I'm liking the unders on the Cub/Phi & STL/HOU games and over in Bos/NYY &KC/TOR games. Of course all 4 are pretty square bets. But they should hit.
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cappinpicks 55-5 runComment -
how is that possibly way too low? bjays are above average, royals are below average neither team is amongst the best or worst in the league
i don't think you understand how lines workand Yankees (Sabathia) for -120, way too low, Joe Pub would fall for Sabathia at -150, even against the Red Sox.
so you think the yankees and bjays are incredible bargains and you want to bet against? what universe is this logic from?I'm leaning Royals and Red Sox (yes, for the sweep) tomorrow. Thoughts?Comment -
i think KC and boston are both good picks however. KC n the under look real goodComment -
Good luck today!!!Comment -
Hey Clairvoyance, shut up. Sportsbetting is not all about line movements and bargains. If you have a winning system for picking bets based on line movements than post it, so I can have a good laugh.
I asked No Coin, half-jokingly, because I don't base my picks solely on line movements. But that BJays (Romero) line was fishy, even I could spot that. And the pub took the bait, just as I knew they would.
I've been doing this a long time fukhead, I know what works and what doesn't. If u can make picks based on line movements and prices alone and hit above 40% I'll be impressed. Until then stop being an annoying twerp.
to everyone else, why did I even bother to answer this guy? To bump the thread, of course! Still waiting to hear more thoughts about tonight's RSox. There's another great reason to take RSox today, not just the fishy lines. Who is in?Comment -
Red sox to get the sweep +130. Thank you chasers for driving this line up, ill take the better team with a sp that hasnt allowed a run to nyy all season. Better team, better sp, better pen (thanx to injuries), Great price to take a shot imo.Comment -
you claimed the blue jays line was way too low, i was just wondering how you came to that conclusion?
who said i make bets based on line movements?If you have a winning system for picking bets based on line movements than post it, so I can have a good laugh.
the line wasn't fishy at all, i thought there was value on kc's side. and as for "pub taking the bait" the public is always going to be on the side of a better team with a better pitcher going...that doesn't make it a good betBut that BJays (Romero) line was fishy, even I could spot that. And the pub took the bait, just as I knew they would.
lol...if i could hit below 40% i'd be the best sports bettor on the planet because that means i've found a way to win 60% of the time. it just as hard to lose 45% of the time as it is to win 55% of the time you don't seem to understand thatIf u can make picks based on line movements and prices alone and hit above 40% I'll be impressed.Comment -
Cards lineup looks like shit again, we really need Craig to get back as he was making it hard to notice Holliday being out. Against Happ it pretty much Albert/yadi/and big puma from the right (not as good), no one else should scare him.
Lynn making his second career start. Against sf the runs they got wernt his fault but they were sending everything to the track against him as all his pitches seemed to be up. Roof being closed should help him but he better throw something besides that not hard enough rising fb. Once again Salas will not be available, would also be surprised to see Motte after working consecutive days, translation STL pen will prob get hit. If roof was open or if i trusted hou to drive in runs id play the over, but i dont.
Id say hou is the play but hard to think stl wont find a way to win this series and the price sucks to back a shit team here.Comment -
Yanks are getting screwed vs Boston 7-1 this year and got swept already at home. Can't happen twice, can't it? Boston +130.Comment -
sox up to +136 i added to my betComment -
good luck tonight no coinComment -
get on the the rockies over tomorrow, its it 8 -110 right now its guaranteed to close higher. there's going to be a real good short term opportunity on rockies overs at home.
i also already took the jays +132 thats has to bet get down after the sox playing so late tonight. i have a policy to never bet against the red sox this season but i think this is a good value opportunityComment -
Liking the scrubbies on the rl at -120. Even if Doc dominates phi bats arnt lighting up big Z .Comment -
rockies over already up to -117, probably still has more to goComment -
Best of luck today on your playsComment -
Damn i get home from work and see no one has posted in here all day? Here what im smoking on.
Scrubbies rl -120, possibly ml? +187 has a nice ring to it? Big Z shouldnt have a lot of problems with phi struggling offense, Cubs should get some hits if they can find a way to plate a few runs i like their chances. In the 10 wins phi has when Doc starts 6 are by 1 run.
Bal +112. Bal competes with this tb team plain and simple. Scary going against Hell boy but seems like a good spot to fade a road fav darling.
Sea +108. Looks like im all over offensively challenged teams today. Bedard has been rock solid and if sea is ever gonna put some runs across id say against Penny is the time to do it. Rarely play against det when they are in the middle of one of their streaks but cant help myself tonight.
STL -102. supper square homer play. still gotta give Loshe on the road the nod over Narveson, TLR did a pretty good job of resting some guys coming in to this series. Mil hasnt been themselves since touching down after the fla sweep, could have just been 1 series but think Loshe has the goods to hold them down at least one more day.
min/tex ov 7.5. you know i suck at totals so just posting so you guys can fade it
Wilson didnt like any of his trips to minny last season. considered a play on min as well.
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i like cubs rl as well dan...lets get it.Comment -
the cubs dont have a prayer tonight. it says something when a majority of the board likes a +190 dogComment -
why was NCoin banned?Comment -
dan...the cardinal line looked shady to me...so i stayed away.Comment -
yea i wish i would have noticed that before i played it last night.
Yea i know it was a shit play bro, hence the super square homer alert label. For some reason ive just got to where i bet stl cause i know that the only game ill see on at gym or bar or whereva im at. Homerism has took over for me on that team.Comment -
Why was he banned?Comment -
Good luck tomorrow guys.Comment -
How does the Cards line look for Sat? Still shady?
My thinking may be flawed, but I think Cards are the real deal. Don't know what happened tonight, but I'm expecting Cards to win the rest of this series. Carpenter is due, he's not as bad as his record.
Thought? Any line masters out there?Comment -
Good luck, BigDan. TYComment -
Morning everyone, that sucks if NC really got banned, never really saw him say anything that was even mildly offensive to anyone around here(i try to stay away from the bs threads tho).
Im sure it will be short lived. might as well hold it down till he gets back and find some winners for today.
bos/tor. Is bos so hot that they can overcome the highest paid gascan in the league starting for them today? This is also the game where i would look for that late night gm with nyy to catch up to them. It usually the second day a team will feel it, early start as well. Everything points to Tor for me but tough to pay juice to fade the best team in the league.Comment -
Tor-114. Think this is the right spot to fade Bos if there is ever such a time. Morrow hasnt been sharp at home but i honestly dont see any reason for that to continue as he was very good in tor last season. Perfect gm for Bos to be a little complacent offensively which shouldnt be a luxury they can afford with Lackey's garbage ass on the mound. Not thrilled to be paying juice against the best team in baseball but sometimes it has to be done.Comment -
Lind 10 for 18 and Bautista has 2 bombs off of Lackey... big games from both of them = win + over
lets get itComment
