1. 04-24-17 01:08 PM #1
    Scrivero
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    Scrivero tails, because it seems to work

    Alright, my fourth attempt at making loads of cash with MLB. My first attempt was to make plays blind. That ended with +-0. My second attempt was to make innovative SDQL queries. That one is still in progress. The third attempt was to break streaks. That one was very unsuccesful and is on a hiatus at least until it is backchecked.

    THIS THREAD is just me tailing other people. On various places. I also "cross-tail", meaning that I tail many people at the same time with one play which they all have with different angles.

    I will not post whose plays I am tailing. I tried that with NHL and it took way too much time and was totally unnecessary.

    This thread has my tails only on MLB.

    First tails coming tonight! Expect to have ca 10 per evening. All will be 0,5 units per tail.
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  2. 04-24-17 01:23 PM #2
    alamo
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    What factors decide who you tail
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  3. 04-24-17 01:35 PM #3
    Scrivero
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    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post
    What factors decide who you tail
    Factors:
    - How well the person has done in the past with MLB.
    - How well should he/she do in the future if there is no past reference (how reliable/smart/hard-working he/she feels to me).
    - How good/efficient/idea rich/profitable is the person with SDQL.
    - How reliable (either backtested or forward tested) is the system that the person is using.
    - How good are his reasonings for the picks.
    - How much other people trust him and his picks.

    Those of course are for different people (not all fit all criteria) but from the top of my head those would be the main factors. I have not really thought about them that much, it (my tails) have been mainly intuitive.
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  4. 04-24-17 02:11 PM #4
    Scrivero
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    Tails for 4/24, 0.5 units each:
    1. Orioles SU
    2. Rangers SU
    3. Cubs SU
    4. Reds SU
    5. Royals/WhiteSox Under
    6. Brewers/Reds Under
    7. Twins/Rangers Over
    8. Nationals/Rockies Over
    9. Blue Jays/Angels Over
    10. Dodgers/Giants Over

    I will start following the records of sides and O/U separately to see whether there is a difference in my results. I have been much worse at tailing O/U than sides so far.
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  5. 04-24-17 02:42 PM #5
    Machine Choice
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    You are going to win the Texas bet and probably orioles as well.
    Points Awarded:

    Frosty gave Machine Choice 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  6. 04-24-17 03:00 PM #6
    Scrivero
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    I was hoping to see the words "at least" somewhere in that sentence. So now I think that the sentence is more like the rest of the games will be a loss I hope not though, always better to get a good start for any system/thread than a bad one. Keeps the spirits up and adds faith and confidence which then acts as a catalyst and brings in even more wins. I agree 100 % about the Rangers though.
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  7. 04-24-17 05:16 PM #7
    barryt
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    Sounds like a good idea.
    so I'd be tailing a tailer..lol
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  8. 04-25-17 11:17 AM #8
    Scrivero
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    Quote Originally Posted by barryt View Post
    Sounds like a good idea.
    so I'd be tailing a tailer..lol
    lol yea Im much better at tailing than capping (that is I suck at capping, even in NHL). Lets hope we just do better tonight.

    RESULTS:
    Tails for 4/24, 0.5 units each:
    1. Orioles SU WIN
    2. Rangers SU LOSS
    3. Cubs SU WIN
    4. Reds SU LOSS
    5. Royals/WhiteSox Under LOSS
    6. Brewers/Reds Under LOSS
    7. Twins/Rangers Over LOSS
    8. Nationals/Rockies Over PUSH
    9. Blue Jays/Angels Over LOSS
    10. Dodgers/Giants Over LOSS

    Record:
    Sides: 2-2: -0,105 units
    O/U: 0-5-1: -2,5 units

    Tonight's tails coming later. The start was not amazing for sure but its a long season, if we just keep at it. I wish we are good enough tailing the O/U too not to lose like 15 units on it per week. We might have to start decreasing the number our O/U tails if that were to happen. Its funny how it often happens like this, one does something on their own, it goes well, then one makes it public and all goes. I call it the public betting butterfly effect. Whenever I push a button to post my bets in public, it starts a wind that eventually reaches all the stadions where the games are played and just the wrong teams are affected by it.
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  9. 04-25-17 11:55 AM #9
    Scrivero
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    Tails for 4/25, 0.5 units each:
    1. Cardinals SU
    2. Red Sox SU (gonna be rained out though)
    3. Nationals SU
    4. Rangers SU
    5. Mariners SU
    6. Angels SU
    7. StLouis SU
    8. White Sox SU
    9. Giants SU
    10. Mariners/Tigers Over
    11. Twins/Rangers Over
    12. Athletics/Angels Over
    13. Dodgers/Giants Over
    14. Washington/Colorado Over
    15. Toronto/StLouis Over
    16. Padres/D-backs Over
    17. Royals/White Sox Under

    Good luck! And well, as you can see, I tail quite a lot. Or I dont know, is that a lot? Anyways, lets win more than yesterday
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  10. 04-25-17 03:00 PM #10
    TechnicalTrader
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    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...t-cappers.html

    Post #4! I'd love to see you do that and am extremely confident that you will end the season up!
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  11. 04-26-17 04:21 AM #11
    Scrivero
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    Quote Originally Posted by TechnicalTrader View Post
    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...t-cappers.html

    Post #4! I'd love to see you do that and am extremely confident that you will end the season up!
    Well, sounds like I gotta do that then, thread coming soon!

    RESULTS:
    Tails for 4/25, 0.5 units each:
    1. Cardinals SU LOSS
    2. Red Sox SU (gonna be rained out though) PUSH (lets call it that for simplicity)
    3. Nationals SU WIN
    4. Rangers SU LOSS
    5. Mariners SU LOSS
    6. Angels SU WIN
    7. (StLouis SU LOSS) (I didnt play it twice lol )
    8. White Sox SU WIN
    9. Giants SU LOSS
    10. Mariners/Tigers Over WIN
    11. Twins/Rangers Over LOSS
    12. Athletics/Angels Over LOSS
    13. Dodgers/Giants Over LOSS
    14. Washington/Colorado Over WIN
    15. Toronto/StLouis Over WIN
    16. Padres/D-backs Over WIN
    17. Royals/White Sox Under LOSS

    Evening: 7-8-1: -0,625 units

    Total: 9-15-2: -3,23 units
    SU: 5-6:
    O/U: 4-9-2:

    Not posting the units for SU and O/U separately as it takes too long. Each game is basically even money i the long run as pretty much half of my plays are +plays and half -plays.

    A post about the new thread and about how to continue this one very soon.
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  12. 04-26-17 05:02 AM #12
    Scrivero
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    So here is the thread for fading the popular plays: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ring-cash.html

    CHANGES FOR THIS THREAD:
    1. We will no longer tail O/U, as we are not good at it
    2. We will still tail sides, but the amount will be lower because the tails will be such that only one person (that we trust) has played.
    3. The fade thread will have the fades of the plays that many people have (even some of our trusted people).

    Good luck to us all!
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  13. 04-26-17 07:50 AM #13
    Scrivero
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    From the two early games:

    4/26, 0,5 units each:
    Royals SU
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  14. 04-26-17 01:10 PM #14
    Scrivero
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    We will take back the previous statement for now and test this new style with O/U as well:
    Mariners/Tigers Under
    Royals/WhiteSox Over
    Cubs/Pirates Under
    Rays/Orioles Over
    Hou/Cleveland Over
    Astros/Indians Under

    Sorry for being so late timewise with the Royals-game. You can still make it though.

    SU bets to come soon.
    Last edited by Scrivero; 04-26-17 at 01:19 PM.
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  15. 04-26-17 01:26 PM #15
    Scrivero
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    4/26 tails, 0,5 units each:
    Mariners/Tigers Under
    Royals/WhiteSox Over
    Cubs/Pirates Under
    Rays/Orioles Over
    Hou/Cleveland Over
    Astros/Indians Under
    Royals SU
    Dodgers SU
    Cubs -1.5
    Athletics SU
    Last edited by Scrivero; 04-26-17 at 01:33 PM.
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  16. 04-27-17 09:10 AM #16
    Scrivero
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    RESULTS:
    4/26 tails, 0,5 units each:
    Mariners/Tigers Under I did not play this it seems..
    Royals/WhiteSox Over LOSS
    Cubs/Pirates Under LOSS
    Rays/Orioles Over WIN
    Hou/Cleveland Over LOSS
    Astros/Indians Under LOSS
    Royals SU LOSS
    Dodgers SU LOSS
    Cubs -1.5 LOSS
    Athletics SU LOSS

    Now tahts some good resutls! Ok, lets end tailing and just focus on fading. This system ended with ca minus 8 units. Not bad for ca 4 days.
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