Reverend's 2010 MLB

df1000 · 07-14-10, 10:01 AM

i like atlanta tomorrow, but not by 2.

df1000 · 07-14-10, 10:05 AM

i really dont think there is a fav between texas and boston tomorrow. i do think an over is likely though.

arizona40 · 07-14-10, 10:20 AM

Good luck to everyone on the second half of the season.

NastyStuff · 07-14-10, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by arizona40

Good luck to everyone on the second half of the season.

Same to you Arizona....and everyone else.

DustyDiamond · 07-14-10, 03:47 PM

So how are we doing with adjusting the system? I like the no sub .500 teams, bet on opening lines for pitcher not action. I know it has been thrown out there about not betting the same team twice?

ackescott · 07-14-10, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

So how are we doing with adjusting the system? I like the no sub .500 teams, bet on opening lines for pitcher not action. I know it has been thrown out there about not betting the same team twice?

Hope its fine

balls2wall · 07-14-10, 05:31 PM

good luck arizona and everyone else

I am impressed with how positive this thread has been for the whole year so far

very few negative remarks and mostly positive which is amazing especially since falling off the cliff right before the all star break

I say we shoot for Monday on a new system and if it gets done sooner then that is icing on the cake.

I personally haven't had much time this week to even think about it

I should be able to put time into it this weekend.if not before

balls2wall · 07-14-10, 05:40 PM

to get the ball rolling here is a starting list off the top of my head of possibilites

- no sub .500 (.450, .475???) teams

- no teams above a certain odds (-250, -275, -300???) to reduce risk, or -1.5 if above a certain odds?

- adjusted money management system focusing on first two games of chase like G suggested. May include eliminating the D bet or at least reducing it a ton.

- opening lines only

that is off the top of my head

I need to go back and read the past 2 pages to make sure I didn't miss anything

please feel free to add to the suggestions

JVP3122 · 07-14-10, 05:51 PM

What about an RPI filter like what "John Morrison" does for his chase system?

G's pks · 07-14-10, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

What about an RPI filter like what "John Morrison" does for his chase system?

From what I hear Morrison has not done too well this year...do not base to much on one filter... I have tons and still had texas too... Leaning to heavily on RPI would not be the best idea.

Reduce risk when you get to your "C"...

Develop a better system to pick highest fav of day... (maybe use higher rpi of the two). Whenever you guys had two close ones there is to much confusion on actual pick...go with higher rpi, better record, best head to head...decide something so you are all in agreement...

List 2-5 rules set in stone so everyone is on same page... I still say the Texas series was rigged...and there is no system to figure that out...by now several of you have probably heard someone who knows Lebron said he threw a few cavs games...not a surprise from the "king"...

JVP3122 · 07-14-10, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by G's pks

From what I hear Morrison has not done too well this year...do not base to much on one filter... I have tons and still had texas too... Leaning to heavily on RPI would not be the best idea.

Reduce risk when you get to your "C"...

Develop a better system to pick highest fav of day... (maybe use higher rpi of the two). Whenever you guys had two close ones there is to much confusion on actual pick...go with higher rpi, better record, best head to head...decide something so you are all in agreement...

That's kind of what I was thinking. B2W asked for some more suggestions, so I thought maybe RPI might be another filter to consider. I wasn't suggesting it be the main or only filter.

NastyStuff · 07-15-10, 08:02 AM

I like the RPI suggestion and I will also look at both of the opposing teams road records if the dogs are on the road for those games and choose the one with the worst record (provided there is a distinct difference)...

MY reasoning is ... if you have two Favs with the same odds and you have one dog that only wins 30% on the road and the other dog wins 48% of its games on the road...which dog might have the better chance of losing the game?...it doesn't always give me a clear choice...but it helps...same thing if you are using the RPI...sometimes there will be a distinct difference and other times it will be close...

df1000 · 07-15-10, 10:23 AM

i hope everyone has a good second half, and go atlanta today.

balls2wall · 07-15-10, 01:09 PM

nice low juicer to start off the second half

Thursday FAV System Play

A Bet: SF -1rl (-120)

handicapper03 · 07-15-10, 01:10 PM

BOL to you today balls!

balls2wall · 07-15-10, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by df1000

i hope everyone has a good second half, and go atlanta today.

you too DF

good luck

balls2wall · 07-15-10, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by handicapper03

BOL to you today balls!

thanks capper

I don't know if I will be playing anything today or not

prolly not going to be on the fav system play

I only played it in spots the first half

looking into a possible O/U chase...

DustyDiamond · 07-15-10, 04:34 PM

Looking forward to hearing everyone's input on rules that we should set in stone for the new and improved fav system

NastyStuff · 07-16-10, 12:32 AM

Texas gets pounded to death by Baltimore and then comes back to win over Boston....go figure...

bygspenda · 07-16-10, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by NastyStuff

Texas gets pounded to death by Baltimore and then comes back to win over Boston....go figure...

Sounds like the MLB to me. Every time I think I'm getting somewhere, the script gets changed.

DustyDiamond · 07-16-10, 04:43 AM

Well SFO picked up the win last night. For those of you that went no guts no glory and put up an E bet congrads!!

balls2wall · 07-16-10, 09:34 AM

looks like the braves today

liking these low juicers early in the second half

Betting Guru · 07-16-10, 10:07 AM

Yeah, unbelievable that the Rangers did that against Boston. Story of my life

df1000 · 07-16-10, 10:07 AM

once again philly has proved they are a team that needs medication, to control the mutiple personalities that exist on there team. go atlanta.

arizona40 · 07-16-10, 11:09 AM

Good call on S.F. last night....lets continue on with winning ways in the second half!!

balls2wall · 07-16-10, 01:08 PM

FAV System 2nd Half

1-0

A: 1
B: 0
C: 0
D: 0

balls2wall · 07-16-10, 01:10 PM

Friday FAV System Play

A Bet: ATL -1rl (-124)

allenc85 · 07-16-10, 01:43 PM

thanks b2w

diegoelmestre · 07-16-10, 04:56 PM

Ty for the play

balls2wall · 07-16-10, 06:08 PM

thx guys

i'm on this one tonight for a single play

DustyDiamond · 07-17-10, 08:08 AM

Ok things get interesting tonight. Atlanta opened today at -191, however Florida opened at -230. Florida is a sub .500 team. If we use the sub .500 rule Atlanta is the play, original rules Florida is the play. FYI Florida is playing Washington and has Josh Johnson on the mound 9-3 record with at 1.70 ERA. This is one is a tough call.

G's pks · 07-17-10, 08:17 AM

That is why you guys need a set of rules... It is a tough call... List 5 rules to avoid confusion...or just the modifications you mentioned. Or just keep the system the same... that will have to be decided today... GL guys I had last night off and it would have been a break even night anyways for me GL with your decision.

NastyStuff · 07-17-10, 08:45 AM

I'm going with ATL...good luck to the rest of you guys.

arizona40 · 07-17-10, 09:41 AM

I Like the call on Atlanta as well.

new kid in town · 07-17-10, 10:14 AM

well im playin bout but if i have to choose i go with the marlin the nationals are thethird lowest scoring in the league at 4.1 runs per game and olso like atlanta but milwake its playin very good now