Nc '11

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  • JamesBrown
    SBR MVP
    • 04-07-08
    • 3860

    #1856
    I think you're right. This is the perfect spot to fade Bos. Also like the over in the Yanks game.
    Comment
    • BigDan
      Restricted User
      • 04-28-11
      • 5104

      #1857
      Originally posted by JamesBrown
      I think you're right. This is the perfect spot to fade Bos. Also like the over in the Yanks game.

      I hope so JB.

      Far as nyy/cle total i see a lot of ppl that are better at totals than me liking the under, im with you between nyy pen and bats hard not to see some runs, but i suck at totals and certainly not trying to play this one. BOL

      The over im interested in atm is tex/min ov8 (again), just not sure why this is so low and ppl like the under? Baker doesnt have the goods to get through tex lineup 3 times and not like Lewis is a world beater. Going to the gym so ill think about this a little more before the 1st pitch.
      Comment
      • clairvoyance
        Restricted User
        • 06-06-11
        • 115

        #1858
        i am huge on boston. you are out of your mind betting toronto at that price
        Comment
        • BigDan
          Restricted User
          • 04-28-11
          • 5104

          #1859
          Originally posted by clairvoyance
          i am huge on boston. you are out of your mind betting toronto at that price
          Fair enough, but going "huge" on Lackey doesnt make you the most stable person around either friend. At least one of us will win.
          Comment
          • clairvoyance
            Restricted User
            • 06-06-11
            • 115

            #1860
            Originally posted by BigDan
            Fair enough, but going "huge" on Lackey doesnt make you the most stable person around either friend. At least one of us will win.
            lackey is the reason i'm going huge
            Comment
            • clairvoyance
              Restricted User
              • 06-06-11
              • 115

              #1861
              he created a ton of value in the line
              Comment
              • qbsafety8
                Restricted User
                • 10-23-10
                • 393

                #1862
                ^^^^BAAAHAAA, im on your side BD.
                Comment
                • BigDan
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-28-11
                  • 5104

                  #1863
                  Originally posted by clairvoyance
                  he created a ton of value in the line

                  talk to me about all the "value" he created when he gets tagged for 6 runs.
                  Comment
                  • clairvoyance
                    Restricted User
                    • 06-06-11
                    • 115

                    #1864
                    you guys just don't understand how betting works. you can make alot of money betting on terrible pitchers and lose even more betting on great ones
                    Comment
                    • clairvoyance
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-06-11
                      • 115

                      #1865
                      Originally posted by BigDan
                      talk to me about all the "value" he created when he gets tagged for 6 runs.
                      i'll just find someone to talk to that has a clue about how to win betting sports
                      Comment
                      • Tgordon777
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-09-11
                        • 525

                        #1866
                        best bet was taking the under in this one

                        think boston wins 4-3 tho.
                        Comment
                        • BigDan
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-28-11
                          • 5104

                          #1867
                          Originally posted by clairvoyance
                          i'll just find someone to talk to that has a clue about how to win betting sports

                          Or change your username again after you look like a ass, either way huh?
                          Comment
                          • ParlayJunkie
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-06-10
                            • 689

                            #1868
                            Good luck on your plays today no coin.
                            Comment
                            • Dexter
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 25829

                              #1869
                              Originally posted by clairvoyance
                              i'll just find someone to talk to that has a clue about how to win betting sports
                              wow...it sounds like you are one of the true sharp bettors. it would be nice to watch you document all your success and share with the forum. lets all take the books money.....right?
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #1870
                                Originally posted by BigDan
                                Or change your username again after you look like a ass, either way huh?
                                ahh...the classic ghost acct. he has no pm's it looks like, so that makes sense...
                                Comment
                                • clairvoyance
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-06-11
                                  • 115

                                  #1871
                                  Originally posted by Dexter
                                  wow...it sounds like you are one of the true sharp bettors. it would be nice to watch you document all your success and share with the forum. lets all take the books money.....right?
                                  i do share with the forum. i've posted plenty in this thread. if i remember correctly two days ago i said boston, kc, n kc under they all hit. i just posted my biggest bet of the day an hour ago. i post sometimes in other threads too. the last thing i would ever do is put a menu of my picks for everyone to see to piggyback off my hard work, especially when the vast majority just have no clue. i'd love to find a place where rational sports bettors could exchange their views freely or even a few people period, the more intelligent insight the better. i just haven't found that yet. i understand that alot of people on here are casual bettors, but there are alot who claim they can beat the books by simply betting against an awful pitcher or a team on a losing streak and thats just ridiculous.

                                  by your guys standards im about to look like a genius on boston
                                  Comment
                                  • shaq diesel 75
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-13-10
                                    • 275

                                    #1872
                                    Toronto is done and Morrow still hasn't figured out that you can't strike every hitter out. This kid is the classic "great stuff" with the approach to pitching of a little leaguer, he needs to grow up and quit throwing strikes in 0-2 counts to All Stars.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dexter
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 25829

                                      #1873
                                      Originally posted by clairvoyance
                                      i do share with the forum. i've posted plenty in this thread. if i remember correctly two days ago i said boston, kc, n kc under they all hit. i just posted my biggest bet of the day an hour ago. i post sometimes in other threads too. the last thing i would ever do is put a menu of my picks for everyone to see to piggyback off my hard work, especially when the vast majority just have no clue. i'd love to find a place where rational sports bettors could exchange their views freely or even a few people period, the more intelligent insight the better. i just haven't found that yet. i understand that alot of people on here are casual bettors, but there are alot who claim they can beat the books by simply betting against an awful pitcher or a team on a losing streak and thats just ridiculous.

                                      by your guys standards im about to look like a genius on boston
                                      sounds to me like you just look in the wrong places....nice call on Bos.
                                      Comment
                                      • Avenger
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-15-11
                                        • 2119

                                        #1874
                                        Ignore Clairvoyance, he's either a shill or full of shit. He's 60/40 at best, no one to to.

                                        BUT I may have a winner tonight and unfortunately, it goes with Clair's theory going against good pitchers.

                                        don't know much about the Rays, but I see massive RLM, not to mention everyone on SBR and their mother is on Rays (so RLM isn't fake). Tell me why Price is a good pitcher to fade? I don't track Rays but hasn't he been playing poorly of late?

                                        Will check on more later, but I've first going to cash on my Phillies and Cards parlay right now. That's right. It's only a lot of juice when you lose!

                                        And riding on another tip: I'm betting small on the Rangers. Swami tells me Lewis will make a massive comeback today.
                                        Comment
                                        • clairvoyance
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-06-11
                                          • 115

                                          #1875
                                          Originally posted by Avenger
                                          Ignore Clairvoyance, he's either a shill or full of shit. He's 60/40 at best, no one to to.
                                          if could hit 60% i'd be the best sports bettor in the world

                                          BUT I may have a winner tonight and unfortunately, it goes with Clair's theory going against good pitchers.
                                          lol wow, its just not even close to that simple. i have got to put you ignore, its too much

                                          sounds to me like you just look in the wrong places
                                          any suggestion where to look?
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #1876
                                            Originally posted by clairvoyance
                                            if could hit 60% i'd be the best sports bettor in the world



                                            lol wow, its just not even close to that simple. i have got to put you ignore, its too much



                                            any suggestion where to look?
                                            are you quantitative in your sports handicapping? if so, check out the Think Tank here on SBR.
                                            Comment
                                            • clairvoyance
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 06-06-11
                                              • 115

                                              #1877
                                              Originally posted by Dexter
                                              are you quantitative in your sports handicapping? if so, check out the Think Tank here on SBR.
                                              no i don't handicap games its all market theory. there's a ton of good stuff there but i'm kind of on the outside without a math model spitting out numbers
                                              Comment
                                              • vyomguy
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-08-09
                                                • 5794

                                                #1878
                                                clairvoyance, you come off as a prick who thinks he knows "everything" in baseball. If you are so good, then why are you here?...shut the fuk up already.

                                                If you have any insights, post it here...otherwise dont criticize others.
                                                Comment
                                                • clairvoyance
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-06-11
                                                  • 115

                                                  #1879
                                                  Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                  clairvoyance, you come off as a prick who thinks he knows "everything" in baseball.
                                                  you are just too dense to understand anything i'm saying

                                                  If you have any insights, post it here...otherwise dont criticize others.
                                                  i have shared them plenty, people just don't like what i have to say
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Avenger
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-15-11
                                                    • 2119

                                                    #1880
                                                    Clair, please put me on ignore. BTW u lost on the Bjays yesterday and lost a few others a few days ago. And you're 60/40 on good days, minus the bad streaks everyone encounters. You're not a sharp. Wannabe
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #1881
                                                      Originally posted by clairvoyance
                                                      you are just too dense to understand anything i'm saying



                                                      i have shared them plenty, people just don't like what i have to say
                                                      why dont you have pm?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • vyomguy
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-08-09
                                                        • 5794

                                                        #1882
                                                        Originally posted by clairvoyance
                                                        you are just too dense to understand anything i'm saying
                                                        Ya....what you say is so smart, that none of us can understand. I have studied way more than you with advanced technical degrees sir. Enough with the attitude.

                                                        Originally posted by clairvoyance
                                                        i have shared them plenty, people just don't like what i have to say
                                                        Most of what you have been "sharing" is criticizing other people's opinions.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • miyakuza
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-03-10
                                                          • 1411

                                                          #1883
                                                          I can't believe a lot of you took Toronto with Morrow's horrific record vs Boston.

                                                          Let me add, with Boston's red hot bats at that.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • clairvoyance
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 06-06-11
                                                            • 115

                                                            #1884
                                                            Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                            Ya....what you say is so smart, that none of us can understand.
                                                            no its apparent that none of you understand how to actually beat the books. its not about picking a better team or who you think will win, its about finding what the true line should be(or the approximate % of the time a team will win) and only betting if you are getting a better price than what you think is the true line. that is how sports betting works. no one here comprehends this

                                                            Most of what you have been "sharing" is criticizing other people's opinions.
                                                            if i see someone who claims they can win money and then spews garbage i'm going to call them out on it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDan
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-28-11
                                                              • 5104

                                                              #1885
                                                              Guys the clown was posting as "lord and Master" 2 weeks ago, always dropping by GG threads to tell him how wrong he was(half way though the gm most days). After that stopped working (like when he actually said something b4 the 1st pitch)L&M is gone and we get this douche. Pretty sure L&M now this clown is a ghost of one of the biggest clowns ive seen around here. Clardouche tel us about how you pounded tor yesterday because of the travel for bos, strange how you only bring up a pick you actually had right. Nice call on Bos i guess in the 1st inn.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #1886
                                                                Originally posted by clairvoyance
                                                                no its apparent that none of you understand how to actually beat the books. its not about picking a better team or who you think will win, its about finding what the true line should be(or the approximate % of the time a team will win) and only betting if you are getting a better price than what you think is the true line. that is how sports betting works. no one here comprehends this



                                                                if i see someone who claims they can win money and then spews garbage i'm going to call them out on it
                                                                prove that you're a winner. you may understand what it takes to beat a sport over the course of a season, but how do you react when the pressure is on. when you're having a bad run, do you chase to get out of the hole? there are so many variables outside of picking winners, and most people lose sight of that. you really are in no position to be lecturing people on how to bet since you cant back it up.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • clairvoyance
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-06-11
                                                                  • 115

                                                                  #1887
                                                                  Originally posted by BigDan
                                                                  Clardouche tel us about how you pounded tor yesterday because of the travel for bos
                                                                  in that same post i said colorado over because both were going to get more going more expensive and i was right on both counts. blue jays closed more expensive and the colorado over was considerably more expensive. this guys post highlights exactly what i was saying about no one understanding how sports betting works
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Allure
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-18-10
                                                                    • 7606

                                                                    #1888
                                                                    Don't pay him attention and he'll be gone faster as you think.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #1889
                                                                      Originally posted by BigDan
                                                                      Guys the clown was posting as "lord and Master" 2 weeks ago, always dropping by GG threads to tell him how wrong he was(half way though the gm most days). After that stopped working (like when he actually said something b4 the 1st pitch)L&M is gone and we get this douche. Pretty sure L&M now this clown is a ghost of one of the biggest clowns ive seen around here. Clardouche tel us about how you pounded tor yesterday because of the travel for bos, strange how you only bring up a pick you actually had right. Nice call on Bos i guess in the 1st inn.
                                                                      this guy has no pm access so it makes sense.....
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • clairvoyance
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 06-06-11
                                                                        • 115

                                                                        #1890
                                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                        prove that you're a winner.
                                                                        i care to prove nothing to a message board

                                                                        you may understand what it takes to beat a sport over the course of a season, but how do you react when the pressure is on. when you're having a bad run, do you chase to get out of the whole?
                                                                        what? pressure is on? lol. i just continue making profitable expectation bets

                                                                        there are so many variables outside of picking winners, and most people lose sight of that.
                                                                        there's one and its bankroll management

                                                                        you really are in no position to be lecturing people on how to bet since you cant back it up.
                                                                        it's really like i'm talking to a wall
                                                                        Comment
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