Ck's 2024 mlb thread

[atthehalf]

Wait a damn minute. I have Scherzer#12 and Suarez#16 and Suarez is favored over a higher graded arm.. that's all types of levels of disrespect

ADDED MOVE

Rot.#911 Wanderers+0.5 -125 RL FF Scherzer#12 1 UNIT

[atthehalf]

Ok big board has ben updated!

[atthehalf]

Ok ok I will take the heat for the Guardians not playing up to par tonight! It's all good. Based upon my unit measure I don't lose too many 3 UNIT moves-stuff happens

[atthehalf]

326-318-21 +56.57 UNITS

Rot.#922 Rays (Eflin) OVER 4.5 K's +104 1 UNIT WIN +1.04 UNITS
Rot.#912 Orioles (Santander) OVER 1.5 BASES +132 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#927 Rox/Pale Hose UNDER 4.5 FF -113 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#925 Astronauts/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 FF -107 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#923 Fathers Team Total OVER 4.5 +100 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#923 Fathers (Luis Arraez) OVER 1.5 BASES -125 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#923 Fathers+137 ML Vasquez 2 UNITS WIN +2.74 UNITS
Rot.#915 Guardians-121 McKenzie 3 UNITS LOSS -3.63 UNITS
Rot.#915 Guardians Team Total OVER 5.5 +102 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#918 Halos-108 ML FF Plesac 1 UNIT PUSH
Rot.#919 Twinkies/Sailors UNDER 4 FF -115 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#911 Wanderers+0.5 -125 RL FF Scherzer#12 1 UNIT LOSS -1.25 UNITS

RECORD UPDATE



333-322-22 +58.47 UNITS

[atthehalf]

6/29/24


333-322-22 +58.47 UNITS


Steele vs Brews 92AB; 30K; 7 BB; .272 AVG; .323 OBP; .359 SLG; .682 OPS
Myers vs Cubs 11 AB


Rot.#957 Cubs-105 Steele 3 UNITS CRUMBS PLAY OF THE DAY

Bo Bichette vs Cortes 8-13; 2 BOMBS; .615 AVG; .643 OBP; 1.154 SLG; 1.797 OPS


Jays (Bichette) OVER 1.5 BASES -117 1 UNIT


Bibee vs Royals 35 AB; 10K; .200 AVG; .300 OBP; .286 SLG; .586 OPS
Ragans vs Guardians 9 AB


Rot.#963 Guardians/Royals UNDER 4 -115 FF Bibee/Ragans 1 UNIT
Rot.#964 Royals (Ragans) OVER 6.5 K's +105 1 UNIT


Skenes vsBraves NO DATA
Fried vs Buccos 77 AB; 23K; 4 BB; .221 AVG; .259 OBP; .273 SLG; .532 OPS


Rot.#955 Buccos/Braves UNDER 3.5 -115 Skenes/Fried 1 UNIT
Rot.#955 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's +100 1 UNIT


Glasnow vs Giants 51 AB; 17K; 7 BB; .176 AVG; .276 OBP; .373 SLG; .648 OPS
Giants (BULLPEN)


Rot.#959 Dodgers -1.5 -122 RL Glasnow 1 UNIT


King vs Red Sox 31 AB; 10K; 6 BB; .387 AVG; .486 OBP; .710 SLG; 1.196 OPS
Houck vs Fathers 75 AB; 7K; 3 BB; .467 AVGK .556 OBP; .600 SLG; 1.156 OPS
Devers vs King 5-8; 2 BOMBS; 4 BB; .625 AVG; .750 OBP; 1.375 SLG; 2.125 OPS


Rot.#973 Fathers/Red Sox OVER 8.5 3 UNITS
Rot.#974 Red Sox (Devers) OVER 1.5 BASES +107 1 UNIT


Olson vs Halos 2 AB
Canning vs Tigers 39 AB; 12K; 1 BB; .256 AVG; .275 OBP; .538 SLG; .813 OPS


Rot.#Tigers/Halos UNDER 4 +100 Olson/Canning 1 UNIT


Lopez vs Sailors 72 AB; 23K; 1 BB ; .236 AVG; .247 OBP; .347 SLG; .544 OPS
Miller vs Twinkies 17 AB; 3K; 0 BB; .294 AVG; .294 OBP; .588 SLG; .882 OPS


Rot.#969 Twinkies-120 Lopez 3 UNITS

[atthehalf]

My Top Ten Streamers

Dodgers Glasnow#1
Braves Fried#2
Royals #3
Blunts Nola#4
Cardinals Gray#5
Buccos Skenes#6
Red Sox Houck#7
Twins Lopez#8
Cubs Steele#9
Fathers King#10

[atthehalf]

Big board is completed. Enjoy your Saturday-go to the moon if you want

[atthehalf]

Sunday 6/30/24



340-326-22 +67.32 UNITS


I will come along and give explanations for the moves later on or early on Sunday morning. I already grabbed some POSITIONS for Sunday


Rot.#904 Blunts Team Total OVER 5 +100 1 UNIT
Rot.#913 Bombers/Jays UNDER 4 FF +100 1 UNIT
Rot.#925 Astronauts (Yainer Diaz) OVER 1.5 BASES +101 1 UNIT
Rot.#923 Nats+158 ML Corbin 2 UNITS
Rot.#905 Cubs/Brews UNDER 4 FF +105 1 UNIT
Rot.#905 Cubs+1.5 -140 RL Hendricks 1 UNIT
Rot.#916 Royals-1.5 +160 RL Lugo 2 UNITS
Rot.#916 Royals (Kyle Isbel) OVER 1.5 BASES +104 1 UNIT
Rot.#928 Pale Hose-1.5 +130 Crochet 1 UNIT
Rot.#928 Pale Hose (Crochet) OVER 8.5 K's +100 1 UNIT
Rot.#928 Pale Hose (Corey Julks) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT
Rot.#907 Red Leggins/Cardinals UNDER 4.5 FF -120 1 UNIT
Rot.#909 Dodgers (Freddy Freeman) OVER 1.5 BASES 1 UNIT
Rot.#917 Tigers/Halos UNDER 4.5 FF +105 1 UNIT
Rot.#917 Tigers-105 ML Mize 2 UNITS

ADDED MOVES

Rot.#920 Sailors -110 ML Castillo 3 UNITS
Rot.#920 Sailors Team Total OVER 3.5 -103 1 UNIT
Rot.#920 Sailors (Dylan Moore) OVER 1.5 BASES 1 UNIT
Rot.#911 Wanderers (Grossman) OVER 1.5 BASES 1 UNIT
Wanderers+135 ML/Brews-180 ML 2 WAY PARLAY 1 UNIT TO WIN 2.66 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Had to break it up into two posts-too long!

Chirinos vs Blunts 15 AB; 2 K; 1 BB; .467 AVG; .500 OBP; .933 SLG; 1.433 OPS


Rot.#904 Blunts Team Total OVER NO LINE 1 UNIT


Cole vs Jays 205 AB; 52K; 9 BB; .224 AVG; .257 OBP; .376 SLG; .633 OPS
Gausman vs Bombers 169 AB; 49K; 23BB; .243 AVG; .333 OBP; .385 SLG; .718 OPS


Rot.#913 Bombers/Jays UNDER FF NO LINE 1 UNIT


Yainer Diaz vs Severino 2-4 2 BOMBS; .500 AVG; .500 OBP; 2.000 SLG; 2.500 OPS


Rot.#925 Astronauts (Yainer Diaz) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT


Corbin vs Rays 61AB; 12 K; 5 BB; .197 AVG; .258 OBP; .328 SLG; .585 OPS
Bradley vs Nats 2 AB


Rot.#923 Nats+158 ML Corbin 2 UNITS


Hendricks vs Brews 119 AB; 31K; 13 BB; .210 AVG; .288 OBP; .353 SLG; .641 OPS
Peralta vs Cubs 114 AB; 51K; 20 BB; .167 AVG; .296 OBP; 316 SLG; .612 OPS


Rot.#905 Cubs/Brews UNDER FF NO LINE
Rot.#905 Cubs+1.5 -140 RL Hendricks


Allen vs Royals 42 AB; 7K; 0 BB; .405 AVG; .405 OBP; .667 SLG; 1.071 OPS
Lugo vs Guardians 22 AB; 3K; 1 BB; .273 AVG; .304 OBP; .636 SLG; .941 OPS
Kyle Isbel vs Allen 3-4; .750 AVG; .750 OBP; 1.000 SLG; 1.705 OPS


Rot.#916 Royals-1.5 +160 RL Lugo 2 UNITS
Rot.#916 Royals (Isbel) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT

[atthehalf]

Freeland vs Pale Hose 67 AB; 15K; 2 BB; .328 AVG; .348 OBP; .463 SLG; .811 OPS
Crochet vs Rox 2 AB
Corey Julks vs Freeland 3-4; .750 AVG; .750 OBP; 1.000 SLG; 1.750 OPS


Rot.#928 Pale Hose-1.5 +130 Crochet 1 UNIT
Rot.#928 Pale Hose (Crochet) OVER K's NO LINE 1 UNIT
Rot.#928 Pale Hose (Corey Julks) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT


Greene vs Cardinals 65 AB; 26K; 9 BB; .231 AVG; .320 OBP; .415 SLG; .735 OPS
Lynn vs Red Leggins 58 AB; 15K; 9 BB; .241 AVG; .343 OBP; .379 SLG; .723 OPS


Rot.#907 Red Leggins/Cardinals UNDER FF NO LINE 1 UNIT


Freddy Freeman vs Howard 2-3 1 3B; 1 BOMB; .667 AVG; .667 OBP; 2.333 SLG; 3.000 OPS


Rot.#909 Dodgers (Freddy Freeman) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT


Mize vs Halos 19 AB; 5K; 1 BB; .053 AVG; .100 OBP; .053 SLG; .153 OPS
Anderson vs Tigers 42 AB; 6K; 1 BB; .190 AVG; .209 OBP; .286 SLG; .495 OPS


Rot.#917 Tigers/Halos UNDER FF 1 UNIT
Rot.#917 Tigers-105 Mize 2 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Y'all know I love me some Garrett Crochet-I do not pay -177 for a ML, so the RL it is. Gotta get my rankings together for Sunday. Hold tight

[atthehalf]

Sunday 6/30/24 rankings

Pale Hose Crochet#1
Twinkies Ryan#2
Blunts Suarez#3
Brews Peralta#4
Royals Lugo#5
Rays Bradley#6
Red Leggins Greene#7
Bombers Cole#8
Halos Anderson#9
Fathers Waldron#10

[atthehalf]

Ok so Castillo has been named as the starter for the Sailors tomorrow-better late than never. Let's dive into the numbers for my ADDED MOVES

Ryan vs Sailors 30 AB; 10K; 5 BB; .367 AVG; 457 OBP; .933 SLG; 1.390 OPS
Castillo vs Twinkies 76 AB; 20K; 9 BB; .211 AVG; .294 OBP; .368 SLG; .663 OPS
Dylan Moore vs Ryan 3-4; 1 BOMB; .750 AVG; .750 OBP; 1.500 SLG; 2.250 OPS

Rot.#920 Sailors -110 ML Castillo 3 UNITS
Rot.#920 Sailors Team Total OVER NO LINE 1 UNIT
Rot.#920 Sailors (Dylan Moore) OVER 1.5 BASES 1 UNIT

Also

Wanderers (Robbie Grossman)vs Irvin 4-7; .571 AVG; .625 OBP; 1.000 SLG; 1.625 OPS

Rot.#911 Wanderers (Grossman) OVER 1.5 BASES 1 UNIT

[atthehalf]

I am in full Billy Walters mode on Sunday LOL! Making moves on the board on any and every conceivable advantage that I can find

[atthehalf]

In the vent that Bryan Woo is moved into the spot then I will back off of any and all Sailors event moves

[atthehalf]

Damn Reese Olson is stinking up the joint. His slider was back in form up until tonight....He's got 5 Ks through 3 frames so he's on target-just gotta climb the dang ladder with his 4 seamer and then tunnel in that slider behind it!

[atthehalf]

333-322-22 +58.47 UNITS


Rot.#957 Cubs-105 Steele 3 UNITS CRUMBS PLAY OF THE DAY WIN +3.0 UNITS

Jays (Bichette) OVER 1.5 BASES -117 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS

Rot.#963 Guardians/Royals UNDER 4 -115 FF 1 UNIT LOSS -1.15 UNITS
Rot.#964 Royals (Ragans) OVER 6.5 K's +105 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#955 Buccos/Braves UNDER 3.5 -115 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#955 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's +100 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS

Rot.#959 Dodgers -1.5 -122 RL Glasnow 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#973 Fathers/Red Sox OVER 8.5 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
Rot.#974 Red Sox (Devers) OVER 1.5 BASES +107 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS

Rot.#Tigers/Halos UNDER 4 +100 Olson/Canning 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#969 Twinkies-120 Lopez 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS



RECORD UPDATE

340-326-22 +67.32 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Waiting on the BASES AND K'S lines to complete the big board boys. The FF lines that I got have been posted. Going for my jog and breakfast then I will be back

[atthehalf]

On the way out the door I made a move to parlay the two teams with more hits in a loss yesterday

Wanderers+135 ML/Brews-180 ML 2 WAY PARLAY 1 UNIT TO WIN 2.66 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Damn -my eye for the obscure jewels met with greatness and an unwillingness by the books to offer 1.5 bases for Grossman, Julks, and Moore. That sucks. Those guys own the pitchers that they are facing today

[atthehalf]

Also I am gonna cross out Freddy Freeman as the Giants are looking for anyone on the front office staff or in the stands to start today for them

[atthehalf]

347-333-22 +70.46 UNITS


Looking ahead to Monday...

The Metropolitans beat the dogshit out of the Nats in their last series and this has the look of payback written all over it.

The one thing that oddsmakers have difficulty with are MOTIVATION, SITUATION, FAMILIARITY. All of those key ingredients are all there for the Nats in this tilt. Forget about the other two games. This the one to focus in on. The Metropolitans are favored by -140 on average in DC. Anything lower than that will tell you anything and everything that you need to know about this move

Peterson vs Nats 74 AB; 8 K; 7 BB; .388 AVG; .402 OBP; .473 SLG; .875 OPS
Gore vs Metropolitans 60 AB; 9 K; 9 BB; .300 AVG; .391 OBP; .517 SLG; .908 OPS

Rot.#952 Nats Team Total OVER 3.5 -128 1 UNIT
Rot.#952 Metropolitans/Nats OVER 8.5 +100 2 UNITS
Rot.#952 Nats-105 ML Gore 3 UNITS

<strong>

[atthehalf]

Cubs and Nats fixin to get blown out today-that's why I like Hendricks and the Cubs and the Nats and Corbin LOL!

[atthehalf]

Kyle Isbel was a healthy scratch for the Royals today-so make sure that your books refund you for you BASES move like Hard Rock did

[atthehalf]

Ok ok Corbin got lit thefuckup. My bad y'all. I should have known better. Most of his numbers vs the Rays were from yesteryear...

[atthehalf]

Damn. The Sailors had 12 LOB today-that was exactly how they lost with more hits than the Twinkies. #shithappens

[atthehalf]

6/30/24

340-326-22 +67.32 UNITS

Rot.#904 Blunts Team Total OVER 5 +100 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#913 Bombers/Jays UNDER 4 FF +100 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#925 Astronauts (Yainer Diaz) OVER 1.5 BASES +101 1 UNIT WIN +1.01 UNITS
Rot.#923 Nats+158 ML Corbin 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#905 Cubs/Brews UNDER 4 FF +105 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#905 Cubs+1.5 -140 RL Hendricks 1 UNIT LOSS -1.40 UNITS
Rot.#916 Royals-1.5 +160 RL Lugo 2 UNITS WIN +3.2 UNITS
Rot.#928 Pale Hose-1.5 +130 Crochet 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#928 Pale Hose (Crochet) OVER 8.5 K's +100 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#907 Red Leggins/Cardinals UNDER 4.5 FF -120 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#917 Tigers/Halos UNDER 4.5 FF +105 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#917 Tigers-105 ML Mize 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#920 Sailors -110 ML Castillo 3 UNITS LOSS -3.30 UNITS
Rot.#920 Sailors Team Total OVER 3.5 -103 1 UNIT LOSS -1.03 UNITS
2 WAY PARLAY Wanderers+135 ML/Brews-180 ML 1 UNIT TO WIN 2.66 UNITS WIN +2.66 UNITS

347-333-22 +70.46 UNITS



How would my unearthed hitting BASES boys that weren't offered by the sportsbooks such as Hard Rock? We only have one sportsbook option here in Florida so...

Hard Rock simply took money out of my pocket on good matchup information by not even making it an option to make a move on.

That's the difference between fantasy moves vs traditional moves. The Commish offered these backroom moves to me without a second thought about it.

Sailors Dylan Moore 1-4 with a triple WIN
Pale Hose Corey Julks 2-4 WIN
Royals Kyle Isbel HEALTHY SCRATCH with the Commish because he didn't play
Wanderers Robbie Grossman LOSS

[atthehalf]

I was just noticing-the two -140 moves that I have made this season have both been losses...that won't happen anymore

[atthehalf]

What was learned today is that making moves on teams that have had more hits in a loss facing the same team usually win that next tilt

[atthehalf]

Tuesday 7/2/24

Gibson vs Buccos 63 AB; 18K; 8 BB; .206 AVG; .296 OBP; .270 SLG; .566 OPS
Keller vs Cardinals 136 AB; 31K; 11 BB; .250 AVG; .306 OBP; .426 SLG; .733 OPS

Rot.#901 Cardinals/Buccos UNDER 4.5 FF -120 1 UNIT

Manaea vs Nats 43 AB; 8K; 2 BB; .302 AVG; .333 OBP; .372 SLG; .705 OPS
Herz vs Metropolitans 16 AB; 3K; 1 BB; .375 AVG; .412 OBP; .688 SLG; 1.099 OPS

Rot.#903 Metropolitans/Nats OVER 5 FF +100 1 UNIT
2 WAY PARLAY Metropolitans-136 ML/OVER 9 1 UNIT TO WIN 2.24 UNITS

Ashcraft vs Bombers 19 AB; 5K; 2 BB; .368 AVG; .429 OBP; .684 SLG; 1.113 OPS
Gill 1 AB vs Red Leggins

Rot.#928 Bombers Team Total OVER 4.5 -125 1 UNIT

Birdsong vs Braves NO DATA
Lopez vs Giants 40 AB; 7 K; 7 BB; .450 AVG; .531 OBP; .800 SLG; 1.331 OPS

Rot.#905 Giants+1.5 -130 RL Birdsong 1 UNIT
Rot,#905 Giants Team Total OVER 3.5 -111 1 UNIT

Skubal vs Twins 78 AB; 28K; 8 BB; .218 AVG; .359 SLG; .650 OPS
Woods-Richardson vs Tigers 20 AB; 4K; 2 BB; .050 AVG; .136 OBP; .050 SLG; .186 OPS

Rot#918 Twins-109 ML 2 UNITS
Rot.#918 Tigers/Twins UNDER 4 FF -110 1 UNIT

Littell vs Royals 13 AB; 3K; 0 BB; .077 AVG; .077 OBP; .077 SLG; .154 OPS
Singer vs Rays 73 AB; 18K; 9 BB; .137 AVG; .232 OBP; .178 SLG; .410 OPS

Rot.#919 Rays/Royals UNDER 5 FF -115 1 UNIT

Soriano vs Athletics COMING BACK FROM THE 15 DAY IL
Spence vs Halos 24 AB; 6K; 1 BB; .333 AVG; .360 OBP; .583 SLG; .943 OPS

Rot.#921 Halos/Athletics OVER 4 FF -115 1 UNIT

Rodriguez vs Sailors 24 AB; 10K; 4 BB; .125 AVG; .250 OBP; .125 SKG; .375 OPS
Kirby vs Orioles 100 AB; 20K; 3 BB; .260 AVG; .252 OBP; .530 SLG; .812 OPS

Rot.#923 Orioles-113 ML 3 UNITS

Nelson vs Dodgers 34 AB; 8K; 4 BB; .147 AVG; .232 OBP; .176 SLG; .413 OPS
Miller vs Snakes 37 AB; 7K; 7 BB; .243 AVG; .364 OBP; 378 SLG; .742 OPS

Rot.#911 Snakes+0.5 RL FF -105 Nelson 1 UNIT
Rot.#911 Snakes Dodgers UNDER 4.5 FF +105 1 UNIT

[atthehalf]

I have no idea why anyone would follow my page when grecycle99 is over there killing it with his chase system. Looks like his system takes out the necessity for researching individual players as us fantasy league movers and shakers are doing daily.

Anyway after a quick look at the pitchers I will have to find a bat somewhere. Hold tight.

[atthehalf]

I have Gore ranked #1 today which is good and may have a decent return. Still looking for a bat for tomorrow

[atthehalf]

Ok buzzing along at 51.03% for the year which is about correct in this format for the midway point. I have said all along that we are all going to be around 50% at the end of the baseball season with all of the relievers, coaching decisions, errors batting slumps, and pitchers having days where their stuff isn't working.

One of the ways to provide yourself with some relief is to have as many clean losses as you can by not making moves for over -140. I personally have only made 2 moves this entire season of -140...and lost both of them. So maybe -130 should be my cap to maintain good money management. The unit measure that I have reveals that I am winning the majority of my 2 and 3 unit moves in this format which is key along with not chasing losses on some late night tweak moves combined with not tracking line movement. I try to make my moves as soon as the line is available. Why? The line moves according to the amount of money coming in on sides and totals. Watching line movement will in most cases have you working with a worse number than if you grabbed the value early knowing what you know and pouncing on it.

My objective in this format is a 53% win rate with over +100 units at the end of the season. Ideals are important in one's life. Without them one cannot move. Whether they are achieved or not is immaterial; as long as one approximates those ideals. I am trying y'all. This is way harder than fantasy betting

[atthehalf]

347-333-22 +70.46 UNITS


Rot.#952 Nats Team Total OVER 3.5 -128 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#952 Metropolitans/Nats OVER 8.5 +100 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#952 Nats-105 ML Gore 3 UNITS LOSS -3.15 UNITS

RECORD UPDATE

350-334-22 +70.31 UNITS

[atthehalf]

Big board is all updated