UFC Fight Night 94: Johnson vs. Poirier

[JIBBBY]

Went ahead and played this for a unit. Thanks for the suggestion!

I kinda don't like it, no offense to Tpow whom is a strong capper IMO...

MJ is extremely hard to knock out or finish bottom line.. Alot of MJ's recent fights have gone to decision against strong strikers as well.. 4 of his last 5 against stiff comp if you wanna hit the stats up and get technical... http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Michael-Johnson-68788

DP is knocking people out of the box lately, but still MJ has never been knocked out cold.. Dustin Porier has gone to decision in one of his last 2 fights also.. I think this one could possibly go to decision with DP getting the nod.. Maybe, but wouldn't bet on that either..

I'm staying away from the over/unders in this fight.. . Too sketchy to play IMO especially at - odds..

There is better + odd bets to grab on this card if you ask me..



Joseph Duffy vs DP decision..

[TPowell]

I kinda don't like it, no offense to Tpow whom is a strong capper IMO...

MJ is extremely hard to knock out or finish bottom line.. Alot of MJ's recent fights have gone to decision against strong strikers as well.. 4 of his last 5 against stiff comp if you wanna hit the stats up and get technical... http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Michael-Johnson-68788

DP is knocking people out of the box lately, but still MJ has never been knocked out cold.. Dustin Porier has gone to decision in one of his last 2 fights also.. I think this one could possibly go to decision with DP getting the nod.. Maybe, but wouldn't bet on that either..

I'm staying away from the over/unders in this fight.. . Too sketchy to play IMO especially at - odds..

There is better + odd bets to grab on this card if you ask me..



Joseph Duffy vs DP decision..

You think those guys could have went 2 more full rounds?

[Sanity Check]

Do Michael Johnson and Dustin Poirier train out of the same gym?

Strange how the UFC is making a ton of teammate fights lately.

[JIBBBY]

You think those guys could have went 2 more full rounds?

Don't know Tpow, maybe or maybe not if those fighters knew and prepared for a 5 rounder?

Like I said it's an iffy bet IMO that can go either way and at those -210 odds to not go the distance I gotta pass even in a 5 rounder.. MJ is tough as nails and built to last..

Fighters train and prepare to fight for 5 rounds and pace themselves if it does go past the first couple rounds.. It's a mind set especially with the experienced UFC vets that are use to going the distance like MJ.... Just saying..

Wish ya luck bud if you did jump on that ITD bet.. Might land..

I always read your posts Tpow, respk for your MMA capping skills when you do post.. No disrespect just offering up my opinion based on recent stats..

Personally if I had to bet between the fight not going the distance at -210 or the O2.5 at -140 I'd take the Over 2.5..

UFC Fight Night 94 - Lightweight 5 rounds - State Farm Arena - Hidalgo, Texas - FS1

Sat 9/17		1001 Michael Johnson		+145	o2½ -140
11:59PM		1002 Dustin Poirier		-165	u2½ +120

I'd say if you are looking for the O/U's and you think these guys are gonna come out swinging and finish then take the U2.5 at +120.. Chances are if this fight goes past 2.5 rounds it's probably going the distance on the flip side..

[firekillex]

Do Michael Johnson and Dustin Poirier train out of the same gym?

Strange how the UFC is making a ton of teammate fights lately.

They literally train at rival gyms lol...
johnson at blackzillians , porier at Americsn top team

[firekillex]

And gotta side with Jibby here o2.5 at -140 is way more value then -200 fight not going the distance... Both guys are super tough and gritty this fight could easily go to the judges ... People read into the last 3 fights far to much hence why the public losses money always, just because porier has some finishes lately doesn't mean he will finish every single guy , Johnson goes to decision a crap load and he has great movements / cardio plus both guys have solid chins.. 5 round fights are tough but -200 to much for my liking

[Hugo de Naranja]

Don't know Tpow, maybe or maybe not if those fighters knew and prepared for a 5 rounder?

Like I said it's an iffy bet IMO that can go either way and at those -210 odds to not go the distance I gotta pass even in a 5 rounder.. MJ is tough as nails and built to last..

Fighters train and prepare to fight for 5 rounds and pace themselves if it does go past the first couple rounds.. It's a mind set especially with the experienced UFC vets that are use to going the distance like MJ.... Just saying..

Wish ya luck bud if you did jump on that ITD bet.. Might land..

I always read your posts Tpow, respk for your MMA capping skills when you do post.. No disrespect just offering up my opinion based on recent stats..

Personally if I had to bet between the fight not going the distance at -210 or the O2.5 at -140 I'd take the Over 2.5..

UFC Fight Night 94 - Lightweight 5 rounds - State Farm Arena - Hidalgo, Texas - FS1

Sat 9/17		1001 Michael Johnson		+145	o2½ -140
11:59PM		1002 Dustin Poirier		-165	u2½ +120

I'd say if you are looking for the O/U's and you think these guys are gonna come out swinging and finish then take the U2.5 at +120.. Chances are if this fight goes past 2.5 rounds it's probably going the distance on the flip side..

Took the under here for 2u at (+140) a few days ago since all of these guys career finishes come in the first 2 rounds. We'll see how this one shakes out.

[Thrilla]

- Chas Skelly (15-2) discusses his upcoming fight with Maximo Blanco (12-7-1) at UFC Fight Night 94 on September 17th.

[Sanity Check]

They literally train at rival gyms lol...
johnson at blackzillians , porier at Americsn top team

Weird that I forgot Michael Johnson trains at blackzilians.

- Chas Skelly (15-2) discusses his upcoming fight with Maximo Blanco (12-7-1) at UFC Fight Night 94 on September 17th.

Chas Skelly's cardio only lasted 1 round in his last fight with Darren Elkins.

He gased out in his fight with Kevin Souza also.

Hopefully his stamina holds up better tomorrow.

...

I'm glad everyone is doing well at the beat the prick contest.

I'm 2-3. There isn't anyone here doing worse than me lol.

[Flea Hotel]

Poirier ML -160. Lock.

[Sanity Check]

People are underestimating Johnson.

This is a much closer fight than people are giving it credit for being.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 94 Picks:
Alejandro Perez Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Randy Brown Round 2 Submission
Joey Gomez Round 1 KO
Leonardo Augusto Leleco Round 3 TKO
Belal Muhammad Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Sam Sicilia Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Chas Skelly Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Islam Makhachev Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Kenny Robertson Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Evan Dunham Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Derek Brunson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Dustin Poirier Round 1 TKO

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 94: Poirier vs. Johnson

Fight #1: Perez vs. Morales (DEBUT):
Perez (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
Perez Decision (+285) .5u

Fight #2: Montano vs. Brown:
Brown Decision (+242) .5u
Brown Submission (+405) 1u
Brown Round 2 (+425) .5u

Fight #3: Quinonez vs. Gomez:
Gomez (-170) 1.7u to win 1u
Gomez Round 1 (+325) .5u

Hedge:
Quinonez Decision (+380) .5u

Fight #4: Carlos Junior vs. Leleco:
Leleco Round 2 (+950) .25u
Leleco Round 3 (+1425) 1u
Leleco/Carlos Junior Draw (+8000) .25u

Hedge(s):
Carlos Junior Round 1 (+225) .5u
Carlos Junior Decision (+335) .5u

Fight #5: Montano vs. Muhammad:
Muhammad Decision (-109) 1.09u to win 1u
Muhammad Decision (+103) 1u
Muhammad Round 3 (+1025) .25u

Hedge:
Montano Scorecards = No Action (+312) 1.5u

Fight #6: Benitez vs. Sicilia:
No Bet

Fight #7: Skelly vs. Blanco:
Skelly (-170) 3.4u to win 2u
Skelly Decision (+240) 1.5u
Skelly Round 2 (+525) .5u
Skelly Round 3 (+1050) .25u

Hedge:
Blanco ITD (+495) .5u

Fight #8: Wade vs. Makhachev:
Wade ITD (+423) .5u
Wade ITD (+483) .5u

Fight #9: Carneiro vs. Robertson:
No Bet

Fight #10: Dunham vs. Glenn (DEBUT):
Glenn KO/TKO (+735) .5u
Glenn Round 2 (+1025) .5u
Glenn Round 3 (+2050) .25u

Fight #11: Hall vs. Brunson:
Brunson (-150) 3u to win 2u
Brunson -3.5 (+130) 1u
Brunson Round 1 (+600) .5u

Hedge(s):
Hall KO/TKO (+423) .5u
Hall Round 3 (+1275) .5u

Fight #12: Poirier vs. Johnson:
Poirier (-175) 7u to win 4u
Poirier (-150) 3u to win 2u
Poirier/Johnson Under 2.5 Rounds (+140) 2u
Poirier ITD (+149) 2.5u
Poirier KO/TKO (+305) 1.5u

Hedge(s):
Johnson Decision (+400) 2u
Johnson Round 1 (+600) 1u
Johnson Round 2 (+1000) 1u
Johnson Split/Majority Decision (+1160) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Brunson/Poirier (+165) 1u

Prop Parlays:
Makhachev+Wade Go Distance/Poirier+Johnson Won’t Go Distance (+129) 1u
Skelly+Blanco Go Distance/Muhammad Decision (+336) .5u
Brown Submission/Muhammad Decision (+925) .25u
Muhammad Decision/Dunham Decision/Poirier Decision (+2125) .25u
Brown Round 2/Skelly Round 2 (+3182) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+222) .5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+554) .25u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+1549) .25u
No Submissions (+1438) .75u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Poirier/Hillary Clinton/Rockhold (+359) 1u

Open Parlays:
Poirier/Open/Open 1u

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 94 Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Dustin Poirier ($10,400)
Chas Skelly ($10,300)
Belal Muhammad ($10,200)
Derek Brunson ($10,000)
Joey Gomez ($8,900)

UFC Fight Night 94 Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Randy Brown ($10,900)
Dustin Poirier ($10,400)
Antonio Carlos Junior ($9,900)
Joey Gomez ($8,900)
Albert Morales ($8,400)

[GoBlue77]

Do Michael Johnson and Dustin Poirier train out of the same gym?

Strange how the UFC is making a ton of teammate fights lately.

you don't even know and you're talking smack about teaching me a lesson. noobs...

[Theo_Goodman]

I only have a few picks for this card.
Brunson vs. Hall
Brunson win 1.500
fight doesn’t go the distance 2.050

Poirier vs. Johnson
Johnson 2.450
hedge Props Poirier in round 1 round 2

[UncleChael]

I'm taking Dustin 'The Diamond' Poirier in the main event... legggooooo

[UncleChael]

UFC Fight Night 94 Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Dustin Poirier ($10,400)
Chas Skelly ($10,300)
Belal Muhammad ($10,200)
Derek Brunson ($10,000)
Joey Gomez ($8,900)

UFC Fight Night 94 Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Randy Brown ($10,900)
Dustin Poirier ($10,400)
Antonio Carlos Junior ($9,900)
Joey Gomez ($8,900)
Albert Morales ($8,400)

What can you win from Draft Kings? I might want to play today for a first.

[UncleChael]

I'm taking Dustin 'The Diamond' Poirier in the main event... legggooooo

So, cash in those MJ bets. He should be the favorite. I switched my bet in like a hour, bet the house on Michael Johnson. In Uncle Chael we trust.

[Hugo de Naranja]

What can you win from Draft Kings? I might want to play today for a first.

You can win some decent cash prizes and sometimes there are satellites into events like the World Series of Poker.

[firekillex]

Some solid picks Hugo only thing I disagree with for sure is the Dunham fight I think he's probably the biggest lock on the card I don't see anyway he really losses this fight imo, got him connected Ina few parlays so hoping he comes through haha

[Hugo de Naranja]

Some solid picks Hugo only thing I disagree with for sure is the Dunham fight I think he's probably the biggest lock on the card I don't see anyway he really losses this fight imo, got him connected Ina few parlays so hoping he comes through haha

Yeah I think Dunham probably grinds him out but felt the value was on Glenn by later stoppage.

[Hugo de Naranja]

So, cash in those MJ bets. He should be the favorite. I switched my bet in like a hour, bet the house on Michael Johnson. In Uncle Chael we trust.

So Michael Johnson is your pick? Or when Poirier wins, will you tell everybody "I told ya so "

[UncleChael]

So Michael Johnson is your pick? Or when Poirier wins, will you tell everybody "I told ya so "

My one house on M.J vs your 10 units on Poirier, good luck buddy!

[JIBBBY]

I'm on DP myself even at those shitty odds.. MJ always has a chance though.. Not happy about this bet..

[Hugo de Naranja]

I'm on DP myself even at those shitty odds.. MJ always has a chance though.. Not happy about this bet..

Any other picks/plays for tonight?

[JIBBBY]

Fight #1 -

UFC Fight Pass



Alejandro
Perez
"Diablito"
vs
Albert
Morales

MEXICO
Country
UNITED

18-6-0
Record
6-0-0

44%
KO/TKO
33%

33%
SUB
50%

22%
DEC
17%

66 in
Height
69 in

135 lbs
Weight
135 lbs

67 in
Reach
72 in

36 in
Leg Reach
39 in



I couldn't sniff out any +odd props so I hit Perez straight and really liked the O1.5 as well..

$142.10

$118.40

Pending

9/17/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Alejandro Perez -120* vs Albert Morales

$190.00

$102.70

Pending

9/17/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Alejandro Perez/Albert Morales Over 1½ -185*

[JIBBBY]

Fight #2



Erick
Montano
"Perry"
vs
Randy
Brown
"Rudeboy"

MEXICO
Country
JAMAICA

8-3-0
Record
7-1-0

25%
KO/TKO
57%

63%
SUB
29%

13%
DEC
14%

72 in
Height
75 in

170 lbs
Weight
170 lbs

73 in
Reach
78 in

42 in
Leg Reach
45 in



Brown ITD is about the only bet I could live with in this bout at reasonable odds.. This is my only play..

$120.00

$100.00

Pending

9/17/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2009 Brown wins inside distance -120* vs Not Brown inside distance

[JIBBBY]

Fight #3

FS1



Jose
Quinonez
"Teco"
vs
Joey
Gomez
"KO King"

MEXICO
Country
UNITED STATES

5-2-0
Record
6-1-0

40%
KO/TKO
100%

20%
SUB
0%

40%
DEC
0%



I highly doubt this fight goes the distance let alone start the 3rd round.. My only play for reasonable odds.. May still hit the GOMEZ KO for $50 at +178 since all his wins come by way of KO..

$120.00

$105.30

Pending

9/17/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1936 Fight won’t start round 3 -114* vs Quinones / Gomez starts round 3

[JIBBBY]

Any other picks/plays for tonight?

Let's see how these first 3 fights go.. I'll keep posting up winners as the event goes if I can stay hot..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Let's see how these first 3 fights go.. I'll keep posting up winners as the event goes if I can stay hot..

Cool man. Best of luck!

[Thrilla]

How much credit do you guys give to Michael Johnson's speed advantage? His best performances come to guys where he circles around his opponent and counter punching. (vs Tibau.for example). Poirier is slow/ too telegraphed striking I feel.

[JIBBBY]

How much credit do you guys give to Michael Johnson's speed advantage? His best performances come to guys where he circles around his opponent and counter punching. (vs Tibau.for example). Poirier is slow/ too telegraphed striking I feel.

I give MJ a chance just because of his toughness and chin strength.. If they get to trading in the pocket DP's chin could get cracked.. We've seen DP dropped before..

DP is the more technical striker though, more tools in the shed.. I don't see a huge speed advantage in this fight for either guy.. DP has also been on a tear lately since changing weight classes..

[Thrilla]

Weigh-In

[firekillex]

Fight completes round 2 -160 is the main event play