Snowball's Live Chases & Fades

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30054

    #1
    Snowball's Live Chases & Fades
    Mets chase +111
    Red Sox fade +153
    Cubs fade -112
  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30054

    #2
    Red Sox fade completed (1)
    Cubs fade completed (1)
    active
    (2) Mets chase +154
    (1) Giants fade (Atl -111)
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30054

      #3
      active
      (3) Mets Chase +121
      (2) SF Fade = Atl -118
      Comment
      • Snowball
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-15-09
        • 30054

        #4
        Mets chase completed (3)
        SF fade completed (2)

        active
        Red Sox fade (1)
        note: Word is that the Red Sox organization is looking to make bold moves
        before the trade deadline. I think it's gonna get in their heads.
        CBS Sports has the latest MLB Baseball news, live scores, player stats, standings, fantasy games, and projections.
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30054

          #5
          active
          Red Sox fade(2) Jays +168
          Pirates chase (1) -106

          i like the Pirates tonight at home. The Marlins team which Pitt lost the last 6 to is not this year's Marlins team and was not this year's Pirates team either.
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30054

            #6
            Red Sox fade completed (2)
            Pirates chase completed (1)

            active
            Padres fade (-106)
            Comment
            • AceKingHigh
              SBR MVP
              • 10-23-09
              • 3888

              #7
              Snowball, I love to read your plays on the Tennis forum,
              mind explaining what do you mean by chase / fade ? how you play it? your unit per play? how much you up/down from it?
              that would make a lot of people following and commenting as well, cause if you ask me, I really don't get ANYTHING of what's going on in here... where are you getting those lines? when? what's the score when you got the lines? ** since it's live ** ?
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30054

                #8
                Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                Snowball, I love to read your plays on the Tennis forum,
                mind explaining what do you mean by chase / fade ? how you play it? your unit per play? how much you up/down from it?
                that would make a lot of people following and commenting as well, cause if you ask me, I really don't get ANYTHING of what's going on in here... where are you getting those lines? when? what's the score when you got the lines? ** since it's live ** ?
                none of the above are live bets. They are all lines from 5dimes and usually
                I post these plays in the morning. They are "live" as in "active".
                As you can see, every one becomes a winner (completed).
                Sometimes it takes a few games. Often it's done in 1. Previously, I had been
                posting the chases and fades as single threads, but this is better.
                Basically, there is picking involved, it's not blind from the beginning, and it's
                not system, because I choose (cap) when to begin the chase (on team to win)
                or the fade (against team). Choosing when to start the chase or fade is important.
                I like to start chases on teams coming to home stands. I like to start fades on teams who are playing over their heads, but not on teams starting a home stand. But that is not written in stone.
                The Padres are a team I would usually not fade, because there is no pay on the other side, but now that's changed because they have very hot pitching. I liked the idea of a Rockies chase so really it just landed there.
                Every play is to win one unit to start, then if it proceeds to game 2, you add
                the amount lost in previous + whatever amount is necessary to win 1 unit.
                If it goes to 3, you add amount wagered in 1+2 plus amount needed to win
                an additional unit, and so on. I avoid low value chases. You don't
                start a chase on a team that is laying -200 for example.
                A style like this is only good for the regular season and it has to stop
                near the end of the season because then at a point there are no longer
                enough games remaining to play chase/fade, and it gets dangerous as
                teams prep themselves for the playoffs.
                Comment
                • AceKingHigh
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 3888

                  #9
                  Gotcha, thanks a lot will start tailing gl!
                  Comment
                  • AceKingHigh
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-23-09
                    • 3888

                    #10
                    Two more questions please

                    When do you stop fade/ chase a team? when you lose 3 times in a row? 4, 5?

                    also, let's say you started chasing a team and you are right now about to do your 3rd bet on them, but today, they are -170 fav. what do you do in this position ?
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30054

                      #11
                      Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                      Two more questions please

                      When do you stop fade/ chase a team? when you lose 3 times in a row? 4, 5?

                      also, let's say you started chasing a team and you are right now about to do your 3rd bet on them, but today, they are -170 fav. what do you do in this position ?
                      ok, a theoretical question. If the chase/fade is up to Game 4+, and the team is a large favorite. That would depend on how deep the chase is into your bankroll. If it becomes too large to finance, then you can just let it go and scratch it as a loss, or you can just bet partial on it; enough to cancel out the losses on previous games, but not risking to win the additional unit.
                      It is important not to wager too much on the chases. They can pile up
                      and get you in an overextended situation if you do not keep discipline.
                      For example tonight's Padres fade is 1/32 my bankroll. How much you wager
                      on each will also depend upon how many Active chases you are maintaining.
                      Comment
                      • AceKingHigh
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-23-09
                        • 3888

                        #12
                        1/32 I assume it's a pretty big chase, considering if Padres win tonight ** hoping for you that they would lose!!! ** you're going to risk about 2.3/31 next time right? just a rough estimate, unless at some point you indeed cut it as a loss and move on ...
                        Will be rooting for ya my friend! and keep up the good tennis plays!!
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30054

                          #13
                          Padres fade completed (1)

                          active
                          Red Sox fade (Jays +176)

                          doing a Red Sox fade now because they are going to Rangers then Yankees
                          starting tomorrow.
                          Jays could win today. Crawford, Ortiz, Middlebrooks out.
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30054

                            #14
                            nice. Lester has coughed up 9 runs in 2 innings of "pitching".
                            Comment
                            • SteelRain
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-13-12
                              • 2806

                              #15
                              good call
                              Comment
                              • Snowball
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 11-15-09
                                • 30054

                                #16
                                Red Sox fade completed (1)

                                active

                                Angels RL -1.5 chase (+105)
                                Rangers chase (-123)
                                Comment
                                • AceKingHigh
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-23-09
                                  • 3888

                                  #17
                                  good luck get 'em
                                  Comment
                                  • ColdBeerHere
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-25-11
                                    • 3626

                                    #18
                                    Hey kool-aid man...are you going to keep track of a record/units ? GL
                                    Comment
                                    • Snowball
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 11-15-09
                                      • 30054

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
                                      Hey kool-aid man...are you going to keep track of a record/units ? GL
                                      i'm not a math geek. all bets are winners here. nothing but green baby.
                                      Comment
                                      • Snowball
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-15-09
                                        • 30054

                                        #20
                                        Angels RL chase completed (1)
                                        Rangers chase completed (1)

                                        active
                                        Pirates RL -1.5 (130)
                                        Comment
                                        • AceKingHigh
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-23-09
                                          • 3888

                                          #21
                                          Nice hits yesterday,,, gl today! anything on the Tennis side?
                                          Comment
                                          • Snowball
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 11-15-09
                                            • 30054

                                            #22
                                            active
                                            (2) Pirates RL (+175)
                                            Comment
                                            • AceKingHigh
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-23-09
                                              • 3888

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Snowball
                                              active
                                              (2) Pirates RL (+175)
                                              with you on the chase! lets get this!
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30054

                                                #24
                                                add: Orioles chase (+123)

                                                active
                                                (2) Pirates RL (+175)
                                                (1) Orioles (+123)
                                                (1) Rangers (-130)
                                                Comment
                                                • AceKingHigh
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-23-09
                                                  • 3888

                                                  #25
                                                  Good luck! get 'em bro!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Snowball
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 11-15-09
                                                    • 30054

                                                    #26
                                                    Rangers chase completed (1)

                                                    active
                                                    Pirates RL +100 (3)
                                                    Orioles ML +100 (2)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Snowball
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                      • 30054

                                                      #27
                                                      Pirates RL completed (3)
                                                      Orioles completed (2)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AceKingHigh
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-23-09
                                                        • 3888

                                                        #28
                                                        OMG F me lol would you believe that I couldn't get my picks in and didn't won those chases HAHAHA F me! that's so fcked lol
                                                        aright better luck paying attention in time lol

                                                        Good luck bro, keep up the good work!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Snowball
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 11-15-09
                                                          • 30054

                                                          #29
                                                          i'm only starting one new chase tonight.

                                                          (1) Mariners (-113)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Snowball
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 11-15-09
                                                            • 30054

                                                            #30
                                                            Mariners chase completed (1)


                                                            Summary of Thread Plays thus far:
                                                            9 chases/fades completed on first play.
                                                            3 chases/fades completed on second play.
                                                            2 chases/fades completed on third play.


                                                            active:
                                                            (1) Nationals RL chase +125
                                                            (1) Diamondbacks RL chase +115
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Snowball
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 11-15-09
                                                              • 30054

                                                              #31
                                                              Nationals RL (+125) chase completed (1)
                                                              Diamondbacks RL (+115) chase completed (1)

                                                              Summary:
                                                              11 chases/fades completed on first game.
                                                              3 completed on second game.
                                                              2 completed on third game.

                                                              active:
                                                              Dodgers chase (-110)
                                                              Orioles chase (-106)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Snowball
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 11-15-09
                                                                • 30054

                                                                #32
                                                                Dodgers chase completed (1)
                                                                Orioles chase completed (1)

                                                                Summary:
                                                                13 chases/fades hit on first game.
                                                                3 hit on second game.
                                                                2 hit on third game.
                                                                win rate: 100%
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Snowball
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                                  • 30054

                                                                  #33
                                                                  active:
                                                                  Cubs fade (1) bet: Pirates (-129)
                                                                  Reds fade (1) bet: Padres (+135)
                                                                  Red Sox chase (1) (-111)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • You mad bro
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-15-12
                                                                    • 16641

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Seems awesome man
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Semper Fidelis
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                                      • 1999

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Don't know why I keep missing these-I'll def start tailing as of tonight! What is your unit amount to wager for each level? Or do you use a % of your br?
                                                                      Comment
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