Conor IMO. If Conor gets hurt, he'll clinch or shoot and Conor will force Eddie to take his back and tap him. Play Eddie ITD if you are thinking about that.

[JIBBBY]

Why did Khabib not take his shirt off?

What? He took off his shirt..

The quick weigh in vid.. Everyone looks ripped and in good shape.. Tim Boetch looked really in shape and that has me a bit worried... That's about it...

http://mmajunkie.com/2016/11/ufc-205-official-weigh-in-video-and-photos-with-a-bizarre-turn-of-events

[TPowell]

What? He took off his shirt..

The quick weigh in vid.. Everyone looks ripped and in good shape.. Tim Boetch looked really in shape and that has me a bit worried... That's about it...

http://mmajunkie.com/2016/11/ufc-205...turn-of-events

Natal looked like the guy in worse shape at weigh-ins but it doesn't matter IMO. Boetsch can only hope to land a big punch to win this one. Natal can use his footwork to win in the striking game or try to get Boetsch to the ground and use his BJJ black belt. I think he'll do the latter and he'll get a sub along the way

[JIBBBY]

Natal looked like the guy in worse shape at weigh-ins but it doesn't matter IMO. Boetsch can only hope to land a big punch to win this one. Natal can use his footwork to win in the striking game or try to get Boetsch to the ground and use his BJJ black belt. I think he'll do the latter and he'll get a sub along the way

Yep Tpow, I already bet on Natal straight before weigh ins so no turning back now.. Tim did looked ripped though..

[GunShard]

Alvarez and Romero are live dogs.

[Unwritten Law]

Alvarez +103
Thompson -195
Jedrzejczyk -380
Romero +161
Pennington +134
Nurmagomedov -290

[JAKEPEAVY21]

everyone in the world is on mcgregor and the line keeps dropping

[JIBBBY]

everyone in the world is on mcgregor and the line keeps dropping

Everyone is usually on McGregor and the same went for Rhonda Rousey.. They both win alot more then they lose...

World could be right with this one...

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Everyone is usually on McGregor and the same went for Rhonda Rousey.. They both win alot more then they lose...

World could be right with this one...

really think you have this fight pegged wrong and are underestimating the skills of Alvarez

you better pray that Alvarez comes out hot Aldo style and Mcgregor gets that early KO

[JIBBBY]

really think you have this fight pegged wrong and are underestimating the skills of Alvarez

you better pray that Alvarez comes out hot Aldo style and Mcgregor gets that early KO

I was never that high on Alverez, he's under sized and lacks reach in this fight.. McGreger picks him apart and drops him is my best guess. I'd be surprised if Eddie is able to pull this off to be honest..

Don't get me wrong I like Eddie, I'd be rooting for him to win if I didn't have money riding against him..I remember watching him in Bellator kick ass for years.. I also remember Michael Chandler and Donald Cerrone beating the shiiit out of him..

Unless you grapple fock McGregor or get him gassed and punched out late in the fight you probably aren't gonna beat McIrish standing.. Eddie is in trouble going heads up with McIrish in this one me tinks..

Eddie has never faced a striker like McGregor.. Look at his record and who he fought.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Eddie-Alvarez-9265

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I was never that high on Alverez, he's under sized and lacks reach in this fight.. McGreger picks him apart and drops him is my best guess. I'd be surprised if Eddie is able to pull this off to be honest..

Don't get me wrong I like Eddie, I'd be rooting for him to win if I didn't have money riding against him..I remember watching him in Bellator kick ass for years.. I also remember Michael Chandler and Donald Cerrone beating the shiiit out of him..

Unless you grapple fock McGregor or get him gassed and punched out late in the fight you probably aren't gonna beat McIrish standing.. Eddie is in trouble going heads up with McIrish in this one me tinks..

Eddie has never faced a striker like McGregor.. Look at his record and who he fought.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Eddie-Alvarez-9265

he is a great wrestler and should be able to get Mcgregor down

I also think he can possibly get the ko

the mcgregor hype train takes a big hit tonight

[terpkeg]

I was never that high on Alverez, he's under sized and lacks reach in this fight.. McGreger picks him apart and drops him is my best guess. I'd be surprised if Eddie is able to pull this off to be honest..
Don't get me wrong I like Eddie, I'd be rooting for him to win if I didn't have money riding against him..I remember watching him in Bellator kick ass for years.. I also remember Michael Chandler and Donald Cerrone beating the shiiit out of him..

Unless you grapple fock McGregor or get him gassed and punched out late in the fight you probably aren't gonna beat McIrish standing.. Eddie is in trouble going heads up with McIrish in this one me tinks..
Eddie has never faced a striker like McGregor.. Look at his record and who he fought.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Eddie-Alvarez-9265

Who would you consider a striker like McGregor?

[JIBBBY]

he is a great wrestler and should be able to get Mcgregor down

I also think he can possibly get the ko

the mcgregor hype train takes a big hit tonight

Well if that's the case then Eddie can win but I don't see him taking down McGregor I see him striking with McGregor.. McGregor keeps his distance well, not easy to take down.. Eddie is not Mini Chad Mendez or Nate Diaz...

I'm seriously considering loading up on McGregor for $500 on the straight at these odds.. If I'm up on this card coming down the stretch I will load up...

UFC 205 - Lightweight 5 rounds - Madison Square Garden - New York, New York - PPV

Sat 11/12		1001 Eddie Alvarez		+100	o1½ -165
11:59PM		1002 Conor McGregor		-120	u1½ +145

[terpkeg]

https://youtu.be/cLFW16d2oi0

One of my favorite fights

[Mxs1332]

Just locked in my picks for tonight. I couldn't touch the McGregor vs. Alvarez fight.



Stephen Thompson -200* vs Tyron Woodley - 5 units to win 2.5u

Thiago Alves -155*vs Jim Miller 7.75 units to win 5u

Katlyn Chookagian -175*vs Liz Carmouche 8.75 units to win 5u

Hedged: Woodley TKO +300 1 unit to win 3u, Romero TKO +350 1 unit to win 3.5u



Also played a 2 team parlay round robin with fighters Khabib, Weidman, and Edgar for 1 unit each.

4 units to win 4.35u

[eddycash]

Why is everyone on wonderboy?

[terpkeg]

Anyone still selling tickets here?

[bjpenn85]

Why is everyone on wonderboy?

People believe he is the better striker with a small chance of getting taken down consistently. Mane people or also on the Woodley hedge by TKO.

[JIBBBY]

Who would you consider a striker like McGregor?

I don't consider anyone in MMA to mimic McGegors style.. His style is unique..

It's more like a Floyd Mayweather peek a boo counter striking style if I wanna draw comparisons...

[Mxs1332]

Actually Gunnar Nelson looks more like McGregor's striking more and more lately. It appears to be rubbing off some, EH

[JIBBBY]

Why is everyone on wonderboy?

Cause he's likely to stay at distance, use his reach and karate style and eventually tap that chin of Woodley.. I think Woodley will get frustrated in this fight and begin to press and then get caught..

[JIBBBY]

Actually Gunnar Nelson looks more like McGregor's striking more and more after every match lately. It appears to be rubbing off some, EH.

In a way yes he does. Gunnar Nelson just not as good at it..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Well if that's the case then Eddie can win but I don't see him taking down McGregor I see him striking with McGregor.. McGregor keeps his distance well, not easy to take down.. Eddie is not Mini Chad Mendez or Nate Diaz...

I'm seriously considering loading up on McGregor for $500 on the straight at these odds.. If I'm up on this card coming down the stretch I will load up...

UFC 205 - Lightweight 5 rounds - Madison Square Garden - New York, New York - PPV

Sat 11/12		1001 Eddie Alvarez		+100	o1½ -165
11:59PM		1002 Conor McGregor		-120	u1½ +145

Thinking the same thing here. Surprising line movement

[JIBBBY]

I decided to play this card safe and conservative.. Not alot of hedging after all, more straight plays then props.. Super cards never treated me well in the past so I'm compensating..

Here is how I'm starting it out.. 1 thru 4 fights for Jibs - Let's see how this goes....



Fight #1 -

$180.00

$102.90

Pending

11/12/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2202 Katlyn Chookagian -175* vs Liz Carmouche

Fight #2 -

$100.00

$185.00

Pending

11/12/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2011 Alves wins by 3 round decision +185* vs Not Alves by 3 round decision

$150.00

$100.00

Pending

11/12/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Jim Miller/Thiago Alves Over 2½ -150*

Fight #3 -

$100.00

$100.00

Pending

11/12/16 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1902 Belal Muhammad +100* vs Vicente Luque

Fight #4 -

$150.00

$103.40

Pending

11/12/16 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Rafael Natal -145* vs Tim Boetsch

[Hugo de Naranja]

I decided to play this card safe and conservative.. Not alot of hedging after all, more straight plays then props.. Super cards never treated me well in the past so I'm compensating..

Here is how I'm starting it out.. 1 thru 4 fights for Jibs - Let's see how this goes....



Fight #1 -

$180.00

$102.90

Pending

11/12/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2202 Katlyn Chookagian -175* vs Liz Carmouche

Fight #2 -

$100.00

$185.00

Pending

11/12/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2011 Alves wins by 3 round decision +185* vs Not Alves by 3 round decision

Fight #3 -

$100.00

$100.00

Pending

11/12/16 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1902 Belal Muhammad +100* vs Vicente Luque

Fight #4 -

$150.00

$103.40

Pending

11/12/16 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Rafael Natal -145* vs Tim Boetsch

Don't lay the juice in Women's Bantamweight fights! Chook might well win but I don't live the value on the straight play at all.

[JIBBBY]

Don't lay the juice in Women's Bantamweight fights! Chook might well win but I don't live the value on the straight play at all.

Liking the undefeated fighter in this chick fight.. What's done is done.. Was gonna take Chook by decision but didn't wanna get greedy.. I don't like laying the juice but like I said I'm playing this card conservative.. Not going for likely to land props in several of these fights..

UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



Liz
Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
vs
Katlyn
Chookagian
"Blonde Fighter"

UNITED STATES
Country
UNITED STATES

9-5-0
Record
8-0-0

56%
KO/TKO
25%

22%
SUB
13%

22%
DEC
63%

[Mxs1332]

I agree in that there is not a line slip or unseen value by the odds makers but I am confident Chook takes it unanimous

Big play on that one and I intend to cash it

[Hugo de Naranja]

I agree in that there is not a line slip or unseen value by the odds makers but I am confident Chook takes it unanimous

Big play on that one and I intend to cash it

She has the potential to be a legit star in the near future. Exciting style and hot = $$$

[JIBBBY]

People believe he is the better striker with a small chance of getting taken down consistently. Mane people or also on the Woodley hedge by TKO.

Woodley TKO hedge isn't a bad idea BJ..

I may consider that still.. I just think Wonderboy wins this fight though..Hmmm?

1137 Woodley wins by TKO/KO

+300

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I really think there is slim to no chance that Jedrzejczyk loses this fight. I'm keying her in a bunch of 2 team parlays with Nurmagomedov, Edgar and Wonderboy.

also on Alvarez

leaning towards Pennington and Chookagian

[bjpenn85]

Woodley TKO hedge isn't a bad idea BJ..

I may consider that still.. I just think Wonderboy wins this fight though..Hmmm?

1137 Woodley wins by TKO/KO

+300

Betting on MMA, i learn, is more about cutting big losses, than to win regularly. A lot of us win all the time, but can we avoid loosing big?

Woodley by TKO and round 1 and round 2 here.

[eddycash]

The best dog on the card in my opinion is woodley

[Thor4140]

Nothing worse than a huge big fight where one guy is being bet heavily yet the line is going the opposite way. It opens up all kinds of shady shit. When this type of stuff happens Conor fans better pray for a finish before five because if this goes to the judges the guy being heavily bet 99 percent of the time gets beat by a bad decision. Or it may be that people who shouldn't know, know that Conor has an injury that we don't know. Like his foot. Is it healed? Is it giving him problems? We won't know but u can sure bet the books know. One thing that bothered me about Eddie is all the functions he did around here. Im not sure he turned one down. He is making money tons of money from these appearances but man he went to everyone. I love the guy but he signed a shitty deal. Maybe he needed Nate to do his bargaining.

[JIBBBY]

I really think there is slim to no chance that Jedrzejczyk loses this fight.

I agree %100... Don't see her losing this fight..

Just wish the odds were better on the straight.. I would have hit that hard.. Instead I gotta go Joanna by decision...

UFC 205 - Bantamweight 5 rounds - Madison Square Garden - New York, New York - PPV

Sat 11/12		1201 Karolina Kowalkiewicz		+320	o4½ -180
11:00PM		1202 Joanna Jedrzejczyk		-390	u4½ +158

Joanna
Jedrzejczyk
vs
Karolina
Kowalkiewicz

POLAND
Country
POLAND

12-0-0
Record
10-0-0

33%
KO/TKO
10%

8%
SUB
20%

58%
DEC
70%