Baseball Crusher Fade 2012

Spungalo · 06-23-12, 07:56 AM

6/23/12 pick

A Bet: Toronto +145

Bet 1 to win 1.45 on all 3 systems

Spungalo · 06-24-12, 08:50 AM

6/24/12 pick

A bet: Milwaukee +120

Bet 1 to win 1.20 on all 3 systems

Spungalo · 06-25-12, 05:59 PM

6/25/12 pick

B bet Toronto +130

Sorry no time to post

shooms79 · 06-25-12, 06:05 PM

Thanks again for keeping this up

Spungalo · 06-26-12, 07:47 AM

Originally posted by shooms79

Thanks again for keeping this up

No problem! We are printing money here

Spungalo · 06-26-12, 07:51 AM

6/26/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
Arizona +135

(Bet 1 to win 1.35) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 39-1, +23.48 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.35) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 39-43, +7.95 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.35)
Chase-til-you-drop: 39-43, +27.15 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

jolmscheid · 06-27-12, 02:38 AM

Hey spungalo...what if one chased both sides?

Spungalo · 06-27-12, 07:03 AM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

Hey spungalo...what if one chased both sides?

Fair idea! Hate to see the D bet juice though. I read somewhere that the Sports Bet Prof's 3-game chase loss in the NBA (at -110) odds takes like 4 or 5 system wins to counteract. I wish I had the details of that.

Spungalo · 06-27-12, 07:08 AM

6/27/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Detroit +140

(Bet 1.72 to win 2.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 39-1, +22.48 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 39-44, +6.95 units

(Bet 1.72 to win 2.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 39-44, +26.15 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

Spungalo · 06-28-12, 09:02 AM

6/28/12 pick

Crusher fade (C bet):
Cleveland +125

(Bet 2.38 to win 2.97) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 39-1, +20.76 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 39-45, +5.95 units

(Bet 2.38 to win 2.97)
Chase-til-you-drop: 39-45, +24.43 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

Spungalo · 06-29-12, 08:36 AM

6/29/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
LA Dodgers +115

(Bet 1 to win 1.15) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 40-1, +23.73 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.15) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 40-45, +7.20 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.15)
Chase-til-you-drop: 40-45, +27.40 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

Spungalo · 06-30-12, 08:12 AM

6/30/12 pick

B bet: Seattle +130
Bet 1.77 to win 2.30 on system 1 and 3
Bet 1 to win 1.30 on straight bet system

Spungalo · 07-01-12, 09:29 AM

7/1/12 pick

A bet: Cincinnati +130

Bet 1 to win 1.3 in all 3 systems

Spungalo · 07-02-12, 12:34 PM

7/2/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
San Diego +140

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 41-1, +24.03 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 41-47, +6.50 units

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 41-47, +27.70 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

Spungalo · 07-03-12, 01:16 PM

7/3/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
Texas +110

(Bet 1 to win 1.10) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 42-1, +26.43 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.10) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 42-47, +7.90 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.10)
Chase-til-you-drop: 42-47, +30.10 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

Spungalo · 07-04-12, 10:57 AM

7/4/12 pick

B bet: Milwaukee +115

Bet 1.87 to win 2.15

Spungalo · 07-05-12, 09:17 AM

7/5/12 pick

Crusher fade (C bet):
Baltimore +140

(Bet 2.34 to win 3.28) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 42-1, +23.56 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 42-49, +5.90 units

(Bet 2.34 to win 3.28)
Chase-til-you-drop: 42-49, +27.23 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

skjjb4 · 07-05-12, 12:29 PM

I just found this post.How has this system going against Crusher straight up?
Thanks for the input and I will be watching daily

mrk77 · 07-05-12, 07:49 PM

Did you fade last season also?

Spungalo · 07-06-12, 10:27 AM

7/6/12 pick

Crusher fade (D bet):
Tampa Bay +130

(Bet 2.80 to win 3.64) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 42-1, +21.22 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 42-50, +4.90 units

(Bet 2.80 to win 3.64)
Chase-til-you-drop: 42-50, +24.89 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

Spungalo · 07-06-12, 10:27 AM

FYI: 5-1 this year on D bets

Spungalo · 07-06-12, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by skjjb4

I just found this post.How has this system going against Crusher straight up?
Thanks for the input and I will be watching daily

Simply betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 42-50, +4.90 units

Spungalo · 07-06-12, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by mrk77

Did you fade last season also?

I did, mrk77, but did not track. Because of Crusher's high juice, a fade is a great way to reduce risk of his 4-game chase. Plus I modify the chase amounts, so that I don't risk the whole stinking bankroll on a D bet like tonight. We lose, no sweat, we are still up 18 to 22 units depending on which chase system we are using (Fade System or Chase-til-you-drop).

mrk77 · 07-06-12, 12:42 PM

I'm just worried that he's on a roll this week

Spungalo · 07-07-12, 08:27 AM

Originally posted by mrk77

I'm just worried that he's on a roll this week

Yes, he does reel off 4 and 5 game win streaks, but by reducing the chase from an all-out to a %age of loss, we have mitigated that possibility. Only 1 system loss for us, not bad. How many does he have, and with that juice he's laying? I can't imagine his followers are up much, and certainly not as much as us.

fnorbert · 07-07-12, 09:06 AM

Hello Spungalo, how do you modify the chase amounts on D-bet??? I think you have loss if it 4-game chase. Am I correct???

Spungalo · 07-07-12, 09:33 AM

7/7/12 pick

Another D bet win yesterday!

Today:
A bet: Miami +135
Bet 1 to win 1.35 in all 3 systems

Spungalo · 07-08-12, 07:54 AM

7/8/12 pick

B bet: San Diego +140

Bet 1.72 to win 2.40 on systems 1 and 3
Bet 1 to win 1.40 on system 2

Spungalo · 07-10-12, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by fnorbert

Hello Spungalo, how do you modify the chase amounts on D-bet??? I think you have loss if it 4-game chase. Am I correct???

Hi fnorbert. Instead of doubling my bet on a loss or something, I bet to win the previous bet AND add 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds). So by the time I get to a D bet I haven't quadrupled by bet. If you follow along in the spreadsheet you can see that if I lose 1 unit on an A bet I don't bet 2 units on B bet, etc. It just lowers the amount wagered. Cheers!

Spungalo · 07-10-12, 04:00 PM

7/10/12 pick

There was no pick 7/9/12 FYI

Crusher fade (C bet):
National League +115

(Bet 2.50 to win 2.88) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 43-1, +23.14 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.15) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 43-52, +4.20 units

(Bet 2.50 to win 2.88)
Chase-til-you-drop: 43-52, +25.81 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

deviant · 07-12-12, 11:41 AM

hi spungalo, just notice there's a thread for crusher here. the overall +23.14, +4.20 is it from the first of 2012 season ? how many is the longest losing/winning streak for crusher?

I found the attachment image is to small, do you have the complete tracking of crusher in spreadsheet? would like to have it for tracking and following it. thx for the contribution.

Spungalo · 07-13-12, 08:37 AM

7/13/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
New York Mets +140

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 44-1, +25.02 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 44-52, +5.35 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 44-52, +28.69 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

Spungalo · 07-13-12, 08:42 AM

Originally posted by deviant

hi spungalo, just notice there's a thread for crusher here. the overall +23.14, +4.20 is it from the first of 2012 season ? how many is the longest losing/winning streak for crusher?

No problem! So, first half review:
* System 1: Simple 4-game chase (mirroring Crusher), but with modified risk. Thus, after a loss we risk only what we bet previous plus 1 unit. Has been very solid with only 1 4-game system loss. A $100 bettor is up $2500.
* System 2: Simple fade of each individual play with no chase. We have yet to broach +10 units on the year. However, because we almost always play a dog, the 44-52 record is in the positives.
* System 3: 4-game chase as described above PLUS we never "start over", so we keep chasing the previous bet even past the 4-games. Has been the best overall, as a $100 bettor is up nearly $2900.

We have won 4 in a row twice, and the longest losing streak for us is also 4 games (once).
Crusher has, conversely, lost 4 in a row twice and his longest win streak is 4 (once).

RiverRat12 · 07-13-12, 04:37 PM

RiverRat12

Thanks Spugalo. Just joined SBR but have followed you for about two months now. Great work.

mrk77 · 07-16-12, 07:10 AM

No plays in 3 days, has this ever happened before with bc?