Hugo's Prop Picks

**JIBBBY** · 06-10-16, 06:27 PM

Start max bet hedging the other way if you get this next win.. Your one cancelled bet was +900, but the parlay bet will still pay out huge. This next bet is your money ball.. Round 5 Jeds at +2500..

You hit that and you da man Capt!!!!

I've personally never hit a single bet in the +2000 or more range in sports worth remembering. Hit a bunch in the +1000's though in my gambling career..

**JIBBBY** · 06-10-16, 08:48 PM

Wrong thread post..

**CaptChaos145** · 06-12-16, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Start max bet hedging the other way if you get this next win.. Your one cancelled bet was +900, but the parlay bet will still pay out huge. This next bet is your money ball.. Round 5 Jeds at +2500..

You hit that and you da man Capt!!!!

I've personally never hit a single bet in the +2000 or more range in sports worth remembering. Hit a bunch in the +1000's though in my gambling career..

I played a few prop pics in the Rockhold/Weidman fight and hit the 4th rd finish at +2400.

**CaptChaos145** · 06-12-16, 03:44 PM

I have this one too:

$10.00	$7,509.57	Pending	9 Team Parlay
				Win	5/8/16 3:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Germaine de Randamie -400* vs Anna Elmose
				Win	5/8/16 11:30am UFC Fighting 2002 Kyogi Horiguchi -600* vs Neil Seery
				Pending	7/7/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Rafael dos Anjos -400* vs Eddie Alvarez
				Win	5/14/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1209 Justino wins inside distance -705* vs Not Justino inside distance
				Win	5/14/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1531 Maia wins by submission +150* vs Any other result
				Cancelled	6/4/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 9999 Rockhold wins in round 4 +1400* vs Any other result
				Win	6/4/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 Cruz wins by 5 round decision -165* vs Not Cruz by 5 round decision
				Pending	7/9/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 Aldo wins by 5 round decision +255* vs Not Aldo by 5 round decision
				Pending	7/9/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1209 Tate wins inside distance -145* vs Not Tate inside distance

**CaptChaos145** · 06-12-16, 03:45 PM

And this one:

$10.00	$10,519.29	Pending	8 Team Parlay
				Win	5/8/16 11:30am UFC Fighting 2002 Kyogi Horiguchi -600* vs Neil Seery
				Pending	7/7/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Rafael dos Anjos -400* vs Eddie Alvarez
				Win	5/14/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1209 Justino wins inside distance -705* vs Not Justino inside distance
				Win	5/14/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1531 Maia wins by submission +150* vs Any other result
				Cancelled	6/4/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 9999 Rockhold wins in round 5 +2200* vs Any other result
				Win	6/4/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1147 Cruz wins by 5 round unanimous dec -120* vs Any other result
				Pending	7/9/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 Aldo wins by 5 round decision +255* vs Not Aldo by 5 round decision
				Pending	7/9/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1209 Tate wins inside distance -145* vs Not Tate inside distance

**Hugo de Naranja** · 06-12-16, 03:49 PM

Originally posted by CaptChaos145

I have this one too:

$10.00	$7,509.57	Pending	9 Team Parlay
				Win	5/8/16 3:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Germaine de Randamie -400* vs Anna Elmose
				Win	5/8/16 11:30am UFC Fighting 2002 Kyogi Horiguchi -600* vs Neil Seery
				Pending	7/7/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Rafael dos Anjos -400* vs Eddie Alvarez
				Win	5/14/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1209 Justino wins inside distance -705* vs Not Justino inside distance
				Win	5/14/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1531 Maia wins by submission +150* vs Any other result
				Cancelled	6/4/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 9999 Rockhold wins in round 4 +1400* vs Any other result
				Win	6/4/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 Cruz wins by 5 round decision -165* vs Not Cruz by 5 round decision
				Pending	7/9/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 Aldo wins by 5 round decision +255* vs Not Aldo by 5 round decision
				Pending	7/9/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1209 Tate wins inside distance -145* vs Not Tate inside distance

What's the payout without Rockhold?

**bjpenn85** · 06-13-16, 02:24 AM

Jose aldo dec is not cashing, needs a hedge. But should win either way now.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 06-19-16, 06:19 PM

2 Team Parlay: +138
Cat Zingano (-155)
Robbie Lawler (-225)

First unit on this for now. Likely to add more later. Zingano is a top 3 WBW, holding finishes over Miesha Tate and Amanda Nunes. She has finished 8/9 wins and her only loss is a quick sub to Rousey. Pena has lost to middling competition and didn't even look great against Jessica Eye (who sucks). I think the line is this low because Zingano is coming off a loss and a layoff. She should win this fight handily and might even get the finish.

Tyron Woodley's only chance to win this fight will be a first round KO when he is still fresh. Lawler is a beast, almost impossible to KO and tough to take down. He will likely survive an early barrage and come on strong to win by late finish or Unanimous Decision. May be worth live betting if he loses round 1.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 06-23-16, 12:11 AM

Miesha Tate ITD (-111) 3u
Miesha Tate KO/TKO (+546) .5u
Miesha Tate Round 3 (+675) 1u
Miesha Tate Round 4 (+775) 1u

Provided Tate survives the inevitable first and possibly second round onslaught, she will take advantage of Nunes' bad cardio and poor fight IQ to get the finish. Also, notable is that Nunes has been finished in 3 of her 4 losses and none were five round fights.

Since the steam has been coming in pretty big on the Tate ML, I recommend making a play on these props before their odds start to shrink as well. Tate has talked about focusing on a KO in interviews and has a decent top game so I think there's a bit of value in that as well.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 06-24-16, 11:27 PM

A few for UFC 209:
Jon Jones Decision (+145)
Jon Jones Unanimous Decision (+220)
Cat Zingano KO/TKO (+430)

**CaptChaos145** · 06-26-16, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Miesha Tate ITD (-111) 3u
Miesha Tate KO/TKO (+546) .5u
Miesha Tate Round 3 (+675) 1u
Miesha Tate Round 4 (+775) 1u

Provided Tate survives the inevitable first and possibly second round onslaught, she will take advantage of Nunes' bad cardio and poor fight IQ to get the finish. Also, notable is that Nunes has been finished in 3 of her 4 losses and none were five round fights.

Since the steam has been coming in pretty big on the Tate ML, I recommend making a play on these props before their odds start to shrink as well. Tate has talked about focusing on a KO in interviews and has a decent top game so I think there's a bit of value in that as well.

I'm on Tate as well but I'm getting a little worried she may not be taking Nunes serious enough. Miesha has been talking about fighting Ronda and Cyborg etc... Nunes is extremely dangerous. Tate needs to stay focused on her.

**JC2008** · 07-03-16, 06:40 PM

Miehsa does not seem like the type to give up her newly-acquired throne. If anything, I expect her to kick the shit out of Nunes.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-03-16, 08:06 PM

John Makdessi KO/TKO (+480) 2u
Joe Duffy Submission (+860) .5u

**JC2008** · 07-03-16, 08:34 PM

Love both of those props, Hugo..

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-17-16, 10:52 PM

Nate Diaz ITD (+175) 2.5u
Might add more later if odds improve

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-27-16, 06:59 PM

2 Team Parlay: +100
Robbie Lawler (-175)
Marlon Moraes (-370)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-30-16, 10:55 AM

Donald Cerrone Decision (+195)

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 07-30-16, 12:54 PM

took your advice on Kowalkiewicz

gl to us, OJ

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-30-16, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

took your advice on Kowalkiewicz

gl to us, OJ

Let's get it!

**Ty$** · 07-30-16, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Donald Cerrone Decision (+195)

I know cowboy is Hott but I got Story here. He burnt me so bad against RDA. I'm waiting to get my $ back from that homophobe.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-30-16, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by Ty$

I know cowboy is Hott but I got Story here. He burnt me so bad against RDA. I'm waiting to get my $ back from that homophobe.

Story is certainly no joke. This will be a big test for Cowboy but he has looked fantastic against everyone other than RDA

**bjpenn85** · 08-21-16, 09:35 AM

Tailed you on Kichoge on mens marathon. Thanks for that. Another 300 bucks for the weekend, helps a little after the yesterdays disappointment!

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-21-16, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Tailed you on Kichoge on mens marathon. Thanks for that. Another 300 bucks for the weekend, helps a little after the yesterdays disappointment!

No problem man. He actually won it by over a minute. Beast!

**bjpenn85** · 08-21-16, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

No problem man. He actually won it by over a minute. Beast!

Yeah i watched it live. It wasnt close. Kind of easy money really.

**Tyche77777** · 09-10-16, 10:35 AM

Stipe has 17 fights, 4 have gone to decision, 3 of last 9...not impossible but far more unlikely than 2 to 1 in my opinion, at +350 I'd chew on it

**Hugo de Naranja** · 09-10-16, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by Tyche77777

Stipe has 17 fights, 4 have gone to decision, 3 of last 9...not impossible but far more unlikely than 2 to 1 in my opinion, at +350 I'd chew on it

Is that the Fight Goes Distance prop?