Ufc 160

[Tommy Blingshyne]

that 10% makes this bet worthwhile for me. I have cerrone winning 80% of the time, and noons winning itd 10% of the time. so that's 90% of possible outcomes at -530, or 84.1%. I understand a lot disagree with my numbers, but if we're going along with my numbers, I think the bet makes sense. you are right, however, that my bet includes noons by sub, but overall its still has value imo. im not sure I can explain it better. I think the lines for cerrone itd and by decision are about right. I don't see any value there at the moment.

no doubt...all good...just trying to work thru the thought process...

[whipton]

donald has to stay at kicking range and use his reach advantage to out-point KJ for the decsion.


KJ has to get inside donalds kicking range and fire off punching combos to the body and head. KJ is more likely to KO cerrone than vice versa. KJ best shot at a winning this though is to out-point donald for decision.