Dexter's 2011 MLB Plays

[Love The Action]

Fly, if memory serves me correctly Jurgens has struggled pitching @ Cincinatti and he is coming off a rough performance last game agaisnt Washington. He might be getting out of "form" so to speak. I like the Braves and I like JJ, but advanced metrics show he is not nearly as good as his numbers say he is. He has been fortunate to have such a low batting average against him on balls put in play. That might be coming back to the mean..Hopefully I am wrong. Anyways, good luck on your plays.

I agree in part and disagree in part. Jurrjens has an FIP of 3.08 (top 20), xFIP of 3.75 (top70) & tERA of 3.88 (top 70), which are really solid dips. In addition, his GB/FB is 1.25 (ok), but a HR/FB of 4% which shows he limits the long ball. If you compare these to Arroyo, well, there is no comparison because Arroyo has been atrocious (ranked around top 200 mlb). Jurrjens has a career ERA over 5 against the reds but held them to 1 run over 8 innings (in atl) earlier in the year. There is no doubt we have a huge pitching disparity in favor of atl.

However, you are correct that jurrjens BABIP is very low at .267 & his LOB% high over 80%, which indicates a regression to league averages of .300 & 70% might be coming. With that said, he has a K/BB rate over 2.5 & WHIP of 1.1, so he might just have the control and strikeout ability to continue his success this year. Its not like he is a flash in the pan either, as he has enjoyed mlb success for 4 years now.

Personally, I think you have to go braves ml or no play. Good luck in whatever you choose.

[lyon804]

Good research LTA.

[Dexter]

i wont be around to post tonight, but will be playing any A4's for 3u.....GL tonight.

[allabout the $$$]

hoye is on 1st b tonight for cleve-chi so we have an a4 tomm with hoye

[allabout the $$$]

miller 1st base minn tonight so another a4 tomm

[sydna1]

miller 1st base minn tonight so another a4 tomm

Do u know ump in phillies game? Thanx

[TheAntFather]

miller 1st base minn tonight so another a4 tomm

Anyway you can alert us of Alan Porter, Tim Timmons and Brian Gorman. They are monsters. TIA.

[TheAntFather]

Greg Gibson is a stud also. He is 8-0-1 in last 9 games to the Under.

[allabout the $$$]

not out yet once they come out i will post umps for a4's

[bhunter]

not out yet once they come out i will post umps for a4's

Thanks, much appreciated

[allabout the $$$]

gary darling a4 philly
angel hernandez angels
c conroy texas

[allabout the $$$]

martin foster yankees

[doogtonmai]

martin foster yankees

All of those listed A4's?

[azn624]

All of those listed A4's?

Only Darling in SD/PHI game under 7/7.5

[azn624]

gary darling a4 philly
angel hernandez angels
c conroy texas

Thx, appreciate the umpire listings

[allabout the $$$]

im posting all the umps because some guys wanted to know the other umps but i will put an a4 next to the games that are dexters autobets

[Delbert14]

if you don't mindme asking what is a4 is to bet on the under. i like under in phils game and want to make sure. thanks

[allabout the $$$]

yes the phillies is an under a4 with gary darling

[allabout the $$$]

ed hickox atl-reds

[Delbert14]

thank you very much allabout the $$$, really liked this one i am from philly area and hammels should be back on track at home, and phils bats are horrible, plus i here this leubke is pretty good! really appreciate it i just started checking in on this forum a couple days ago and like it. you guys are doing a good job!!!!!

[allabout the $$$]

we have eric cooper @ bos tonight

if anyone is playing the brewers tonight ryan braun is not in the starting lineup

[sydna1]

Allabout, thank you for posting

[allabout the $$$]

no problem guys we have to work together to beat the books its a team effort

cory blaser hp dodgers

have something to do might not get the 8 oclock games but i will have the rest later

[TheAntFather]

Thanks alot allallabout, I appreciate the hard work. You probably don't have to do this tomorrow as we will know the umps. It's just the new series and 1st game of the new series like today we will have no clue about.

[allabout the $$$]

Thanks alot allallabout, I appreciate the hard work. You probably don't have to do this tomorrow as we will know the umps. It's just the new series and 1st game of the new series like today we will have no clue about.

i know that thats why im on top of it the first day we have new series its gotten hard to get the umps so as soon as i get it you guys got it

[TheAntFather]

Just waiting to hear Gerry Davis = 9-2-1 in last 12 Overs. Should be 11-0-1 but he missed 2 games by 1 run.

Greg Gibson = 8-0-1 in last 9 games to the Under.

Alan Porter = 14-3 to the Under. He is an Automatic 3 Units for me.

[sydna1]

i know that thats why im on top of it the first day we have new series its gotten hard to get the umps so as soon as i get it you guys got it

Did you see the pitt/st.louis ump? it is a rain delay, I dont see it posted anywhere.

[sydna1]

Pitt/st. Louis is diaz, tomorrow is wally bell who is a good under ump.

[Dexter]

i wont be around to post tonight, but will be playing any A4's for 3u.....GL tonight.

im back early.....i had this booked before:

(3u) under phillies 7 (A4-Darling)

[Dexter]

damn.....my buddy books my plays when im not around in his account, and he had 7 on the phillies. im sure some of you got 7.5.

[Delbert14]

i see why this philly ump is under, damn he calls lots of strikes that really are not. good job guys.

[sydna1]

damn.....my buddy books my plays when im not around in his account, and he had 7 on the phillies. im sure some of you got 7.5.

I got 7.5 at heavy juice, -130.

[TheAntFather]

Any 8 o'clock umpires anyone? Going once, going twice....sold.

[Dexter]

(1u) over rangers 10.5

[allabout the $$$]

just waiting on the ariz and san fran umps guys glad i missed the pitt ump would have played under