MLB Picks - Thursday, 4/28/22

[jjgold]

I’ve seen LT go on epic losing streaks in epic winning streaks

[pavyracer]

Talk about a day for chalk so far in baseball.

April to June win with chalk
July to September win with dogs

This is always true for MLB. This is why I told LT Profits to concentrate on totals the first part of the season.

[pavyracer]

I’ve seen LT go on epic losing streaks in epic winning streaks

I have seen jjgold always go on epic losing streaks. Ask him to tell you what do you have to do to get a cash out from a book and he wouldn't know. Ask him about how to deposit and he will not shut up for 2 hrs telling you how to send cash to a book.

[pavyracer]

double post

[BOA12]

Talk about a day for chalk so far in baseball.

[dirtycash66]

Im just trying to make a point, that there is a price where a bad team is worth betting

LT has identified that with his models and I have faith in that, so im tailing

So about those reds?

[spippen]

incredible Pads were such small $

[LT Profits]

So about those reds?

Notice the line movement on that game, I was not alone

I still don't have them as bad as their current record, but that is something that would regress over time, can't overreact to each game.

[LT Profits]

If anyone cares, I added 1 NBA play (14-3 in Playoffs) and a +223 NHL play

[KVB]

Notice the line movement on that game, I was not alone

I still don't have them as bad as their current record, but that is something that would regress over time, can't overreact to each game.

Corrrect, you were not alone.

[pavyracer]

Corrrect, you were not alone.

But when I watched your video the other day you said that you got to know who is behind the line movement. The sharps or the squares.

Was this a sharp line movement or a square movement in the Reds game?

[jjgold]

If anyone cares, I added 1 NBA play (14-3 in Playoffs) and a +223 NHL play

[KVB]

But when I watched your video the other day you said that you got to know who is behind the line movement. The sharps or the squares.

Was this a sharp line movement or a square movement in the Reds game?

They don't always have to be at odds with each other, never forget that.

In the case of todays SD/CIN moneyline, things were actually pretty split and so were typed of bettors. Enough "sharper" and even some public bettors moved the line toward Cinci, it counteracted broader public pressure on SD.

But it's a tight game, it really is. There are a lot of cappers very split here. So when San Diego becomes even money or better in the market, it will taken by many groups, from a book's sharps, to scalpers and arbers to even some looking to lay off.

Books were protecting against that. The liked the cinci money. I posted that I was looking to take SD LIVE if Cinci took the lead first. But they went down 0-1 before leading 2-1 and there was simply nothing there for me. Even though you could just feel the SD win coming.

To offset the ml exposure on the "gamble" they took when the Cinci cat got out of the bag, (see SBR posts and threads, lol), the were more than happy to absorb the SD spread. The odds there were no doubt attractive to some and they left the attractive lines hanging.

Congrats to those on SD -1.5, hope you didn't get sucked into the +1.5, bad price there.

[pavyracer]

They don't always have to be at odds with each other, never forget that.

In the case of todays SD/CIN moneyline, things were actually pretty split and so were typed of bettors. Enough "sharper" and even some public bettors moved the line toward Cinci, it counteracted broader public pressure on SD.

But it's a tight game, it really is. There are a lot of cappers very split here. So when San Diego becomes even money or better in the market, it will taken by many groups, from a book's sharps, to scalpers and arbers to even some looking to lay off.

Books were protecting against that. The liked the cinci money. I posted that I was looking to take SD LIVE if Cinci took the lead first. But they went down 0-1 before leading 2-1 and there was simply nothing there for me. Even though you could just feel the SD win coming.

To offset the ml exposure on the "gamble" they took when the Cinci cat got out of the bag, (see SBR posts and threads, lol), the were more than happy to absorb the SD spread. The odds there were no doubt attractive to some and they left the attractive lines hanging.

Congrats to those on SD -1.5, hope you didn't get sucked into the +1.5, bad price there.

Good stuff. Thanks for the detailed explanation.

[HAPPY BOY]

ruff Patch....

[LT Profits]

1 Last MLB Pick Addition

4 MLB Plays Thursday

Reds -108
Marlins / Nationals UNDER 8 -103
Red Sox +125
Diamondbacks +158

[EdV38]

I wanted to take Reds tomorrow given their bats have woken up right in time for Colorado. Early lines show both teams at -110. I know the Rockies are a mirage that got exposed in Philadelphia, but they have still shown this year they can win, and score, at home. Including against the Dodgers. The books are just begging people to slam Colorado right now.

[Rich Boy]

Whats your record this year for sides vs totals LT?