Red Sox fade completed (1)
Cubs fade completed (1) active (2) Mets chase +154
(1) Giants fade (Atl -111)
Comment
Snowball
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11-15-09
30054
#3
active
(3) Mets Chase +121
(2) SF Fade = Atl -118
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Snowball
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11-15-09
30054
#4
Mets chase completed (3)
SF fade completed (2)
active Red Sox fade (1)
note: Word is that the Red Sox organization is looking to make bold moves
before the trade deadline. I think it's gonna get in their heads.
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Snowball
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11-15-09
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#5
active Red Sox fade(2) Jays +168
Pirates chase (1) -106
i like the Pirates tonight at home. The Marlins team which Pitt lost the last 6 to is not this year's Marlins team and was not this year's Pirates team either.
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Snowball
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11-15-09
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#6
Red Sox fade completed (2)
Pirates chase completed (1)
active
Padres fade (-106)
Comment
AceKingHigh
SBR MVP
10-23-09
3888
#7
Snowball, I love to read your plays on the Tennis forum,
mind explaining what do you mean by chase / fade ? how you play it? your unit per play? how much you up/down from it?
that would make a lot of people following and commenting as well, cause if you ask me, I really don't get ANYTHING of what's going on in here... where are you getting those lines? when? what's the score when you got the lines? ** since it's live ** ?
Comment
Snowball
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11-15-09
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#8
Originally posted by AceKingHigh
Snowball, I love to read your plays on the Tennis forum,
mind explaining what do you mean by chase / fade ? how you play it? your unit per play? how much you up/down from it?
that would make a lot of people following and commenting as well, cause if you ask me, I really don't get ANYTHING of what's going on in here... where are you getting those lines? when? what's the score when you got the lines? ** since it's live ** ?
none of the above are live bets. They are all lines from 5dimes and usually
I post these plays in the morning. They are "live" as in "active".
As you can see, every one becomes a winner (completed).
Sometimes it takes a few games. Often it's done in 1. Previously, I had been
posting the chases and fades as single threads, but this is better.
Basically, there is picking involved, it's not blind from the beginning, and it's
not system, because I choose (cap) when to begin the chase (on team to win)
or the fade (against team). Choosing when to start the chase or fade is important.
I like to start chases on teams coming to home stands. I like to start fades on teams who are playing over their heads, but not on teams starting a home stand. But that is not written in stone.
The Padres are a team I would usually not fade, because there is no pay on the other side, but now that's changed because they have very hot pitching. I liked the idea of a Rockies chase so really it just landed there.
Every play is to win one unit to start, then if it proceeds to game 2, you add
the amount lost in previous + whatever amount is necessary to win 1 unit.
If it goes to 3, you add amount wagered in 1+2 plus amount needed to win
an additional unit, and so on. I avoid low value chases. You don't
start a chase on a team that is laying -200 for example.
A style like this is only good for the regular season and it has to stop
near the end of the season because then at a point there are no longer
enough games remaining to play chase/fade, and it gets dangerous as
teams prep themselves for the playoffs.
Comment
AceKingHigh
SBR MVP
10-23-09
3888
#9
Gotcha, thanks a lot will start tailing gl!
Comment
AceKingHigh
SBR MVP
10-23-09
3888
#10
Two more questions please
When do you stop fade/ chase a team? when you lose 3 times in a row? 4, 5?
also, let's say you started chasing a team and you are right now about to do your 3rd bet on them, but today, they are -170 fav. what do you do in this position ?
Comment
Snowball
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11-15-09
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#11
Originally posted by AceKingHigh
Two more questions please
When do you stop fade/ chase a team? when you lose 3 times in a row? 4, 5?
also, let's say you started chasing a team and you are right now about to do your 3rd bet on them, but today, they are -170 fav. what do you do in this position ?
ok, a theoretical question. If the chase/fade is up to Game 4+, and the team is a large favorite. That would depend on how deep the chase is into your bankroll. If it becomes too large to finance, then you can just let it go and scratch it as a loss, or you can just bet partial on it; enough to cancel out the losses on previous games, but not risking to win the additional unit.
It is important not to wager too much on the chases. They can pile up
and get you in an overextended situation if you do not keep discipline.
For example tonight's Padres fade is 1/32 my bankroll. How much you wager
on each will also depend upon how many Active chases you are maintaining.
Comment
AceKingHigh
SBR MVP
10-23-09
3888
#12
1/32 I assume it's a pretty big chase, considering if Padres win tonight ** hoping for you that they would lose!!! ** you're going to risk about 2.3/31 next time right? just a rough estimate, unless at some point you indeed cut it as a loss and move on ...
Will be rooting for ya my friend! and keep up the good tennis plays!!
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Snowball
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11-15-09
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#13
Padres fade completed (1)
active
Red Sox fade (Jays +176)
doing a Red Sox fade now because they are going to Rangers then Yankees
starting tomorrow.
Jays could win today. Crawford, Ortiz, Middlebrooks out.
Comment
Snowball
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11-15-09
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#14
nice. Lester has coughed up 9 runs in 2 innings of "pitching".
Comment
SteelRain
SBR MVP
03-13-12
2806
#15
good call
Comment
Snowball
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11-15-09
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#16
Red Sox fade completed (1)
active
Angels RL -1.5 chase (+105)
Rangers chase (-123)
Comment
AceKingHigh
SBR MVP
10-23-09
3888
#17
good luck get 'em
Comment
ColdBeerHere
SBR MVP
03-25-11
3626
#18
Hey kool-aid man...are you going to keep track of a record/units ? GL
Comment
Snowball
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#19
Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
Hey kool-aid man...are you going to keep track of a record/units ? GL
i'm not a math geek. all bets are winners here. nothing but green baby.
OMG F me lol would you believe that I couldn't get my picks in and didn't won those chases HAHAHA F me! that's so fcked lol
aright better luck paying attention in time lol
Good luck bro, keep up the good work!
Comment
Snowball
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#29
i'm only starting one new chase tonight.
(1) Mariners (-113)
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Snowball
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#30
Mariners chase completed (1)
Summary of Thread Plays thus far:
9 chases/fades completed on first play.
3 chases/fades completed on second play.
2 chases/fades completed on third play.
Don't know why I keep missing these-I'll def start tailing as of tonight! What is your unit amount to wager for each level? Or do you use a % of your br?