UFC 189: Aldo vs. McGregor (July 11, 2015)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET
Jose Aldo vs. Conor McGregor (for featherweight title)
Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald (for welterweight title)
Dennis Bermudez vs. Jeremy Stephens
John Hathaway vs. Gunnar Nelson
Thomas Almeida vs. Brad Pickett

FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
Matt Brown vs. Tim Means
Brandon Thatch vs. John Howard
Mike Swick vs. Alex Garcia
Cody Garbrandt vs. Henry Briones

UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET
Neil Seery vs. Louis Smolka
Yosdenis Cedeno vs. Cody Pfister

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

[JIBBBY]

Now this an event worth seeing and checking out!!! A stacked card from top to bottom indeed....

[FlipsideRM]

Give me Conor

[UncleChael]

You could have him. Give me Jose.

[shabang]

Can't believe this fight is already here..We already have the thread up and it's happening..can't wait. No clue who to bet on. I've gone back and forth a few times but, I think I'm leaning mcgregor at this point mainly due to his surpreme overwhelming confidence. Reminds me of weidman before the fought silva for the 1st time..only not as confident.

Excited to see garbrandt fight again. (he's tappin' vanzant)

[Heyeverybody99]

All in Conrad

[slayer14]

Colin believes he is the best that has to count for something

[JIBBBY]

Early prop ideas for value -

Aldo by submission or decision.. Can't decide which one yet as I'm on Aldo???

1011 Aldo wins by 5 round decision

<input id="editx" name="M1_10" size="4"> +230

1039 Aldo wins by submission

<input id="editx" name="M1_24" size="4"> +695

Flip side - I think Mcmouths most likely pathway to victory will be by KO or just maybe by decision.. He's a finisher so I would lean towards the KO and finish myself...

1037 McGregor wins by TKO/KO

<input id="editx" name="M1_23" size="4"> +170

1007 McGregor wins by 5 round decision

<input id="editx" name="M1_8" size="4"> +629

[Giants007]

My money is all over McGregor, he is very deep in Aldo's head.

[Heyeverybody99]

Play Conrad straight and Aldo by submission.

[JIBBBY]

Play Conrad straight and Aldo by submission.

Not a bad hedge move if you think Conartist will win..

Straight Conster play at +115 - $100 to win $115

Hedge insurance Aldo by Sub +695 - $20 to win $138

[nanderson1134]

Can't wait for this card!!! Aldo by decision

[Killer_Demo]

leaning Rory mac and thomas almeida

[JIBBBY]

leaning Rory mac and thomas almeida

Agreed, Rory I think should get the better of Lawler in this one... Lawler always has a punchers chance though and I'm not completely convinced Rory has a granite chin either.. No more lucky decision wins for Robbie Lawler in this fight me tinks....

Interesting value on props anyways..

Ko prop isn't out yet for Robbie Lawler so next best thing is -

Lawler wins inside distance

<input id="editx" name="M1_59" size="4"> +385

Rory could certainly win by way of this prop as well.. Just pick Lawler apart round after round...

1107 MacDonald wins by 5 round decision

<input id="editx" name="M1_58" size="4"> +108

Pretty good value on this prop for playing both sides and if you think someone will finish.. Is a 5 rounder...

1104 Fight won't go 5 round distance

<input id="editx" name="M2_56" size="4"> +100

[UncleChael]

Rory Mac is my favourite fighter. He's bring that belt home, baby!! Believe that.

[UncleChael]

Main event - no bet or over .. seriously..

[Kermit]

Rory Mac is my favourite fighter. He's bring that belt home, baby!! Believe that.

I always knew Rory was really good, but in his last couple fights, he has definitely won my respect and made me a fan becasue of his aggressiveness. I know he lost to Robbie before, but I am going large on Rory in this one.

[Giants007]

Updated #'s from 5dimes


Conor McGregor -130

Jose Aldo +100

[bjpenn85]

rory macdonald won over woodley, so did nate m. In my opinion lawler won both of the fights against hendricks, thats subjective. Whats objective is that hendricks is a lot better than tarec, so the opponents they have met is different. at +170 i rather go with the guy that has looked best against best competition. Its also an unwritten law to go with the dog in a fight that pretty much is coin flip. Everybody loves rory now but thats morstly because he KOed tarec, do you not think lawler had done the same? i mean the big south korean guy almost did it as well. Are you really that easily persuaed?

[Beelzebubzy]

Updated #'s from 5dimes


Conor McGregor -130

Jose Aldo +100

You might as well play Mcgregor by KO. No way he doesnt body kick here.

Not sure if anyone has ever broken a rib, but breathing hurts alot.

[PaperTrail07]

----not broken......but has to be hurt

[Giants007]

I just don't see how you can back Aldo in this fight now

[Giants007]

McGregor's coach, <s>@</s>John_Kavanagh, writes Conor was asleep when told Mendes had entered picture. 'They're all the same.' Went back to sleep.

[Heyeverybody99]

Aldo +115 now

[JIBBBY]

Aldo +115 now

I'm waiting til fight time to bet Aldo.. Probably be +150 or more by then... Everyone is thinking Aldo will tank now with this rib injury.. It ain't broke or cracked and he will be just fine in 2 weeks..

This is the best thing to happen for all Aldo betters.. Just wait now..

[Heyeverybody99]

I'm waiting til fight time to bet Aldo.. Probably be +150 or more by then... Everyone is thinking Aldo will tank now with this rib injury.. It ain't broke or cracked and he will be just fine in 2 weeks..

This is the best thing to happen for all Aldo betters.. Just wait now..

If Aldo gets to +150 ( wont happen) I will def put a little on him. Got Mcgregor at +135 for over $1000

[UncleChael]

Aldo +115 now

Aldo: He looks like Shaggy from Scooby doo. "Scooby-doo, where are you?". 6 figures on Jose Aldo.

[JoshKnows46]

McGregor was already gonna be my biggest bet this year, don't let aldo being plus money pursued y'all decision, please... He was going to lose terribly before the rib injury, and is still going to lose terribly... This will only give him a excuse, then we'll get to double down on McGregor in the second fight at decent odds, as a result.

[Unwritten Law]

I'd be surprised to see Aldo fight but then again Dana has something up his sleeve. Probably a guaranteed win bonus, increased PPV/ticket shares, a rematch (or next title defense if he wins) in Brazil and some whores.

[UncleChael]

What's a king to a god? What's a god to a non believer?

[JIBBBY]

What's a king to a god? What's a god to a non believer?

I have a few quotes from memory.....

Everything you ever wanted is on the other side of fear - George Addair

Start with what you have, use what you have, do what you can - Arthur Ashe

Winning isn't everything, but wanting to win is - Vince Lombardi

The best revenge is massive success - Frank Sinatra

If you hear a voice in you say "you cannot believe" then by all means "believe" and that voice will be silenced.. - Jibbby

[mirinquads]

I have a few quotes from memory.....

Everything you ever wanted is on the other side of fear - George Addair

Start with what you have, use what you have, do what you can - Arthur Ashe

Winning isn't everything, but wanting to win is - Vince Lombardi

The best revenge is massive success - Frank Sinatra

If you hear a voice in you say "you cannot believe" then by all means "believe" and that voice will be silenced.. - Jibbby

Baffling

[GR33D]

Constant leg kicks to the mid, that leaves you wide open for the takedown/sub. I wonder how hurt aldo really is and is he possibly baiting Conor

[mirinquads]

Constant leg kicks to the mid, that leaves you wide open for the takedown/sub. I wonder how hurt aldo really is and is he possibly baiting Conor

"Legkick to the midsection, Joe!"