LB thread for MLB plays 2010

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  • Hoopster17
    SBR High Roller
    • 06-01-10
    • 238

    #10256
    Tailed you LB with the giants bet, thanks for the call
    Comment
    • tony_come
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-31-10
      • 21695

      #10257
      Good luck today! I like Texas but will wait until game time decision to see the real money. Public liking rays.
      Comment
      • Romanov
        SBR MVP
        • 10-08-10
        • 4137

        #10258
        what do you think about taking the rangers +1.5 runs? Its pretty safe but id have to lay 2.3x what I would taking the ML. thoughts?

        also the first half under 3.5?
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #10259
          The line on Texas is dropping slowly and down to +100 or so. Its gonna be hard for me to take the rays tonight.
          Comment
          • Tommy_de1st
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-23-10
            • 8397

            #10260
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            The line on Texas is dropping slowly and down to +100 or so. Its gonna be hard for me to take the rays tonight.
            So that means books trying too get bigger price on Rays to have more people oon them? Am i right?
            Comment
            • cappinthepigs
              SBR MVP
              • 10-07-09
              • 1864

              #10261
              Best of luck everyone in whatever you decide!
              Comment
              • Surtainly
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-29-10
                • 39

                #10262
                Rays come out motivated and focused... I think having Maddon as their Manager plays a big role here. Personally, I see them scoring 5+. Really liking the Rays and the over.
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #10263
                  Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                  So that means books trying too get bigger price on Rays to have more people oon them? Am i right?
                  NO Tommy it looks like there is some strong financial support for Texas but there is a little money holding up the Rays.

                  The thing that has me almost sold on texas is the RRL is only +178 for the rangers at pinny. Sure sign texas is the play. I really dont want to wait much longer but i am gonna be patient.


                  Hey Tommy any Euro qualifiers you like today?
                  Comment
                  • Tommy_de1st
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-23-10
                    • 8397

                    #10264
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    NO Tommy it looks like there is some strong financial support for Texas but there is a little money holding up the Rays. The thing that has me almost sold on texas is the RRL is only +178 for the rangers at pinny. Sure sign texas is the play. I really dont want to wait much longer but i am gonna be patient. Hey Tommy any Euro qualifiers you like today?
                    Sure, all posted in my thread. England -1.5, Switzerland -1, Portugal Over and Estonia Over
                    Comment
                    • Wilforth
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-10-08
                      • 16309

                      #10265
                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                      NO Tommy it looks like there is some strong financial support for Texas but there is a little money holding up the Rays.

                      The thing that has me almost sold on texas is the RRL is only +178 for the rangers at pinny. Sure sign texas is the play. I really dont want to wait much longer but i am gonna be patient.


                      Hey Tommy any Euro qualifiers you like today?
                      Based on the lines, Texas is the play. Texas RRL is at +178, while Rays RL is at +190. Texas RL is what has me sold. It's at -230.
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #10266
                        Tommy im heading over to your thread.
                        Comment
                        • og4667
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-17-09
                          • 2438

                          #10267
                          nice hit last night on the Giants, for tonights its gotta be Rangers or nothing. Lee is undefeated in the postseason, Rays have always been a better road team than home team.
                          Comment
                          • Pauulzcappin
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-23-10
                            • 20295

                            #10268
                            LB, Giants are the play saturday. +161 is amazing value for Lincy in the form he is.
                            Comment
                            • og4667
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-17-09
                              • 2438

                              #10269
                              at bookmaker rays RL +190 the RRL for Rangers is +150. Weird stuff, kinda like Rays are a false favorite.
                              Comment
                              • lakerboy
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-02-09
                                • 94379

                                #10270
                                Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                LB, Giants are the play saturday. +161 is amazing value for Lincy in the form he is.

                                Yeah it is great value but arent they begging us to take Timmy?
                                Comment
                                • troutsky
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 08-31-10
                                  • 509

                                  #10271
                                  fudge it in my bucket like BOOM BOOM BOOM!
                                  Comment
                                  • jeeves
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-27-10
                                    • 146

                                    #10272
                                    Only thing Pauul, Giants offense is horrible
                                    Comment
                                    • superjeff24
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-17-10
                                      • 1078

                                      #10273
                                      Lincecum vs halladay. Should be epic. Slight edge to phils due to their good offense
                                      Comment
                                      • Pauulzcappin
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-23-10
                                        • 20295

                                        #10274
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        Yeah it is great value but arent they begging us to take Timmy?
                                        phils offense barely did anything against cueto. lincecum with extra rest is twice as good, on a close game we gotta take the dog.
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #10275
                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                          Yeah it is great value but arent they begging us to take Timmy?
                                          Yes.

                                          At +130 or so, it'd be a play. At +160, they're just taking money of people who can't believe how much value they're getting on Lincecum. That line is what it is for a reason IMHO.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #10276
                                            With that being said, though, I think you'd be crazy to lay that kind of chalk with Philly. I don't think it's even worth a play.
                                            Comment
                                            • Pauulzcappin
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-23-10
                                              • 20295

                                              #10277
                                              You guys assume books are always right. I guess if they were they'd be breaking others and retire.
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94379

                                                #10278
                                                Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                You guys assume books are always right. I guess if they were they'd be breaking others and retire.

                                                I dont assume that to be honest but i do know they make more than lose. Thats good enough for me.
                                                Comment
                                                • TylerDurden
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-06-10
                                                  • 1427

                                                  #10279
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences

                                                  Yes.

                                                  At +130 or so, it'd be a play. At +160, they're just taking money of people who can't believe how much value they're getting on Lincecum. That line is what it is for a reason IMHO.
                                                  You don't think they're just maximizing the juice Joe Public is gonna lay on Halladay after his no-hitter?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #10280
                                                    Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                    You guys assume books are always right. I guess if they were they'd be breaking others and retire.
                                                    The problem here, Paul, is SF's offense vs. Halladay.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pauulzcappin
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-23-10
                                                      • 20295

                                                      #10281
                                                      I will not overthink this play, though. Saturday it's 90% sure I'll be on timmy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #10282
                                                        Originally posted by TylerDurden
                                                        You don't think they're just maximizing the juice Joe Public is gonna lay on Halladay after his no-hitter?
                                                        I suppose that's a possibility -- I just don't see how the Giants score enough against him to win this game, or even have a chance.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pauulzcappin
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-23-10
                                                          • 20295

                                                          #10283
                                                          Take Giants TT under and make that easy money.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lakerboy
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-02-09
                                                            • 94379

                                                            #10284
                                                            Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                            I will not overthink this play, though. Saturday it's 90% sure I'll be on timmy

                                                            Why are you waiting ? THe line will only drop.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lakerboy
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-02-09
                                                              • 94379

                                                              #10285
                                                              Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                              Take Giants TT under and make that easy money.
                                                              Not at -150. No thanks.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pauulzcappin
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-23-10
                                                                • 20295

                                                                #10286
                                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                Not at -150. No thanks.
                                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                No but thats what the books feel. YOu follow the juice if it stays strong and doesnt get past the -128 mark without moving the line up to the next hook level. THis is a fairly typical pinny line on the playoff games so far. THe fact that Texas +1.5 is -200 or above at most shops tells you the rays wont win by more than 1 or lose su.
                                                                Im confused bro...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • colts
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-09-10
                                                                  • 1563

                                                                  #10287
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  The problem here, Paul, is SF's offense vs. Halladay.
                                                                  I have to agree. Halladay isn't like Lowe. The SF offense is sporadic at best. What are they going to score 1 or 2. I'd rather take my chances with Rollins, Utley, Victorino, Howard, Werth.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TylerDurden
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-06-10
                                                                    • 1427

                                                                    #10288
                                                                    5dimes FF on tonights game is less juice to take Rays +0.5 than it is to Rangers +0.5...is this just due to their respective pens?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lakerboy
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                                      • 94379

                                                                      #10289
                                                                      Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                                      Im confused bro...
                                                                      SF tt is way overjuiced on the under its not even worth a play at anything over -130. Thats how it has worked for me. Obviously they arent going to 2.5 so its a stay away.

                                                                      Originally posted by TylerDurden
                                                                      5dimes FF on tonights game is less juice to take Rays +0.5 than it is to Rangers +0.5...is this just due to their respective pens?

                                                                      Most likely a tie game after 5 or 1-0 texas. I am almost sure to take texas ff but only if the ml is -110 each.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • forloveofthegame
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 06-01-09
                                                                        • 5288

                                                                        #10290
                                                                        Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                                        Im confused bro...
                                                                        Comment
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