UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Henderson 2 (March 23, 2014)

[Wilbo86]

I think the Doberman should be close to even money, expecting a close fight...

Odds aren't out where i am, hopeing for decent + money on him

[PunisherIND]

[begood2]

I'm thinking about a triple on Markes, Brandao and Rua.

I have some reservations about Chope's 12 inch reach advantage and if he learned his lesson from his last fight and will now abide by a strict jab and move gameplan. However I don't think Chope is at the same level skill/talent wise. I'll have to see the weight ins also to determine if Brandao is in the right head space and if he makes weight this time around. But the whole fight seems to be a 'get the Brazilian' a win for the home fans.

I wonder is it the same for Rua v Hendo. Hendo's 3 fight losing streak is too much to ignore. As is his age. I know he's been counted out on that before but I think the time has come. Or at least that my best estimation. He's saying he wants to see out his 6 fight contract but he must be thinking about retiring since he won't be able to use TRT anymore after this fight. But does he use TRT 365 days of the year or weekly or does he go on 12 week cycles. I don't know. Another thing you always here about is the H-Bomb. We haven't seen that in years

The Markes fight is the one I'm most confident about

[Vaughany]

I'm thinking about a triple on Markes, Brandao and Rua.

I have some reservations about Chope's 12 inch reach advantage and if he learned his lesson from his last fight and will now abide by a strict jab and move gameplan. However I don't think Chope is at the same level skill/talent wise. I'll have to see the weight ins also to determine if Brandao is in the right head space and if he makes weight this time around. But the whole fight seems to be a 'get the Brazilian' a win for the home fans.

I wonder is it the same for Rua v Hendo. Hendo's 3 fight losing streak is too much to ignore. As is his age. I know he's been counted out on that before but I think the time has come. Or at least that my best estimation. He's saying he wants to see out his 6 fight contract but he must be thinking about retiring since he won't be able to use TRT anymore after this fight. But does he use TRT 365 days of the year or weekly or does he go on 12 week cycles. I don't know. Another thing you always here about is the H-Bomb. We haven't seen that in years

The Markes fight is the one I'm most confident about

I was hoping to get Markes at -800 so waiting..needs to be chalkier

[Vaughany]

lol never gets old

[Vaughany]

[marzwoody]

The doberman gon f-ck some nuggaz up

[Beelzebubzy]

Jorgenson Dec +100

[MD]

Jorgenson Dec +100

Terrible bet, IMO. Jorgensen straight is -190, there virtually can't be less than a 15% chance of Jorgensen getting a finish with Formiga's propensity for quitting, I think.

[Beelzebubzy]

Public agrees with you

Dec prop at +140

[judochop87]

my plays so far (pending weigh ins)

Shogun ITD
Parke
Villante
Markes
Tausimov
Lahat
Perpetuo
Ferreira/CB o2.5
Jorgenson/Jussier ov2.5
Brando/Chope o1.5

What y'all think

[Ron_Paul_2012]

my plays so far (pending weigh ins)

Shogun ITD
Parke
Villante
Markes
Tausimov
Lahat
Perpetuo
Ferreira/CB o2.5
Jorgenson/Jussier ov2.5
Brando/Chope o1.5

What y'all think

I think you're going to make some money this Sunday!

[marzwoody]

Markes + Brandao + Shogun
Shogun + Parke + Jason
Shogun + Parke
Dolloway + Parke + Maldonado

Thinking of making another play for brandao + shogun will see after the weigh ins
YOLO

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Markes + Brandao + Shogun
Shogun + Parke + Jason
Shogun + Parke
Dolloway + Parke + Maldonado

Thinking of making another play for brandao + shogun will see after the weigh ins
YOLO

Just curious. Why did you wait so long to bet Brandao? You could have got him @ -320 via Bookmaker. He's a bit too expensive now.

[marzwoody]

Just curious. Why did you wait so long to bet Brandao? You could have got him @ -320 via Bookmaker. He's a bit too expensive now.

Got that with the first parlay, haven't just made these bets recently, Guess just worrying about markes and cover it with more confidence in shogun and brandao?.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Got that with the first parlay, haven't just made these bets recently, Guess just worrying about markes and cover it with more confidence in shogun and brandao?.

Anything can happen but I really don't see Markes losing. It would be upset of the year if he did. Markes is a skilled light heavyweight fighting @ 185 & his opponent is a mediocre welterweight taking a fight @ 185. Markes will take him down & get a submission.

[judochop87]

I know the price is a little inflated but might put some on Branado straight or by Sub instead of the over 1.5, I am worried he snags a quick submission.

[marzwoody]

Anything can happen but I really don't see Markes losing. It would be upset of the year if he did. Markes is a skilled light heavyweight fighting @ 185 & his opponent is a mediocre welterweight taking a fight @ 185. Markes will take him down & get a submission.

K thanks for the encouragement i got a lot riding on parke aswell but he should win as long as he keeps it standing and doesn't get trapped in anything.

[marzwoody]

I know the price is a little inflated but might put some on Branado straight or by Sub instead of the over 1.5, I am worried he snags a quick submission.

Its very possible. Chope has a weak ground game.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

K thanks for the encouragement i got a lot riding on parke aswell but he should win as long as he keeps it standing and doesn't get trapped in anything.

Parke will win via Decision.

[marzwoody]

Parke will win via Decision.

What do you think of shogun bro? just curious, i think its more risky than other plays but if he loses to hendo he might as well retire.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

What do you think of shogun bro? just curious, i think its more risky than other plays but if he loses to hendo he might as well retire.

One never knows what Shogun will show up. I won't be laying down a single penny till' after the weigh in's. Even if Shogun appears to be in shape I still will only be placing a small bet on him. Lot's of things to consider. How is Hendo going to come back after his head rattling KO from Vitor. Hendo is also 43 & looked terribly slow & stiff vs Machida. Rua is now with a serious camp with Maia. He had many people that pushed him in preparation for Hendo. I'll probably end up playing 5 units on Rua but no more than that.

[judochop87]

I agree with this one, will be playing Parke by Dec.

[NunyaBidness]

Markes 190

[Beelzebubzy]

Santos in Round 3 +3000

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Santos in Round 3 +3000

[Skel]

Santos in Round 3 +3000

Where is that? The highest I've seen it is +1700

[Dwil125]

Missed brandao by sub at +420. Just took it at +220

[Beelzebubzy]

Where is that? The highest I've seen it is +1700

I move lines.

[Skel]

Missed brandao by sub at +420. Just took it at +220

Yeah, it was at 450 yesterday. I went to play it then passed after seeing the drop.

[Dwil125]

Anyone like Villante by decision over Fabio?

[Skel]

I move lines.

It opened at +1400 and bestfightodds.com doesn't have it moving above +1700 (what it is now).

[Dwil125]

Yeah, it was at 450 yesterday. I went to play it then passed after seeing the drop.

Yesterday? I was checking Bfo on and off and didn't see the extra props come out.

[Skel]

Here are my bets so far:

2.4 units on Parke by decision at -120 to win 2 units
.5 units on Parke points handicap -3.5 at +200 to win 1 unit
1 unit on Henderson by decision at +605 to win 6.05 units
.5 units on Maldonado wins in R3 at +2100 to win 10.5 units
.5 units on Jason wins by submission at +550 to win 2.75 units
3 units on Rua + Maldonado/Villante starts R2 to win 2.16 units
3 units on Maldonado/Villante starts R2 + Brandao ITD to win 2.93 units
4 units on Maldonado/Villante GTD + Not Santos by KO/TKO to win 2.76 units

[Beelzebubzy]

It opened at +1400 and bestfightodds.com doesn't have it moving above +1700 (what it is now).

Que?

+2500