chilidog's top capper tails/fades

chilidog · 06-25-10, 07:09 AM

meh, losing day yesterday. 1-2.

That brings my total to 78-51, with a 60.5% win ratio.

I'm leaving today for the weekend for my bachelor party, so I won't likely be posting any plays. If I don't get any plays out by noon, then ya'll enjoy the weekend (I sure will be, lol). GL!

bsandhype · 06-25-10, 07:14 AM

Your record says that you know when to tail and when to fade, good job.

chilidog · 06-25-10, 07:28 AM

Originally posted by bsandhype

Your record says that you know when to tail and when to fade, good job.

I hope it stays going good

For the past 7 days, I'm 27:11, with a 71.1% win ratio, and at betting $100/game to win, I am up $1,253.

boeing power · 06-25-10, 07:32 AM

great job chilli

rickbo528 · 06-25-10, 07:45 AM

Best of luck on the bachelor party. Sounds like you have more important business to attend to this weekend. LOL!

chilidog · 06-25-10, 11:58 AM

Friday, June 25:

MLB [954] CWS -152 [C ZAMBRANO -R/J PEAVY -R] 30.40 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [960] NYM -130 [K SLOWEY -R/M PELFREY -R] 26.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [962] CIN -200 [A LAFFEY -L/A HARANG -R] 40.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [964] TAM -200 [E JACKSON -R/J NIEMANN -R] 40.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [966] ATL -171 [A OLIVER -L/K MEDLEN -R] 34.20 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [976] LAA -155 [J FRANCIS -L/JER WEAVER -R] 31.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [980] SFO -131 [WAKEFIELD -R/J SANCHEZ -L] 26.20 SBR / 20.00 SBR

No plays for this weekend; I'll be back late Sunday night, so good luck to me (and any of ya'll following this thread), and I'll update bright and early Monday morning.

daneault23 · 06-26-10, 06:53 PM

I check this thread all the time man, keep it up. Looks like you know what you're doing in terms of who to tail/fade.

chilidog · 06-28-10, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

Friday, June 25:

MLB [954] CWS -152 [C ZAMBRANO -R/J PEAVY -R] 30.40 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [960] NYM -130 [K SLOWEY -R/M PELFREY -R] 26.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [962] CIN -200 [A LAFFEY -L/A HARANG -R] 40.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [964] TAM -200 [E JACKSON -R/J NIEMANN -R] 40.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [966] ATL -171 [A OLIVER -L/K MEDLEN -R] 34.20 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [976] LAA -155 [J FRANCIS -L/JER WEAVER -R] 31.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [980] SFO -131 [WAKEFIELD -R/J SANCHEZ -L] 26.20 SBR / 20.00 SBR

No plays for this weekend; I'll be back late Sunday night, so good luck to me (and any of ya'll following this thread), and I'll update bright and early Monday morning.

awesome weekend

and we did good on the plays on friday as well. i'm all recovered from hangovers, so i'll update my stats in a moment.

sonnybaby · 06-28-10, 12:17 PM

any word on tonights games

chilidog · 06-28-10, 12:38 PM

as of today, my record is 83 wins, 53 losses ... a 61% win ratio. games don't start until 7 tonight, so i won't have picks out until later. i do have some picks as of now, but i don't place bets until i have the picks from all of the cappers that i am tailing/fading, because of how my tracking works. if multiple cappers are on opposing teams, then the bet cancels. if multiple cappers are on the same team, i might increase the bet some. right after i make my bets, i copy/paste the results from the sbr sportsbook.

last week, i started tracking my plays with trackthebet.com, and i am currently hitting a 48% ROI - rather impressive.

it does look like tonight will be a full card though, so hopefully it'll be another winning night

Duff85 · 06-28-10, 03:58 PM

Looking forward to your plays tonight Chili!

chilidog · 06-28-10, 05:00 PM

plays will be released within an hour.

chilidog · 06-28-10, 05:48 PM

Monday, June 28:

MLB [901] NYM -114 [R DICKEY -R/R NOLASCO -R] 22.80 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [904] CIN -135 [K KENDRICK -R/J CUETO -R] 27.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [906] ATL -129 [S STRASBUR -R/T HUDSON -R] 25.80 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [908] CUB -200 [P MAHOLM -L/R WELLS -R] 40.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [910] MIL -200 [B NORRIS -R/M PARRA -L] 40.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [912] STL -180 [D HAREN -R/CARPENTER -R] 36.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [916] SFO -125 [BILLNGSLEY -R/B ZITO -L] 25.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [917] TOR -165 [R ROMERO -L/WESTBROOK -R] 33.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [920] MIN -171 [BONDERMAN -R/F LIRIANO -L] 34.20 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [921] CWS -128 [M BUEHRLE -L/A LEREW -R] 25.60 SBR / 20.00 SBR

GL!

sonnybaby · 06-28-10, 06:06 PM

on stl

chilidog · 06-28-10, 06:11 PM

full card today, i know, but that's what the capper's im tailing are playing, and their stats speak for themselves, so i'm playing them as well.

6 of the plays are overlapping plays that all 3 cappers picked: atl, cub, mil, min, sfo, stl.

goldengreek · 06-28-10, 07:17 PM

W/l do not tell the whole story for baseball

what are the units ytd ?

chilidog · 06-29-10, 07:56 AM

ouch day yesterday - 3-7

chilidog · 06-29-10, 11:34 AM

Well, as of yesterday, I was up about 17 units, but because of yesterday's massacre, I'm now up 8.2 units from the start on June 7th.

My record is 86-60, for a 58.9% ratio.

I am currently tracking 31 cappers, and this past weekend/yesterday's losses knocked most of them into the negative for the previous 7 days, but I do have 2 cappers who have hit 80% of their plays, so I will be going for them. Neither of them plays a lot of picks, so tonight's card will be light.

chilidog · 06-29-10, 05:35 PM

Tuesday, June 29:

MLB [953] TOTAL o9½-120 (PHI vrs CIN) 24.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [962] STL -1½-150 30.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [968] NYY -171 34.20 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [976] MIN -148 29.60 SBR / 20.00 SBR

Not as big of a card today, but that's a good thing

chilidog · 06-29-10, 09:44 PM

c'mon .. just need minnesota and st louis to hang on for a few more rounds, and today will be a good day

chilidog · 06-29-10, 10:37 PM

woohoo! good day today. 3-1, and +1.3 units.

that brings my grand total to 89 wins and 61 losses, a 59.3% win ratio, and i'm up 9.5 units.

Pacok · 06-30-10, 06:27 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

woohoo! good day today. 3-1, and +1.3 units. that brings my grand total to 89 wins and 61 losses, a 59.3% win ratio, and i'm up 9.5 units.

Well done chili, you're on fire

chilidog · 06-30-10, 06:53 AM

Originally posted by Pacok

Well done chili, you're on fire

thanks, but i think i have more fine-tuning to do. i know that losing days will happen, but monday cost me about 9 units, and i'd like to avoid that in the future. i tried betting more aggressively, and that cost me. oh well, c'est la vie

chilidog · 06-30-10, 11:16 AM

Wednesday, June 30:

MLB [903] TOTAL o9EV (HOU vrs MIL) 20.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [917] DET +125 20.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

I should have a few more plays for tonight's games. GL

chilidog · 06-30-10, 05:37 PM

Night games:

MLB [915] WAS +153 20.00 SBR / 30.60 SBR

MLB [921] TOTAL o10EV (TOR vrs CLE) 20.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

MLB [928] TOTAL u7-115 (CWS vrs KAN) 23.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

pokernut9999 · 06-30-10, 05:40 PM

Good luck tonight Chilidog.

chilidog · 07-01-10, 08:13 AM

well yesterday certainly sucked

chilidog · 07-01-10, 11:05 AM

i'm taking the day off from plays; only 1 capper out of 31 is doing just 'okay'. last week, i had several that were kicking ass, but everybody is getting nailed right now. even the fades aren't working out, so i'm going to chill with the betting until i get a few cappers that are doing awesome again. my wedding is saturday anyway, then leaving for the honeymoon for a week, so that will hopefully give everybody time to recover

chilidog · 07-02-10, 06:25 PM

i took the day off again today. i'm leaving tomorrow for a week for my honeymoon, so no plays for then either. from reading the forum, looks like a lot of people took a hit this week in bases, so it doesn't make me feel as bad that my bankroll took a hit this week as well. out of 31 cappers, there is only 1 that is doing 'okay' this week, and he's been hitting dogs, but i'm still not betting. i'll recover from the losses when i return, but best of luck to ya'll!

chilidog · 07-10-10, 12:05 PM

back from vacation now, and looks like I have 1 capper that is doing awesome. Here's the first pick of the day, Saturday, July 10:

MLB [917] BOS +102 [J LACKEY -R/B MORROW -R] 5.00 SBR / 5.10 SBR

chilidog · 07-10-10, 03:02 PM

Adding these final plays for today:

MLB [901] ATL -130 6.50 SBR / 5.00 SBR

MLB [904] LOS -158 7.90 SBR / 5.00 SBR

MLB [905] SFO -119 5.95 SBR / 5.00 SBR

MLB [919] TOTAL o9½-120 (MIN vrs DET) 6.00 SBR / 5.00 SBR

MLB [920] DET -145 7.25 SBR / 5.00 SBR

MLB [922] CWS -200 10.00 SBR / 5.00 SBR

MLB [922] TOTAL u8½+105 (KAN vrs CWS) 5.00 SBR / 5.25 SBR

MLB [928] OAK -140 7.00 SBR / 5.00 SBR

chilidog · 07-10-10, 10:17 PM

awesome day today, going 7-2! i hope last week's crap is over with; my bankroll wasn't happy with those losses!

chilidog · 07-11-10, 06:44 AM

There are 4 cappers who meet my requirements to tail/fade them, and 1 is doing exceptionally well, so hopefully I'll have another winning day today

Holdin Aces · 07-11-10, 10:04 AM

Nice day, I had a good one also. Good luck on your plays today.

chilidog · 07-11-10, 12:09 PM

Sunday, June 11:

MLB [952] NYM -146 [D LOWE -R/JO SANTANA -L] 14.60 SBR / 10.00 SBR