SBR's Dustin Saracini is looking to stop the bleeding with his best No Run First Inning (NRFI) bets for Wednesday, July 30th (56-42, +4.19 YTD):
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-150 at FanDuel)
Shota Imanaga (3.12 ERA) vs. Freddy Peralta (2.81 ERA)
NRFI record: Cubs (52-55) vs. Brewers (63-44)
"If there's one bet to get us back in the win column, it's this one. We've got two of the best pitchers in baseball and six outs to get - we're feeling good about our chances.
Imanaga will be looking to bounce back after a complete meltdown against the Chicago White Sox in which he allowed seven earned runs off the back of three bombs. It was the worst start of his season by a long shot, and one that came after 14 innings of one-run baseball. We're going to get dominant Imanaga today, let's take advantage as part of our best NRFI bets today.
On the other side is Peralta, who routinely dominates this Cubs lineup. Seiya Suzuki (2-for-19), Michael Busch (1-for-10), and Ian Happ (2-for-32) are just a few of a handful of hitters who simply haven't been able to touch Peralta throughout their respective careers. The lineup owns just a .195 xBA against the righty, giving me all the confidence in the world that this play will start a new winning streak for us."
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics (+100 at DraftKings)
Bryan Woo (2.91 ERA) vs. Jeffrey Springs (4.13 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (56-52) vs. Athletics (58-52)
"By now, you know what time it is - it's Woo day. We're backing him one more time as part of our best NRFI bets today.
Across 82 plate appearances against Woo, the Athletics own just a .231 xwOBA and are hitting .130. Lawrence Butler (2-for-15), Brent Rooker (1-for-17), and Shea Langeliers (0-for-6) have all been routinely dominated by the first-time All-Star, which shouldn't stop tonight. The righty is the definition of electric, and we'll take every opportunity we can at +100 to ride him for three outs.
Oddly enough, Mr. Springs has been a stalwart this year when it comes to our best NRFI bets today, and he's been pretty damn reliable. He, too, is providing us with a reasonably large sample size against the Mariners, who are getting punched out at a 32% clip by Springs while hitting just .189.
I'd price this play closer to -110 betting odds than the +100 we're getting at DraftKings, so let's move on this value while it's still there.
With first pitch slated for 10:05 p.m. ET, there's nothing like being tucked in and sleeping like a baby after a first-inning win."
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-150 at FanDuel)
Shota Imanaga (3.12 ERA) vs. Freddy Peralta (2.81 ERA)
NRFI record: Cubs (52-55) vs. Brewers (63-44)
"If there's one bet to get us back in the win column, it's this one. We've got two of the best pitchers in baseball and six outs to get - we're feeling good about our chances.
Imanaga will be looking to bounce back after a complete meltdown against the Chicago White Sox in which he allowed seven earned runs off the back of three bombs. It was the worst start of his season by a long shot, and one that came after 14 innings of one-run baseball. We're going to get dominant Imanaga today, let's take advantage as part of our best NRFI bets today.
On the other side is Peralta, who routinely dominates this Cubs lineup. Seiya Suzuki (2-for-19), Michael Busch (1-for-10), and Ian Happ (2-for-32) are just a few of a handful of hitters who simply haven't been able to touch Peralta throughout their respective careers. The lineup owns just a .195 xBA against the righty, giving me all the confidence in the world that this play will start a new winning streak for us."
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics (+100 at DraftKings)
Bryan Woo (2.91 ERA) vs. Jeffrey Springs (4.13 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (56-52) vs. Athletics (58-52)
"By now, you know what time it is - it's Woo day. We're backing him one more time as part of our best NRFI bets today.
Across 82 plate appearances against Woo, the Athletics own just a .231 xwOBA and are hitting .130. Lawrence Butler (2-for-15), Brent Rooker (1-for-17), and Shea Langeliers (0-for-6) have all been routinely dominated by the first-time All-Star, which shouldn't stop tonight. The righty is the definition of electric, and we'll take every opportunity we can at +100 to ride him for three outs.
Oddly enough, Mr. Springs has been a stalwart this year when it comes to our best NRFI bets today, and he's been pretty damn reliable. He, too, is providing us with a reasonably large sample size against the Mariners, who are getting punched out at a 32% clip by Springs while hitting just .189.
I'd price this play closer to -110 betting odds than the +100 we're getting at DraftKings, so let's move on this value while it's still there.
With first pitch slated for 10:05 p.m. ET, there's nothing like being tucked in and sleeping like a baby after a first-inning win."