BB Home dog 2011

[BetaB]

Final: Play2 Seattle +135 risked 20 to win 27

[BetaB]

Selection 1:	NBA, Basketball
	Oklahoma City Thunder 6-April-2012 4:05 PM PST
	1Q Handicap -1 for 1st Quarter -105
	Risking 16.80 to Win 16.00 AUD
Selection 2:	NBA, Basketball
	Atlanta Hawks 6-April-2012 4:35 PM PST
	1Q Handicap -3 for 1st Quarter -106
	Risking 10.60 to Win 10.00 AUD
Selection 3:	NBA, Basketball
	Cleveland Cavaliers 6-April-2012 4:35 PM PST
	1Q Handicap +2.5 for 1st Quarter -103
	Risking 16.48 to Win 16.00 AUD
Selection 4:	NBA, Basketball
	Dallas Mavericks 6-April-2012 5:35 PM PST
	1Q Handicap -2 for 1st Quarter -104
	Risking 10.40 to Win 10.00 AUD
4 Selections	Risking 54.28 to Win 52.00 AUD

[BetaB]

2-1 so far. Increase play on MAV to win 21

[BetaB]

DAL 1H cash,
Labby line was 5-5-5-5-11-11-16 Cleared

Play GSW and LAL 1Q to win 10
Introducing 2 new line

New Line1 5-5-5-5 After GSW win
New Line2 5-5-5-5 LAL 1Q -2 pending
4-1 so far. If you have bit of experience with Labby you will know that a long winning streak is not a good thing(if someone wanna hear why just ask and i will explain).

[BetaB]

Playing for fun

LAL1Q -5 to win 5 @-103
Buck 2H -8 to win 10 @-107
Buck 2H under 100.5 @ 100 to win 10

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MLB

Mariners win

1-1 +7USD

BR 2007

NBA Labby

5-5-11 (GSW 1Q covered and moved 11USD over from line1)
5-5-5-5-10.5 (LAL 1Q lost)

One Labby line clear +9USD

[BetaB]

OK back to baseball

Mariners
Roayls
Astro
A'
Giant
Twins
Pirate
CWS
NYY
Marlins
Red Sox

all risked 71USD

[BetaB]

As i mentioned above i would risked 1.5% flat and 1.5% accumulative =60 for 2000 BR. The extra 11USD is part of mine full kelly experiment based on 300 BR

[BetaB]

So far for early game i got

Giant +111 risked 71 to win 78.81
Red Sox +109 risked 71 to win 77.39
KC Royals +183 risked 71 to win 129

Matched Bets | Order Pad refresh Boston Red Sox +109 $71.00 $77.39 Kansas City Royals +183 $71.00 $129.93

[BetaB]

Hedging on twins and locked in both IND -0.5 1Q @+102 and MIL-1.5@-105 to win 16

[BetaB]

NVM i was looking at LAL 1Q for some reason

1-1 day with MIL win and IND lose

Labby line

5-5-5-5-11-16 (Note IND was +odd)
5-5-5

+0 today

YTD +9 (include 2 loses before starting labby NBA Q)
BR 331

[BetaB]

Hopefully CWS cover and conclude the first official day in black.

[BetaB]

Oh yeah, CWS won. I think it's safe to assume that A' will lose, so i will update today result now

All plays were made on MB and shown with commission included.

CWS +118
NYY -71.55 (include commission)
PIT +110
HOU +83
BOS -71.18
KC +129.61
Giant -71.5
A' -71.5

4-4 +150

BR 2150

[BetaB]

Oh crap just realized that my Marlins play didn't get match..............

Including Florida@+142: 5-4(assuming A' Lose) + 250

Anyway

If you wanna know what odd i got for each play here it is

KC+183
Astro+117
A'+112
Giant+111
Pit+153
CWS+166
NYY+115
BOS+109

[BetaB]

I got Braves,Twins,Yankee and Cubs for tomorrow game. GL

[BetaB]

btw. All risked 84 USD. The big jump in risk come from my full kelly stake part because here are only 4 games today compared to 10 yesterday.

Current BR 2250 USD

[BetaB]

Quarter play
1CLE 1Q to win 21
2PHI 1Q to win 16

5-5-5-5-16 (CLE)
5-5-5-11 (moved 11 to line 2 and play PHI)

[BetaB]

MLB play

NYY risk 83
Red SOX risk 83
Twins risk 83
Cubs risk 106

[BetaB]

Ok

NBA Quarter both cover

2-0 +37
YTD: +46
BR 369

MLB
1-4 -129
Red Sox -83
NYY -83
Twins -83
Cubs +127.2 (+120)

YTD: 6-7 + 121
BR: 2121

[BetaB]

Day4: 1Q play i got SAS,GSW and ORL

1Q play YTD:
day1: 4-2
day2: 1-1
day3: 2-0

YTD: 7-3


GL

[BetaB]

MLB

1CWS Stake to be advised
2SEA Stake to be advised
3CARD Stake to be advised
4Twins Stake to be advised

5Astros Stake to be advised
6Blue Jays Stake to be advised

7PHI/MIA over Risked 50
8Rockies/Giants over Risked 50

[BetaB]

Made a mistake

Take Red Sox not Blue Jays

[BetaB]

Stake

Play 1-4 risked 73
Play 5-6 risked 91
Play 7-8 risked 50

[BetaB]

way to go Red Sox and Astro. Both bigger plays are looking good.

[BetaB]

Update:

NBA Quarter
1-2 -11USD

ORL W
GSW L
SAS L


Current labby lines

5-10.5
5-5-10.5

YTD 8-5 +35 USD

MLB

1CWS Stake @+104 W +75.35
2SEA Stake L -73
3CARD Stake @ +104 W +75.35
4Twins Stake L -73

5Astros Stake @+160 W +148
6Blue Jays Stake @+110 W +101.4

7PHI/MIA over @ -105 W +47.75
8Rockies/Giants over @-105 L -52.5

5-3 + 249.35

[BetaB]

......... Forgot MLB YTD

YTD: 11-10 + 370.35
BR: 2370.35

[BetaB]

Day4 MLB play

1 Royals
2 Blue Jays
3 Cubs
4 Nats
5 O'
6 Mariners
7 Rays

All risked 81 play only if dog.

[BetaB]

NBA Quarters

CHA risked to win 15.5
PHI risked to win 15.5

[therushishere]

Don't mean to rain on your parade or discourage you or anything but I read in Scorecasting the other day that the home team in MLB only wins about 51% of the time- the lowest number in professional spots. Have you done any backtesting?

[BetaB]

Don't mean to rain on your parade or discourage you or anything but I read in Scorecasting the other day that the home team in MLB only wins about 51% of the time- the lowest number in professional spots. Have you done any backtesting?

I know that the thread title is misleading. Originally, i only looked at home dog but the profit margin was proven to be too low and since then i have moved on. About back testing, if you look at Bart85(i think) thread he mention playing dog in April as being profitable, I just use my own opinion to pick some games out of those.

Anyway, fade or tail is up to you and good luck either way. Also, you can look through last year result and decide for yourself if this thread is worth anything.

Here is to Bart Thread i mentioned.

[BetaB]

Fun play:

SAC +3 2H to win 15

[BetaB]

Kansas City Royals (Duffy) at Oakland Athletics (Godfrey)	Money Line	04/11/12 07:13	80.00	88.32
New York Yankees (Garcia) at Baltimore Orioles (Chen)	Money Line	04/10/12 23:45	80.00	-80.20
Milwaukee Brewers (Narveson) at Chicago Cubs (Maholm)	Money Line	04/10/12 23:29	80.00	-80.60
Boston Red Sox (Bard) at Toronto Blue Jays (Drabek)	Money Line	04/10/12 22:29	80.00	91.77
Washington Nationals (Detwiler) at New York Mets (Gee)	Money Line	04/10/12 22:34	80.00	86.18
Tampa Bay Rays (Moore) at Detroit Tigers (Porcello)	Money Line	04/10/12 15:42	80.00	-80.20

SEA -80 (Played on other book)

4-5 -60

YTD: 15-15+310

[BetaB]

Side stake to be advised
1Astro
2Cubs
3Mets
4Rockies

5Pirate
6O'
7Mariners
8Rays
9Twins

Total risked 50
Phillies/Marlins under

[BetaB]

Nba quarters

labby line

yesterday

5-10.5 cleared after phi won
5-5-10.5-16.3 after clev lose

today line (moved 10.5 from existing line to a new line)

5-5-5-5-10.5 (new line) play phi 1q
5-5-16.3 play ind 1q

ind to win 21.3
phi to win 15.5

additional play

sas
gsw

[BetaB]

Play 1-4 risk 95
play 5-9 risk 73