Honestly silva should be -5000

rocky16 · 10-08-12, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

When was the last time a MMA fighter -1000 or greater line lost a fight?

We should dump our bankroll on Anderson Silva to defeat Stephen Bonnar?

There's no way Bonner could defeat Silva, a fighter similar to Silva was Jones. Jones defeated Bonnar easily.

Jones was +140 in that fight. Imagine that.

JamesKim · 10-08-12, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

lol limits, do you actually think i could get my BR on one fight this far out? Unless you want to personally book this fight for me. We can set something up.

How many books are you using?

Max out on every single site and show proof. Since it is a fixed fight, you should have no problems right?

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 02:43 PM

Not really, but I can use my BR on more +ev bets then getting -1200 on -5000 fight

JamesKim · 10-08-12, 02:57 PM

Don't you only use 10-20% of your bankroll per event? Put the rest on Silva since it's a fixed fight right?

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 03:08 PM

I would suggest only putting 6% of your BR on silva

JamesKim · 10-08-12, 03:11 PM

But you said that this is a fixed fight, why don't you put everything on Silva after your normal BR % on the event?

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 03:13 PM

6% is full kelly which is almost crazy, no gambler uses full kelly

JamesKim · 10-08-12, 03:15 PM

Why is it crazy when you think its a fixed fight?

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 03:16 PM

Go read inside the think tank about full kelly and estimating your edge

JamesKim · 10-08-12, 03:18 PM

Why? You say it's a fixed fight, so you're saying you have a 100% chance of victory. If you really believe what you're saying, you would be crazy not to max out on every single site. So are you admitting that UFC isn't fixing fights?

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 03:19 PM

-5000 is not 100 percent, the fight could be fixed and Anderson blow his knee out with the first kick and lose via tko

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 03:22 PM

If you watch pro wrestling the fixed fights sometimes end with a different finish for various things, crowd interference, serious injury, botch jobs or the other guy shooting. I wouldn't suggest going 100 percent in on a fixed wwe fight.

Thor4140 · 10-08-12, 03:29 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

If you watch pro wrestling the fixed fights sometimes end with a different finish for various things, crowd interference, serious injury, botch jobs or the other guy shooting. I wouldn't suggest going 100 percent in on a fixed wwe fight.

it took you awhile but you finally came up with a reasonable rebuttal

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 03:53 PM

not really a rebuttal, I thought it was pretty clear why you wouldn't put 100 % of your BR on a line that is -1200 when you think it should be -5000. I guess I had to spell it out for him.

JamesKim · 10-08-12, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

not really a rebuttal, I thought it was pretty clear why you wouldn't put 100 % of your BR on a line that is -1200 when you think it should be -5000. I guess I had to spell it out for him.

Don't get so worked up son

I was just playing around.

ermzzy · 10-08-12, 07:20 PM

most stupid thread i seen, -5000 please shut the f up

sideloaded · 10-08-12, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by ermzzy

most stupid thread i seen, -5000 please shut the f up

go f-ck yourself f-g boy

Originally posted by ermzzy

lololol i put 50k on packers

sure you did you f-cking retard

Look at this mind blowing degen action

Originally posted by ermzzy

Philadelphia Eagles (+4) vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Green Bay Packers (-6.5) vs Indianapolis Colts

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

Cleveland Browns (+8) vs New York Giants

very confident now that browns will take it ALRDY 2 TOUCHDOWNS up.

pretty sure bengals are going to win by more then 3.

Green bay no doubt, even without jenning it going to be a huge blowout.

a little iffy about the eagles, lets just hope they cover.

I'm sure you're going to beat the nfl market with that brilliant logic.

JamesKim · 10-09-12, 02:32 AM

Bonnar might have a chance in this if he comes in with a solid game plan of wall and stall. He's going to have to come in confident and not get frozen like a deer in headlights as well. Bonnar is going to have like 20-25 lbs advantage on Silva, and he's got one of the best chins in the game. Not saying Bonnar has a very good chance, but he does have one. He needs to fight like Randy Couture if he wants a chance in this.

Thor4140 · 10-09-12, 09:36 AM

Originally posted by JamesKim

Bonnar might have a chance in this if he comes in with a solid game plan of wall and stall. He's going to have to come in confident and not get frozen like a deer in headlights as well. Bonnar is going to have like 20-25 lbs advantage on Silva, and he's got one of the best chins in the game. Not saying Bonnar has a very good chance, but he does have one. He needs to fight like Randy Couture if he wants a chance in this.

i look at that list of fighters and not one of them has anything close to the hands Silva has. Not many do but a lot of those guys roughed Bonner up. None have the accuracy Silva does or speed.

Beelzebubzy · 10-09-12, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by Thor4140

i look at that list of fighters and not one of them has anything close to the hands Silva has. Not many do but a lot of those guys roughed Bonner up. None have the accuracy Silva does or speed.

Nor head movement or footwork or chin

Tree Rollins · 10-11-12, 05:34 PM

Rearloaded.

NunyaBidness · 10-11-12, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

6% is full kelly which is almost crazy, no gambler uses full kelly

No, it's not dumb dumb. Full kelly on a -1200 line at 98% win is 74%. Be a scaredy cat and bet 1/4 kelly and 28%.

sideloaded · 10-11-12, 06:07 PM

i meant 6% edge

sideloaded · 10-11-12, 06:09 PM

I'm waiting for this line to bottom out and max betting it probably on saturday. for maybe a win of 500 bucks!

NunyaBidness · 10-11-12, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

i meant 6% edge

No, you didn't. Your edge doesn't change depending on your kelly multiplier or bet size. Edge is edge.

sideloaded · 10-11-12, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

No, you didn't. Your edge doesn't change depending on your kelly multiplier or bet size. Edge is edge.

uh what? kelly is useless without knowing your edge. Which is the hard part.

NunyaBidness · 10-11-12, 06:16 PM

Your statement is meaningless as a response. Sorry, you like to throw the word kelly around but don't understand it. It's not a big deal, you fit right in here.

Just say stuff like 'parlay fodder' and 'only losers pay juice.'

sideloaded · 10-11-12, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Your statement is meaningless as a response. Sorry, you like to throw the word kelly around but don't understand it. It's not a big deal, you fit right in here.

Just say stuff like 'parlay fodder' and 'only losers pay juice.'

you're a f-aggot. Any brain dead mother f-cker can find the kelly calc on SBR and use it. Real hard to figure that out. I gave this kid the edge on the fight. Take that 6% and use it. I'm sure you could get 74% on your BR down. You small time f-g.

I would love to book your action. Betting steam, mis-priced props and live bets. Hey if you win I void your wager and if you lose I keep your money.

sideloaded · 10-11-12, 06:24 PM

Cant wait till all you cry baby f-ags are in here after the Anderson fight. Oh yeah you wont be because you all have balls made out of jelly.

Tree Rollins · 10-11-12, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

Cant wait till all you cry baby f-ags are in here after the Anderson fight. Oh yeah you wont be because you all have balls made out of jelly.

Do you take all your loads on the side, or do you take them in the rear as well? Jesuseatsnubs pm'd me and wants me to ask you.