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TwoWaysSBR Posting Legend
- 03-24-10
- 13145
#20791Comment -
buzzerSBR Wise Guy
- 01-15-10
- 881
#20792what a game in Philly, unbelievalbe great callComment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20794Braves RL looking good also guys!Comment -
Tommy_de1stSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-23-10
- 8397
#20796feel good nowComment -
Tommy_de1stSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-23-10
- 8397
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FrancescoSBR Sharp
- 06-09-10
- 323
#20798we gonna get them like last night , just believe !!Comment -
nicsbrSBR Wise Guy
- 05-03-10
- 839
#20799detroitComment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#20800TEMPERATURES WARMING UP...PITCHERS WEARING DOWN
The scoring trend I noted on Sunday afternoons earlier this season (warm weather day games) is now taking hold across the whole sport of Major League Baseball since temperatures are rising across the country.
Night games now are as warm as day games were a few weeks ago, and scoring is exploding in recent Interleague play.
You've surely noticed that yourself if you've been watching the scoreboards and making Las Vegas bets. It's not a great week to play Unders. Overs are coming through both in first half (first five inning) and full game bets. It's not uncommon to see games go Over the full game total in the first five innings. Tuesday Night Houston and Kansas City scored 16 runs in the first five innings!
Here's what's happening:- Hitters love warmer temperatures, so they're finally hitting a groove after a low scoring start to the season.
- Pitchers get tired quicker in warmer temperatures, so we're starting to see low quality middle relievers in the 5th, 6th, and 7th innings who weren't getting many appearances earlier in the season.
- A lot of starting pitchers got off to good starts this year, meaning they were pitching seven innings instead of six innings for two months. Fatigue started to set in just as temperatures warmed up, creating a double whammy. There are several arm weary quality pitchers who have poor recent ERA's, and several more mediocre pitchers that munched innings in cooler temperatures who have been awful lately.
- Interleague play usually brings out big crowds. That extra energy in a stadium is known to create scoring as well. Hitters are more aggressive, as are baserunners. Pitchers feel more pressure to perform. Temperatures got hot and starting pitchers wore down just as IL play started. Triple Whammy!
- I also have to note that some teams experiment with bullpen guys as starters, or minor league call-ups during Interleague play. Nobody will risk a guy like that against a divisional rival unless they absolutely have to. Against somebody from the other league who has no idea what the guy might do, it's worth a shot. You see more than your share of no-name pitchers in IL play, and many of those guys are getting hammered too.
- Let's also point out that a few very good teams historically were slumping earlier in the season. They snapped out of it at just the right time, and have been putting really big numbers on the board. Boston's had a great offensive run in recent days. The LA Angels have as well (I wrote an article about the Halo's recently). St. Louis had a bad slump for a few weeks that had everyone complaining about their offense. The Cards have caught fire the past couple of weeks offensively. So, teams overdue to start hitting have REALLY inflated the offense across the sport.
Quick strategies:- Only take Unders with extreme Under umpires, in domes, or in a handful of the cooler cities at night.
- Be more aggressive with your Over bets in terms of bankroll units if you have an Over umpire, or bad pitchers on the mound in warm temperatures (especially if the wind is blowing out). What used to be a one-unit play is now a two-unit play.
- Games that would normally be "leans" to the Over should be upgraded to normal bets.
- Games that would normally be "leans" to the Under should passed until you see things calm down again.
- If you have access to "first half" totals (first five innings), considering playing those as well. It's not like Over umpires, or Over wind, or Over temperatures wait until the second half of the game to become factors. If anything, it's warmer earlier in the game than later in the game for the prime time starts. Add to you nightly slate with additional advantage options.
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pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20801Tigers gonna fvck me.Comment -
FrancescoSBR Sharp
- 06-09-10
- 323
#20802atl 4-2
stl all bases loadedComment -
FrancescoSBR Sharp
- 06-09-10
- 323
#20803zzz rasmus ..Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20804Come on Detroit! Gimme a HR!!!Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20805Fvck u Inge!Comment -
BamaCBassSBR MVP
- 10-07-09
- 1252
#20806I'll take a double Paco.Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20807Good job Avilla. Got 1 back. If fvcken Inge got on, we woulda been ok.Comment -
BamaCBassSBR MVP
- 10-07-09
- 1252
#20808Yes! Let's chip away at this bit*h
Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20809Tigers are done. Bad call.
Only way we can win Tigers is if Brad Lidge comes and pitches for the Dbacks. Edwin will pitch a CG so we can get to the dback pen
Fvck u Porcello. Bitch.Comment -
Tommy_de1stSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-23-10
- 8397
#20810Come on Tigers
Comment -
FasttrackSBR Sharp
- 02-23-10
- 464
#20811Come on Tigers!Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20812Tigers are done bro. I'll suck my own cock if Tigers win this game.
Lets just get the other ones. We had a great day so far, can't get em all. Tigers are finished.Comment -
HaziousSBR MVP
- 02-16-10
- 3963
#20813Cmon det, let's get sum runs!Comment -
FR3SH like UgHHSBR MVP
- 04-27-10
- 1464
#20814paco u like the reds @ 10??
after porcello blew it i think its a good look...
i needa make back that 2x...
chu guys think?Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20815Freshy, I'm looking at that game real closely. Will post when I come to a conclusion.Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20816Gimme a Long ball Miguel!!! Please!Comment -
nevarcSBR High Roller
- 03-21-10
- 106
#208172 run HR for Cards!!!Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20818Come on Boesch!!!!Comment -
FR3SH like UgHHSBR MVP
- 04-27-10
- 1464
#20819yooo atleast we gettin closer!!!! we need 2 more come on it aint over till its over after that minnesota game(and i had philly lol)....but good shit lets do it detriot!!!Comment -
MidgetTossersSBR Posting Legend
- 11-06-09
- 13376
#20820alright fellas just got back home...things are lookin ok for me right now..holliday just hit a 2 run jack so cards are up 4-1...rays are up 4-2, royals tied 4-4(under is gone) and pirates up early...tigers need to pick things up but all in all not bad so far...just really need the rays and pirates to hit and all will be good in my world...nice hit on the twins pac...fukkin lidge is awfulComment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20821WTF maggs??!!!Comment -
BamaCBassSBR MVP
- 10-07-09
- 1252
#20822Idiot! Turned around!! Seriously!?Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20823Good job Maggz u dumb monkey fvck. U just cost ur team the game!Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#20824Got hungry guys. Decided to have the special deal on the NY steak at the Coliseum. Hopefully I can get a chick to blow me before the late game and have a SCS special.Comment -
Wind garaSBR MVP
- 11-06-09
- 1515
#20825pac isnt zonas pen really bad too?Comment
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