on3's MLB 2026 Opening Day System

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  • slewfan
    replied
    JMO

    Anyone who plays a so called ''system'' is being ridiculous. Anyone who puts a system out there (especially someone else's system) is totally brain dead... Too lazy to do the handicapping work necessary to find some success...

    Leave a comment:


  • takethepnts
    replied
    Originally posted by TrojanMan8

    Records are updated when all series are completed, so usually Sundays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays.
    EXCELLENT thank you .

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    Originally posted by loutrigs
    You guys need to fix the records
    Records are updated when all series are completed, so usually Sundays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays.

    Leave a comment:


  • loutrigs
    replied
    You guys need to fix the records

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    UPDATED for 03/28/2026

    System(s) record Chase :

    Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

    Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

    Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

    Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
    (A) 2 * 23.43
    (B) 4 * 23.43
    (C) 2 * 23.43

    Regular

    (C) HOU ML -136 to win 2.35U
    (B) CHC RL -118 to win 2.35U
    (B) MIA RL +113 to risk 2.35U

    Close play - RL vs ML


    Filtered
    No Play

    5/2
    No Play

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    ATL is now below -145 and may not be a play today. Will check again closer to first pitch.

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    UPDATED for 03/27/2026

    System(s) record Chase :

    Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

    Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

    Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

    Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
    (A) 6 * 16.44
    (B) 4 * 16.44
    (C)

    REGULAR FOR 03/27/2026


    (B) HOU ML -169 to win 1.65U
    (B) SEA ML -175 to win 1.65U
    (A) ATL ML -143 to win 1.65U no play
    (A) MIA RL +109 to risk 1.65U

    (A) TOR ML -169 to risk 1.65U

    Close play (ML vs no play)
    Close play (RL vs ML)
    Play updated since original post


    Filtered
    No Play - watching TOR O/U

    5/2
    No Play

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    That rings a bell. Since I don't have access to Pinnacle, I used scoresandodds.com to track publicly since it can be validated by everyone.

    Obviously, lines vary with each book and folks can adjust their plays based on their own lines, risk tolerance, etc.

    Leave a comment:


  • BanjoHitter58
    replied
    Happy 2026 season!! Thanks Tojan for doing this. Much apprecated!!

    I'm pretty sure he used pinnacle.com

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  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    One other note. I think grecycle used a specific book to track. I remember not having access to that book, so I'm using scores and odds.

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    UPDATED for 03/26/2026

    System(s) record Chase :

    Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

    Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

    Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

    Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
    (A) 10-10-10-10 (10x16 total)
    (B)
    (C)


    REGULAR FOR 03/26/2026


    (A) BAL ML -145 to win 1U
    (A) CHC RL +113 to risk 1U
    (A) HOU ML -186 to win 1U
    (A) LAD RL -136 to win 1U
    (A) MIL RL +113 to risk 1U
    (A) PHI ML -175 to win 1U
    (A) SEA RL -186 to win 1U

    Close play (ML vs no play)
    Close play (RL vs ML)
    Play updated since original post

    Filtered

    (A) LAD RL -136 to win 1U

    5/2
    No Play

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    replied
    Explanation of the system summarized from last year's thread:

    Regular System:
    • 3- or 4-game series (only first 3 games are played)
    • First game has a home favorite above -145
    • Odds above -190 are played on the runline instead
    Filtered System:
    • Same criteria as the regular system, AND:
    • First game total over 9
    5/2 System:
    • Same criteria as the filtered system
    • Series starts on the B bet after the A bet loses
    • B bet to win 5 units and C bet to win back lost B bet plus 2 units
    The Regular and Filtered systems are played using labby lines. The 5/2 system is played separately.

    The labby lines are used for a combination of Regular and Filtered plays. Filtered plays are also Regular plays, so the system effectively plays them twice with the labby. (The 5/2 are Filtered plays that lost the A bet, so you would technically be playing the B and C bets of the Filtered plays 3 times if playing the 5/2 and the labby lines).

    The labby lines need two numbers for each play. Tracking for this system uses 10s when adding new numbers to the line and 20 is treated as 1U (2x10), but your units may vary. A win eliminates two numbers from the labby line and a loss is added as a new number to the labby line. New numbers (10) are added as needed for new plays or to spread risk. It may be easiest to consider all plays as 1 total labby line as opposed to having separate labby lines for A, B, and C bets.

    Using opening day as an example, there were 3 regular plays so the system started with 6 10s.
    10 10 10 10 10 10

    SEA and LAD won, while KC lost, so 4 numbers are eliminated and the KC loss (31.60 at -158 odds) is added to the line.
    10 10 10 10 10 10 31.60

    At the end of the day, there were 3 numbers left on the line: 10 10 31.60. The day 2 line (post #13) shows there were 5 total numbers; 3 on the A bet and 2 on the B bet. This means that 2 10s were then added to the lines, giving:
    10 10 31.60 10 10

    To spread risk, the numbers are averaged. The total line is 71.60 (4x10 + 31.60) divided by the 5 numbers, giving a new line of 5 x 14.32. Day 2 shows an A bet and a B bet and numbers are moved between the A, B, and C lines as needed. Therefore, 2 numbers are shown on the B line and 3 were left on the A line, giving:
    Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
    (A) 3 * 14.32
    (B) 2 * 14.32
    (C)


    For the next play, the numbers are rounded up to the next tenth for the next play, so TB is at 1.44U = 14.40 x 2 = 28.80. TB lost the run line last night, so 28.80 will now be added to the line.
    14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80.

    To summarize the lines above:
    Day 1 before games: 10 10 10 10 10 10
    Day 1 after games (2W, 1L, 2 numbers added): 10 10 31.60 10 10
    Day 2 before games (Day 1 after line averaged): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32
    Day 2 after games (1L): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80

    Leave a comment:


  • TrojanMan8
    started a topic on3's MLB 2026 Opening Day System

    on3's MLB 2026 Opening Day System

    Disclaimer: I'm not grecycle and would not do as good of a job as he does every year, so I will gladly hand it over to him or abandon this thread if he wants to resume.

    Link to last year's thread: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ing-day-system
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