Cousin Gabe's picks for UFC on FX 5 and other sh!t

[Crassus]

Just put $50 into 5dimes

$7.00	$355.85	Pending	7 Team Parlay
				Pending	10/5/12 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Josh Neer -280* vs Justin Edwards
				Pending	10/5/12 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 John Dodson -220* vs Jussier da Silva
				Pending	10/5/12 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1401 Jeremy Stephens -230* vs Yves Edwards
				Pending	10/5/12 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Jacob Volkmann -185* vs Shane Roller
				Pending	10/5/12 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1801 Bart Palaszewski +170* vs Diego Nunes
				Pending	10/5/12 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1951 Marcus LeVesseur -120* vs Carlo Prater
				Pending	10/5/12 4:00pm UFC Fighting 1975 Aaron Simpson +140* vs Mike Pierce

Dodsons gonna cost you that parlay

[TheCalculator]

I think Pierce is going to win.

[TheCalculator]

lol that's actually kinda dope

Can we put a "Z" on skillz?

[PunisherIND]

Dodsons gonna cost you that parlay

dodsons gonna cost ya or jiggys gonna getcha... either way it will not end well for you.

[PunisherIND]

anyone here going to bet on the presidential election?? obama was -180 several months ago before a republican candidate was selected (should have pounded it). then the line steadily worsened until he was -520 last week. it seems people think romney won yesterday's debate b/c the line is now -275.

anyone following the race? do you think there is value in obama at -275? i'm thinking about throwing something on this. i just dont think romney has what it takes.

[Vaughany]

Who is this Obama guy? Never head of him pal

[PunisherIND]

Who is this Obama guy? Never head of him pal

lol guy that blew up the world trade center. im sure you would recognize him if you saw a picture.

[NunyaBidness]

anyone here going to bet on the presidential election?? obama was -180 several months ago before a republican candidate was selected (should have pounded it). then the line steadily worsened until he was -520 last week. it seems people think romney won yesterday's debate b/c the line is now -275.

anyone following the race? do you think there is value in obama at -275? i'm thinking about throwing something on this. i just dont think romney has what it takes.

Obama at -275 is a steal. 538 has him at 86%. Most sites were -500 and worse the day before the debate (which Romney handily won). I have positions on obama at -130, -150, -165, -175, and -200. As well as lots of positions on individual states. Sites must have gotten pounded on the Romney side after the debate. Guess its time for another round of max $25 wagers.

[BIGDAY]

anyone here going to bet on the presidential election?? obama was -180 several months ago before a republican candidate was selected (should have pounded it). then the line steadily worsened until he was -520 last week. it seems people think romney won yesterday's debate b/c the line is now -275.

anyone following the race? do you think there is value in obama at -275? i'm thinking about throwing something on this. i just dont think romney has what it takes.

If your betting Obama I'd wait as these debates will not go well for Obama.

[Vaughany]

I still think Ron Paul is gonna take it!

[gabe]

Gabriel, serious thought here... Most of the poster's who do well on here, receive props without seeking it. If you post your plays and bets beforehand -ticket numbers and dollar amounts, your "Outstanding Skills" will speak for themself dude. No need to say how great you are, because if you truly are a top dog as you claim, people will recognize and speak on it. Just saying..

Not really. If you haven't recognized it by now, you're an idiot.

And I only say "how great I am" whenever I'm looked down on.

[gabe]

You may or may not be a solid handicapper. But as I've stated numerous times before, being a solid handicapper is the LEAST important factor in beating sports betting, behind line shopping, having a proper bankroll, having lots of outs, etc.

I think solid capping is the MOST important factor... What's more important, betting on Manuwa because he is virtually a lock, or betting on Kingsbury because you "think" the line is better, even though you originally were planning to bet against him.

[gabe]

anyone here going to bet on the presidential election?? obama was -180 several months ago before a republican candidate was selected (should have pounded it). then the line steadily worsened until he was -520 last week. it seems people think romney won yesterday's debate b/c the line is now -275.

anyone following the race? do you think there is value in obama at -275? i'm thinking about throwing something on this. i just dont think romney has what it takes.

i've had money on a democrat to win at -130 for nearly a year now lol

[gabe]

tennis parlays all came, through, with raonic and tsonga being cancelled =(

anyway, props to bogbat for tailing $$$$

[NunyaBidness]

I think solid capping is the MOST important factor... What's more important, betting on Manuwa because he is virtually a lock, or betting on Kingsbury because you "think" the line is better, even though you originally were planning to bet against him.

Well, if you drummed up 25 guys who make a comfortable living doing this, I doubt a single one would agree with you.

[El Nino]

anyone here going to bet on the presidential election?? obama was -180 several months ago before a republican candidate was selected (should have pounded it). then the line steadily worsened until he was -520 last week. it seems people think romney won yesterday's debate b/c the line is now -275.

anyone following the race? do you think there is value in obama at -275? i'm thinking about throwing something on this. i just dont think romney has what it takes.

Romney has a stiff jab and superior Jits. If the fight stays on the feet, I think he has the advantage. If it goes to the ground, he is dangerous off his back.

Obama is slick everywhere but I expect this fight to go to the judges, where it favors him. He makes this an ugly fight and wins with a few takedowns and stalling out the end of each round in top position.

Obama UD 50-49, 50-49, 50-49

[NunyaBidness]

If your betting Obama I'd wait as these debates will not go well for Obama.

If Obama continues what he did last night, you're right. I can't imagine they won't change up their strategy however.

Besides, people tune into the debates to root for their guy. I'm not a strong believer in independent voters. People who didn't have their mind made up 6 months ago aren't the people who are going out to vote anyway.

[Vaughany]

Romney has a stiff jab and superior Jits. If the fight stays on the feet, I think he has the advantage. If it goes to the ground, he is dangerous off his back.

Obama is slick everywhere but I expect this fight to go to the judges, where it favors him. He makes this an ugly fight and wins with a few takedowns and stalling out the end of each round in top position.

Obama UD 50-49, 50-49, 50-49

lol

[NunyaBidness]

Romney has a stiff jab and superior Jits. If the fight stays on the feet, I think he has the advantage. If it goes to the ground, he is dangerous off his back.

Obama is slick everywhere but I expect this fight to go to the judges, where it favors him. He makes this an ugly fight and wins with a few takedowns and stalling out the end of each round in top position.

Obama UD 50-49, 50-49, 50-49

I think you'd be hard pressed to find 3 judges willing to give 4 10-10 rounds, but I agree with the play by play.

[gabe]

Well, if you drummed up 25 guys who make a comfortable living doing this, I doubt a single one would agree with you.

I don't know anybody besides myself who profits from wagering. Compare us, though. This past weekend w/ Bellator + UFC, I went 12-4, 18-5 if you include over/unders. (Kingsbury's chin letting him go over 1.5 was the only loss) Made a pretty good profit. (not as good as it woulda been a couple weeks ago, when I was able to parlay MMA) Then I went 3-0 in NCAA, and 5-1 in NFL. On top of that, I killed it in tennis. What did your weekend look like?

[Vaughany]

Nunya spent the weekend mowing his half a mile long front lawn on his estate son

[gabe]

Nunya spent the weekend mowing his half a mile long front lawn on his estate son

he don't mow his own lawn, fool!

[NunyaBidness]

No doubt. Watching some white dudes blow my leaves right now.

Yep, that's right, I'm rich enough to hire WHITE DUDES to do it.

[Vaughany]

No doubt. Watching some white dudes blow my leaves right now.

Yep, that's right, I'm rich enough to hire WHITE DUDES to do it.

hahaha

[gabe]

No doubt. Watching some white dudes blow my leaves right now.

Yep, that's right, I'm rich enough to hire WHITE DUDES to do it.

You're in Maryland, you said, right?

[PunisherIND]

Obama at -275 is a steal. 538 has him at 86%. Most sites were -500 and worse the day before the debate (which Romney handily won). I have positions on obama at -130, -150, -165, -175, and -200. As well as lots of positions on individual states. Sites must have gotten pounded on the Romney side after the debate. Guess its time for another round of max $25 wagers.

damn you got some nice positions there. havent seen lines for individual states -- i take it these arent on 5D or bovada?

[NunyaBidness]

I don't know anybody besides myself who profits from wagering. Compare us, though. This past weekend w/ Bellator + UFC, I went 12-4, 18-5 if you include over/unders. (Kingsbury's chin letting him go over 1.5 was the only loss) Made a pretty good profit. (not as good as it woulda been a couple weeks ago, when I was able to parlay MMA) Then I went 3-0 in NCAA, and 5-1 in NFL. On top of that, I killed it in tennis. What did your weekend look like?

I went 45-33 on the UFC card +$2990. I went 1-2 on NFL -$6600. 11-19 MLB -$1400ish. Got a colonoscopy on Friday. So I guess you had a better weekend than me.

[PunisherIND]

If your betting Obama I'd wait as these debates will not go well for Obama.

this might be a great suggestion. i havent been following the race too closely, but i hear the next debate has to do with foreign policy and therefore its not expected to go well for obama.

[PunisherIND]

i've had money on a democrat to win at -130 for nearly a year now lol

lol damn man, i didnt realize the lines were out that long ago. when i first noticed the line it was -180 (and im kicking myself for not pounding that).

[NunyaBidness]

damn you got some nice positions there. havent seen lines for individual states -- i take it these arent on 5d or bovada?

Sportsbook.com. They're still up, but the lines have moved:

I got
Florida +110 now at -140
Virginia -145 now at -185
Pennsylvania -285 now at -800
Colorado -130 now at -225
Nevada -200 now at -400
Ohio -150 now at -350

[Vaughany]

I went 45-33 on the UFC card +$2990. I went 1-2 on NFL -$6600. 11-19 MLB -$1400ish. Got a colonoscopy on Friday. So I guess you had a better weekend than me.

lol worst Ive had was a sigmoidoscopy! Think they are less intrusive then a colonoscopy...good luck bud!

[gabe]

I went 45-33 on the UFC card +$2990. I went 1-2 on NFL -$6600. 11-19 MLB -$1400ish. Got a colonoscopy on Friday. So I guess you had a better weekend than me.

45-33... holy shit lol that's a lot of max $25 bets

[PunisherIND]

I think solid capping is the MOST important factor... What's more important, betting on Manuwa because he is virtually a lock, or betting on Kingsbury because you "think" the line is better, even though you originally were planning to bet against him.

i had money on manuwa (at -150, wouldnt have played him when it got above -200). and i was thanking my lucky stars that the fight was stopped after rd 2. manuwa was running on fumes. i think he would have been finished in rd 3, even against a cyclops.

[gabe]

lol damn man, i didnt realize the lines were out that long ago. when i first noticed the line it was -180 (and im kicking myself for not pounding that).

the lines were like -180 for obama to win and -130 for democrat to become president lol i took the -130

[PunisherIND]

Romney has a stiff jab and superior Jits. If the fight stays on the feet, I think he has the advantage. If it goes to the ground, he is dangerous off his back.

Obama is slick everywhere but I expect this fight to go to the judges, where it favors him. He makes this an ugly fight and wins with a few takedowns and stalling out the end of each round in top position.

Obama UD 50-49, 50-49, 50-49

where is hog analysis? remember obama is only 1/2 black so its not a given.