Terp, you have any insights on your reds play? From what I wrote in Coin's thread:
Line eventually budged off of -115 to -123 but now has 47% of the action instead of 44%, so that makes some sense. I'm taking it you think Arroyo is for real?? He's relying a lot more on his cutter / slider combo in place of that miserable 87mph fastball of his and he isn't walking anyone with a 1.2 BB/9, but Gee is a flat out better pitcher. I'm playing FF as well to offset the bullpen disparity, but i can't find an angle on Cin.
Last play will probably be on the mets. Reds are the best hitting team in the league against lefties, but against righties, middle of the pack in walks, 5th in K%, and mid-to-low 20's in wOBA, wRC+. I think it's safe to say Gee is the better pitcher as well. Early money on Cincy, but even with 56% (59% at SI) of the backers, line isn't budging much at all.
