Fri 4/9:
(1x) twins +110
(2x) brewers -110
(1x) twins +110
(2x) brewers -110
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Dex, what are you thoughts about SF with ATL flying cross country tonight? Hanson is at 63 pitches through 3... if he can only go 5, they could be hurting in the pen. If they need Wagner tonight, they're left with Saito to close if needed. On top of that SF was hitting the ball well against Hou and willbe coming off a day's rest. Do you not see value at +120?Comment -
(1x) tigers -140Originally posted by DexterComment -
love that play - was sitting here flipping a coin between sf and det. i decided on siding with porcello at home.Originally posted by EXhoosier10
plus its a day game after a night game for atl.
thats one thing i dont love about my twins play (traveling from west coast), but i have a feeling we may not get many more chances of getting liriano at such a sweet price. he ripped up dominican ball this winter and spring training. having him lined up vs other teams #4 is value...Comment -
If you don't mind me asking, what's your lean on the milwaukee game? I have Lohse with a 3.375 ERA and 1.22 WhIP v. Mil since 2004 while Bush isn't anything special (fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/bush-named-milwaukees-4th-starter), especially with his 5+ ERA against StL. Bullpens are fresh since StL only used Brandon Boggs for more than 7 pitches today... Cincinnati isn't far from Milwaukee, and it's a night after day game, so travel issues aren't a concern. If i were to have any lean, it would be towards StL...
And Atl's pen is coming in and will throw 3.2 innings tonightComment -
i dont go back that far (just 08 and 09), and i focus just on how the pitcher has performed in the park hes pitching in.... bush has 13ip and just 3er vs stl at home. sharp movement towards milw was a big part of this play. +104 to -106 at pinnacle.Originally posted by EXhoosier10Comment -
edit - 3 run error....even betterComment -
Originally posted by Dexter
thats some high juice to play
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4/9
Pirates ML ( HEAVY )
Angels ML ( HEAVY )
White Sox ML ( MEDIUM )
Braves ML ( MEDIUM )Comment -
haha - ive clearly stated 150 is my max chief.Originally posted by shoeboxthats some high juice to play
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hey shoe - i winOriginally posted by Dexter
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Originally posted by Dexterhey shoe - i win
nice consensus cash
Check out LB thread CK sent one of his cronies over for a "challenge" or marketing campaign
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Sat 4/10:
(1x) mariners -140Comment -
Tough loss on the Brewcrew. THought you had it.
Anyways, I'm surprised you're not on the CUbs tomorrow. Zambrano is lights out @ Cincinnati. Harang is average @ home and bad vs. the cubs.Comment -
die trevor hoffmanComment -
i didnt fully cap the card yet - doing it now. mariners stuck out to me last night and i wanted to get down before the line moved anymore.Originally posted by EXhoosier10Comment -
(1x) cubs -110Originally posted by DexterComment -
good eye exhoosierOriginally posted by EXhoosier10
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(1x) under redsox 7.5Comment -
I also took the cubbies today. Anyone else on Jays+130 today? I think they're going to put runs on the board today in a slugfest. Thats my opinion though, but until the arms catch up to the bats, Jays are going to be a team that takes full advantage. Also I really like Red Sox to knock Greinke around today. To lose late and only score 2 runs against mediocre Royals pitching, a team like the Red Sox is going to look for revenge bigtime. 1-3 wont cut it in that locker room trust me
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Originally posted by Dextergood eye exhoosier Glad you could cash.
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lets keep the redsox score at 2-1 and we'll both be happy.Originally posted by superjeff24I also took the cubbies today. Anyone else on Jays+130 today? I think they're going to put runs on the board today in a slugfest. Thats my opinion though, but until the arms catch up to the bats, Jays are going to be a team that takes full advantage. Also I really like Red Sox to knock Greinke around today. To lose late and only score 2 runs against mediocre Royals pitching, a team like the Red Sox is going to look for revenge bigtime. 1-3 wont cut it in that locker room trust me
Good Beat Alert
- Mariners today. as gamblers we always tend to whine and complain about the bad beats - well today i had a good one. sea scored 3 runs in the top of the 9th off a pretty tough closer in francisco.
as for tomorrows card, i think i will play my first run lines of the year. last year i got burnt waaaay too many times with my team winning by 1 run and not covering the 1.5 run line.
nothing heavy - going to play a few aces tomorrow and see what happens. last year i played 2-3 run lines per day - this year i plan on doing maybe that many per week (so long as i dont start out with a bad run on those games winning by 1 run.)Comment -
I've had very good success with playing a combination of ML (x3), RL -1 (x2), & RL -2 (x1) instead of the -1.5/-2.5, allowing you to push rather than lose if you get that one run (or two run) win. When overall, about 1/3 of games end by a margin of one run, those pushes make a big difference in your bottom line.Originally posted by Dexter
lets keep the redsox score at 2-1 and we'll both be happy.
Good Beat Alert - Mariners today. as gamblers we always tend to whine and complain about the bad beats - well today i had a good one. sea scored 3 runs in the top of the 9th off a pretty tough closer in francisco.
as for tomorrows card, i think i will play my first run lines of the year. last year i got burnt waaaay too many times with my team winning by 1 run and not covering the 1.5 run line.
nothing heavy - going to play a few aces tomorrow and see what happens. last year i played 2-3 run lines per day - this year i plan on doing maybe that many per week (so long as i dont start out with a bad run on those games winning by 1 run.)Comment -
Sunday 4/11:
(2x) giants -1.5 (+100) - lincecum has given up 2 er in 16ip last 2 home games vs the braves (both wins). lincecum looked dominant in his first start this year after a rough spring. all systems a go on the giants ace. kawakami lost last year in sf giving up 3er in 5ip.Comment -
if a line were -1.5 (+100) on a home team. what would the price be on -1?Originally posted by suicidekingsComment -
About -165, with the ML at around -230Originally posted by DexterComment -
(2x) phillies -1.5 (-120) - the astros hitters have never seen roy halladay (good luck). oswalt has faced the phillies twice at home since 2008 going 1-1 with a 5.83 era.Originally posted by DexterComment -
(1x) mets -1.5 (-120)Comment -
ok - the run line experiment is over.
- complete sucker bets. only when im forced to on A1 bets.
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lincecum racking up the k's, but i havent seen him get over 92mph in 2 starts now...Comment -
Monday 4/12:
(1x) marlins -150
(1x) rangers +100
(1x) bluejays +110Comment -
Week 1: 12-10 (-1.9 units)Comment -
4/12
Tigers RL [ +115] ( LARGE )
Rays RL [+115] ( LARGE )
Brewers ML ( MEDIUM )
Twins ML ( MEDIUM )
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welcome to the AL Peavy...Comment -
Tue 4/13:
(2x) a's -130 - brett anderson has carried over his hot end of 2009 here into the new season. in 2 career starts at sea he has given up just 2 er in 12ip. sharps played oakland on the open from 117 to 132 at Pinnacle.
(1x) over yankees 10
(1x) rockies -140Comment
