I think you're right. This is the perfect spot to fade Bos. Also like the over in the Yanks game.
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Originally posted by JamesBrown
I hope so JB.
Far as nyy/cle total i see a lot of ppl that are better at totals than me liking the under, im with you between nyy pen and bats hard not to see some runs, but i suck at totals and certainly not trying to play this one. BOL
The over im interested in atm is tex/min ov8 (again), just not sure why this is so low and ppl like the under? Baker doesnt have the goods to get through tex lineup 3 times and not like Lewis is a world beater. Going to the gym so ill think about this a little more before the 1st pitch.Comment -
i am huge on boston. you are out of your mind betting toronto at that priceComment -
Fair enough, but going "huge" on Lackey doesnt make you the most stable person around either friend. At least one of us will win.Originally posted by clairvoyance
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lackey is the reason i'm going hugeOriginally posted by BigDanFair enough, but going "huge" on Lackey doesnt make you the most stable person around either friend. At least one of us will win.Comment -
he created a ton of value in the lineComment -
^^^^BAAAHAAA, im on your side BD.Comment -
Originally posted by clairvoyance
talk to me about all the "value" he created when he gets tagged for 6 runs.Comment -
you guys just don't understand how betting works. you can make alot of money betting on terrible pitchers and lose even more betting on great onesComment -
i'll just find someone to talk to that has a clue about how to win betting sportsOriginally posted by BigDanComment -
best bet was taking the under in this one
think boston wins 4-3 tho.Comment -
Originally posted by clairvoyance
Or change your username again after you look like a ass, either way huh?Comment -
Good luck on your plays today no coin.Comment -
wow...it sounds like you are one of the true sharp bettors. it would be nice to watch you document all your success and share with the forum. lets all take the books money.....right?Originally posted by clairvoyance
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ahh...the classic ghost acct. he has no pm's it looks like, so that makes sense...Originally posted by BigDanComment -
i do share with the forum. i've posted plenty in this thread. if i remember correctly two days ago i said boston, kc, n kc under they all hit. i just posted my biggest bet of the day an hour ago. i post sometimes in other threads too. the last thing i would ever do is put a menu of my picks for everyone to see to piggyback off my hard work, especially when the vast majority just have no clue. i'd love to find a place where rational sports bettors could exchange their views freely or even a few people period, the more intelligent insight the better. i just haven't found that yet. i understand that alot of people on here are casual bettors, but there are alot who claim they can beat the books by simply betting against an awful pitcher or a team on a losing streak and thats just ridiculous.Originally posted by Dexterwow...it sounds like you are one of the true sharp bettors. it would be nice to watch you document all your success and share with the forum. lets all take the books money.....right?
by your guys standards im about to look like a genius on bostonComment -
Toronto is done and Morrow still hasn't figured out that you can't strike every hitter out. This kid is the classic "great stuff" with the approach to pitching of a little leaguer, he needs to grow up and quit throwing strikes in 0-2 counts to All Stars.Comment -
sounds to me like you just look in the wrong places....nice call on Bos.Originally posted by clairvoyanceComment -
Ignore Clairvoyance, he's either a shill or full of shit. He's 60/40 at best, no one to to.
BUT I may have a winner tonight and unfortunately, it goes with Clair's theory going against good pitchers.
don't know much about the Rays, but I see massive RLM, not to mention everyone on SBR and their mother is on Rays (so RLM isn't fake). Tell me why Price is a good pitcher to fade? I don't track Rays but hasn't he been playing poorly of late?
Will check on more later, but I've first going to cash on my Phillies and Cards parlay right now. That's right. It's only a lot of juice when you lose!
And riding on another tip: I'm betting small on the Rangers. Swami tells me Lewis will make a massive comeback today.
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if could hit 60% i'd be the best sports bettor in the worldOriginally posted by AvengerIgnore Clairvoyance, he's either a shill or full of shit. He's 60/40 at best, no one to to.
lol wow, its just not even close to that simple. i have got to put you ignore, its too muchBUT I may have a winner tonight and unfortunately, it goes with Clair's theory going against good pitchers.
any suggestion where to look?sounds to me like you just look in the wrong placesComment -
are you quantitative in your sports handicapping? if so, check out the Think Tank here on SBR.Originally posted by clairvoyanceComment -
no i don't handicap games its all market theory. there's a ton of good stuff there but i'm kind of on the outside without a math model spitting out numbersOriginally posted by DexterComment -
clairvoyance, you come off as a prick who thinks he knows "everything" in baseball. If you are so good, then why are you here?...shut the fuk up already.
If you have any insights, post it here...otherwise dont criticize others.Comment -
you are just too dense to understand anything i'm sayingOriginally posted by vyomguy
i have shared them plenty, people just don't like what i have to sayIf you have any insights, post it here...otherwise dont criticize others.Comment -
Clair, please put me on ignore. BTW u lost on the Bjays yesterday and lost a few others a few days ago. And you're 60/40 on good days, minus the bad streaks everyone encounters. You're not a sharp. WannabeComment -
why dont you have pm?Originally posted by clairvoyanceComment -
Ya....what you say is so smart, that none of us can understand. I have studied way more than you with advanced technical degrees sir. Enough with the attitude.Originally posted by clairvoyance
Most of what you have been "sharing" is criticizing other people's opinions.Originally posted by clairvoyanceComment -
I can't believe a lot of you took Toronto with Morrow's horrific record vs Boston.
Let me add, with Boston's red hot bats at that.Comment -
no its apparent that none of you understand how to actually beat the books. its not about picking a better team or who you think will win, its about finding what the true line should be(or the approximate % of the time a team will win) and only betting if you are getting a better price than what you think is the true line. that is how sports betting works. no one here comprehends thisOriginally posted by vyomguy
if i see someone who claims they can win money and then spews garbage i'm going to call them out on itMost of what you have been "sharing" is criticizing other people's opinions.Comment -
Guys the clown was posting as "lord and Master" 2 weeks ago, always dropping by GG threads to tell him how wrong he was(half way though the gm most days). After that stopped working (like when he actually said something b4 the 1st pitch)L&M is gone and we get this douche. Pretty sure L&M now this clown is a ghost of one of the biggest clowns ive seen around here. Clardouche tel us about how you pounded tor yesterday because of the travel for bos, strange how you only bring up a pick you actually had right. Nice call on Bos i guess in the 1st inn.Comment -
prove that you're a winner. you may understand what it takes to beat a sport over the course of a season, but how do you react when the pressure is on. when you're having a bad run, do you chase to get out of the hole? there are so many variables outside of picking winners, and most people lose sight of that. you really are in no position to be lecturing people on how to bet since you cant back it up.Originally posted by clairvoyanceComment -
in that same post i said colorado over because both were going to get more going more expensive and i was right on both counts. blue jays closed more expensive and the colorado over was considerably more expensive. this guys post highlights exactly what i was saying about no one understanding how sports betting worksOriginally posted by BigDanComment -
Don't pay him attention and he'll be gone faster as you think.Comment -
this guy has no pm access so it makes sense.....Originally posted by BigDanComment -
i care to prove nothing to a message boardOriginally posted by Dexter
what? pressure is on? lol. i just continue making profitable expectation betsyou may understand what it takes to beat a sport over the course of a season, but how do you react when the pressure is on. when you're having a bad run, do you chase to get out of the whole?
there's one and its bankroll managementthere are so many variables outside of picking winners, and most people lose sight of that.
it's really like i'm talking to a wallyou really are in no position to be lecturing people on how to bet since you cant back it up.Comment
