Baseball Crusher Fade 2012

[figue]

Today play is : B) LA ANGELS +135

GL.

[shooms79]

Sorry, am out of town for a death in the family. Will update records, etc, when I return Sunday or Monday.

Sorry to hear the sad news. All the best.

[dominate.]

5/12

Arizona Diamondbacks

[figue]

play c)

[dominate.]

Moving onto D

5/13

Rays/Orioles Over 8.5

http://forum.sbrforum.com/service-plays/1717020-crusher-5-13-a.html

[shooms79]

Thx dominate for keeping this going...

[MrPPhung]

Just curious if you guys are following the 4 game chase system or if you wager a fixed unit per fade play? It's been difficult to watch the last 2 D games (over/under plays) when wagering 50 credits per game.

[shooms79]

Just curious if you guys are following the 4 game chase system or if you wager a fixed unit per fade play? It's been difficult to watch the last 2 D games (over/under plays) when wagering 50 credits per game.

I will try to answer your question and give you my input:
1) If you scroll through the thread and see the Original Poster's (OPs) intent, I think he had a 4-game chase and chase till you drop system (ie chase forever till u recoop)
2) I am personally doing a 4 game chase and IF it gets any farther than that (or out of my comfort zone, I will incorporate a labby system).
3) As far as high units per game, that is the risk of a chase system. I recommend you lower your unit size from the start if you are uncomfortable. That is the intrinsic risk of a chase system, is if u lose multiple games in a row, it can get very stressful. HOWEVER, this system, in my opinion, is better bc we are essentially betting on dogs (I believe yesterday was the first time totals were played, and thus being -110 opposed to past +ev odds).
I hope this helped!
On a personal note, u want to hear stress, I was fading the nyy and was on my 4th game of the chase yesterday on Sea +186!!!! On one hand, bc of the +ev odds, it wasnt so bad, but on the other it was my 4th game in and going againt Pettite and NYY hot bats and betting on sea made me quesy!!!

[shooms79]

5-14-2012
Crusher fade (A bet):
Houston Astros +164 (5dimes)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/service-plays/1718790-crusher-5-14-a.html

MrPPhung - to continue the conversation, if u goto the link above, there are people doing a 4 game chase on Baseball Crushers picks. Today his pick is Philly @-170 and they are already expressing concerns how expensive this chase can get.

[packster77]

Hey shooms whats a good Labby Line set up for this type of chase thanks for any help
also thanks for updating the plays

[Spungalo]

Thanks shooms, dominate, et al. for keeping the thread going-- got back in town last night and ready to win more money on Crusher fade! Was a sad weekend for sure, but a celebration as well.

[Spungalo]

5/15/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Colorado +140

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 20-0, +16.72 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 20-20, +6.21 units

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 20-20, +16.72 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[shooms79]

Welcome back Spungalo. Lets do this!

[shooms79]

Hey shooms whats a good Labby Line set up for this type of chase thanks for any help
also thanks for updating the plays

Shoot me a PM of your chase system and ill adapt it to show u how i avoid the later round chases. BOL

[packster77]

thanks

[packster77]

ive got a few more posts to make before i can pm you

[shooms79]

BOOM! Colorado WINNA $$$
- Bottom of 7th was hairy with SF scoring 3 runs to tie it. But Scutaro's solo homer off Casilla brought it home to us.

Loving this system! Looking good so far, but it is only may. Lets hope BC doesnt go on a hot streak!

GL everyone

PS -
Spungalo - thanks again for converting this spark of an idea into action. And i appreciate your excel posts. That template is so money...trying to copy it myself and set something up.

[Spungalo]

5/16/12 pick

Thanks shooms!

Crusher fade (A bet):
Pittsburgh +130

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 21-0, +19.12 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 21-20, +7.61 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30)
Chase-til-you-drop: 21-20, +19.12 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

5/17/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Miami +140

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 21-0, +18.12 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 21-21, +6.61 units

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 21-21, +18.12 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

5/18/12 pick

Crusher fade (C bet):
Boston +130

(Bet 2.32 to win 3.01) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 21-0, +16.41 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 21-22, +5.61 units

(Bet 2.32 to win 3.01)
Chase-til-you-drop: 21-22, +16.41 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

5/19/12 pick

Don't have my spreadsheet on me this weekend, but today's play is Chicago White Sox +130, D bet

[figue]

[Spungalo]

5/21/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
Colorado +150

(Bet 1 to win 1.50) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 23-0, +18.91 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.50) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 23-23, +7.11 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.50)
Chase-til-you-drop: 23-23, +18.91 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

5/22/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Washington +140

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 23-0, +17.91 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 23-24, +6.11 units

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 23-24, +17.91 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

5/23/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
Minnesota +140

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 24-0, +20.31 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 24-24, +7.51 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 24-24, +20.31 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

5/24/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Cleveland +140

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 24-0, +19.31 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 24-25, +6.51 units

(Bet 1.71 to win 2.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 24-25, +19.31 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

5/25/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
San Francisco +130

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 25-0, +21.71 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 25-25, +7.91 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30)
Chase-til-you-drop: 25-25, +21.71 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[mrk77]

There was no pick today, how did you come up with this?

[EVPlus]

FYI: Last season Crusher went on some major win streaks.

Of course, this doesn't guarantee what will happen this season but it's worth thinking about.


7 straight wins from June 22 to June 28

5 straight wins from Aug 16 to Aug 20

7 straight wins from Aug 26 to Sept 1

8 straight wins from Sept 11 to Sep 18 (this could be longer but I don't have data on Sep 10, 8)

Just like this season, Crusher eats alot of chalk. I don't know if the heavy chalk hits mid to late season because Vegas has a better feel for where the teams are. I'm sure there are other factors involved but since I do not auto-fade Crusher or anyone else I won't waste my time trying to figure out exactly why.

[stevex]

Chalk is going to go on stretches during the season, its inevitable so Crush will hit some streaks for sure. Will see what happens to the fade once that starts.

[mrk77]

i like crusher's system, you could make a steady income if you have the balls to chase

[Spungalo]

There was no pick today, how did you come up with this?

There absolutely was this play. Check the tgunn daily thread.

[Spungalo]

5/26/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Houston +120

(Bet 1.83 to win 2.20) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 25-0, +20.71 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.20) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 25-26, +6.91 units

(Bet 1.83 to win 2.20)
Chase-til-you-drop: 25-26, +20.71 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

**I won't have my spreadsheet this weekend or Monday, but will update on Tuesday.

[Spungalo]

5/27/12 pick

Crusher fade (C bet):
Washington +120

(Bet 2.53 to win 3.03) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 25-0, +18.88 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.20) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 25-27, +5.91 units

(Bet 2.53 to win 3.03)
Chase-til-you-drop: 25-27, +18.88 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

**I won't have my spreadsheet this weekend or Monday, but will update on Tuesday.

[Spungalo]

5/28/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
Kansas City +130

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 26-0, +21.91 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 26-27, +7.11 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30)
Chase-til-you-drop: 26-27, +21.91 units

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

**I won't have my spreadsheet this weekend or Monday, but will update on Tuesday.