Leprechaun's 2011 MLB System

[Leprechaun]

correction for today's plays

Off to a good start with the Yanks win. There is an error in the plays listed above. Arizona should be listed as such:

Arizona (+120) risk 0.5 units

I forgot to change the odds. Looks like TB is about to lose so we might need that Arizona win now. Hope everyone is enjoying Saturday and winning big!

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

July 31 plays

Sunday, July 31 MLB Series System Picks

1. TB (-120) to win 0.5 units
2. Bos (+105) risk 0.5 units

========================================
***Results from July 30***

1. Yanks RL gm1 (-120) to win 1.5 units.................win 1.5 units
2a. Cle (-155) to win 0.5 units ............................win 0.5 units
2b. Cle RL (+135) risk 0.5 units............................win 0.68 units
3. Bos (-150) to win 1.5 units.............................win 1.5 units
4. Oak (-130) to win 1 unit..............................win 1 unit
5. TB (+105) risk 0.5 units...............................lose 0.5 units
6. Mil RL (-125) to win 0.5 units.......................win 0.5 units
7. Ari (+120) risk 0.5 units.............................win 0.6 units

Total for July 30: 6-1, +5.78 units

Overall SU System Record: 101-89, +10.97 units

======================================== =======
***Notes***

That's how you bounce back from a bad day! I didn't see THAT big of a day coming. I knew we had the value, but was a little afraid of dropping into the negative for the week. In hindsight, I think we played everything exactly right here...although we didn't win as much as we should have on the day, we kept our risk low and were rewarded handsomely. This system is meant to be a good balance between those two aspects and it looks so far like the adjustments we've made for the second half are leading us in the right direction. Of course, we are getting more wins, which makes life happier, but I think our unit management has been even better. This system is not where I want it to be unit wise, but the strides we've made let's me know the program is doing it's job well and identifying the value plays with better efficiency as more and more stats get poured in as the season grinds on. That was exactly the design we set out for. Too bad we didn't wait one more week to start this system...we'd be up 30 units.

Just a couple small plays today. No matter what, we finish another week in the positive...now 7 out of 9.

======================================== ========================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 1 plays

Monday, August 1 MLB Series System Picks

1a. Bos (-175) to win 0.5 units
1b. Bos RL (+105) risk 0.5 units
2. Pitt (-130) to win 1.5 units
3. Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units
4. Cinci (-115) to win 1 unit
5. Mil (-120) to win 1 unit

======================================== ==
***Results from July 31***

1. TB (-120) to win 0.5 units................win 0.5 units
2. Bos (+105) risk 0.5 units...................win 0.53 units

Total for July 31: 2-0, +1.00 units

Overall SU System Record: 103-89, +11.97 units

========================================
***Notes***

Finished the week up 7.87 units and moving along smoothly. That's two rock solid weeks in a row. Now we hit August and it will become harder to find value. We'll keep picking spots to go after more units and playing RL's to keep risk down. Hopefully we get off on the right foot this week.

======================================== ===
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 2 plays

Tuesday, August 2 MLB Series System Picks

1. Bos RL (-120) to win 1.2 units
2. Pitt (-140) to win 2 units
3. Cinci (-115) to win 1.8 units
4. KC (-130) to win 0.75 units

======================================
***Results from August 1***

1a. Bos (-175) to win 0.5 units.............lose 0.88 units
1b. Bos RL (+105) risk 0.5 units............lose 0.5 units
2. Pitt (-130) to win 1.5 units..............lose 1.95 units
3. Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units..............win 0.53 units
4. Cinci (-115) to win 1 unit............lose 1.15 units
5. Mil (-120) to win 1 unit...............win 1 unit

Total for Aug. 1: 2-3, -2.95 units

Overall SU System Record: 105-92, +9.05 units (adjustment: added 0.03 that I missed on Sunday)

======================================== ====
***Notes***

Got roughed up losing a couple late. Look for a bounce back today. Lock and Load.

======================================== =========
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 3 plays

Wednesday, August 3 MLB Series System Picks

1. KC (-120) to win 1 unit
2. Mil (+100) risk 0.75 units
3. Pitt (+100) risk 1.5 units
4. Cin (-130) to win 0.5 units

=====================================
***Results from August 2***

1. Bos RL (-120) to win 1.2 units..................lose 1.44 units
2. Pitt (-140) to win 2 units.......................lose 2.8 units
3. Cinci (-115) to win 1.8 units..................win 1.8 units
4. KC (-130) to win 0.75 units.................lose 0.98 units

Total for Aug. 2: 1-3, -3.42 units

Overall SU System Record: 105-92, +5.63 units

======================================== ====
***Notes***

Taking a beating the last two days. How we handle this is a measure of the system. The only thing I would really change was the aggressive play on Pitt. The numbers gave that series a ton of value and it looked like a spot to grab in extra unit in this particular group of series. Hopefully they win today, but after giving up so much on the first 2 games of that series, we have to back off. Unfortunately, we got beat on the RL for the first time in a while at the same time we lost two decent value plays in a row...it seems much worse than it is, but getting back to even this week will be a battle. The favorites were on fire the last couple weeks so it's bound to turn around a little bit. We'll keep trying to navigate the minefield. I think this system can do that.

=======================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 4 plays

Thursday, August 4 MLB Series System Picks

1. Pitt (-140) to win 1.2 units

=======================================
***Results from August 3***

1. KC (-120) to win 1 unit......................win 1 unit
2. Mil (+100) risk 0.75 units...................win 0.75 units
3. Pitt (+100) risk 1.5 units....................lose 1.5 units
4. Cin (-130) to win 0.5 units..................lose 0.65 units

Total for Aug. 3: 2-2, -0.40 units

Overall SU System Record: 107-94, +5.23 units

===================================
***Notes***

Still going the wrong way dang it. Since we aren't chasing, it hasn't been catastrophic, but still a damaging series for us. The Cubs are proving the old adage that the sun even shines on a dogs ass once in awhile. Come to think of it, that saying makes no sense! We still give it a shot with one more unit today. Ironically, the Cubs play Cinci next...both the teams that have been raping us this week. I'm not sure if that will fall into the system or not, but I'll play that series for a split for sure to get a couple units back. I use that strategy a lot to recover losses. No other plays for the system today, so will spend some time licking our wounds and get ready for the weekend. We've got some ground to make up.

========================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Friday, August 5 MLB Series System Picks

1a. TB (-170) to win 0.5 units
1b. TB RL (+125) risk 0.75 units
2. Tex (-130) to win 1 unit
3. Atl (-120) to win 0.75 units
4. Ari (-135) to win 0.75 units

=======================================
***Results from August 4***

1. Pitt (-140) to win 1.2 units...............lose 1.68 units

Total for Aug. 4: 0-1, -1.68 units

Overall SU System Record: 107-95, +3.55 units

======================================== ==
***Notes***

Four straight losing days. Bad beat on the Pitt loss on Thursday. Can't believe the Cubs swept a 4 game series...ON THE ROAD! That's why they play the games. Didn't calculate it but I think that series cost us about 7 units. I had set up guidelines at the beginning of the season (never posted them) and my aim was not to let any series cost the system more than 5 units. I guess 7 isn't too bad for a 4 game series if you think about it. Let's hope the weekend turns things around. Just a heads up before hand, I will not be able to post on Sunday, so we are down to today and tomorrow to gain a little ground back. The plays are small today, but it's not because of the losses. I'm not that upset about the Pitt series to be honest...we played what the system gave us and we lost. Period. We managed the units as the system dictated. I guess the point is, this system obviously needs tinkering, but the Pitt series isn't the reason...it's how we've performed as a whole. For the weekend, we keep the same approach...there just aren't any real value series for us to go after. We gotta fight to get our cushion back.

=================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 6 plays

Saturday, August 6 MLB Series System Picks

1a. Ari (-145) to win 0.5 units

1b. Ari RL (+140) risk 0.5 units

====================================
***Results from August 5***

1a. TB (-170) to win 0.5 units......................win 0.5 units
1b. TB RL (+125) risk 0.75 units....................win 0.94 units
2. Tex (-130) to win 1 unit........................win 1 unit
3. Atl (-120) to win 0.75 units....................win 0.75 units
4. Ari (-135) to win 0.75 units....................lose 1.01 units

Total for Aug. 5: 3-1, +2.18 units

Overall SU System Record: 110-96, +5.73 units

***Notes***

That's better, but looking at a big loss this week no matter what. No time for comments...got Mama and Papa Leprechaun in town and keeping me busy. Will not post tomorrow but an Ariz win will probably result in no plays anyway. Back on Monday.

======================================== ====
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 8 plays

Monday, August 8 MLB Series System Picks

1. TB (-160) to win 1 unit
2. Bos (-115) to win 0.75 units
3. Atl (-115) to win 1 unit
4. Ari RL (+115) risk 0.5 units

=======================================
***Results from August 6***

1a. Ari (-145) to win 0.5 units...................lose 0.73 units
1b. Ari RL (+140) risk 0.5 units...................lose 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 6: 0-1, -1.23 units

Overall SU System Record: 111-100, +4.5 units (note: made a correction to w/l record...last Tues. 1-3 record was missed)

======================================
***Notes***

The week ended on a loss. Too bad I wasn't around Sunday as we would have gotten that unit back. Very tough week for the system, going 8-11 and losing 7.5 units. That's the third losing week for this system on the season. This week will be better. Let's turn her around today.

======================================== ===
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 9 plays

Tuesday, August 9 MLB Series System Picks

1. Yanks (-115) to win 1 unit
2. Tor (-140) to win 1 unit
3. Cin (-130) to win 0.75 units
4. Atl (-125) to win 0.5 units

===================================
***Results from August 8***

1. TB (-160) to win 1 unit.....................win 1 unit
2. Bos (-115) to win 0.75 units..............win 0.75 units
3. Atl (-115) to win 1 unit....................win 1 unit
4. Ari RL (+115) risk 0.5 units.............lose 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 8: 3-1, +2.25 units

Overall SU System Record: 114-101, +6.75 units

=======================================
***Notes***

Good start to the week. Let's keep sailing in the right direction.

========================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

aug. 10 plays

Wednesday, August 10 MLB Series System Picks

1a. Yanks (-190) to win 0.5 units
1b. Yanks RL (-105) to win 1 unit
2. Tor (+100) risk 2 units
3. Cinci (-165) to win 1.3 units
4. Cubs (-120) to win 0.75 units

==================================
***Results from August 9***

1. Yanks (-115) to win 1 unit................lose 1.15 units
2. Tor (-140) to win 1 unit................lose 1.4 units
3. Cin (-130) to win 0.75 units.............lose 0.98 units
4. Atl (-125) to win 0.5 units................win 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 9: 1-3, -3.03 units

Overall SU System Record: 115-104, +3.72 units

==================================
***Notes***

Gave back Monday's winnings and then some. Not sure what's pissing me off more the past week...this system or the stock market. Very busy week for me with relatives visiting...no time for comments. I'm going much bigger than posted on these today. Lock and load.

=======================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Thursday, August 11 MLB Series System Picks

1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units
===============================
***Notes***

Big day yesterday. Will do totals later.
=============================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 12 plays

Friday, August 12 MLB Series System Picks

1. Cle (-150) to win 0.5 units
2. CHW (-135) to win 0.75 units
3. Oak (+120) risk 0.5 units
4. Bos (-145) to win 1 unit
5. SF (-120) to win 1.2 units
6. Atl (-135) to win 1.5 units
7. Mil RL (+105) to win 1 unit
8. Phi RL (-125) to win 0.75 units

===================================
***Notes***

Another win and we are probably somewhere around +10 units right now. No time again. Will update sometime between now and Sunday.
====================================

Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 13 plays

Saturday, August 13 MLB Series System Picks

1. CHW (-150) to win 1.5 units
2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit
3. Oak (+105) risk 1 unit
4a. Phi (-180) to win 0.5 units
4b. Phi RL (+115) risk 1 unit
5. SF (-145) to win 1.3 units
6. Special parlay- Atl RL (+120)/Mil RL (+125): 0.5 units to win 1.98 units

======================================== =======

***Results from August 12***

1. Cle (-150) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
2. CHW (-135) to win 0.75 units.............lose 1.01 units
3. Oak (+120) risk 0.5 units..................lose 0.5 units
4. Bos (-145) to win 1 unit..................win 1 unit
5. SF (-120) to win 1.2 units................lose 1.44 units
6. Atl (-135) to win 1.5 units.................win 1.5 units
7. Mil RL (+105) to win 1 unit.................win 1.05 units
8. Phi RL (-125) to win 0.75 units...........lose 0.94 units

***Results from August 11***

1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units..................win 0.75 units

***Results from August 10***

1a. Yanks (-190) to win 0.5 units..................win 0.5 units
1b. Yanks RL (-105) to win 1 unit.................win 1 unit
2. Tor (+100) risk 2 units.............................win 2 units
3. Cinci (-165) to win 1.3 units......................win 1.3 units
4. Cubs (-120) to win 0.75 units.....................win 0.75 units

Total for Aug. 10: 4-0, +5.55 units
Total for Aug. 11: 1-0, +0.75 units
Total for Aug. 12: 4-4, +0.16 units

Overall SU System Record: 124-108, +10.18 units

=====================================
***Notes***

Finally had a few minutes to total everything. We've had three winning days in a row, with a monster sweep back on Wednesday. Looking good for this week and hopefully can recover all of last weeks losses. There is still a lot on the line today, so we'll see where we are when the dust settles. Hopefully we can pick up about 2 or 3 units. Lock and load.

===================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 14 plays

Sunday, August 14 MLB Series System Picks

1. Atl (-155) to win 0.5 units
2. Oak (+115) risk 0.5 units

===================================
***Results from August 13***

1. CHW (-150) to win 1.5 units......................win 1.5 units
2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit.......................win 1 unit
3. Oak (+105) risk 1 unit.............................lose 1 unit
4a. Phi (-180) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
4b. Phi RL (+115) risk 1 unit......................win 1.15 units
5. SF (-145) to win 1.3 units......................win 1.3 units
6. Special parlay- Atl RL (+120)/Mil RL (+125)........lose 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 13: 4-2, +3.95 units

Overall SU System Record: 128-110, +14.13 units

====================================
***Notes***

Great day and the system hits a new all time high. Couple plays today might push us ahead a little further still. No matter what, we finish the week WAY up and ahead of where we were two weeks ago. Very nice.
======================================== ====
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 15 plays

Monday, August 15 MLB Series System Picks

1. Det (-145) to win 0.5 units
2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit
3a. Oak (-165) to win 0.5 units
3b. Oak RL (+130) risk 0.75 units
4. Mil (-155) to win 1.5 units
5. Fla (+135) risk 0.75 units

===================================
***Results from August 14***

1. Atl (-155) to win 0.5 units............................lose 0.78 units
2. Oak (+115) risk 0.5 units..............................lose 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 14: 0-2, -1.28 units

Overall SU System Record: 128-112, +12.85 units

==================================
***Notes***

An up and down week ends with 2 one point losses. Still, we finished +8.35 units for the week, getting back all of last weeks losses. This week, let's move the train forward. A good start today could push us towards the twenty unit mark.

=======================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 16 plays

Tuesday, August 16 MLB Series System Picks

1. Det RL (-130) to win 0.75 units
2. Oak (-140) to win 1 unit
3. Wash (+125) risk 0.5 units
4. Fla (+150) risk 0.75 units

======================================== =
***Results from August 15***

1. Det (-145) to win 0.5 units.................lose 0.73 units
2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit...............win 1 unit
3a. Oak (-165) to win 0.5 units............lose 0.83 units
3b. Oak RL (+130) risk 0.75 units..........lose 0.75 units
4. Mil (-155) to win 1.5 units................win 1.5 units
5. Fla (+135) risk 0.75 units...............lose 0.75 units

Total for Aug. 15: 2-3, -0.56 units

Overall SU System Record: 130-115, +12.29 units

======================================

***Notes***

In about a 10 minutes span, we went from a great night to a losing night. Florida blew their lead in the bottom of the 9th and Oakland gave up 4 runs in the 7th. Both these disasters happened simultaneously. Back at it today.

====================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 17 plays

Wednesday, August 17 MLB Series System Picks

1. Phi RL (-120) to win 1 unit

======================================== ===
***Results from August 16***

1. Det RL (-130) to win 0.75 units............win 0.75 units
2. Oak (-140) to win 1 unit.....................win 1 unit
3. Wash (+125) risk 0.5 units..................win 0.63 units
4. Fla (+150) risk 0.75 units....................win 1.13 units

Total for Aug. 16: 4-0, +3.51 units

Overall SU System Record: 130-115, +15.80 units

======================================== ====
***Notes***

Sweeeeeeeeep! Nice to see it, especially when you spot a couple good value dogs in the mix. Just one play today. Action will be light until Friday. I could use the break...been an unbelievably hectic 10 days.
======================================== ===
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Thursday, August 18 MLB Series System Picks

1. Bos RL (-120) to win 0.75 units
2. Yanks RL (-125) to win 0.5 units
3. Fla (+125) risk 0.75 units

======================================== ===
***Results from August 17***

1. Phi RL (-120) to win 1 unit.........................win 1 unit

Total for Aug. 17: 1-0, +1.00 units

Overall SU System Record: 131-115, +16.80 units
===============================
***Notes***

Picked up another unit. Good times. As we get deeper into August, the lines on the favs (even on the road) are getting out of hand. This doesn't stop us from playing them, but it does force us to play a lot more runlines and back off on units. Still, we try to pick spots with good value...but there will be fewer and fewer opportunities.

=======================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 19 plays

Friday, August 19 MLB Series System Picks

1. TB (+100) risk 0.5 units
2. Bos (-125) to win 0.75 units
3. SF (-145) to win 1.2 units
4. Fla (+120) risk 0.75 units

==================================
***Results from August 18***

1. Bos RL (-120) to win 0.75 units...............lose 0.9 units
2. Yanks RL (-125) to win 0.5 units................win 0.5 units
3. Fla (+125) risk 0.75 units.........................lose 0.75 units

Total for Aug. 18: 1-2, -1.15 units

Overall SU System Record: 132-117, +15.65 units

====================================
***Notes***

Damn...got burned on the Red Sox who won by just 1. With a low line we take another stab at them today. Again, we don't see much on the slate as we try to navigate a very tough minefield as we approach the end of August. This system will likely run for 1 or 2 more weeks. Hopefully we can get to +25 units on the year...not life altering, but respectable. Gonna have to go an inch at a time.

======================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 20 plays

Saturday, August 20 MLB Series System Picks

1. Angels (-140) to win 0.5 units
2a. SF (-165) to win 1 unit
2b. SF RL (-110) to win 0.75 units

=====================================
***Results from August 19***

1. TB (+100) risk 0.5 units......................win 0.5 units
2. Bos (-125) to win 0.75 units................win 0.75 units
3. SF (-145) to win 1.2 units....................lose 1.74 units
4. Fla (+120) risk 0.75 units....................lose 0.75 units

Total for Aug. 19: 2-2, -1.24 units

Overall SU System Record: 134-119, +14.41 units

======================================
***Notes***

Lost the one that mattered. Giants didn't even show up. No real chance of gaining much this week now. We'll focus on staying in the black for the week, but we'll need an SF win to assure it. Let's go Giants!

=====================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 21 plays

Sunday, August 21 MLB Series System Picks

1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units
2. SF (-120) to win 1 unit
3. Special parlay SF RL (+135)/Cards RL (+130): 0.5 units to win 2.2 units

===============================
***Notes***

SF screwing us this week...it's always somebody. Short on time...will total everything tomorrow.

================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 22 plays

Monday, August 22 MLB Series System Picks

1. Cle (-160) to win 0.5 units
2. Min (-135) to win 1.2 units
3. Atl (-120) to win 0.5 units
4. Phi RL (-110) to win 0.5 units

***Results from August 21***

1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units................................... ....win 0.75 units
2. SF (-120) to win 1 unit.................................... ............win 1 unit
3. Special parlay SF RL (+135)/Cards RL (+130).................win 2.2 units

=======================================
***Results from August 20***

1. Angels (-140) to win 0.5 units.......................win 0.5 units
2a. SF (-165) to win 1 unit...........................lose 1.65 units
2b. SF RL (-110) to win 0.75 units................lose 0.83 units

Total for Aug. 21: 3-0, +3.95 units

Total for Aug. 20: 1-1, -1.98 units

Overall SU System Record: 138-120, +16.38 units

======================================== =
***Notes***

SF finally comes through, even covering the RL in dramatic fashion. Because of that, we hit our parlay which actually gave us a nice rebound on Sunday, even though we still lost a little on the SF series. We ended in the black and gained +3.53 units last week. There will probably be a lot fewer plays over the next 2 weeks due to lines getting out of control. The books are even shifting the RL's now and it will be tough to get value on favs of -185 or higher. We'll continue to pick our spots and play most games between 0.5 and 1 unit.

=======================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 23

Tuesday, August 23 MLB Series System Picks

1. Yanks RL (+100) to win 0.75 units
2a. Tor (-185) to win 0.5 units
2b. Tor (+115) risk 0.5 units
3. Min (-140) to win 1.5 units
4. Cin (-140) to win 1 unit
5. Cards (+110) risk 0.5 units

======================================== ======
***Results from August 22***

1. Cle (-160) to win 0.5 units............................lose 0.8 units
2. Min (-135) to win 1.2 units.........................lose 1.62 units
3. Atl (-120) to win 0.5 units........................win 0.5 units
4. Phi RL (-110) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 22: 2-2, -1.42 units

Overall SU System Record: 138-120, +14.96 units

=====================================
***Notes***

Lost the one that mattered once again. The correction for all the favs hitting last month is coming on strong. Dogs are on fire the past week. Our unit management has been great for weathering this storm so far. Today is tough...there are a surprising number of plays that fit into the system. We get two good value plays on Min and Cin with reasonable lines. Boston also has great value today, but they just missed being a play. Our other plays are small. Today will probably make or break this week. Hopefully we'll pick up a couple units, but with 4 plays on favorites, it's a little scary. If we get the Twins, we should be fine.

===================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Wednesday, August 24 MLB Series System Picks

1. Min (-125) to win 1.3 units
2. Yanks RL (-130) to win 0.75 units
3. Tor RL (+105) to win 1.2 units
4. Cards (-145) to win 0.75 units

================================
***Results from August 23***

1. Yanks RL (+100) to win 0.75 units.....................lose 0.75 units
2a. Tor (-185) to win 0.5 units.........................lose 0.93 units
2b. Tor (+115) risk 0.5 units..........................lose 0.5 units
3. Min (-140) to win 1.5 units.....................lose 2.1 units
4. Cin (-140) to win 1 unit.........................win 1 unit
5. Cards (+110) risk 0.5 units......................lose 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 23: 1-4, -3.78 units

Overall SU System Record: 139-124, +11.18 units

=======================================
***Notes***

Hated the plays yesterday...stated outright that dogs were hitting, but still followed the system and got crushed. That's the hard part about systems...they can go against your instincts sometimes...but usually it pays off in the long run. Looking back, not sure I'd change anything. System was pretty strong on Minnesota winning one of the first two games in the series. I didn't think risking 2 units was too much, but with everything else missing, it really hurt us. That series has cost us 3.5 of the 5 units we are down this week. Gotta come back at it today, but ending the week in the black will be tough now. Playing the system straight today again...another tough one with the Yanks and Tor RLs. Committed to those series now, even though we'll be taking a loss on both. Let's get a winning day and turn the week around.

======================================== =====
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Got roughed up pretty bad this week so far. 1-8 the last two days. Tight on time today...totals and analysis coming tomorrow.

There are no plays for Thursday. No doubt the Yanks and Twins will both win big today.


Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 26 plays

Friday, August 26 MLB Series System Picks

1. Yanks (-165) to win 1 unit
2. Bos (-150) to win 1 unit
3. CHW (-130) to win 1.5 units
4. Atl (-145) to win 1 unit
5. Phi RL (-105) to win 0.5 units
6. Cin (-145) to win 0.75 units
7. Dodgers (-130) to win 0.5 units
8. Mil RL (+115) risk 0.5 units

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***Results from August 24***

1. Min (-125) to win 1.3 units.....................lose 1.63 units
2. Yanks RL (-130) to win 0.75 units.............lose 0.98 units
3. Tor RL (+105) to win 1.2 units................lose 1.2 units
4. Cards (-145) to win 0.75 units.................lose 1.09 units

Total for Aug. 24: 0-4, -4.9 units

Overall SU System Record: 139-124, +6.28 units

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***Notes***

That's basically it for any hope of this system doing well. Got burned for 10 units in just 3 days. Losing 5 units on the Minny series seems reasonable really. I think that was the first series since the first week of the system that we didn't get at least one win. It happened at a time when we couldn't get a win to offset the problem in any other series. The betting strategy goes in groups...that's what's kept us doing well in bad times. If an entire group of series tanks at the same time, this is the result. We'll continue through next week and that will be it. FYI...I'm going on a camping trip for the weekend so there will not be any plays posted on Saturday. Should be back early Sunday. This is a tough end to what had really been a nice run since that first disasterous week. From the first week of June until last week we had picked up 35 units, with just 3 losing weeks. I saw the writing on the wall for this week, and had the discipline to stay small...but we need to identify when to skip series all together. Today I'm playing it straight still...partly because of lack of time to manually filter anything, and partly because the strength in these series and favorable lines. Back on Sunday with a few more thoughts.

======================================== =========
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 29 plays

Monday, August 29 MLB Series System Picks

1. Det (-170) to win 0.75 units
2. Fla (+110) risk 0.5 units (gm 1)
3. Ari (-150) to win 1 unit
4. Conditional play: Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units (ONLY if Fla lose gm1)

==================================
***Results from August 26***

1. Yanks (-165) to win 1 unit...................lose 1.65 units
2. Bos (-150) to win 1 unit.....................lose 1.5 units
3. CHW (-130) to win 1.5 units...................win 1.5 units
4. Atl (-145) to win 1 unit..........................lose 1.45 units
5. Phi RL (-105) to win 0.5 units..................lose 0.5 units
6. Cin (-145) to win 0.75 units........................win 0.75 units
7. Dodgers (-130) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
8. Mil RL (+115) risk 0.5 units.......................win 0.58 units

Total for Aug. 26: 4-4, -1.77 units

Overall SU System Record: 143-128, +4.51 units

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***Notes***

I didn't get back on time on Sunday to post anything. Friday was another losing day and we ended down a devastating -11.87 units for the week. We didn't have one positive day last week of the 4 days plays were posted. August is a minefield and we went about 25 days without stepping on one. I guess that's not too bad big picture, but because the system started off so slowly, no matter what happens this week, this year was an absolute failure for this system. The most we'll end up is probably about 10 units and even that will be a stretch. We'll play one more week and then shut things down. Hoping to go out on a good note.

======================================
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Agu. 30 plays

Tuesday, August 30 MLB Series System Picks

1a. Det (-175) to win 0.5 units
1b. Det RL (+120) risk 0.75 units
2. Atl RL (+115) risk 0.5 units
3. Fla (+105) risk 0.75 units
4. Mil (-150) to win 1 unit
5. SF (-145) to win 1 unit

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***Results from August 29***

1. Det (-170) to win 0.75 units.......................lose 1.28 units
2. Fla (+110) risk 0.5 units (gm 1).................lose 0.5 units
3. Ari (-150) to win 1 unit........................win 1 unit
4. Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units (gm 2)..................lose 0.5 units

Total for Aug. 29: 1-3, -1.28 units

Overall SU System Record: 144-132, +3.23 units

======================================== =
***Notes***

Still going the wrong way but not giving up. Can we stay in the black for the season? We're at the crossroads of comedy and tragedy.

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Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Aug. 31 plays

Wednesday, August 31 MLB Series System Picks

1. Mil (-130) to win 1.5 units
2. Tor (-120) to win 1 unit
3a. SF (-175) to win 0.5 units
3b. SF RL (+125) risk 0.75 units
4. Atl (-150) to win 1.4 units

=======================================
***Results from August 30***

1a. Det (-175) to win 0.5 units...................win 0.5 units
1b. Det RL (+120) risk 0.75 units.................lose 0.75 units
2. Atl RL (+115) risk 0.5 units....................lose 0.5 units
3. Fla (+105) risk 0.75 units......................win 0.79 units
4. Mil (-150) to win 1 unit.....................lose 1.5 units
5. SF (-145) to win 1 unit.....................lose 1.45 units

Total for Aug. 30: 1-4, -2.91 units

Overall SU System Record: 145-136, +0.32 units

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***Notes***

Going through the motions for another day or two. Tough to watch all that hard work turn into nothing. Just a note to remind myself to go back and add up what Baltimore and the Cubs have cost this system over the past 3 weeks.

======================================== =======
Good luck,

Leprechaun

[Leprechaun]

Sep. 1 plays

Thursday, Sept 1 MLB Series System Picks

1. Mil RL (+105) to win 1.5 units

======================================== ===
***Results from August 31***

1. Mil (-130) to win 1.5 units.........................lose 1.95 units
2. Tor (-120) to win 1 unit........................win 1 unit
3a. SF (-175) to win 0.5 units.....................win 0.5 units
3b. SF RL (+125) risk 0.75 units..................win 0.94 units
4. Atl (-150) to win 1.4 units......................win 1.4 units

Total for Aug. 31: 3-1, +1.89 units

Overall SU System Record: 148-137, +1.89 units

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***Notes***

Last week, Baltimore swept at Minnesota for the first time since 1993. This week, Milwaukee loses two in a row at home for the first time this entire season. So nice to be on the losing end of those beauties. Today will be the last day for this system, which ended up being a big bust in the end. It was a good journey and I enjoyed a lot of it. I'll be back over the weekend to post the final numbers.

======================================== =
Good luck,

Leprechaun