Bellator 120: Alvarez vs. Chandler 3 (May 17, 2014)

[killawookie]

So, the theme tonight is apparently a bunch of dudes randomly guessing who they're going to bet on before the fight starts?

Why not?

[MD]

...

[NunyaBidness]

Wow, that was by far the least likely outcome.

[killawookie]

I win.. not the way I thought but thats why i took that prop.. Mismatchs and less decision happen with the tall bastards

[Pabst]

F-ck yes!!!!!!!! Volkov!!!

[JIBBBY]

F-ck yes!!!!!!!! Volkov!!!

Yep, great win and even better pick We got that one Pabst...

[jacktheknife]

Boy, that's too bad. Probably would have taken Ivanov at opening odds.

[fitguy67]

So, the theme tonight is apparently a bunch of dudes randomly guessing who they're going to bet on before the fight starts?

perfect example of an absolutely unpredictable result...precisely why this game is all about using an understanding of basic--and not quite so basic--probability/statistics to "size" and "position" your bets intelligently for a predictable distribution of plausible results...

what result actually happens though--like Volkov by SUB--is the "spin of the roulette wheel"...this is, after all, the science-informed art of gambling, not the science of sports-prediction...

when something happens like that (with a z-score of at least /4/)...you realize why intelligent bet-sizing is your only insurance policy

[JIBBBY]

Joe Warren liquored up???? LOL...

[killawookie]

5/17/2014 10:30 PM Reduced Fighting 3201 Tito Ortiz/Alexander Shlemenko* Over 1½ -105
Risking $21.43 To Win $20.41

This should be easy.. playing with my profit

I expect a technical fight. Notice how i'm not picking sides.. too unpredictable. I want a good fight for some action

[Skel]

Shlemenko a vegan? Didn't see that coming.

[UFC_FAN]

joe warren liquored up???? Lol...

-100000000 lol

[snapperman2]

Tito Ortiz beat Ryan Bader just 3 years ago. He could do the same to Shlemenko tonight.

[LtDarsh]

lets go tito

[Bumdeal]

i am big on Shlemenko

[NunyaBidness]

Tito Ortiz beat Ryan Bader just 3 years ago. He could do the same to Shlemenko tonight.

Shlemenko doesn't walk straight into punches the way Bader does though. Outside of the Bader win, Ortiz hasn't won a fight since 2006.

[JIBBBY]

So, the theme tonight is apparently a bunch of dudes randomly guessing who they're going to bet on before the fight starts?

MMA is damn hard to bet, someone gets punched hard in the face early on anything is possible...I'm all in favor of betting on the dogs..

With that being said let's go WIL "I AM" BROOKS!!!!!!! Massive odds kick in and those wins can be a game changers....

[MD]

Tito Ortiz beat Ryan Bader just 3 years ago. He could do the same to Shlemenko tonight.

[fitguy67]

Tito fighting an elite welterweight is the best 'north of 300' dog you're ever gonna see...

put simply: skill rules...but size matters

i'll take either side of that equation with at 230% premium on the payout

[Dwil125]

Ortiz and the over..

[Bumdeal]

douche chills

[JIBBBY]

Tito Ortiz is gonna catch a beating..

[fitguy67]

you may very well be right...but at +335, Tito is the correct bet

[JIBBBY]

skill rules...but size matters

Cardio and heart matters more.. Strong chin helps too..

[nickcruz60]

Keep us posted

[Bumdeal]

thats sad

[Pabst]

F*ck. Ho well, size matters after all.

[Skel]

Jesus. Hard to watch. How on earth were people on here dismissing a wrestler with such a size advantage?

[Dwil125]

Told you md he had a couple ways to win.

[JIBBBY]

Wow I'm done posting.. I can't believe Tito won that fight..

Standing Tito was done and about to go to sleep.. UNBELIEVABLE!!!!!

[Thor4140]

look how stupid guys who thought Tito would get rolled look now. The guy was twice the size of his opponent. If u can't figure out that is a big deal maybe quit betting MMA.

[brooks85]

penetrating schlmenko, thought tito would get the decision for sure.

[Thor4140]

Jesus. Hard to watch. How on earth were people on here dismissing a wrestler with such a size advantage?

not me. A few of our experts did tho lol.

[Skel]

Shlemenko has the same problem as BJ Penn. He needs to drop to WW and start fighting guys his own size.

[fitguy67]

forty pounds is forty pounds...+335 long-term candy from a baby, whatever happened tonight...gotta take that gift every time...

fight between a welter and a light-heavy shouldn't have happened, but if they're hangin' a line on it like that...it's like a roulette wheel loaded with 25 black/11 red...