1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB Picks - Friday, 8/5/22

    3 MLB Sides Friday

    Nationals +178
    Pirates +142
    Rockies +117


    YTD: 216-237-12, -29.28 (Season Low)


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    5 MLB Plays Friday

    5 MLB Plays Friday

    Nationals +178
    Pirates +142
    Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
    Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
    Rockies +117

  3. #3
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Sides Friday

    Nationals +178
    Pirates +142
    Rockies +117


    YTD: 216-237-12, -29.28 (Season Low)


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated
    I'm getting tired of seeing this.

  4. #4
    USCPHILLYGUY
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    Love the Nats play. How Gibson is -206 is beyond me

    SBR Bash
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  5. #5
    jjgold
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    This guy can’t move the needle

  6. #6
    SlickFazzer
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    Looks like the metrics might be improving.

  7. #7
    pavyracer
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    LT is hanging tough. He fought all week to not break the critical -30 unit barrier. He is showing grit and determination this week to keep the fight going.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 08/04/2022


  8. #8
    SlickFazzer
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    This is positive news Paver. The buy signals are lining up nicely for his model.

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    LT is hanging tough. He fought all week to not break the critical -30 unit barrier. He is showing grit and determination this week to keep the fight going.

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Pick Addition

    6 MLB Plays Friday

    Nationals +178
    Nationals / Phillies OVER 9 -103
    Pirates +142
    Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
    Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
    Rockies +117

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Another MLB Pick Addition

    7 MLB Plays Friday

    Nationals +178
    Nationals / Phillies OVER 9 -103
    Pirates +142
    Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
    Reds / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +102
    Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
    Rockies +117

  11. #11
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    This is positive news Paver. The buy signals are lining up nicely for his model.
    I'm predicting that he will have a small run up and then hit the two previous lows of -29.5 plus/minus. When a triple bottom is formed this is the time to start tailing as the only way is up. The techincal analysis of the model says the buy signals are getting closer.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 08/04/2022


  12. #12
    SlickFazzer
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    Paver is likely correct, if you can handle just a bit more short-term possible volatility, the risk/reward historical metrics are off the charts
    going forward.

  13. #13
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    7 MLB Plays Friday

    Nationals +178
    Nationals / Phillies OVER 9 -103
    Pirates +142
    Braves / Mets OVER 8.5 -103
    Reds / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +102
    Yankees / Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -113
    Rockies +117
    Hey Boss, any thoughts on the Twins game? Thanks

  14. #14
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Hey Boss, any thoughts on the Twins game? Thanks
    LT is knocking on the door of -30 and you're asking for his thoughts on a game...LMAO come on men.

  15. #15
    jjgold
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    Pressure on

  16. #16
    SlickFazzer
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    I think paver said if the model goes -30 units, the technicals shift to probable +EV outcomes.

  17. #17
    eddycash
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    I've been patiently waiting for -30 all year.

  18. #18
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    I've been patiently waiting for -30 all year.
    The wait will soon be over, - 30 will be achieved by the end of the night. Guaranteed!

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    Everybody’s piling on LT I feel bad for the kid

  20. #20
    clockwise
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    No play on the texas power rangers boss?

  21. #21
    SlickFazzer
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    Paver explained this situational well:

    " Fazzer you got to be able to hold your horses and only bet when the time is right. I have been studying LT's model for a while and I know when it likes to spit out winners. Trust the science and don't make impulse bets before the time is right. "


    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Everybody’s piling on LT I feel bad for the kid

  22. #22
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by clockwise View Post
    No play on the texas power rangers boss?
    Cease all day

  23. #23
    spippen
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    Shitty Nationals might go hit less.

    And the over still has a chance of this Loser Josiah Gray stays in the game.
    Was this Loser actually rated "good talent" by the Model?

  24. #24
    SlickFazzer
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    Thats the thing I can't figure out about LTs model.

    Is it equally weighted between overall team season trends and data vs individual players stats and tendencies, or
    does one take more precedence over the other and how does that ratio change over the course of the season.

    Quote Originally Posted by spippen View Post
    Shitty Nationals might go hit less.

    And the over still has a chance of this Loser Josiah Gray stays in the game.
    Was this Loser actually rated "good talent" by the Model?

  25. #25
    pavyracer
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    I may be wrong but the majority of his units lost was betting the Nationals and the Reds as big dogs.

    He hit each 1 time but he bet them at least 15 tines as dogs to get that single win. I'm hoping the model is fixed by August 15th and those longshots he loves to bet become wins.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 08/04/2022


  26. #26
    SlickFazzer
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    I'm thinking LT will get the model's metrics fine tuned by the 15th of this month and
    he will make a strong run to profitability by seasons end.

  27. #27
    spippen
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I may be wrong but the majority of his units lost was betting the Nationals and the Reds as big dogs.

    He hit each 1 time but he bet them at least 15 tines as dogs to get that single win. I'm hoping the model is fixed by August 15th and those longshots he loves to bet become wins.
    Yes that is true. It is also a fact that when you bet on arguably the worst offense in the league like the Nationals far too many times it adds up to large unnecessary losses. Just avoid the worst trash.

  28. #28
    clockwise
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Cease all day
    decease*

  29. #29
    USCPHILLYGUY
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    LT is knocking on the door of -30 and you're asking for his thoughts on a game...LMAO come on men.
    Hey Shittycash instead on trolling tell us your picks……oh I forgot. There are none

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  30. #30
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by USCPHILLYGUY View Post
    Hey Shittycash instead on trolling tell us your picks……oh I forgot. There are none
    All the trolls in here and you chose to come at me....lol this guy.
    Points Awarded:

    matt711 gave dirtycash66 50 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  31. #31
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    This guy can’t move the needle
    Anybody who piles on LT is a douche. Very hard to turn a profit in gaming. And sometimes Luck is just running against u.

  32. #32
    matt711
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Anybody who piles on LT is a douche. Very hard to turn a profit in gaming. And sometimes Luck is just running against u.
    Fkkk u douchebag
    Points Awarded:

    GreatWallofTrump gave matt711 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  33. #33
    GreatWallofTrump
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    -30 units is actually hard to do.

  34. #34
    SlickFazzer
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    LTs model is designed to capitalize on all the metrics on or around Aug 15th according to Paver.

  35. #35
    spippen
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    Kyle Gibson looked like an ACE against these bum Nationals.

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