No Rainouts Here

[Just Enough]

4/14

braves (win 225)

[TodaysAction]

If my NBA season is any signs of my MLB season then I should quit now. You probably missed the biggest tanking of all time. I lost most of my profits. I didn't bother to grade the final results after losing the last game. I wasted my time doing an NBA Thread.

I am just bored with having my own thread and talking to myself in there. I will probably just stop posting plays and tail for a while.

Enjoy your action Wednesday.

MexicanStallion,

I am sorry to learn that. Had I known what transpired I never would have made reference to it but the last I knew you were up a significant amount. with your choices.

Good day today TA. Thankfully I had a good day because yesterday I was down like 8 units. Nothing went my way. Today went 3-0 Would have been 4-0 (probably) but they canceled my Pits bet earlier today.

Glad you had a very successful day/night of wagering but why was the PIT action canceled?

Outstanding work!

Thank you No Coincidences. Looking forward to your input on some games this week.

[TodaysAction]

nice work today TA! followed you on all your picks so I was able to build bank... unfortunately, i lost most of it on the damn giants... not enough early run support for cain. but oh well, all in all i still made a couple bucks and winning is always better than losing. looking forward to tomorrows picks!

Sorry that SF was a but anytime you leave with more than you began the day with, is a good day,

Another day another dollar... Man I can't tell you how much i look forward to your plays every morning. Keep up the great work!

Thank you dodger33. I enjoy baseball a great deal especially after the winter's here.

Good stuff again TA! Great thread and great picks.

Thank you Obone44. Still waiting on your insights to a game, any game.

TA solid capping! RESPECT! GL this yr.......................

Thanks man and welcome to our thread nightlife32. Hope you like what you read and will add to the mix making the thread even better/stronger.

[Beastxxx]

Mexican Stallion
Hang in there my friend.
I am just a rookie at this and I post here because I get bored of talking to my self too.
I am sure you will bounce back.
Good Luck and keep the faith

[habel]

Thx TA for the nice stuff yesterday.
BOL today ...

Im thinking about Cardinals and Rays ML and RL ...

[TodaysAction]

4-1 $395

Another successful night futureMLB. Keep up the good work.

CHC 140/100
FLA 286/220
ATL 370/255
CWS 120/100

with your four-pack.

Good day yesterday Sig is updated
Early Games
Det -161 322-200
Det -1.5 +119 200-238
Yanks -194 194-100
Yanks -1.5 +100 100-100
Minn +117 200-234
Minn -1.5 +226 200-452
TB -136 272-200
TB -1.5 +117 200-234
SF -174 174-100
SF -1.5 +123 100-123

Like how things are starting to click for you and noticed the bottom line for your siggy.

[TodaysAction]

Cardinals over Houston RL (-110) 5 units/risking 5.5 units

fade, fade, fade Houston until they win one, and fade again.

Record: 2-4 (-4.10 units)

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE.............

Always glad to see you in here Foghorn.

3-1 +3.5 Units

4/14
PHI RL -115 3 Units
ATL -140 2 Units
Good Luck Everyone

Did you catch the post I made yesterday about the WA/PHI game? Not trying to talk you off or on the choice, but make sure you're aware of a few things about the game.

[Obone44]

Hey TA, Don't Call Me Out! Lol. I will contribute a lot more after Thurs (Taxes). swamped right now, barely have time to cap, much less write. Here are my early picks on games for the day. 2 units each.
Wash +205
LAD RL
St. L RL
Yanks Over 10
Boston Over 8.5
GL all!

[TodaysAction]

The parlays that I had screwed me over.
The one straight bet I had was Jays ML

I have some troubles on the home front also.

Just last week I was running my mouth off here
pertaining to an issue TA had.

Well yesterday like I said before when the need hits get a hot escort.

Well I took off on the adventure but left my emails
on my computer open and my wife came home and read them. Now I got caught playing around with a girl and this shit is not funny as I am really up shits creek

I hope it will work out for you.

To top it all off I have tickets for the jays and angels this Friday and she may not even want to go with me

If she won't go, take your daughter and one of her friends.

This is a good pick Foghorn; I hope we'll have a winner from you today. Something that we noticed: you had some of the best write-ups on your plays, and it was hard to notice you not cashing those bets where the blurbs were good. TA always told me that I'd do better if I could write out why I am taking the team that I am. It is true.

Based upon what you told me, I believe this is the correct course of action - not just for you but for everyone who wagers. By putting on paper or on-line a person will/might take one more read over the game and then make the choice to wager or not. Until a person gets a method/system/process/your term down cold, to me, it adds another layer of punter protection. Once a person has a a method/system/process/your term down cold - they should be able to blurb out at least one sentence as to why they are on the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks +160 (1 unit)
Cinci Reds +110 (1 unit)
Giants/Pirates o7.5 -110 (1 unit)
LAA +1.5 -120 (1 unit)
Baltimore O's +110 (1 unit)
Toronto Blue Jays -110 (5 units)
Detroit -130 (2 units)

A pair of matches today.

4-3 +6.1 units[/quote]

4-3 +6.1 units

BOL
I am liking the Jays again today.
The walks is a concern for brandown morrow but he has dominated the Chi sox in the past so this is my dog play Jays ML
I am on the Jays ML [/quote]

[mcbaseball10]

Came up on the short end of the stick on both plays tonight. That's baseball for you. Good thing about baseball is you don't have to wait very long until the next group of games come at you.

Tonight with your plays TA. I'm off to my softball games. Have been tailing you all year plus playing a few of my own, but haven't posted any of my own plays. Hope we end up on same side tonight.

Tonight I'm on Florida LOSS

SF Giants LOSS

MY SOFTBALL TEAM WIN

_______________
Mcbaseball10-'10 baseball picks

0-2 -4.34 units 0%
_______________

[TodaysAction]

4/14

braves (win 225)

Thx TA for the nice stuff yesterday.
BOL today ...

Im thinking about Cardinals and Rays ML and RL ...

You're welcome and glad you and others were able to make a few coins.

Hey TA, Don't Call Me Out! Lol. I will contribute a lot more after Thurs (Taxes). swamped right now, barely have time to cap, much less write. Here are my early picks on games for the day. 2 units each.
Wash +205
LAD RL
St. L RL
Yanks Over 10
Boston Over 8.5
GL all!

It's all good Obone44. Didn't know you a H-n-R Block type guy. Must be busy as hell this time of the year. Ok, so everyone can look forward to your insights by Monday then. with your five.

[TodaysAction]

Came up on the short end of the stick on both plays tonight. That's baseball for you. Good thing about baseball is you don't have to wait very long until the next group of games come at you.


_______________
Mcbaseball10-'10 baseball picks

0-2 -4.34 units 0%
_______________

Just like (NHL). Congrats on the team win yesterday.

[TodaysAction]

3 for now and 3 later after returning from the game.

1:05pm, DET,
1:10pm, BOS,
1:35pm, BALT,

Projected weather for the local game: low humidity and will continue to warm as the game goes on.

[Beastxxx]

I am not sure about any plays today guys its like I have a mental block!
Maybe my mind is elsewhere as I can't focus
I am gonna give it a shot by tailing you guys today.
I have some house cleaning to do so I will be back before the game to make some bets.

[Wojf]

Have a good time at the game and BOL on the plays.

[therber2]

4/14 Big Card

Cubs -130 (2 units)
SFO Giants -1.5 +124 (1 unit)
Nationals +175 (1 unit)
Cinci Reds +117 (1 unit)
STL Cards -1.5 -105 (3 units)
Rockies -185 (1 unit)
SGO Padres +126 (2 units)
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -135 (1 unit)
Tigers -170 (1 unit)
LAA +1.5 -110 (1 unit)
Boston Red Sox -110 (1 unit)
Toronto Blue Jays +111 (1 unit)
Cleveland Indians EV (1 unit)

GL today fellas.

[therber2]

Did you catch the post I made yesterday about the WA/PHI game? Not trying to talk you off or on the choice, but make sure you're aware of a few things about the game.

I saw that post TA. Just wanted to say thanks for that tip. I am taking a chance with the Nats today. The card is posted.

[therber2]

3 for now and 3 later after returning from the game.

1:05pm, DET,
1:10pm, BOS,
1:35pm, BALT,

Projected weather for the local game: low humidity and will continue to warm as the game goes on.

TA, are you still doing the donations to St. Judes? I see people are giving points for picks in this thread. What do you think about pooling any points given in here to one thing? Just an idea. I guess if some people aren't going to post picks points are a nice substitute.

[bailey]

Good day yesterday Sig is updated
Early Games
Det -161 322-200
Det -1.5 +119 200-238
Yanks -194 194-100
Yanks -1.5 +100 100-100
Minn +117 200-234
Minn -1.5 +226 200-452
TB -136 272-200
TB -1.5 +117 200-234
SF -174 174-100
SF -1.5 +123 100-123


Adding
Cubs -130 130-100
Cubs -1.5 +144 100-144

[superjeff24]

Hey therber, I like your pick on StL -1.5, the Jays, Bos, Laa, and some of the others. I'm just wondering why you pick SF to win? Yes, they're going to look for revenge after playing terribly last night, but this Jonathan Sanchez for SF has a high era and is a career loser.
If there is something I'm overlooking I'd like to know for future games

[VegasPlayer]

Always glad to see you in here Foghorn.




Did you catch the post I made yesterday about the WA/PHI game? Not trying to talk you off or on the choice, but make sure you're aware of a few things about the game.

Yea, I saw it. System play all the way.

[mcbaseball10]

My plays for today. BOL to everybody!

SF Giants
FL

_______________
Mcbaseball10-'10 baseball picks

0-2 -4.34 units 0%
_______________

[JVP3122]

Hey therber, I like your pick on StL -1.5, the Jays, Bos, Laa, and some of the others. I'm just wondering why you pick SF to win? Yes, they're going to look for revenge after playing terribly last night, but this Jonathan Sanchez for SF has a high era and is a career loser.
If there is something I'm overlooking I'd like to know for future games

Well remember, he has thrown a no-hitter. If you're in Boston, throwing a no-hitter makes you a great pitcher for the foreseeable future à la Clay Buchholz.

[therber2]

Well remember, he has thrown a no-hitter. If you're in Boston, throwing a no-hitter makes you a great pitcher for the foreseeable future à la Clay Buchholz.

Not necessarily true

Hey therber, I like your pick on StL -1.5, the Jays, Bos, Laa, and some of the others. I'm just wondering why you pick SF to win? Yes, they're going to look for revenge after playing terribly last night, but this Jonathan Sanchez for SF has a high era and is a career loser.
If there is something I'm overlooking I'd like to know for future games

Thanks superjeff. I'll tell you what I like about SFO Giants, but first I have to tell you that they weren't my strongest pick. It is early in the season so for the most part I am playing the picks the same weight. I am not sure which ones I want to give more weight until later.

Today I like the SFO Giants over the Pittsburgh Pirates.
-Pirates have a piss-poor bullpen while the Giants are about avg. to better than.
-The Giants are showing better run production so far.
-SFO coming off a loss statistically show good results while the Pirates coming off a win show <50% W/L
-I want to see more performance this season from pitchers before basing to much on SPs
-SFO has a 10.5% higher slugging rate and a 12.7% higher BA.

These are simple factors to me...what kinda stuff are you looking at?

[superjeff24]

I have been looking on pitcher batter matchups, previous history of both starters. I ended up putting 2 units on -1.5 SFG +120 on 5 dimes. As long as Jon Sanchez can avoid giving up a ton of walks they should clobber Pitts. I bet on them a couple nights ago when they won 9-3 against that rookie. Last night I had them -1.5 too, but they left alot of runners on.

Are you going to bet the TOR CWS game? I have Jays +107 ML and I'm considering putting another couple units in.

[therber2]

I have been looking on pitcher batter matchups, previous history of both starters. I ended up putting 2 units on -1.5 SFG +120 on 5 dimes. As long as Jon Sanchez can avoid giving up a ton of walks they should clobber Pitts. I bet on them a couple nights ago when they won 9-3 against that rookie. Last night I had them -1.5 too, but they left alot of runners on.

Are you going to bet the TOR CWS game? I have Jays +107 ML and I'm considering putting another couple units in.

superjeff,

Here is one good thought: You said you look at previous history of both starters. A very quick and simple thing that I like to check are streak indications. So for SPs check the career ERA and WHIP and then look at their 3 day ERA and WHIP. Depending on the difference between the four figures and how much you know about the individual you can quite accurately predict how they will continue to perform, turn up the level of play, or cool off.

Tell me more about the way you do "pitcher batter matchups." This is complex.

GL today

Edit: Yes, small bet on the Jays.

[dodger33]

My plays for today. BOL to everybody! SF Giants

I like the Giants here... a lot of juice but they need to win this game. If they want to contend this year they are going to have to win series like this.

[superjeff24]

Damn, I think I'm gonna wait awhile before betting on Det again. They're having some trouble thus far.

[superjeff24]

superjeff,

Here is one good thought: You said you look at previous history of both starters. A very quick and simple thing that I like to check are streak indications. So for SPs check the career ERA and WHIP and then look at their 3 day ERA and WHIP. Depending on the difference between the four figures and how much you know about the individual you can quite accurately predict how they will continue to perform, turn up the level of play, or cool off.

Tell me more about the way you do "pitcher batter matchups." This is complex.

GL today

I look at how they've done the last few years first. Experience is important. If someone averages 8 walks per 9 but has only walked 5 per inning this year, it's more likely to be an anomaly and will likely even out. I also consider their W/L and how strong the team was in those years. Some guys are 14-8 but they have an era of 5.7 and get 7 runs a game offense. I recently discovered Yahoo! baseball and I'm still looking for stats to correlate. Last 3 starts is a good method. I know that as the year goes my predictions will become more accurate. Not all starters are going to be allowed to throw 9 in start 2 like Halladay. So May is when I'll start putting more on games. So far I'm mostly making 1 unit picks, and 2 units max.

[therber2]

I look at how they've done the last few years first. Experience is important. If someone averages 8 walks per 9 but has only walked 5 per inning this year, it's more likely to be an anomaly and will likely even out. I also consider their W/L and how strong the team was in those years. Some guys are 14-8 but they have an era of 5.7 and get 7 runs a game offense. I recently discovered Yahoo! baseball and I'm still looking for stats to correlate. Last 3 starts is a good method. I know that as the year goes my predictions will become more accurate. Not all starters are going to be allowed to throw 9 in start 2 like Halladay. So May is when I'll start putting more on games. So far I'm mostly making 1 unit picks, and 2 units max.

Check out statfox game matchups for that three day to career matchup. In the same breakdown you'll see information on how well a pitcher fairs against righties or lefties. Also consider, who the cleanup pitcher is on the team. Who does the team like to put in to close out a losing series and how does he play in other conditions etc. etc.

On a side note...Giants come out banging em. Should be a good win I think. Cubs are just disappointing me. They are my team and I hope I wasn't biased in that pick. Never like betting against them, and I am always hoping that they'll pull through because they are the Cubs!.....nope.

[TodaysAction]

Have a good time at the game and BOL on the plays.

It was enjoyable due to the company I was with but the product on the field this afternoon was poor.

Cubs -130 (2 units)
SFO Giants -1.5 +124 (1 unit)
Nationals +175 (1 unit)
Cinci Reds +117 (1 unit)
STL Cards -1.5 -105 (3 units)
Rockies -185 (1 unit)
SGO Padres +126 (2 units)
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -135 (1 unit)
Tigers -170 (1 unit)
LAA +1.5 -110 (1 unit)
Boston Red Sox -110 (1 unit)
Toronto Blue Jays +111 (1 unit)
Cleveland Indians EV (1 unit)

GL today fellas.

Awfully large card for you, especially this early in the season and hope you end up cash positive.

I saw that post TA. Just wanted to say thanks for that tip. I am taking a chance with the Nats today. The card is posted.

You're welcome and not a problem. To me, you're on the right side of the game but it doesn't mean it will cash. Nothing on the game on this end. Read some in here on each side. Should be interesting but I won't watch it until after the is done for the night.

Yea, I saw it. System play all the way.

and as you see, to me, it's WA or pass and I on it.

[superjeff24]

I think I overestimated the wind today. I thought Bush would be meat as usual and give up 7 or 8. The worst part is I took over 10.5 this game and I need 2 runs in 9 outs.

I got -1.5 on SF 4 units to win 5 should be a good cash

[bailey]

Late Games Sig will be updated in AM

Wash +170 100-170
Wash -1.5 100-264
Fla -129 258-200
Fla -1.5 +165 200-330
Col -175 175-100
Col -1.5 +116 100-116
Atl -129 258-200
Atl -1.5 +132 200-264
Tor +116 200-232
Tor -1.5 +214 200-428
Tex +108 200-216
Tx -1.5 +155 200-310

[TodaysAction]

TA, are you still doing the donations to St. Judes? I see people are giving points for picks in this thread. What do you think about pooling any points given in here to one thing? Just an idea. I guess if some people aren't going to post picks points are a nice substitute.

At the moment I am not raising points for St. Judes her in SBR land. Between the games I've attended I've gotten over $500 worth of donations for them and gave the money to a person I trust to drive over to the branch office and give them the cash. I don't look at it that way, I think it's their way of saying thank you but I could be mistaken. The fact some donate/give is wonderful on the karma front for them.

Good day yesterday Sig is updated
Early Games
Det -161 322-200
Det -1.5 +119 200-238
Yanks -194 194-100
Yanks -1.5 +100 100-100
Minn +117 200-234
Minn -1.5 +226 200-452
TB -136 272-200
TB -1.5 +117 200-234
SF -174 174-100
SF -1.5 +123 100-123


Adding
Cubs -130 130-100
Cubs -1.5 +144 100-144

My plays for today. BOL to everybody!

SF Giants
FL

_______________
Mcbaseball10-'10 baseball picks

0-2 -4.34 units 0%
_______________

Like seeing the smilies used like that.

[superjeff24]

wHOOPS, spoke too soon! cubs put up a 4 spot and 1bets a win, one is 3 outs away