2 for 2, then the rest.

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:14 AM

I like TJ Grant too, but so far my only play is gonna be Payan

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:15 AM

His boxing and kickboxing is far superior than Stephens' - Stephens' name is the only reason he is the favorite. Payan will use Stephens to make his name in the UFC. Expect it, boys and gentlemen.

MD · 05-25-13, 12:21 AM

If +180 is going to cash, why play -140?

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:23 AM

Originally posted by MD

If +180 is going to cash, why play -140?

'cos the +180 is maxed, lil homie.

MD · 05-25-13, 12:35 AM

Dem locals

Get on 5D bro, line moves 20 cents or so and you can bet it again.

Thanks for posting your plays Gabe. Hope you do well this card. I'm big on Thompson.

TheCalculator · 05-25-13, 01:02 AM

I like this play too. Estevan's striking defence is very good -- his TDD is amazing. I think he keeps Stephen at bay and picks apart Stephens for the DEC win.

hobbesITD · 05-25-13, 01:15 AM

You aren't a Naudi fan, huh?

sideloaded · 05-25-13, 01:15 AM

respek

gabe · 05-25-13, 02:24 AM

Also, to more so justify adding the Not Stephens Inside Distance -140 play, I think Stephens' best chance at winning is a robbery decision.

gabe · 05-25-13, 02:30 AM

Originally posted by MD

Dem locals

Get on 5D bro, line moves 20 cents or so and you can bet it again.

Thanks for posting your plays Gabe. Hope you do well this card. I'm big on Thompson.

Thomson ruined me vs Brown. I was all in on a Njokuani + Thompson + Browne parlay and Thompson busted it.

Aside from that, I've been right picking Burrell's past few fights. Not picking him to WIN here, though. Just lean him 'cos I capped him as slight fav.

Still, Payan only bet for me. Makin $ and not gambling.

gabe · 05-25-13, 02:31 AM

Estevan Payan via KO (punch) 1:07 Round 1

gabe · 05-25-13, 02:39 AM

These are how I capped these guys over a month ago:

Estevan Payan -225
George Roop -110
Nah-Shon Burrell -135
Abel Trujillo +145
Colton Smith -200
Dennis Bermudez -200
Rick Story -150
KJ Noons +125
TJ Grant +125
Mark Hunt +285

Not making value plays, though. fuccc a gamble yo, high percentage hitters only

MD · 05-25-13, 02:57 AM

Originally posted by gabe

These are how I capped these guys over a month ago:

Estevan Payan -225
George Roop -110
Nah-Shon Burrell -135
Abel Trujillo +145
Colton Smith -200
Dennis Bermudez -200
Rick Story -150
KJ Noons +125
TJ Grant +125
Mark Hunt +285

Not making value plays, though. fuccc a gamble yo, high percentage hitters only

All plays are value plays bruhv.

Vaughany · 05-25-13, 02:59 AM

Has Payan got some Armenian blood in him?!

gabe · 05-25-13, 03:00 AM

Originally posted by MD

All plays are value plays bruhv.

i mean i wont play roop just 'cos i think he's a coin flip but at great odds. don't want a coinflip, wanna be confident in a win.

gabe · 05-25-13, 03:00 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Has Payan got some Armenian blood in him?!

haha no but payan does sound like an armenian name

pa(ris)yan

MD · 05-25-13, 03:08 AM

Originally posted by gabe

i mean i wont play roop just 'cos i think he's a coin flip but at great odds. don't want a coinflip, wanna be confident in a win.

You can make a lot more money on a coin flip at great odds, though. Think of it this way: if you take four +200 coin flips, there's a 6% chance that you lose all four, and you only need to win one to break even.

gabe · 05-25-13, 03:22 AM

Originally posted by MD

You can make a lot more money on a coin flip at great odds, though. Think of it this way: if you take four +200 coin flips, there's a 6% chance that you lose all four, and you only need to win one to break even.

yeah and normally i would, but i'm being super conservative right now. folding everything except pocket aces and kings.

gabe · 05-25-13, 03:24 AM

Originally posted by MD

You can make a lot more money on a coin flip at great odds, though. Think of it this way: if you take four +200 coin flips, there's a 6% chance that you lose all four, and you only need to win one to break even.

and...

$100 to win $200 lose
$100 to win $200 lose
$100 to win $200 lose
$100 to win $200 win

-$100, not even

MD · 05-25-13, 03:37 AM

Originally posted by gabe

and...

$100 to win $200 lose
$100 to win $200 lose
$100 to win $200 lose
$100 to win $200 win

-$100, not even

LOL. Awful, awful stuff on my part. In my defence it's early in the morning and I haven't slept in ages. My bad.

Also, no, I was right, one of those was a flier.

MD · 05-25-13, 03:39 AM

Originally posted by gabe

yeah and normally i would, but i'm being super conservative right now. folding everything except pocket aces and kings.

What's put you in that sort of mindset? Value is value and it makes you money in the long (and short) term.

Hope you go back to your value-betting ways soon brother. Hopefully your Payan play puts you in the green enough to start playing value more.

Beelzebubzy · 05-25-13, 08:03 AM

Gabe out Mathed Someone

nunya shed a tear

Gabe why aren't you playing roop or grant if you can get them at a better price

Rubber Guard · 05-25-13, 08:21 AM

Good luck gabe, don't know much of anything about Payan, but maybe i'll tail for some early utube/fbook live action.

pouyasophy · 05-25-13, 08:50 AM

can you just post ALL your plays straight up instead of your leans? that way i'll have some fade material. No offense.

Rubber Guard · 05-25-13, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by pouyasophy

can you just post ALL your plays straight up instead of your leans? that way i'll have some fade material. No offense.

Your goofy over-confident Rockhold play was a nice fade.

getlucky2win · 05-25-13, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by Rubber Guard

Your goofy over-confident Rockhold play was a nice fade.

this guy is the best fade material. his picks suck. no offense but I hope he keeps postin losers

NunyaBidness · 05-25-13, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Gabe out Mathed Someone

nunya shed a tear

Smiling from ear to ear.

He showed his work too!

sideloaded · 05-25-13, 12:04 PM

omg wtf is this thread Twilight zone? ROFLMAO

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:31 PM

Originally posted by MD

What's put you in that sort of mindset? Value is value and it makes you money in the long (and short) term.

Hope you go back to your value-betting ways soon brother. Hopefully your Payan play puts you in the green enough to start playing value more.

I'm low on $, can't afford to make bets I'm not confident will cash.

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:31 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Gabe out Mathed Someone

nunya shed a tear

Gabe why aren't you playing roop or grant if you can get them at a better price

No $

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by pouyasophy

can you just post ALL your plays straight up instead of your leans? that way i'll have some fade material. No offense.

If you wanna fade me, all you need to do is go ALL IN on Jeremy Stephens

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by Rubber Guard

Your goofy over-confident Rockhold play was a nice fade.

To be fair, I was on Rockhold, too. =/ ha

gabe · 05-25-13, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Smiling from ear to ear.

He showed his work too!

lmao

pouyasophy · 05-25-13, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by getlucky2win

this guy is the best fade material. his picks suck. no offense but I hope he keeps postin losers

my dikk wants to laugh...after my vegas winners and monster winners you gotta be kidding