Grabaka's winnerz and 95% locks

[snufflyjoe]

A lot of welterweights lose there next fight after fighting gsp. The momentum is with Hendricks IMO . Best of luck though

[Vaughany]

A lot of welterweights lose there next fight after fighting gsp. The momentum is with Hendricks IMO . Best of luck though

I thik Hardy, Shields and Thiago Alves are the only ones I can recall. One could argue that Hardy was fighting yet another opponent out of his depth in Condit, Thiago Alves got grinded on by Fitch which was always likely, and Shields shouldn't of took his fight with Ellenberger after his dad died like 10 days before

[Vaughany]

I'm not sure how Mulhern wins without finishing story. He doesn't seem to have a very aggressive wrestling game and seems content to work off his back. He doesn't use his length when striking, so story should be able to push him around the ring. I think story is pretty terrible, but he deserves to be a solid favorite here.

yeah, Story is one of these guys that you can be pretty confident will always beat the lower-mid competition. But at -400 mehhh

[snufflyjoe]

I thik Hardy, Shields and Thiago Alves are the only ones I can recall. One could argue that Hardy was fighting yet another opponent out of his depth in Condit, Thiago Alves got grinded on by Fitch which was always likely, and Shields shouldn't of took his fight with Ellenberger after his dad died like 10 days before

Ok well yeah I shouldn't of been so specific to welterweight but fighters coming off a title loss IMO dont fight up to standard

[pouyasophy]

A lot of welterweights lose there next fight after fighting gsp. The momentum is with Hendricks IMO . Best of luck though

Not just welterweights...if I went down the list of cans that lost after getting a title shot vs any former champ it would take forever...

[Beelzebubzy]

A lot of welterweights lose there next fight after fighting gsp. The momentum is with Hendricks IMO . Best of luck though

Kos fitch and bj won.
Hardy got his clock cleane
Alves had a year lay of

[fitguy67]

Longshot maybe "worth a flier" department

i just took Diaz by Dec at +1550...a "stranger things have happened" lottery ticket with, in actuality (despite how almost impossible it is to "visualize") at least the 6.06% chance that's implied

something of similar odds/actual chance of hitting...a 10-or-so-team parlay is so much easier to picture happening...because it happens one likely event at a time...

so most people are comfortable at throwing away money as fliers on long-shot parlayed combinations of likely events ...but they suddenly get "conservative" and reluctant to put a similar amount on an equally-improbable single event

32.26 to win 500

[fitguy67]

Abridged version for MD:

*Diaz by Dec at +1550, 32.26 to win 500
*applied with the same attitude/expectation as a parlay made up of many much-more-likely events

[Grabaka]

I have Diaz by sub 20 to win 437. I would love to see one of us win Mr Fitguy. Im tired of GSP. Best of luck

[Educ8d Degener8]

Not just welterweights...if I went down the list of cans that lost after getting a title shot vs any former champ it would take forever...

Lots of anecdotal evidence with these posts regarding guys coming off shitle tot losses.... Anyone got anything more empirical? Srsly interested. I like teh stats.

[Grabaka]

Lots of anecdotal evidence with these posts regarding guys coming off shitle tot losses.... Anyone got anything more empirical? Srsly interested. I like teh stats.

Guys do break after their dream is crushed but i dont think Condit has, at all.

"If you have a dream....go have" - Lyoto Machida

[Vaughany]

Lots of anecdotal evidence with these posts regarding guys coming off shitle tot losses.... Anyone got anything more empirical? Srsly interested. I like teh stats.

Im sure there are a few, but thing is Im also sure some were questionable legit contenders in the first place....guys like Cote, Thales Leites, Hardy, Hominick are all barely mid-level fighters anyway.... Not surprising that they then went on to lose fights after their title fights.

[Vaughany]

Guys do break after their dream is crushed but i dont think Condit has, at all.

"If you have a dream....go have" - Lyoto Machida

lmao tht was quality. "It a possible"!!!

[Grabaka]

lmao tht was quality. "It a possible"!!!

lol i love it.

[Sacrelicious]

We make it happen tomorrow, amigo. Best of luck, my friend, lets cash it.

[Grabaka]

We make it happen tomorrow, amigo. Best of luck, my friend, lets cash it.

Yeah chef! Let go have!!! It a possible!

Good luck too my man

[Vaughany]

haha

[Grabaka]

UFC 158 ----- Risk: $2601.50


$500.00 on Carlos Condit @ +115
$350.00 on Reuben Duran @ -140
$200.00 on Chris Camozzi @ +110
$100.00 on Nate Marquardt @ +145
$100.00 on Quinn Mulhern @ +300
$100.00 on John Makdessi @ +150

$200.00 on Diaz +9.5 @ +170
$250.00 on Mein Dec @ -125
$200.00 on Marquardt Dec @ +305
$165.00 on Marquardt vs Ellenberger Dec @ -165
$100.00 on Camozzi Dec @ +220
$100.00 on Ricci Dec @ +142
$100.00 on Ricci -3.5 @ -125
$100.00 on Voelker Dec @ +475
$020.00 on Diaz Sub @ +2186

$50.00 to win $539.56 Bully Ray + Daniel Cormier + Luke Rockhold + Chris Weidman + Diaz/St-Pierre starts round 3
$26.50 to win $2,603.83 Golden State Warriors -2½ + Chris Camozzi + Daniel Cormier + Luke Rockhold + Chris Weidman + Marquardt Dec
$25.00 to win $86.28 Golden State Warriors -2½ + Condit/Hendricks Dec + Marquardt/Ellenberger Dec
$15.00 to win $9,715.00 Golden State Warriors -2½ + Nick Diaz + Chris Camozzi + Daniel Cormier + Nate Diaz + Luke Rockhold + Chris Weidman + Condit/Hendricks Dec + Marquardt/Ellenberger Dec + Jones ITD

[GigaOuts]

Wow, my bet is almost opposite of your this time

1.3g+ on Chris Camozzi @+105 (might add another $500 if Camozzi line move to +125 & up)
1.1g+ on Johny Hendrick @-120 (like to hedge down to $500, worry Hendrick cardio in 3rd round)
$300 on Daron Cruickshank @-120 (I was mad that I miss -140 on Cruickshank, now at better price)
$250 on Darren Elkins @-200 (hedge down to $100 at fight time if Carvalho line improve)
$200 on Bobby Voelker @+155 (confident, might add another $300 if line improve by 20pts)
Jake Ellenberger (waiting for better price. worry he might get rock and get blast in the muay thai clinch again)
$64.50 on Jordan Mein @-129 by dec
George Roop (waiting for reduce juice, maybe $20-$50)

$100 on Bobby Voelker by ko @+595 (almost good as Axe Murder @+800 for itd)

Hope prop bet lines go crazy and find ridiculous value at fight day. GL all.

[Grabaka]

You are going down Giga! This is mano a mano! GL

[Vaughany]

ha Where you at Giga, where you at muthafuucker!

Dont worry Giga...Grabaka is an "uneducated foooool"!

[Grabaka]

ha Where you at Giga, where you at muthafuucker!

Dont worry Giga...Grabaka is an "uneducated foooool"!

He didnt have anything to do in my side of the hotel! I just standed my ground and that is that...What?!!

[Vaughany]

lol

[GigaOuts]

You think I am afraid of you huh? Let do this Saturday, we both going to make lots of money!

Camozzi wins a 3 rds decision,
Hendricks lost by a controversial decision,
Voelker win ko of the night, and
Duran win submision of the night!

[Vaughany]

You think I am afraid of you huh? Let do this Saturday, we both going to make lots of money!

Camozzi wins a 3 rds decision,
Hendricks lost by a controversial decision,
Voelker win ko of the night, and
Duran win submision of the night!

lol need somebody to do a soundbyte of GSP saying that in the press conference, or a shortened youtube version!

[Vaughany]

Cote has a very solid chin, be very surprised if he gets knocked clean out. But then I didnt think Neer or Lil Heathen would get knocked out neither!

[TheCalculator]

Cote has a very solid chin, be very surprised if he gets knocked clean out. But then I didnt think Neer or Lil Heathen would get knocked out neither!

Yup -- Got some kobe beef on: Voelker decision.

[MD]

Guys do break after their dream is crushed but i dont think Condit has, at all.

"If you have a dream....go have" - Lyoto Machida

The worst misquoting in SBR history. Let me show you how it's done, bro.

"If you have a dream, go ahead! It's impossible!" - Lyoto Machida

[Vaughany]

lmao tht was quality. "It a possible"!!!

lmao check out Ed Soares' face when Machida starts, looks like his lip starts trembling! He's like "oh shiiit what's he gonna say, he cant speak English"!

[Grabaka]

The worst misquoting in SBR history. Let me show you how it's done, bro.

"If you have a dream, go ahead! It's impossible!" - Lyoto Machida

Thats boring! Ill stick with mine....its a thousand times better than yours.

[gabe]

Which idiot took me seriously a couple months ago when I said Diaz would win by Omoplata?

When you guys were talking about me while I was gone, he used that as a reason for why I didn't know much LOL I think it was MD or Sacre, probably Sacre

[Grabaka]

Which idiot took me seriously a couple months ago when I said Diaz would win by Omoplata?

When you guys were talking about me while I was gone, he used that as a reason for why I didn't know much LOL I think it was MD or Sacre, probably Sacre

As far as im aware nobody. jejeje

[Grabaka]

What you trying t say? No value on my Diaz by sub @ +2186?

[gabe]

Ain't sayin that, Diaz got this.

[Grabaka]

Ain't sayin that, Diaz got this.

Nice.
I thought you were saying you were trolling going with Diaz and in fact you would pick the rooster eater.