chilidog's top capper tails/fades

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  • HedgeHog
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-11-07
    • 10128

    #71
    How do we feel about the Whitesox -130 over Pitt (losers of 9 straight)?
    Comment
    • chilidog
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-05-09
      • 10305

      #72
      K, I've finished updating the capper's records for yesterday. I have 1 capper that's hitting 80%, and another hitting 83%. I have the #3 capper only hitting 62%, but he's been doing good with nailing the dogs, so he's actually #2 in terms of income.

      Because of those couple of bad losing days, I am still down about 4 units, but I should easily recover that over the next few days, since going with just the top 3 cappers' picks seems to do better. What I am thinking about trying out today is to bet 2 units on the #1 capper's picks, and 1 unit on the other 2 cappers. What I am unsure about is how to rank a capper as #1. Should it be the capper who has made the most money over the past 7 days, or the capper who has hit the higher percentage?

      First game starts at 3:45pm est, so I expect to have the plays posted about an hour before then. I can't know what they're going to pick until they've released their plays.
      Comment
      • ProfaneReality
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-14-09
        • 7607

        #73
        nice job tracking these
        Comment
        • chilidog
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-05-09
          • 10305

          #74
          1st pick for Wednesday, June 16:

          MLB [904] SFO -1½-120 [J GUTHRIE -R/T LINCECUM -R] 8.12 SBR / 6.77 SBR

          I will have more picks for tonight's games.
          Comment
          • chilidog
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-05-09
            • 10305

            #75
            Adding for tonight's games:

            MLB [911] CWS -145 [J DANKS -L/Z DUKE -L] 15.62 SBR / 10.77 SBR

            MLB [922] BOS -1½-130 [R LOPEZ -R/J LESTER -L] 15.62 SBR / 12.02 SBR

            MLB [928] MIN -144 [J CHACIN -R/S BAKER -R] 15.62 SBR / 10.85 SBR

            MLB [905] TOTAL o6½-120 (TOR vrs SDG) 7.81 SBR / 6.51 SBR

            MLB [914] NYY -1½-110 [J MOYER -L/A BURNETT -R] 7.81 SBR / 7.10 SBR

            MLB [917] TEX -102 [T HUNTER -R/A SANCHEZ -R] 7.81 SBR / 7.66 SBR

            MLB [926] KAN -102 [R OSWALT -R/B CHEN -L] 7.81 SBR / 7.66 SBR

            MLB [930] STL -1½+110 [J VARGAS -L/J GARCIA -L] 7.81 SBR / 8.59 SBR


            That's it for today. GL to me
            Comment
            • chilidog
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-05-09
              • 10305

              #76
              Whether or not kansas wins, today was a profitable day I hope that I can keep this up. The top 2 cappers won 100% of their plays. The 3rd capper's picks brought the losses. I'll wait until the morning when I update stats to decide what I'm going to do with this. I'm thinking of just tailing the top 2 cappers, and betting 2 units on the top capper, and 1 unit on the 2nd place capper.
              Comment
              • chilidog
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-05-09
                • 10305

                #77
                Morning! We went 6-3 yesterday Let's hope we can pull it off again today!
                Comment
                • chilidog
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-05-09
                  • 10305

                  #78
                  k, finished updating yesterday's capper's stats. We have 3 early afternoon games, so maybe I'll have some action on those - way too early to tell yet. It looks like I am still down 41 sbr points, but as I said, that will be recovered very soon

                  Today, after I eliminated the capper's that didn't make the cut, I'm left with 4 cappers. I am only going with the top 2 cappers for today. They have both hit over 80% for the previous 7 days, and I will be betting 2 units on their picks. GL to me
                  Comment
                  • chilidog
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-05-09
                    • 10305

                    #79
                    Thursday, June 17:


                    MLB [963] TOTAL o10EV (PHI vrs NYY) 20.24 SBR / 20.24 SBR

                    MLB [961] NYM -110 [R DICKEY -R/WESTBROOK -R] 20.24 SBR / 18.40 SBR

                    MLB [968] ATL -127 [J SHIELDS -R/T HUDSON -R] 20.24 SBR / 15.94 SBR
                    Comment
                    • chilidog
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-05-09
                      • 10305

                      #80
                      Another winning day yesterday

                      I really hope this turns around and keeps at it. I have a new capper in the #2 spot; he's been kicking ass lately - has not had a losing day in the past 7 days, so hopefully he can continue that. Actually, neither of the 2 cappers that I will be tailing today have had a losing day in the past 7 days, so I look forward to another awesome day.

                      GL
                      Comment
                      • chilidog
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-05-09
                        • 10305

                        #81
                        Plays coming in about 30 minutes.
                        Comment
                        • chilidog
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-05-09
                          • 10305

                          #82
                          Friday, June 18:

                          MLB [902] COL -173 11.70 SBR / 6.76 SBR

                          MLB [907] NYM +1½-115 11.70 SBR / 10.17 SBR

                          MLB [914] DET -210 11.70 SBR / 5.57 SBR

                          MLB [918] BOS -145 11.70 SBR / 8.07 SBR

                          MLB [923] TEX -144 11.70 SBR / 8.13 SBR

                          MLB [916] TOR -155 11.70 SBR / 7.55 SBR

                          MLB [922] ATL -200 23.40 SBR / 11.70 SBR

                          MLB [928] SDG -172 23.40 SBR / 13.60 SBR


                          Friday night bases!! GL!
                          Comment
                          • chilidog
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-05-09
                            • 10305

                            #83
                            come on, padres!!! let's make it a clean sweep for the night
                            Comment
                            • chilidog
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-05-09
                              • 10305

                              #84
                              Sweeeetttt! The Padres pulled it off in the 9th inning, and that win put me on a perfect 8-0 night

                              I hope I got the picks tracking down now. The past few days have been profitable since I tweaked how I pick the cappers to follow. I'll update in the morning with the new records. The plays should come out early, since we have several day games.

                              Comment
                              • ROFLcopter
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-16-10
                                • 4446

                                #85
                                8-0? Impressive
                                Comment
                                • chilidog
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-05-09
                                  • 10305

                                  #86
                                  I knowwww, I can't believe it - my first sweep
                                  Comment
                                  • chilidog
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-05-09
                                    • 10305

                                    #87
                                    Saturday, June 19:

                                    MLB [960] PHI -168 16.21 SBR / 9.65 SBR

                                    MLB [969] TEX -230 16.21 SBR / 7.05 SBR

                                    MLB [972] ATL -144 16.21 SBR / 11.26 SBR

                                    MLB [976] STL -235 16.21 SBR / 6.90 SBR

                                    Comment
                                    • Qman1
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 09-07-09
                                      • 58

                                      #88
                                      Good Luck Today Chile
                                      Comment
                                      • chilidog
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-05-09
                                        • 10305

                                        #89
                                        woohoo! 3-1 yesterday! because of juice, i just had a small profit, but still a profit
                                        Comment
                                        • chilidog
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-05-09
                                          • 10305

                                          #90
                                          Sunday, June 20:

                                          MLB [919] TEX -178 17.78 SBR / 9.99 SBR

                                          MLB [922] TOTAL u9-115 (OAK vrs STL) 17.78 SBR / 15.46 SBR

                                          MLB [923] LAA +110 17.78 SBR / 19.56 SBR

                                          MLB [927] CIN -131 17.78 SBR / 13.57 SBR
                                          Comment
                                          • chilidog
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-05-09
                                            • 10305

                                            #91
                                            meh, 2-2 today, lost a little bit of profit. on to a better today tomorrow!
                                            Comment
                                            • chilidog
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-05-09
                                              • 10305

                                              #92
                                              There's only 3 games on the board today, so I don't know if there will be any action at all, but we'll see. I'm going to update the capper's stats now.
                                              Comment
                                              • chilidog
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-05-09
                                                • 10305

                                                #93
                                                Just one play for today, Monday, June 21:

                                                MLB [953] NYY -167 [A BURNETT -R/R LOPEZ -R] 17.63 SBR / 10.56 SBR
                                                Comment
                                                • chilidog
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-05-09
                                                  • 10305

                                                  #94
                                                  wow, last night's game freakin sucked! yanks got freakin ownnnnnned. oh well, better day today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chilidog
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                    • 10305

                                                    #95
                                                    Tuesday, June 22:

                                                    MLB [927] LOS -123 22.14 SBR / 18.00 SBR

                                                    More games coming tonight. GL!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chilidog
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                      • 10305

                                                      #96
                                                      Adding these final night games:

                                                      MLB [907] FLA -124 [A SANCHEZ -R/J GUTHRIE -R] 20.00 SBR / 16.13 SBR

                                                      MLB [912] NYM +128 [VERLANDER -R/J NIESE -L] 20.00 SBR / 25.60 SBR

                                                      MLB [913] SDG +115 [M LATOS -R/W DAVIS -R] 20.00 SBR / 23.00 SBR

                                                      MLB [916] TEX -255 [R OHLENDOR -R/T HUNTER -R] 20.00 SBR / 7.84 SBR

                                                      MLB [917] MIN -135 [S BAKER -R/C NARVESON -L] 20.00 SBR / 14.81 SBR

                                                      MLB [919] TOTAL o8EV (ATL vrs CWS) [T HANSON -R/J DANKS -L] 20.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

                                                      MLB [921] BOS -149 [J LESTER -L/J CHACIN -R] 20.00 SBR / 13.42 SBR

                                                      MLB [930] SEA -105 [R DEMPSTER -R/J VARGAS -L] 20.00 SBR / 19.05 SBR


                                                      GL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chilidog
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-05-09
                                                        • 10305

                                                        #97
                                                        Not too bad yesterday ... went 6-3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • chilidog
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-05-09
                                                          • 10305

                                                          #98
                                                          i just added up my stats since I started. I'm at 70 wins, 47 losses; a 59.8% win ratio. Had I been flat betting $100/game, I would be up $1,263. However, with my actual sbr points, I am up 96 points. Should be a lot more, but I had a few bad days, and I was playing a system that increased bets. Had I never played the increased bets system, I would be up a few hundred more points by now. At least I have recovered from all losses though
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chilidog
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-05-09
                                                            • 10305

                                                            #99
                                                            Plays coming in about 30 minutes
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chilidog
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-05-09
                                                              • 10305

                                                              #100
                                                              alrighty, here we go, Wednesday, June 23:

                                                              MLB [951] SFO -130 [B ZITO -L/B MYERS -R] 13.00 SBR / 10.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [957] FLA -127 [R NOLASCO -R/B MATUSZ -L] 12.70 SBR / 10.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [961] STL -119 [CARPENTER -R/R ROMERO -L] 11.90 SBR / 10.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [964] NYM -122 [BONDERMAN -R/R DICKEY -R] 18.30 SBR / 15.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [968] TEX -185 [P MAHOLM -L/D NIPPERT -R] 9.25 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [969] MIN -145 [F LIRIANO -L/M PARRA -L] 21.75 SBR / 15.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [975] NYY -205 [J VAZQUEZ -R/D WILLIS -L] 30.75 SBR / 15.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [978] LAA -126 [J ELY -R/J PINEIRO -R] 18.90 SBR / 15.00 SBR

                                                              MLB [980] SEA -185 [R WELLS -R/C LEE -L] 18.50 SBR / 10.00 SBR
                                                              Comment
                                                              • phillybadboy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-11-09
                                                                • 9383

                                                                #101
                                                                what is your unit count season results now bro?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • chilidog
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 04-05-09
                                                                  • 10305

                                                                  #102
                                                                  7-2 for yesterday

                                                                  That brings my total to 77-49, with a 61.1% win ratio. I am currently up about 28 units, with 1 unit being 5 sbr points right now. I am way up in my sportsbook cash accounts
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • chilidog
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                                    • 10305

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Interesting; 2 of the top 3 cappers I have been tailing have fallen off the chart, sinking below my acceptable levels to bet them. I am following 2 cappers today.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • chilidog
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                                      • 10305

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Thursday, June 24:

                                                                      MLB [908] CWS -110 [D LOWE -R/G FLOYD -R] 22.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR

                                                                      MLB [918] NYM -127 [A GALARRAG -R/H TAKAHASH -L] 25.40 SBR / 20.00 SBR

                                                                      MLB [922] COL -115 [D MATSUZAK -R/J HAMMEL -R] 23.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR


                                                                      I have wedding stuff to do today and tonight, so this will most likely be the only picks for today. GL!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • phillybadboy
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                                        • 9383

                                                                        #105
                                                                        good stuff my man
                                                                        Comment
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