UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Miller (July 16, 2014)

[JIBBBY]

aren't you worried about barboza being ultra careful after getting clipped?

I'm more worried about 5 dimes cancelling the bet or not paying out after the win. LOL..

Safe to say if Barboza wins it's gonna be by KO/TKO.. Evan Dunham hands don't scare me in this fight, and if he clips Barboza's weak chin then so be it... At +160 this prop bet is solid...

Only down side though I see is - Dunham is a durable dude and this fight could possibly go to decision but I'm thinking it won't... Barboza has only gone to decision 3 times in 15 fights.. Barboza is the far more dynamic striker going in and should stop the slower handed Dunham at some point with strikes like he typically does.....

My take anyways......

[Vaughany]

I care less about his lack of martial arts experience and more on how lazily written his "breakdown" appears. It seems as though he looked up each fighters' records and their bio and came up with his own conclusions. Maybe I'm down on Martins more than most people, but just watching him fight and seeing how bad his striking defense is, and watching Alex White's last fight, it seems very clear to me that Alex White will have an advantage standing. I wouldn't call Martins "dangerous" after he beat two chumps, and I certainly wouldn't call a fromer pro boxer with a blue belt in BJJ a jits based fighter.

Alex White never runs out of gas though

(Who gets my funny?)

[Lick496]

Alex White never runs out of gas though

(Who gets my funny?)

sick "burn"

[NunyaBidness]

sick "burn"

That's easy for you to say.

[JIBBBY]

Cowboy wins inside the distance +105 - seems like another solid prop play.. I highly doubt this 5 round fight goes the distance (1 unit)

[NunyaBidness]

Cowboy wins inside the distance +105 - seems like another solid prop play.. I highly doubt this 5 round fight goes the distance (1 unit)

1009 Cerrone wins inside distance

<input id="editx" name="M1_3" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +104

You moved the line, son!

[JIBBBY]

1009 Cerrone wins inside distance

<input id="editx" name="M1_3" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +104

You moved the line, son!

I wish.. My one unit isn't moving crap.... +104 it is.....

[MD]

1009 Cerrone wins inside distance

<input id="editx" name="M1_3" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +104

You moved the line, son!

World's Jibbbiest Line Movement 2014.

[Thor4140]

Barbosa right now may have the weakest chin in MMA. How anyone could bet that chin is mind boggling

[marzwoody]

Barbosa right now may have the weakest chin in MMA. How anyone could bet that chin is mind boggling

Yeah becuz he got clipped by cerrone and jamie varner two of the softest hitters in the division, amiright bro?

[JIBBBY]

While you fools are getting your giggles and kicks on purely at my expense which I don't mind, I'm continuing to work these prop plays..

I hope ya all appreciate the goods I'm laying down as I don't typically share like this. Oh and last I checked it's not Christmas yet either... These newly found Prop bets must have left me feeling generous on this day.. More to come..

[JIBBBY]

Barbosa right now may have the weakest chin in MMA. How anyone could bet that chin is mind boggling

Thor while Barbosa's chin is a question mark going in, Dunham isn't exactly a power punching knock out artist himself last time I checked..

[NunyaBidness]

Barbosa right now may have the weakest chin in MMA. How anyone could bet that chin is mind boggling

Except for his twin brother who is also fighting on this card.

[MD]

Except for his twin brother who is also fighting on this card.

Defence != chin.

[JIBBBY]

One last link write up and predictions for this card.. I'm done.. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2...nd-predictions

Good luck to all.. The weigh ins stream - http://www.mmafighting.com/2014/7/15...weigh-in-video

[MarkWoodstick]

One last link write up and predictions for this card.. I'm done.. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2...nd-predictions

I'm really not trying to pick on you, but this is the writer of that article:
.
His name is Nathan McCarter, and he thinks that fighters who tap to strikes are pussies

http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/tapping-strikes-makes-you-2601235/index4.html

I never realized how many couch warriors and skinny little penetrates who probably don't know how to throw a ball or a punch actually claim to be MMA experts. And this dude is the top columnist for Bleacher Report!

[gabe]

Healy +145 is $

[JIBBBY]

I'm really not trying to pick on you, but this is the writer of that article:
.
His name is Nathan McCarter, and he thinks that fighters who tap to strikes are pussies

http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/tapping-strikes-makes-you-2601235/index4.html

I never realized how many couch warriors and skinny little penetrates who probably don't know how to throw a ball or a punch actually claim to be MMA experts. And this dude is the top columnist for Bleacher Report!

I just provide the links as an information source to help other on lookers... Take what you want from each one as I do with a grain of salt.... I'm sure there is alot to rip on and disagree with each link and or writer that pops up. Facts can be found and helpful with each link I post though.. Bits and pieces so to speak..

I have found bleacher report to be helpful in my capping quests in the past.. I stick with what works.. I post it and that's it..

What is an MMA writer suppose to look like by the way? ... I'm a 6'5 guy that probably looks more like a big tall surfer bum myself.... LOL...

[mirinquads]

I just provide the links as an information source to help other on lookers... Take what you want from each one as I do with a grain of salt.... I'm sure there is alot to rip on and disagree with with each link and or writer link that pops up. Facts can be found and helpful with each link I post.. Bits and pieces so to speak..

I have found bleecher report to be helpful in my capping quests in the past.. I stick with what works.. I post it and that's it..

What is an MMA writer suppose to look like by the way? ...

*Que marzywood picture*

[Keyboard Warrior]

*Que marzywood picture*

marzwood has only climbed as far as youtube commenter on the internet ladder. This is a real mma journalist

[Bumdeal]

Healy +145 is $

Good chance Tibau wins first round and gets stifled rest of the fight. Might be a good idea to bet Healy live after first as well

[JIBBBY]

Good chance Tibau wins first round and gets stifled rest of the fight. Might be a good idea to bet Healy live after first as well

I was thinking about this fight earlier for prop plays and thought - if Tibau is to win this fight it's probably gonna be in the first round when he is fresh and physically powerful.. Just blast Pat Healy and put him away..

If you think Tibau will win then just play the prop... (Tibau wins in 1st round + 675)... Good value prop bet to back up your straight bet on Pat Healy also if you want to play it safe.....

Tibau is not gonna win a decision victory against Pat Healy I believe..

If the fight goes past the 1st round which I think it will, it should be all Pat Healy with his cardio advantage, pressure and grinding fight style.....

[PunisherIND]

that last post hurts my head

what is the jibbeh protocol again?? skip his posts? or pretend he is the retarch?

[Bumdeal]

ahah you guys are so mean

[PunisherIND]

for you guys looking for parlay legs

Any other result* -475 vs Cerrone wins in round 1
Any other result* -2330 vs Barboza wins by submission
Any other result* -975 vs Tibau wins by TKO/KO

[JIBBBY]

ahah you guys are so mean

Yes they are.. Makes it amusing though... Love the guys that think they know it all...

[MD]

that last post hurts my head

what is the jibbeh protocol again?? skip his posts? or pretend he is the retarch?

Just play Not Tibau by Decision -8000 and move along.

[Keyboard Warrior]

where did you get -8000? i want a piece

[Jim_Gunn]

UFN 45 Risk $1124.00

Cerrone wins in round 1 (+475) $5.00 for $23.75
Evan Dunham (+205) vs Edson Barboza $50.00 for $102.50
Dunham wins by TKO/KO (+1230) $5.00 for $61.50
Joe Proctor (+140) vs Justin Salas $50.00 for $70.00
Lineker wins by TKO/KO (+180) $25.00 for $45.00
Alptekin Ozkilic/John Lineker Under 2½ (+145) $50.00 for $72.50
Alptekin Ozkilic (+243) vs John Lineker $25.00 for $60.75
Alex White (-160) vs Lucas Martins $80.00 for $50.00

Healy wins in round 3 (+2400) $5.00 for $120.00
Pat Healy/Gleison Tibau Over 2½ (-230) $230.00 for $100.00
Leslie Smith/Jessamyn Duke Over 2½ (-260) $260.00 for $100.00
Jerrod Sanders (-135) vs Yosdenis Cedeno $67.50 for $50.00

Miller/Cerrone FOTN (+325) $10.00 for $32.50

Parlays:
Donald Cerrone (-250) + Rick Story (-280) $111.50 for $100.35
John Lineker (-275) + Claudia Gadelha (-450) $150.00 for $100.00

[MarkWoodstick]

^Can you vouch for Jerrod Sanders? Seems like a collegiate wrestler against a striker with poor grappling and cardio is an easy bet but I just haven't seen enough of Sanders.

[Keyboard Warrior]

im blindly fading every fav over -200. its going to be a blood bath for bettors tomorrow night

[JIBBBY]

^^^I like the Cowboy prop (to win in round 1 at +325)... I liked it even better when Jim Gunn got it at +425 to start off....

Cowboy has alot of 1st round finishes on his resume, last 2 fights were also 1st round finishes... Might be worth a shot..

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Donald-Cerrone-15105

[Keyboard Warrior]

^^^I like the Cowboy prop (to win in round 1 at +325)... I liked it even better when Jim Gunn got it at +425 to start off.... Cowboy has alot of 1st round finishes on his resume, last 2 fights were also 1st round finishes... Might be worth a shot.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Donald-Cerrone-15105

absolutely no way the market knew this and already baked it into the line.......

[NunyaBidness]

absolutely no way the market knew this and already baked it into the line.......

MMA Market efficiency is like the easter bunny.

[JIBBBY]

^Can you vouch for Jerrod Sanders? Seems like a collegiate wrestler against a striker with poor grappling and cardio is an easy bet but I just haven't seen enough of Sanders.

Daniel Cormier sure can.. I've never seen a fighter more hyped up at the weigh ins tonight as I did when DC was commentating.... Lol..