Baseball Crusher Fade 2012

[Spungalo]

9/6/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Milwaukee +113

(Bet 1.88 to win 2.12) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 68-2, +37.36 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.13) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 68-80, +5.81 units

(Bet 1.88 to win 2.12)
Chase-til-you-drop: 68-80, +41.03 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

9/7/12 pick

Crusher fade (C bet):
Oakland +125

(Bet 2.50 to win 3.12) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 68-2, +35.48 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.25) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 68-81, +4.81 units

(Bet 2.50 to win 3.12)
Chase-til-you-drop: 68-81, +39.15 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

9/8/12 pick

A bet NY Mets +145

Bet 1 to win 1.45 on all 3 systems

[Spungalo]

9/9/12 pick

B bet: Detroit +130

Bet 1.77 to win 2.30 on systems 1 & 3
Bet 1 to win 1.30 on system 2

[csavoia]

just joining spungalo i see you have a B bet. so should i wait or take a shot and start right now.. i am a bit perplexed by the chase system sorry a bit of a newbie for betting

[Spungalo]

9/10/12 pick

B bet: Pittsburgh +145

Bet 1 to win 1.45 on system 2
Bet 1.69 to win 2.45 on systems 1 & 3

Csavoia, I would recommend starting today. Only because you will miss out on an eventual win (when the fade hits). Just risk 1 unit.

I will give more detailed explanation tomorrow, unfortunately I am tied up in meetings all day

[RiverRat12]

Spungalo: Detroit lost yesterday, shouldn't pittsburgh be a "c" bet?

[csavoia]

i bet pottsburgh and they lost.. i will wait for further instructions

[Spungalo]

Spungalo: Detroit lost yesterday, shouldn't pittsburgh be a "c" bet?

Oops, yes, thank you!

[Spungalo]

9/11/12 pick

Crusher fade (D bet):
Colorado +130

(Bet 2.71 to win 3.52) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 69-2, +33.61 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 69-84, +3.06 units

(Bet 2.71 to win 3.52)
Chase-til-you-drop: 69-84, +37.28 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

[Mrscofield25]

Peace, people. May God be with you.

[csavoia]

spungalo can you please explain what i should be doing. i bet colorado tonight and i hope i did the right thing..

[Spungalo]

D bet: Houston +116

Csavoia, trust in the crusher fade. Houston is the bet today. Sorry I haven't been more responsive, work is nuts right now.

[csavoia]

ok Thank you.. i will look here everyday then and hope i am betting what is supposed to be bet

[Spungalo]

D bet: Houston +116

Csavoia, trust in the crusher fade. Houston is the bet today. Sorry I haven't been more responsive, work is nuts right now.

Oops, that was an A bet. Regardless, ANOTHER fade loss!

[Spungalo]

9/13/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
Houston +120

(Bet 1 to win 1.20) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 69-4, +30.90 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.20) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 69-85, +2.06 units

(Bet 3.26 to win 3.91)
Chase-til-you-drop: 69-85, +34.57 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

csavoia, I am sorry that you came on board during a Crusher win streak-- but the system (especially system 3- the All Out modified chase system) is a success and I hope you can regain some of your losses if not profit through the playoffs.There is still a good 7 weeks or so of baseball left. I am confident we will continue to do well.

Here is the formula for determining how much to bet on the All out system, which has shown the largest gain:
Risk: (Amount risked last game * odds of current game in decimal format) + (1 unit)

Here, your odds of current game in decimal format is 1.2 if the odds you buy the game at are +120 (they would be 1.25 if you got the game at +125, etc.)

Also, 1 unit is however you define it. I typically use 2% of my bankroll as my 1 unit. So, if I had $1000 in my bankroll, 1 unit would be $20. If I had $100, 2% would be $2. This should give you a solid bankroll for just about any system.

Also, the Football Crusher fade system is working well as well. You can find that in the NFL BETTING thread (I have posted links to other SBR threads here before and received sanctions, despite the links going just to their own pages-- what a crock!).

[Blackroc78]

[Spungalo]

9/14/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
NY Mets +140

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 70-3, +32.10 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 70-85, +3.26 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 70-85, +38.48 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[RiverRat12]

Thanks for all you do spungalo. The #1 & 3 sytems have been very profitable. Your right 7 weeks left we should still pick up more units.

[Spungalo]

9/15/12 pick

Another win to make up for some recent crusher success. Today's A bet:
Colorado +120, bet 1 to win 1.20 on all systems.


Thanks river rat! I agree!

[Spungalo]

9/16/12 pick

B bet: NY Mets +135

Bet 1.74 to win 2.35 on systems 1 and 3
Bet 1 to win 1.35 on system 2

[Spungalo]

9/17/12 pick

C bet
Seattle +107

Bet 2.63 to win 2.81 on systems 1 & 3
Bet 1 to win 1.07 on system 2

[Spungalo]

9/18/12 pick

D bet
Texas +125

Bet 3.10 to win 3.88 on systems 1 & 3
Bet 1 to win 1.25 on system 2


Spreadsheet update tomorrow. Let's get this one

[Spungalo]

9/19/12 pick

Crusher fade (A bet):
Miami +120

(Bet 1 to win 1.20) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 71-4, +25.03 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 71-90, -0.34 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.40)
Chase-til-you-drop: 71-90, +28.70 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).


Well, Crusher has eaten into the bankroll we built a bit recently, going 11-4 since September 2. We also sustained 2 of our 4 system losses in that time. Our bankroll for our 2 successful systems (Systems 1 and 3), that have now cleared 25 and 28 units, respectively, are at their lowest since August 10th and 15th. Still, I plan to soldier on through the postseason.

Looking back at last year's Crusher numbers (if you would be following him), as of 9/2/11 he was hitting at 59% for the season. He went 62% overall in the regular season and 61% in the playoffs. This year, he is hitting at 56%. But he is playing mainly favorites (and he will intersperse some totals in the playoffs).

On the fade, we are hitting at 44% and still have over 25 and 28 units of profit in systems 1 and 3. I still see profit to come and predict we finish with over 30 units of profit in systems 1 and 3. (System 2 is a throwaway, but you can see that even hitting just 44% of mainly dogs, we are breaking even on flat fading him).

[mantorras77]

Just found this today. Great job Spungalo. Profit is a profit no matter if it's +35 or +5. We all have the same goal in here and that's just to profit!

The greatest thing about this Fade system is that because its basically all dogs when you get to Game 3 or 4 of the system your risk is real low!

[Spungalo]

9/20/12 pick

Crusher fade (B bet):
Minnesota +120

(Bet 1.83 to win 3.98) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 71-4, +24.03 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.20) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 71-91, -1.34 units

(Bet 3.98 to win 4.78)
Chase-til-you-drop: 71-91, +25.12 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

Just found this today. Great job Spungalo. Profit is a profit no matter if it's +35 or +5. We all have the same goal in here and that's just to profit!

The greatest thing about this Fade system is that because its basically all dogs when you get to Game 3 or 4 of the system your risk is real low!

Definitely mantorras! Thanks!

[Spungalo]

9/21/12 pick

Crusher fade (C bet):
LA Dodgers +130

(Bet 2.41 to win 3.13) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 71-4, +22.20 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.30) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 71-91, -2.34 units

(Bet 4.06 to win 5.28)
Chase-til-you-drop: 71-91, +21.14 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).

[Spungalo]

Sorry I haven't been posting much. Still tracking, just little time to post. Today the fade play is Oakland.

[Spungalo]

9/25/12 pick

Spreadsheets to come soon, I almost promise

Today's fade play: Boston +150

[Spungalo]

9/26/12 pick

Boston again +110

[Spungalo]

And I guarantee that Crusher will lose a few in a row or 5 out of 6 or something in the forthcoming weeks. One more run is in the cards for us here before we shut the door on the baseball fade. The football fade is doing quite well, so I hope you are all on board. It is in the nfl betting section and I will update that hopefully tomorrow as well.

[Spungalo]

9/26/12 pick and results

Crusher fade (D bet):
Boston +110

(Bet 2.92 to win 3.21) *This follows the BC 4-game chase but fades the pick.
BC Fade System Record: 73-4, +22.05 units

(Bet 1 to win 1.10) *This is a simple overall record, betting to win 1 if negative odds, to risk 1 if positive odds.
BC Fade overall record: 73-95, -2.54 units

(Bet 2.92 to win 3.21)
Chase-til-you-drop: 73-95, +23.14 units
(from here on out, the # of units in chase-til-you-drop will be different from the BC Fade System Record above, since we keep chasing in this system despite a system loss)

Note: the chase will be to win previous bet and 1 additional unit (if -odds) or risk 1 additional unit (if +odds).