Scrivero fades the popular plays, because that seems to bring cash

[Scrivero]

Alright, the basis of the thread comes from here:

Take the 5 guys that have the most posts here and fade any play that at least two of them match up on and you'll never pay a bookie again!

and from here:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...t-cappers.html

Post #4! I'd love to see you do that and am extremely confident that you will end the season up!

We will do basically the same as in the tail thread but this time we will be fading plays. We will fade all plays that have two or more people doing the same play. I will at least not yet go through all the cappers or just the five guys with the most posts, but I will check the plays for that evening from the threads that are up at that point in time. I might draw a line to max 10 fades per evening, maybe.

I will fade sides and overs/unders. I will continue tailing sides in my tail-thread, here: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...eems-work.html I will no longer tail Overs/Unders there, until I get better at it.

The amount of tails will drop quite a lot as I wont be tailing anymore O/U and because some of the tailed sides will become fades for this thread.

So lets see how this goes shall we

[Scrivero]

Reds-Brewers Over would have been the first play for this thread (that is we fade the Under). I came in late so I couldnt play it in time. I will still play it live if I can. Its already at 4 runs though so I dont think I can make it.

[Scrivero]

We did the Reds-Brewers live but we only got Over 14 for it. Took it still.

[Scrivero]

4/26 fade plays, 0,5 units each:
Reds-Brewers Over14 (live) (fading the Under)
Rockies Under (fading the Over)
Mariners (fading Tigers)
Indians (fading Astros)

Note that the plays above are the actual faded plays, not the fades. The fades are in the brackets.

[TechnicalTrader]

We did the Reds-Brewers live but we only got Over 14 for it. Took it still.

That'll cash!

[Scrivero]

That'll cash!

Looks like it Thanks for leading me to that comment about the fading plays. This is a fun experiment for sure.

[TechnicalTrader]

LMAO. I'd love to see finals statistics of who did the worst when your finished.

[Scrivero]

lol I did exact poster-stats for a while with my NHL tails but it was so much work that it just could not last.

[Scrivero]

RESULTS:
4/26 fade plays, 0,5 units each:
Rockies Under (fading the Over) LOSS
Mariners (fading Tigers) WIN
Indians (fading Astros) WIN

Results 2-1
SU: 2-0
O/U: 0-1

The fades for tonight coming later.

I must say that whatever you do, dont tail me, please dont tail me. That will make you loads of money right now.

[TechnicalTrader]

That MIL play only actually won. The person you faded loss money on it. I'd just delete it from your list, only because you listed the play in game.

[Scrivero]

4/27 fade plays, 0,5 units each (not saying what I am playing, just posting the fades, so play the OPPOSITE of all these):
Seattle SU
Washington SU
Angels SU
Atlanta/Mets Over
Astros/Indians Over
Athletics/Angels Over
LAD/SF Over
SD/AZ Over

TO MAKE IT CLEAR: FADE THESE PLAYS! Do NOT PLAY these listed above. FADE them. I am saying because I actaully played the SU-games by accident at first

[Scrivero]

That MIL play only actually won. The person you faded loss money on it. I'd just delete it from your list, only because you listed the play in game.

Thanks for the tip! I took it off the list to keep the stats in line with the idea of the thread.

[Skooter99]

4/27 fade plays, 0,5 units each (not saying what I am playing, just posting the fades, so play the OPPOSITE of all these):
Seattle SU
Washington SU
Angels SU
Atlanta/Mets Over
Astros/Indians Over
Athletics/Angels Over
LAD/SF Over
SD/AZ Over

TO MAKE IT CLEAR: FADE THESE PLAYS! Do NOT PLAY these listed above. FADE them. I am saying because I actaully played the SU-games by accident at first

Not looking so good

[Scrivero]

Not looking so good

Hmm, if you mean the current situatuins of the games... Seattle match is 1-1 (we bet Seattle to lose). Washington match is 3-2 (we bet Washington to lose). La-SF is 1-0 after 3 (we bet Under). We lost the Atlanta-Mets Under. Other games have not started yet. I think you just meant that that list of fades is not looking good, probably. Lest hope we make profit! GOod night yall

[Scrivero]

Tonigjt went 4-4. SU was 0-3 and O/U was 4-1. Exact stats and units later tonight.

[Scrivero]

RESULTS:
4/27 fade plays, 0,5 units each ( We FADED these plays):
Seattle SU LOSS
Washington SU LOSS
Angels SU LOSS
Atlanta/Mets Over LOSS
Astros/Indians Over WIN
Athletics/Angels Over WIN
LAD/SF Over WIN
SD/AZ Over WIN

Evening: 4-4: -0,129 units

Overall:
SU: 2-3: -0,719 units
O/U: 4-2: +0,871 units
TOTAL: 6-5: +0,152 units

I hate calculating the totals for each category but I will do it to see how it goes in the long run (if we make it to long run, my limit is at around minus 8-10 units with all untested/for fun/spewing money -systems.

Back later with tonight's picks!

[TechnicalTrader]

Could you please post the exact total on your over unders??

[Scrivero]

Could you please post the exact total on your over unders??

You probably mean the line of O/U, e.g. O7, U8 etc. I shall do that starting tonight I hope someone does not wish that I post the odds too. Because Im not sure how I could say no. I am trying to keep it as non-timetaking as possible but I do fulfill all requests.

By the way, TT and other people, an important question: When I post the plays/fades, shall I post what I fade or what I play? Which one do you like better?

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks, the O/U number is pretty crucial, especially if someone tails you.

I would post it like this:

betting (fading):
LAD/SF Over 7.5 (Under 7.5)
SD/AZ Over 9.5 (Over 9.5)

But that's just ho I'd do it...

[Scrivero]

Sounds good, I shall try that today.

4/28, 1 unit each because only 3 plays available tonight:
betting (fading):
Red Sox SU (Cubs SU)
Padres/Giants Under 7.5 (Over 7.5)
Twins/Royals Under 8.5 (Over 8.5)

[Scrivero]

RESULTS
4/28, 1 unit each because only 3 plays available tonight:
betting (fading):
Red Sox SU (Cubs SU) WIN
Padres/Giants Under 7.5 (Over 7.5) WIN
Twins/Royals Under 8.5 (Over 8.5) LOSS


Evening: 2-1: +0,714 units

Overall:
SU: 3-3: +0,218 units
O/U: 5-3: +0,684 units
All fades: 8-6: +0,902 units

[Scrivero]

Very few plays per day because people are disagreeing on the SU and the O/U. Today also only 3 plays available where: 1. all posters agree on the play AND 2. where there are at least two posters agreeing on the play.

4/29, 1 unit each because only 3 plays available tonight:
betting (fading):
Reds/Cardinals Under 8.5 (Over 8.5)
Cubs/Red Sox Over 10 (Under 10)
Phillies/Dodgers Under 8 (Over 8)

Record: 8-6: +0,902 units

[TechnicalTrader]

Reds/Cards game got cancelled. Only two picks.

This is actually one of my favorite threads and one I have the most interest in. I hope you have the stamina to keep it rolling all season...

Your RoI is already +6% after only three days. I could see this easily being one of the most profitable threads if you stick to a selected few "winning members".

[AceofSP2107]

Good analysis Scvo., this could turn out to be a good profit in the long run good luck

[Scrivero]

Reds/Cards game got cancelled. Only two picks.

This is actually one of my favorite threads and one I have the most interest in. I hope you have the stamina to keep it rolling all season...

Your RoI is already +6% after only three days. I could see this easily being one of the most profitable threads if you stick to a selected few "winning members".

The ROI is actually +10% because all the plays before yesterday were 0,5 units each And we are actually at like +60% ROI because what I did with the tailing thread was exactly the opposite plays of this thread and that went ROI of ca -50 % and -8 units in just 4 days But yea, its a long season, I will try to keep my cool. Any system is so much easier to continue when it doesnt go like minus 5 units in 2 days.

I will indeed try to keep this thread and the plays in line with my criteria and that means only a very few plays per day. It can still be very profitable if those plays seem to hit. I am basically right now fading all posters who play "bulk", that is they have more plays than just 1 or 2. Im vary of those who post only 1 or 2 plays per evening.

[Scrivero]

Good analysis Scvo., this could turn out to be a good profit in the long run good luck

Thanks Ace, lets hope so

[Scrivero]

RESULTS:
4/29, 1 unit each because only 3 plays available tonight:
betting (fading):
Reds/Cardinals Under 8.5 (Over 8.5) POSTPONED
Cubs/Red Sox Over 10 (Under 10) WIN
Phillies/Dodgers Under 8 (Over 8) LOSS

Evening: 1-1: -0,2 units

RECORD
SU: 3-3: +0,218 units
O/U: 6-4: +0,484 units
All fades: 9-7: +0,702 units

[Scrivero]

More picks coming soon but in case you tail, you still have time:

Orioles (fade Yankees)
Rays/Blue Jays O7,5 (fade Under)
- missed this, gonna play live

EDIT. Here are all the plays:

4/30, 0,5 units each:
betting (fading):
Orioles SU (Yankees)
Dbacks SU (Rockies)
Nationals SU (Mets)
Rockies/Dbacks Under 10.5 (Over 10.5)
Rays/Blue Jays Over 6.5 (Under 6.5)(live, was gonna play 7,5 but it was already the 2nd inning)
Athletics/Astros Over 8 (Under 8)
Twins/Royals Under 9 (Over 9)

Takes forever to check the plays, damn! Sorry for posting the Orioles SU and Rays/Blue Jays O7,5 so late.Play them live if you can/want, if you missed it pregame.

[Scrivero]

We went 5-2. Exact stats later.

[Scrivero]

RESULTS
4/30, 0,5 units each:
betting (fading):
Orioles SU (Yankees) WIN
Dbacks SU (Rockies) WIN
Nationals SU (Mets) WIN
Rockies/Dbacks Under 10.5 (Over 10.5) WIN
Rays/Blue Jays Over 6.5 (Under 6.5)(live) LOSS
Athletics/Astros Over 8 (Under 8) WIN
Twins/Royals Under 9 (Over 9) LOSS

Evening: 5-2: +1,567 units

RECORD
SU: 6-3: +1,675 units
O/U: 8-6: +0,594 units
All fades: 14-9: +2,269 units

Tonight's plays at around 2pm ET.

[TechnicalTrader]

There ya go! One of the few threads in here I look forward to checking in on daily! Thanks for tracking!

[Scrivero]

Thanks for the support and thanks for following!

[Scrivero]

5/1: 1 unit each:
betting (fading):
Rays SU (Marlins)
Brewers/Cardinals Over 8 (Under 8)

[Scrivero]

2-0. Almost +2.5 units for the night because od the ++++odds. Exact stats and tonights plays at around 2pm ET.

[TechnicalTrader]

LMAO. easy money!