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  • Lakers714
    SBR MVP
    • 06-17-09
    • 4671

    #20756
    I'm not worried at all in the tigers game. Unless porcella really tanks it, well get to the dabax bullpen. And when we do, well tax them
    Comment
    • paco
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-07-09
      • 62873

      #20757
      2-2 Tigers!
      Comment
      • unpredictable
        SBR Hustler
        • 06-01-10
        • 56

        #20758
        guys what do you think of a STL in play for some money, currently down 1 run.
        Comment
        • DaAce
          SBR MVP
          • 03-28-10
          • 1415

          #20759
          Damnit,.... Why would you throw that
          Comment
          • paco
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-07-09
            • 62873

            #20760
            fvcken Rauch. needed 1 more out!
            Comment
            • DaAce
              SBR MVP
              • 03-28-10
              • 1415

              #20761
              10-10

              phillies twins
              Comment
              • Lakers714
                SBR MVP
                • 06-17-09
                • 4671

                #20762
                **** u Ross gload!!!
                Comment
                • paco
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-07-09
                  • 62873

                  #20763
                  now we continue in Twins game!
                  Comment
                  • paco
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-07-09
                    • 62873

                    #20764
                    come on Kelly, bring em home.
                    Comment
                    • BamaCBass
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-07-09
                      • 1252

                      #20765
                      Unbelievable Paco. They can still do this thing.
                      Comment
                      • jcubs55
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-18-10
                        • 1023

                        #20766
                        mauer is gonna get a pitch to hit right here

                        EDIT: or not, 4 pitch walk...
                        Comment
                        • paco
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-07-09
                          • 62873

                          #20767
                          Porcello needs a quick inning.
                          Comment
                          • paco
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-07-09
                            • 62873

                            #20768
                            need a clutch hit Twins, and get an OUt Porcello.
                            Comment
                            • jcubs55
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-18-10
                              • 1023

                              #20769
                              INFIELD RBI SINGLE FOR YOUNG!!! 11-10 Twins!!!
                              Comment
                              • paco
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-07-09
                                • 62873

                                #20770
                                Twins score!!!!!
                                Comment
                                • BamaCBass
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-07-09
                                  • 1252

                                  #20771
                                  Run!!!! Yes sir!
                                  Comment
                                  • buzzer
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-15-10
                                    • 881

                                    #20772
                                    dam i left that twins game and missed the ninth, gotta watch now
                                    Comment
                                    • DaAce
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-28-10
                                      • 1415

                                      #20773
                                      Thank you twins.... Hold onto this again
                                      Comment
                                      • Lakers714
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-17-09
                                        • 4671

                                        #20774
                                        Twins!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • paco
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-07-09
                                          • 62873

                                          #20775
                                          alright Tigers, big boys coming up, tag this fvck Jackson NOW!!!!!!!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Lakers714
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-17-09
                                            • 4671

                                            #20776
                                            This dbax lineup reminds me of the jays. Bunch of free swingers that strikeout a lot and hit a lot of homers.
                                            Comment
                                            • JR007
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-21-10
                                              • 5279

                                              #20777
                                              SQUARES KEPT INVENTING REASONS
                                              TO BET GAME SEVEN OVER

                                              It was amazing to hear as I was walking around sportsbooks this past Thursday afternoon. The general public wanted to bet the OVER in a low scoring series featuring great defenses that was about to go to a 7th game.
                                              You shouldn't like Overs in a low scoring series. You shouldn't like Overs with great defenses on the floor. You REALLY shouldn't like Overs in a 7th game because all the shooters are dead tired, and because 'ultimate' games like that often slow way down in terms of pace. Also, refs tend to swallow their whistles in seventh games too, meaning there are fewer free throw attempts.
                                              The public would have none of it. Among the reasons for the Over I heard:
                                              *Kobe, Ray Allen, Paul Pierce, pick a guy, SOMEBODY was going to ignite and have a huge offensive game, and that would drive the total way Over.
                                              *There's no way the teams would score just 156 again (technically true), so the improved scoring would create a big offensive night (apparently nobody realized there was about 31 points of breathing room there!).
                                              *Kendrick Perkins missing the game hurt defense and helped offense at the same time because he's such a defensive force but a non-scorer (true enough, but the guys getting those minutes weren't defensive slouches or offensive stars).
                                              *Desperate teams create free throw parades late in a big game, meaning the game would fly Over in the fourth quarter even if it was a defensive battle. Squares all remember games (especially in March Madness) where that's happened. They assume it ALWAYS happens.
                                              *All the volatile tempers on the floor would lead to a bunch of technical fouls on the losing team. Ron Artest might attack the whole Celtics team if the Lakers were in trouble. Rasheed Wallace is a fight waiting to happen in the other direction. Things were going to get NASTY in a Game Seven war, and you'd get a lot of cheap points from technicals.
                                              *Let's not forget a chance for overtime! Most Lakers fans weren't thinking that way because they always assume LA will win big. They don't mind having insurance though.
                                              As it turned out, overtime wouldn't have been enough. Game Seven landed about 25 points Under the Vegas total. At the pace they were going (3.3 points per minute), it would have taken a second overtime to reach the number.
                                              My clients and I had the Under. Many sharp handicappers and professional wagerers were on the Under as well. That's what you're supposed to do in Game Sevens in terms of the percentages. There can be as much as a 4-5% decrease in scoring in a series finale like that. Oddsmakers can't drop the total THAT far because it would create high risk with VERY unbalanced action (if square money liked Over 187, imagine what it would have thought about 181 or 178!). Oddsmakers won't put their employers in position to suffer a disaster if there is a double overtime game, or a rogue ref blowing his whistle like crazy.
                                              Were YOU one of the people on the Over? Were YOU talking yourself into it all day even though you had just watched games land on 175, 185, 178, and 156 with your own eyes? Mathematically speaking, some of you had to be.
                                              Here's one key thing that separates sharps from squares. Squares often decide what they think about a game in about two seconds, then spend the rest of the time trying to find reasons that justify their gut reaction. That's not 'handicapping' by any means. That's defending an uninformed knee jerk reaction. And, it's why squares lose a lot more than they win (unfortunately, those knee jerk reactions are right just often enough to trick squares into trusting their gut!).
                                              Sharps will try to talk themselves out of a bet rather than into one. They look over the evidence, then draw their conclusions LAST. Squares draw their conclusions first. BIG DIFFERENCE.
                                              Comment
                                              • DaAce
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-28-10
                                                • 1415

                                                #20778
                                                Yes... More comfort
                                                Comment
                                                • paco
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-07-09
                                                  • 62873

                                                  #20779
                                                  Tolbert!!!!!!!!!!!1
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hotnicks
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-04-10
                                                    • 423

                                                    #20780
                                                    3 Run lead... We need a 1,2,3 inning!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jcubs55
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-18-10
                                                      • 1023

                                                      #20781
                                                      13-10 twins!!! tolbert was pegged at third but not before his 2 rbi double... lets CLOSE. THIS. OUT.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BamaCBass
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-07-09
                                                        • 1252

                                                        #20782
                                                        Baez just took one for the team, Pac.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • paco
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-07-09
                                                          • 62873

                                                          #20783
                                                          Gotta Love Brad Lidge !
                                                          Comment
                                                          • buzzer
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-15-10
                                                            • 881

                                                            #20784
                                                            holy crap pac,
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paco
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-07-09
                                                              • 62873

                                                              #20785
                                                              That was a dud inning by the Tigers.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tommy_de1st
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-23-10
                                                                • 8397

                                                                #20786
                                                                Time for a redtube
                                                                Comment
                                                                • paco
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-07-09
                                                                  • 62873

                                                                  #20787
                                                                  Originally posted by paco
                                                                  Let's keep it going. Nationals Over 8.5 (-105) (0.5x) Twins mL+141 (1x)
                                                                  Who gave up on those Twins?

                                                                  4clock games profit also. +4 units already today, Lets go Tigers Now!

                                                                  Thank U Brad Lidge


                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BamaCBass
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-07-09
                                                                    • 1252

                                                                    #20788
                                                                    Bwaaaaaaahaaaaaaaaaahaaaaaaaa!!!


                                                                    Unbelievable Paco. Congrats on Detroit last night and good luck on them tonight too!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lakers714
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-17-09
                                                                      • 4671

                                                                      #20789
                                                                      You were right paco, this tigers game is gonna be a shitter
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hotnicks
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 06-04-10
                                                                        • 423

                                                                        #20790
                                                                        Originally posted by paco
                                                                        Who gave up on those Twins? 4clock games profit also. +4 units already today, Lets go Tigers Now! Thank U Brad Lidge
                                                                        Comment
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