BB Home dog 2011

[BetaB]

Tracing plays on only home dog with 1000 USD BR.
Target 2000 USD by the end of season:

Starting BR 1000

Day1
Play 28/5/11: Line from Pinnacle

1 Mets +138
Risking 58.3 to win 80.5

2 Rockies +121
Risking 49.7 to win 60.1

3 Tigers +143
Risking 22.7 to win 32.5

[BetaB]

Day1 Update:

1Met +138 Lost -58.3

2 Rockies +121 Won +60.1

3 Tiger +143 Postpone

YTD:1-1 +1.8
BR: 1001.8

[BetaB]

Day2:

1Mets +104
Risking 54 to win 56.16

2Astor +106
Risking 40 to win 42.4

3Detroit G1 +141
Risking 52 to win 73

4 Detriot G2 +100
Risking 52 to win 52

[BetaB]

Day2: Update

1: Mets +104 won 56.16

2 Astro +106 lost -40

3 Detroit G1 lost -52

4 Detroit G2 wom 52

YTD: 3-3 +17.96
BR: 1017.96

[BetaB]

Day3

1 National + 166
Risking 55 to win 91.3

2 Kansas +110
Risking 50 to win 55

[BetaB]

Day3: Update

1 National + 166 lost - 55

2: Kansas +110 lost -50

YTD: 3-5 -87USD (round up)

BR: 913

[BetaB]

Day4:

1 Kansas City +104
Risking 55.5 to win 57.7

2 Washington Nat +164
Risking 47 to win 77.08

[BetaB]

Day4: Update

1[COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]Kansas City +104 win 57.7[/COLOR]

2 Washington Nat +164 won 77.08

YTD:5-5 +48

BR 1048

[BetaB]

Day5: No play

[BetaB]

Day6: No play(no home dog at all today)

[BetaB]

Since, there aren't that many home dog to play recently. I'm going to try my hand on a Labby system. However, i will play this from Matchbook since even Pinnacle lines are a bit juicy with total.

Bank Roll 300( Not the same one with the 1000 for home dog)

Labby line

3-3-3-3 ( Under 6.5 risking 7.1 to win 6) Lost
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3

Play to come later

One play today: Rays/Mariner under 6.5 (-118)

[BetaB]

Day7: Home dog

1 Pirate +145
Risking 55 to win 79.75

2 Indian +110
Risking 55 to win 60.5

Amount risk will be posted later

Labby Line

3-3-3-3-7.1 Red Sox/A' under 8.5 risking8.63 to win 10.1
3-3-3-3 Card/Cubs under 7.5 risking 5.45 to win 6.0
3-3-3-3 Royal Twins under 9.5 risking 4.84 to win 6.0

1 more plays

Dback/Nats under 9 will be added depend on result from earlier game

Dback Nats under 9 +103 risking 8 to win 8.

[BetaB]

Day7 update

Home Dog


1 Pirate +145
Risking 55 to win 79.75 WON

2 Indian +110
Risking 55 to win 60.5 Lost

1-1 +24.25

System2 total Under

Before Db game
3-3-3-7.1-8.5
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3

Averaging the line after 1st 3 game play (3+8.5+3+3+3+3)/3 = 9 ie play Db under to win 9 units. Oh actually i got did the math wrong here, instead of putting in 9 which is Red Sox game risk i put in 10.1 the correct calculation is shown below.

So after the first 3 game line become

3-3-3-7.1-8.5
3-3
3-3

averaging all the last number for each row, which is around 6: So, an updated line after all 3 lines had been grade become.

3-3-3-7.1-5
3-5
3-5

and after DB game i cleared the second line( Although the actual bet placed was to win 9USD due to miscalculation)

Current line:

3-3-3-5
3-3-3-3-7.1 (new line and moved 7.1 from line 1 to line 2 so that each line would be of roughly the same weight)
3-5

Record: 2-3 +6 USD

[BetaB]

Day8: Home Dog

1: Mets +114 47 to win 53.6

2:Baltimore +111 47 to win 53


No play on Florida.

Labby line

3-3-3-5 (Royal twins U9.5@-107)
3-3-3-3-7.1
3-5 (Mil. Brewer @-128 to win 8)

[BetaB]

Day8: Upadate

Day8: Home Dog

1: Mets +114 47 to win 53.6 WON

2:Baltimore +111 47 to win 53 WON

2-0 +106.6

BR: 1178
YTD: 7-5

Labby line
[COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]
3-3-3-5 (Royal twins U9.5@-107) WON +8
3-3-3-3-7.1
3-5 (Mil. Brewer @-128 to win 8) WON +8[/COLOR]

YTD 5-2 +22USD
BR 322

[BetaB]

Day 9:

Home Dog

1: Indian +130

2: LAA +114

Labby:

Under8 Red/Dodger


Stake will be updated later

[BetaB]

Day 9:

Home Dog

1: Play Ranger instead of Indian @-130 for 64 to win 49.25 (moved to labby play)

2: LAA +114 for 68 to win 77.5

Labby:

I plan to increase the number of line to 4 lines but there is still some work to set it up properly

At least 2 play
1Under8 Red/Dodger
2Miami ML(NBA)
3:Texas Ranger @ -130

Since, the result had been better than i'm expected i will start with a fresh 3 new lines( and possiply 4 if i can figure how to manage them) to be conservative:

3-3-3-3 (Under 8 Red/LAD @+112 5.41 to win 6)
3-3-3-3 (Miami ML @ +120 risk 5 to win 6)
3-3-3-3 (Ranger ML@-126 risk 7.6 to win 6)

[BetaB]

Day 9 Update

Home Dog:

1: LAA +114 Lose - 68

YTD: 7-6 +110
BR 1110


Labby:
3-3-3-3-5.4 Red U8 lose
3-3-3-3 (Miami ML Pending) Won +6
3-3-3-3 Ranger Won+6
YTD:7-3 +28.6
BR 328.6

[BetaB]

Day 10:

Home dog: Possible plays

1:Marlins + 124 (Moved to 1st Labby line)

2:KC Royal +111 (54 to win 60)

3:LAA + 131 (24 to win 31)


Labby: play to update later

3-3-3-3-5.4 (7 to win 8.4)
3-3 (Philly over 7.5 -114)
3-3 (Ranger Over@112)

[BetaB]

one more play: Under 9 Red/Cubs +107. will have to start a new labby line for this(4th line)

3-3-3-3-5.4(7 on Florida)
3-3 (6.75 on Philly O7.5)
3-3 (5.5 on Ranger O9.5)
3-3-3-3(5.6 on Red under 9)

[BetaB]

Day10 Update

Home dog: Possible plays

1:Marlins + 124 (Moved to 1st Labby line) See labby line

2:KC Royal +111 (54 to win 60) Won +60

3:LAA + 131 (24 to win 31) Lose -24

1-1 +36

YTD:8-7 + 146
BR 1146

Labby

3-3-3-3-5.4-7
3-3-6.75
line clear
3-3-3-3-5.6

1-3 (-13.35)

YTD: 8-6 +15.25
BR 315.25

[BetaB]

Day11:

Home Dog:

1:Pirate +109 risking 69 to win 75

2:Pardes +137 Risking 38 to win 52


Labby line:
2 Plays on Labby line so far

1:NYY/Red Sox over 9.5
2:Miami Heat ML
3:Cleveland India ML
4:Cardinal -121
5:Brave -125
6:Brewer O8
7:Indian U9
8:Ranger U10

[BetaB]

1:NYY/Red Sox over 9.5 @ -105 to win 8.6
2:Miami Heat ML @ +135 to win 10
3:Cleveland India ML @ -125 to win 6
4:Cardinal @ -121 to win 6
5:Brave @-125 to win 6
6:Brewer O8 @-116 to win 6
7:Indian U9 @-115 to win 6
8:Ranger U10 @ +108 to win 9.75

3-3-3-3-5.4-7
3-3-6.75
3-3-3-3-5.6
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3

[BetaB]

Day:11 Update


Home Dog:

1:Pirate +109 risking 69 to win 75 WON

2:Pardes +137 Risking 38 to win 52 [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]WON[/COLOR]
2-0 +127

YTD:10-7 +273
BR 1273

1:NYY/Red Sox over 9.5 @ -105 to win 8.6 WON +8.6
2:Miami Heat ML @ +135 to win 10 Lost -7.8
3:Cleveland India ML @ -125 to win 6 WON +6
4:Cardinal @ -121 to win 6 Won +6
5:Brave @-125 to win 6 Won +6
6:Brewer O8 @-116 to win 6 Lost -7.1
7:Indian U9 @-115 to win 6 Won +6
8:Ranger U10 @ +108 to win 9.75 Won +9.75

6-2 +27.45
YTD: 14-8 +42.70

BR 342.70

Labby Line to be updated later
3-3-3-3-5.4-7
3-3-6.75
3-3-3-3-5.6
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3

[BetaB]

Day12

2 possible Home dog plays today so far on Astros and Royals.

[BetaB]

For some reason KC is no longer a dog so i can't play them on my home dog. Moved KC -107 to labby line to win 6.

1 Home dog play

Astro + 138 Risking 50 to win 69.

Labby line

3-3-3-3-5.4-7-7.8
3-3-6.75
3-3-3-7.1
3-3
3-3
3-3
3-3
3-3

after shuffle

3-3-3-3-7 (LAA U6.5@+113)
3-3-6.7.5 (Brewer U8.5@+121)
3-3-3-7.1 (Phillies U7@+117)
3-3-7.8 (Cubs @ +132)
3-3-5.4 (Ranger U9@+103)
3-3 (Giant U7.5@-122)
3-3 (Pirate @-110)
3-3 (KC @-107)

[BetaB]

if, the cubs game lost then follow up with Seattle for +130-+140.

[BetaB]

Since, the Cubs won. Seattle will be played to win 6USD.

[BetaB]

Day12: Update

1 Home dog play

Astro + 138 Risking 50 to win 69 WON +69

YTD:11-7 +342
BR 1342

Labby line

3-3-3-3-7 (LAA U6.5@+113) Lost -8.85
3-3-6.7.5 (Brewer U8.5@+121) Lost -8.67
3-3-3-7.1 (Phillies U7@+117) WON +10.1
3-3-7.8 (Cubs @ +132) WON +11.8
3-3-5.4 (Ranger U9@+103) Lost -8.4
3-3 (Giant U7.5@-122) WON +6
3-3 (Pirate @-110) WON +6
3-3 (KC @-107) Lose -5.6

Oh, I forgot Seattle WON +6
5-4: +8.38

YTD: 18-11 + 51.1

BR 351.1

Overall record 29-19

[BetaB]

Day13: Home dog

Look like no Home dog play tomorrow. One lean so far is Brave ML on Labby line (most likely to win 6)

No Home dog play today.

If possible, quickly get NYY @-124 in the worst case you can lay NYY on MB.

Ok,i think this is all the play i got for today. All of them will be played on labby. Check back later for more detail.
1 NYY ML
2 Braves (Brave -1 would be more preferable)
3 Blue Jays (again -1 is more preferable)
4 Rockies/LAD over
5 Dback ML
6 NYY under
7 CWS under

[BetaB]

Day13:Update

For whoever follow this thread. I want to inform you all that i will not continue with labby system since, i just can manage them properly. Looking on these line, you will see that even though i've had a winning day for the last few days but i still got to risk more and more of my/our BR on these pick. As a result, the above 7 picks will be amount on similar system as my home dog play which based on Kelly citeria. Risk amount will be posted later.

[BetaB]

Ok here is the stake for each bet. Note: the number on NYY is not a typo. I will post Pinny line along as well although i got slightly better line with MB. Btw, the amount based on current BR of 350USD.

1Blue Jays -128 Risking 13
2Braves -115 Risking 24
3Dback -118 Risking 7
4Rockies -110 Risking 29
5Rockies Over8 -101 Risking 20
6NYY O8 +113 Risking 21
7CWS O7.5 +105 Risking 14
8NYY ML -130 Risking 0 (Play some SBR point on this) LoL
8

[BetaB]

Day 13: Update

1Blue Jays -128 Risking 13 LOST -13
2Braves -115 Risking 24 WON + 20.9
3Dback -118 Risking 7 WON +5.9
4Rockies -110 Risking 29 WON +26
5Rockies Over8 -101 Risking 20 WON +20
6NYY O8 +113 Risking 21
7CWS O7.5 +105 Risking 14 WON + 14.7
8 NYY ML

6NYY O8 -113 Risking 21 WON + 18.6
7CWS O7.5 -105 Risking 14 WON + 13.3

Hopefully, Rockies will pull through somehow. Yay winner Rockies

Today 6-1 +91.8

[BetaB]

Just want to inform whoever following my pick that in post 33# i made a mistake in play 6 and 7, you may notice that the lines listed are those corresponding to an under bet rather than an over bet, it because the actual plays are suppose to be CWS under and NYY under (this will look bad for me since NYY game is still 2-0 in 5th). Anyway, i feel like i owe you guy and explanation to what is going on. Consequently, record for today will be based on the over play with odd changing from + to -.

[Wilba]

hi good luck with what u r doing..

I am interested and will follow your thread