UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs. Dos Anjos (August 23, 2014)

[Vaughany]

Really? Mein is NOT going to submit Pyle. Mein TKO +135 is the play.

Probably not and usually I'd of said the same thing to him. But Im seeing Mein TKO at +120 now on sportbet (where is +135?) and inside is +105... a 15 cent difference is hardly worth it

[Vaughany]

Everyone on Pyle, I took Mein as soon as the odds came out

ive hardly seen anybody say they are on Pyle. Im just throwing out shiiit, I haven played anything

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Probably not and usually I'd of said the same thing to him. But Im seeing Mein TKO at +120 now on sportbet (where is +135?) and inside is +105... a 15 cent difference is hardly worth it

Got Mein TKO @ +135. Didn't look to see what current odds are. He did not say when he placed the ITD bet.

[Crassus]

Probably not and usually I'd of said the same thing to him. But Im seeing Mein TKO at +120 now on sportbet (where is +135?) and inside is +105... a 15 cent difference is hardly worth it

That was my thinking, it's not like Mein has no ground game at all. I could see him rocking Pyle and taking the sub.

[Vaughany]

yee, hell he could twist his ankle and start tapping out

[TheCalculator]

I like Pyle at these odds.

[Beelzebubzy]

Im on Mein.
Pyle's chin is gone and do not think he will have an easy time taking down Mein.

However, Mein looked like poop in his last fight.

[Rubber Guard]

cant stand Carmont but on him and Magny.

both are explosive

[Sacrelicious]

cant stand Carmont but on him and Magny.

both are explosive

And to be honest, quite athletic.

[JIBBBY]

Was first thinking maybe Pyle straight win with the odds but again I gotta play who I think will win the fight...I'm on the 24 year old Mein.. Pyle is 38 now and I just think he can't stand and trade with the younger Mein and last..

With that being said I pulled the trigger on another prop that is even money.. 2505- Mein wins in side the distance +100...

Was looking at the prop Mein by KO/TKO at +115 but for only +15 more I thought to not take the chance.. Pyle gets clipped and rocked then taken down and sub'd you never know?

[Sacrelicious]

Why is JIBBBY doing this to us.... ?

[JIBBBY]

Why am I such a tard?

Fixed..

[Skel]

Jibby, start posting bet sizes so there can be no argument over how much you're winning.

[JIBBBY]

Jibby, start posting bet sizes so there can be no argument over how much you're winning.

Skel I'll be honest and tell you guys if I lose an event.. I really don't care about image on this forum.. I care more about just winning... If I'm losing I'll keep it real.. I promise... I'm currently down a 100 bucks on the Titan event now.. Hoping that will change..

I'll try to post my amounts.. I have multiple accounts and it's hard to say units when I place on all 3.. Dollar amounts means I usually place on just one... 5 Dimes with the props obviously...

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

James Lee Mein, 47, of Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada, was arrested Friday afternoon in Tulsa. Police records show the time of the arrest was just prior to Jordan Mein’s appearance at the BOK Center for the official weigh-ins for UFC Fight Night 49, which takes place tonight at the same venue. News of Lee Mein’s arrest first came via Twitter from Beau Taylor of the Tulsa Voice.

Lee Mein was arrested and charged with sexual battery at 3:30 p.m., booked at 5:59 p.m., and was released early Saturday after posting $2,000 bond, police records show.

[JIBBBY]

Jibby, start posting bet sizes so there can be no argument over how much you're winning.

OK Skel I'll show what I got up so far.. I came back strong and won the Titan Event last night, did well with the China UFC event this morning (Bisping, Woodley, props) and now hoping to go 3-3 on the weekend with this last UFC event tonight.. Won around $300 bucks with Titan and $1300 with China UFC)

Walmir Lazaro +120 ($100 to win $120)
Chas Skelly +130 ($200 to win $260)

Alex Garcia/Ben Saunders parlay ($100 to win ($110)
Francis Carmont/Max Holloway parlay ($100 to win $89)
Jordan Mein/Francis Carmont parlay ($100 to win $147)
Benson Hendo/Michael Bisping parlay ($170 to win $130)
Matt Hobar/Wilson Reis parlay ($100 to win $108)

Jordan Mein wins inside the distance ($100 to win $100)
Alex Garcia win by TO/TKO ($30 to win $93)
Alex Garcia wins in round 1 ($30 to win $97)
Mike Pyle wins 3 round decision ($25 to win $135) Insurance
Bendo wins inside the distance ($50 to win $105)

Still more to come.. Just on the fence with a few last fights and will be betting small on them, like 50 bucks or so..

Times some of these bets by 3 as I placed them on 5D, Bovada and Betus.com.. Props not listed on Betus..



Also my 5 dollar bet the board parlay play.. This might be the smallest payout I've ever seen for this type of bet.. I guess I'm on a lot of favorites with this card.. *Copy and paste

$5.00	$575.16	Pending	11 Team Parlay
				Pending	8/23/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2002 Ben Henderson -425* <small>vs</small> Rafael dos Anjos
				Pending	8/23/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2101 Jordan Mein -240* <small>vs</small> Mike Pyle
				Pending	8/23/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 2202 Francis Carmont -165* <small>vs</small> Thales Leites
				Pending	8/23/14 11:00pm UFC Fighting 2302 Max Holloway -600* <small>vs</small> Clay Collard
				Pending	8/23/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 2401 Walmir Lazaro +120* <small>vs</small> James Vick
				Pending	8/23/14 10:00pm UFC Fighting 2501 Chas Skelly +130* <small>vs</small> Tom Niinimaki
				Pending	8/23/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 2602 Alex Garcia -150* <small>vs</small> Neil Magny
				Pending	8/23/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2702 Tony Martin -140* <small>vs</small> Beneil Dariush
				Pending	8/23/14 8:30pm UFC Fighting 2802 Matt Hobar -215* <small>vs</small> Aaron Phillips
				Pending	8/23/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 2902 Ben Saunders -380* <small>vs</small> Chris Heatherly
				Pending	8/23/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 3002 Wilson Reis -310* <small>vs</small> Joby Sanchez

*If you guys trail and win throw me back some bet points or something.. Takes me time to write these long sharing posts.. I'll keep doing it if I'm shown back some love.. Don't care about forum bragging rights either so this is a complete waste of my time otherwise.... (15 minutes spent on this post)

[marzwoody]

Im on Mein, Holloway, Bendo and Magny.

[Bava]

Lazaro
Magny
Hendo/Mein/Blessed

Added Reis and Carmont

[JIBBBY]

James Lee Mein, 47, of Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada, was arrested Friday afternoon in Tulsa. Police records show the time of the arrest was just prior to Jordan Mein’s appearance at the BOK Center for the official weigh-ins for UFC Fight Night 49, which takes place tonight at the same venue. News of Lee Mein’s arrest first came via Twitter from Beau Taylor of the Tulsa Voice.

Lee Mein was arrested and charged with sexual battery at 3:30 p.m., booked at 5:59 p.m., and was released early Saturday after posting $2,000 bond, police records show.

I don't think this will effect Jordan Meins performance regardless.. Pops is horny violent pig then....Allegedly...

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Lazaro
Magny
Hendo/Mein/Blessed

What do you believe the 3 judges scores will look like in the Bendo affair Bava?

[Bava]

What do you believe the 3 judges scores will look like in the Bendo affair Bava?

I think it'll likely be a non-controversial UD reminiscent of his 2011 Bocek/Miller/Guida run. Dos Anjos might take one of the first two rounds while he's crispy, but I'd be surprised if he gets both, or if he takes any of the latter three. 49-46s or 48-47s across the board.

Also think there's a decent chance an exhausted DA gets stopped in the championship rounds, but I don't have the confidence to bet on it.

[Crassus]

Investment	Money Line	Amount Invested	Potential Gain	End Result	Implied % Chance of Success
Lloyd Woodard	170	1.25%	2.13%	-1.00%	37.04%
George Sotiropolous	245	0.50%	1.23%	-0.50%	28.99%
Lloyd Woodard	177	1.00%	1.77%	-1.00%	36.10%
Ben Saunders Inside the Distance	-125	1.25%	1.00%		55.56%
Ben Saunders in Round 1	200	0.50%	1.00%		33.33%
Wilson Reis Inside the Distance	190	0.75%	1.43%		34.48%
Holloway Points Handicap (-3.50)	-240	2.10%	0.88%		70.59%
Francis Carmont	-167	1.50%	0.90%		62.55%
Francis Carmont Wins by Decision	143	0.75%	1.07%		41.15%
Jordan Mein	-235	1.50%	0.64%		70.15%
Jordan Mein Inside the Distance	100	0.75%	0.75%		50.00%
Mein wins in Round 2	425	0.25%	1.06%		19.05%
Rafael Dos Anjos	365	0.75%	2.74%		21.51%
Rafael Dos Anjos by Decision	632	0.25%	1.58%		13.66%
Dos Anjos Points Handicap (+5.5)	110	1.25%	1.38%

[JIBBBY]

Looks pretty good^^ Better luck tonight Crassus!!!!!

[JIBBBY]

Oh crap man!!!.. Forgot to sign up for live betting!!!! Errrrr Try and incorporate that on the next card for sure..

I think there is alot of money to be made with LIVE PLAY bets in MMA... More often then not you can tell which way a fight is going after the 1st or 2nd rounds!!! I hope you guys doing the live play bets nail it!! I was playing them in my head last UFC PPV event and was hitting on paper..

Can someone refresh my memory and let me know the Sportsbook for live play? I forgot? I'll give ya a bet point.. I may lay the bank card down now in time and sign up...

[Vaughany]

Oh crap man!!!.. Forgot to sign up for live betting!!!! Errrrr Try and incorporate that on the next card for sure..

I think there is alot of money to be made with LIVE PLAY bets in MMA... More often then not you can tell which way a fight is going after the 1st or 2nd rounds!!! I hope you guys doing the live play bets nail it!! I was playing them in my head last UFC PPV event and was hitting on paper..

Can someone refresh my memory and let me know the Sportsbook for live play? I forgot? I'll give ya a bet point.. I may lay the bank card down now in time and sign up...

Kushmoneylive.com is probably the best

[JIBBBY]

Kushmoneylive.com is probably the best

Thanks V always a big help..

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Investment	Money Line	Amount Invested	Potential Gain	End Result	Implied % Chance of Success
Lloyd Woodard	170	1.25%	2.13%	-1.00%	37.04%
George Sotiropolous	245	0.50%	1.23%	-0.50%	28.99%
Lloyd Woodard	177	1.00%	1.77%	-1.00%	36.10%
Ben Saunders Inside the Distance	-125	1.25%	1.00%		55.56%
Ben Saunders in Round 1	200	0.50%	1.00%		33.33%
Wilson Reis Inside the Distance	190	0.75%	1.43%		34.48%
Holloway Points Handicap (-3.50)	-240	2.10%	0.88%		70.59%
Francis Carmont	-167	1.50%	0.90%		62.55%
Francis Carmont Wins by Decision	143	0.75%	1.07%		41.15%
Jordan Mein	-235	1.50%	0.64%		70.15%
Jordan Mein Inside the Distance	100	0.75%	0.75%		50.00%
Mein wins in Round 2	425	0.25%	1.06%		19.05%
Rafael Dos Anjos	365	0.75%	2.74%		21.51%
Rafael Dos Anjos by Decision	632	0.25%	1.58%		13.66%
Dos Anjos Points Handicap (+5.5)	110	1.25%	1.38%

I like a lot of your plays for tonight except Dos Anjos, Dos Anjos via Decision & Reis ITD. In regards to those plays I'm on Bendo via Decision & Reis & Reis via Decision. In spite of his father I believe Mein will TKO Pyle. Probably in the 1st. I have quite a few units on Carmont vs Leites going the distance. I also like Carmont via Decision.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Oh crap man!!!.. Forgot to sign up for live betting!!!! Errrrr Try and incorporate that on the next card for sure..

I think there is alot of money to be made with LIVE PLAY bets in MMA... More often then not you can tell which way a fight is going after the 1st or 2nd rounds!!! I hope you guys doing the live play bets nail it!! I was playing them in my head last UFC PPV event and was hitting on paper..

Can someone refresh my memory and let me know the Sportsbook for live play? I forgot? I'll give ya a bet point.. I may lay the bank card down now in time and sign up...

Don't you have a Bookmaker or 5Dimes account?

[JIBBBY]

Bookmaker that was it... Thanks Ronny...

Do have 5D's but never noticed live betting for MMA up on the board.. I even checked before.. Am I mistaken?

[Crassus]

Looks pretty good^^ Better luck tonight Crassus!!!!!

Cheers Jibby!

I like a lot of your plays for tonight except Dos Anjos, Dos Anjos via Decision & Reis ITD. In regards to those plays I'm on Bendo via Decision & Reis & Reis via Decision. In spite of his father I believe Mein will TKO Pyle. Probably in the 1st. I have quite a few units on Carmont vs Leites going the distance. I also like Carmont via Decision.

I could definitely see Bendo getting the decision, but I think Dos Anjos is just doing really well and he'll eek the decision past Bendo or at least win one or two rounds (which makes me win the points handicap.) I'm thinking Reis will sub Sanchez.

[JIBBBY]

It's gonna be hard for the refs to give a decision victory to Dos Anjos, Bendo is fast paced and it's always very hard to out work him anyways in a 5 rounder.. My thoughts on Dos Anjos winning a decision victory tonight..

I think Bendo might get a finish tonight for once actually.. Maybe a KO late even...

[Bava]

It's gonna be hard for the refs to give a decision victory to Dos Anjos, Bendo is fast paced and it's always very hard to out work him anyways in a 5 rounder.. My thoughts on Dos Anjos winning a decision victory tonight..

I think Bendo might get a finish tonight for once actually.. Maybe a KO late even...

Vey good edit

[JIBBBY]

Vey good edit

Brain fart sorry.. You caught that... Shhhhhhh....Hehehehe...

[marzwoody]

Honestly i would be shocked if Dos Anjos wins. this is what people dont understand... Henderson is the #2 guy right now. just like Alvarez is the #2 guy in boxing. people thought Lara would win but nope Alvarez wins again. same thing will happen with Bendo. i would be surprised if Dos Anjos wins two rounds never mind the fight.

[Bumdeal]

Honestly i would be shocked if Dos Anjos wins. this is what people dont understand... Henderson is the #2 guy right now. just like Alvarez is the #2 guy in boxing. people thought Lara would win but nope Alvarez wins again. same thing will happen with Bendo. i would be surprised if Dos Anjos wins two rounds never mind the fight.

lots of substance here.