MLB Leans~Monday 6/15

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  • jellobiafra
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-08-09
    • 6291

    #71
    I appreciate the advice guys, but I'm gonna bet the Reds tomorrow....for twice as much as I'm going to bet Tampa and probably SFG.

    I actually just booked the Reds and the Rays. It's a done deal.

    I don't like the under much at all, btw. You've got two guys with a combined WHIP over 3.0 an ERA over 10.5 their past 3 games. Not sure your criteria for capping unders, but those type of numbers don't meet mine.
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #72
      Originally posted by sportsguy04
      Just take the Under 8. I have been playing the reds unders like crazy since the reds have been struggling on offense the past couple of series.
      i have a tough time pulling the trigger on an under in that stadium - regardless of who's on the bump
      Comment
      • Jimbo42
        SBR MVP
        • 01-04-09
        • 2076

        #73
        Wait for the Rockies to lose ... then go against them next game... that's the play... Rocks will lose two in a row... wait these streaks out... don't try and figure out when a streak is gonna end... either ride it or wait for it to end... in any matchup with a team on a streak, play the streaking team or lay off . if you like the opposing team...lay off.. teams on streaks have the mojo.. but when they lose once, they lose twice...
        Comment
        • sportsguy04
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-21-08
          • 11885

          #74
          Originally posted by Dexter
          i have a tough time pulling the trigger on an under in that stadium - regardless of who's on the bump
          Very True, but no one on the Reds right now can hit a HR. Our offense is in shambles!


          Oh well.. Best of luck on what ever you choose.
          Comment
          • RoagBettor
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-20-09
            • 8355

            #75
            Originally posted by Jimbo42
            Wait for the Rockies to lose ... then go against them next game... that's the play... Rocks will lose two in a row... wait these streaks out... don't try and figure out when a streak is gonna end... either ride it or wait for it to end... in any matchup with a team on a streak, play the streaking team or lay off . if you like the opposing team...lay off.. teams on streaks have the mojo.. but when they lose once, they lose twice...
            Bingo!

            Great advice Jimbo.
            Comment
            • jellobiafra
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-08-09
              • 6291

              #76
              JImbo, the Rockies streak ends tomorrow. I already decided it.

              Seriously though, Tampa is on a little 5 game heater of their own. De la Rosa is turrible at Coors, and Niemann has been really good lately and on the road. Like I said, I already booked this one and the Reds because I don't think the line is going to get any better for me on those two than what I got them at tonight.
              Comment
              • TheLemonDropKid
                SBR MVP
                • 02-02-09
                • 1501

                #77
                Originally posted by Jimbo42
                I am so aggrivated... I've moved on...

                Focus on your inner Cypress Hill..........
                Comment
                • Jimbo42
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 2076

                  #78
                  Originally posted by RoagBettor
                  Bingo!

                  Great advice Jimbo.
                  Exactly bro... its so hard for people to get their head around that one.... the ONLY person i have seen that is decent at picking when a team may break their streak (and I am not kissing up here) is CK... but its like human nature or something for people to want to pick when a streaking team will break their streak...people were all ov er Milwaukee cause the rockies couldn't possibly sweep the cards AND brewers on the road... then they couldn't possibly sweep the Mariners too..... whenever you think a team can't possibly do something, your money burns...lol
                  Comment
                  • DeeWizzle
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-08-09
                    • 3316

                    #79
                    Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid
                    Focus on your inner Cypress Hill..........
                    Dr Green Thumb you are being paged
                    Comment
                    • Jimbo42
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-04-09
                      • 2076

                      #80
                      This is not at all towards you Jello... You are solid capper and you are probably right the Rays will prob beat colo... but i will sit it out and play the rays in game 2 if they win
                      Comment
                      • RoagBettor
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-20-09
                        • 8355

                        #81
                        I don't want to say anything, but...

                        Originally posted by RoagBettor
                        Hey Jumpy, do you think Cleveland can blow a 4 run lead heading into the 8th?

                        Comment
                        • jellobiafra
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-08-09
                          • 6291

                          #82
                          Well I'm not picking them just because of the streak. I like the matchup. And like I said, Tampa is on a 5 game steeak themselves. If these teams were both on 5 game losing streaks I would still be taking the Rays tomorrow, all else being equal. The streak is just something on the peripherial for me, but it does add credence to the play from my point of view.

                          Bottom line is it's plus money on the better team versus a pitcher who has notoriously struggled in his own park on the mound for COL. I think the Rays light his ass up tomorrow night.
                          Comment
                          • Jimbo42
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 2076

                            #83
                            Originally posted by jellobiafra
                            Well I'm not picking them just because of the streak. I like the matchup. And like I said, Tampa is on a 5 game steeak themselves. If these teams were both on 5 game losing streaks I would still be taking the Rays tomorrow, all else being equal. The streak is just something on the peripherial for me, but it does add credence to the play from my point of view.

                            Bottom line is it's plus money on the better team with a pitcher who has notoriously struggled in his own park on the mound for COL. I think the Rays light his ass up tomorrow night.
                            I will be rooting for you bro! like I said I will be against the Rocks as soon as they lose! Go Rays!
                            Comment
                            • cocknocker
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 8001

                              #84
                              Tomorrow I like

                              Florida+157
                              Toronto+1.5 -120
                              Pirates+137
                              Tampa+120
                              Comment
                              • sportsguy04
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-21-08
                                • 11885

                                #85
                                YES ANGELS!!!! 4-0!!!

                                Got them for 2 units on ML, 2 units on RL.

                                Also in my Parlay of 4 teams, which is 2 for 2 so far, lets make it 3 for 3 then Spain to cover Wednesday.
                                Comment
                                • jellobiafra
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-08-09
                                  • 6291

                                  #86
                                  Sorry about your CLE play, btw.

                                  Lackey is rolling right now and the Angels are getting to Zito in the 4th. My LSU/LAA parlay is looking nice as of now....
                                  Comment
                                  • jellobiafra
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-08-09
                                    • 6291

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                    Tomorrow I like

                                    Florida+113
                                    Toronto+185
                                    Pirates+137
                                    Tampa+120
                                    I like that you are on the Rays as well.

                                    I thought about the Pirates too. Looks good. I'm just scared of the Twins at home. I know you ain't scared of shit though so it doesn't surprise me to see you on them.

                                    FLA looked good to, but I have a thing about Wakefield. I just think you never know what you're going to get...and that scares me away from ever playing games with him on the mound. (see above)
                                    Comment
                                    • Marvinj
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 06-15-09
                                      • 121

                                      #88
                                      Im glad i didnt take the under! Highest scoreing game ive ever seen, but then again ive only watched 10 games.
                                      Comment
                                      • jellobiafra
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-08-09
                                        • 6291

                                        #89
                                        Boom. LAA up 7-0 and it looks like I might get a good long night of sleep tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • Marvinj
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 06-15-09
                                          • 121

                                          #90
                                          yes! 7-0 angels! Over looking good and my parley!
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #91
                                            yes sir...zito did his part
                                            Comment
                                            • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-17-08
                                              • 928

                                              #92
                                              I like..

                                              Astros +125
                                              Mariners -1.5
                                              Marlins +155
                                              Comment
                                              • Jimbo42
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-04-09
                                                • 2076

                                                #93
                                                and there ya go the streakbuster himself ck likes tampa...
                                                ck got the end of the Oakland streak dead on as well as a few others... I always pay attention to streaks as i like to play them after the streak is broken...i have noticed ck's ability to beat the streak.. lol
                                                Comment
                                                • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-17-08
                                                  • 928

                                                  #94
                                                  Well that'll do it for me. SF doesn't have the ability to score 1 run let alone 9.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                    Tomorrow I like

                                                    Florida+113
                                                    Toronto+185
                                                    Pirates+137
                                                    Tampa+120
                                                    marlins are getting way more then that.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jellobiafra
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-08-09
                                                      • 6291

                                                      #96
                                                      I'm liking the SFG play tomorrow less and less. I don't think I'm gonna fade the Angels in that one after all.


                                                      Shit. Tori Hunter just ran into wall and hurt his wrist I think.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #97
                                                        Correction made Dexter. My bad. I was looking at another line when I was typing. The Marlins are+157. No way is Volstad a +157 pitcher. Not with that offense backing him up.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cocknocker
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 8001

                                                          #98
                                                          Angels are just crushing the Giants as prescribed
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RoagBettor
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-20-09
                                                            • 8355

                                                            #99
                                                            I would take the Marlins 1H. Wakefield might get pounded but the Sox can score a lot of runs and their bullpen can carry them for the 2H of the game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-17-08
                                                              • 928

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                              Angels are just crushing the Giants as prescribed
                                                              Yeah.. I forgot just how bad Zito can suck.

                                                              Unfortunately I parlayed the Indians and Angels.. And the Giants and Brewers. Thought the Indians were gonna win.. So I placed the rest of my roll on the Giants.. Smh.

                                                              Freakin' RoagBettor. lol.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cocknocker
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-06-08
                                                                • 8001

                                                                #101
                                                                I am gonna play the Blue Birds+1.5 -120. I am getting tremendous value for that play by buying the insurance and banging them that way. The extra vig helps out with the descrepency between the teams in batting. The batting was one of the reasons as to why I am having such a hard time committing large money on this one. The Blue Birds are hitting .343 slugging% over their last 3 games, and the Phillies are doing .450 during that same period. Romero should keep them close throughout the game
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-17-08
                                                                  • 928

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Is it possible that the Angels blow a 7 run lead with only 9 outs left?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • oda11
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-05-09
                                                                    • 3250

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Whoa, Mr. Jinx, hold it there... lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-17-08
                                                                      • 928

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by oda11
                                                                      Whoa, Mr. Jinx, hold it there... lol
                                                                      Don't worry its not.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 12-17-08
                                                                        • 928

                                                                        #105
                                                                        I don't need to ask.. But it is not possible for the Angels to give up two more runs and allow the Giants to tie the game.
                                                                        Comment
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