Scrivero tails, because it seems to work

[Scrivero]

Alright, my fourth attempt at making loads of cash with MLB. My first attempt was to make plays blind. That ended with +-0. My second attempt was to make innovative SDQL queries. That one is still in progress. The third attempt was to break streaks. That one was very unsuccesful and is on a hiatus at least until it is backchecked.

THIS THREAD is just me tailing other people. On various places. I also "cross-tail", meaning that I tail many people at the same time with one play which they all have with different angles.

I will not post whose plays I am tailing. I tried that with NHL and it took way too much time and was totally unnecessary.

This thread has my tails only on MLB.

First tails coming tonight! Expect to have ca 10 per evening. All will be 0,5 units per tail.

[alamo]

What factors decide who you tail

[Scrivero]

What factors decide who you tail

Factors:
- How well the person has done in the past with MLB.
- How well should he/she do in the future if there is no past reference (how reliable/smart/hard-working he/she feels to me).
- How good/efficient/idea rich/profitable is the person with SDQL.
- How reliable (either backtested or forward tested) is the system that the person is using.
- How good are his reasonings for the picks.
- How much other people trust him and his picks.

Those of course are for different people (not all fit all criteria) but from the top of my head those would be the main factors. I have not really thought about them that much, it (my tails) have been mainly intuitive.

[Scrivero]

Tails for 4/24, 0.5 units each:
1. Orioles SU
2. Rangers SU
3. Cubs SU
4. Reds SU
5. Royals/WhiteSox Under
6. Brewers/Reds Under
7. Twins/Rangers Over
8. Nationals/Rockies Over
9. Blue Jays/Angels Over
10. Dodgers/Giants Over

I will start following the records of sides and O/U separately to see whether there is a difference in my results. I have been much worse at tailing O/U than sides so far.

[Machine Choice]

You are going to win the Texas bet and probably orioles as well.

[Scrivero]

I was hoping to see the words "at least" somewhere in that sentence. So now I think that the sentence is more like the rest of the games will be a loss I hope not though, always better to get a good start for any system/thread than a bad one. Keeps the spirits up and adds faith and confidence which then acts as a catalyst and brings in even more wins. I agree 100 % about the Rangers though.

[barryt]

Sounds like a good idea.
so I'd be tailing a tailer..lol

[Scrivero]

Sounds like a good idea.
so I'd be tailing a tailer..lol

lol yea Im much better at tailing than capping (that is I suck at capping, even in NHL). Lets hope we just do better tonight.

RESULTS:
Tails for 4/24, 0.5 units each:
1. Orioles SU WIN
2. Rangers SU LOSS
3. Cubs SU WIN
4. Reds SU LOSS
5. Royals/WhiteSox Under LOSS
6. Brewers/Reds Under LOSS
7. Twins/Rangers Over LOSS
8. Nationals/Rockies Over PUSH
9. Blue Jays/Angels Over LOSS
10. Dodgers/Giants Over LOSS

Record:
Sides: 2-2: -0,105 units
O/U: 0-5-1: -2,5 units

Tonight's tails coming later. The start was not amazing for sure but its a long season, if we just keep at it. I wish we are good enough tailing the O/U too not to lose like 15 units on it per week. We might have to start decreasing the number our O/U tails if that were to happen. Its funny how it often happens like this, one does something on their own, it goes well, then one makes it public and all goes. I call it the public betting butterfly effect. Whenever I push a button to post my bets in public, it starts a wind that eventually reaches all the stadions where the games are played and just the wrong teams are affected by it.

[Scrivero]

Tails for 4/25, 0.5 units each:
1. Cardinals SU
2. Red Sox SU (gonna be rained out though)
3. Nationals SU
4. Rangers SU
5. Mariners SU
6. Angels SU
7. StLouis SU
8. White Sox SU
9. Giants SU
10. Mariners/Tigers Over
11. Twins/Rangers Over
12. Athletics/Angels Over
13. Dodgers/Giants Over
14. Washington/Colorado Over
15. Toronto/StLouis Over
16. Padres/D-backs Over
17. Royals/White Sox Under

Good luck! And well, as you can see, I tail quite a lot. Or I dont know, is that a lot? Anyways, lets win more than yesterday

[TechnicalTrader]

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/handicapper-think-tank/3385463-great-cappers.html

Post #4! I'd love to see you do that and am extremely confident that you will end the season up!

[Scrivero]

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...t-cappers.html

Post #4! I'd love to see you do that and am extremely confident that you will end the season up!

Well, sounds like I gotta do that then, thread coming soon!

RESULTS:
Tails for 4/25, 0.5 units each:
1. Cardinals SU LOSS
2. Red Sox SU (gonna be rained out though) PUSH (lets call it that for simplicity)
3. Nationals SU WIN
4. Rangers SU LOSS
5. Mariners SU LOSS
6. Angels SU WIN
7. (StLouis SU LOSS) (I didnt play it twice lol )
8. White Sox SU WIN
9. Giants SU LOSS
10. Mariners/Tigers Over WIN
11. Twins/Rangers Over LOSS
12. Athletics/Angels Over LOSS
13. Dodgers/Giants Over LOSS
14. Washington/Colorado Over WIN
15. Toronto/StLouis Over WIN
16. Padres/D-backs Over WIN
17. Royals/White Sox Under LOSS

Evening: 7-8-1: -0,625 units

Total: 9-15-2: -3,23 units
SU: 5-6:
O/U: 4-9-2:

Not posting the units for SU and O/U separately as it takes too long. Each game is basically even money i the long run as pretty much half of my plays are +plays and half -plays.

A post about the new thread and about how to continue this one very soon.

[Scrivero]

So here is the thread for fading the popular plays: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ring-cash.html

CHANGES FOR THIS THREAD:
1. We will no longer tail O/U, as we are not good at it
2. We will still tail sides, but the amount will be lower because the tails will be such that only one person (that we trust) has played.
3. The fade thread will have the fades of the plays that many people have (even some of our trusted people).

Good luck to us all!

[Scrivero]

From the two early games:

4/26, 0,5 units each:
Royals SU

[Scrivero]

We will take back the previous statement for now and test this new style with O/U as well:
Mariners/Tigers Under
Royals/WhiteSox Over
Cubs/Pirates Under
Rays/Orioles Over
Hou/Cleveland Over
Astros/Indians Under

Sorry for being so late timewise with the Royals-game. You can still make it though.

SU bets to come soon.

[Scrivero]

4/26 tails, 0,5 units each:
Mariners/Tigers Under
Royals/WhiteSox Over
Cubs/Pirates Under
Rays/Orioles Over
Hou/Cleveland Over
Astros/Indians Under
Royals SU
Dodgers SU
Cubs -1.5
Athletics SU

[Scrivero]

RESULTS:
4/26 tails, 0,5 units each:
Mariners/Tigers Under I did not play this it seems..
Royals/WhiteSox Over LOSS
Cubs/Pirates Under LOSS
Rays/Orioles Over WIN
Hou/Cleveland Over LOSS
Astros/Indians Under LOSS
Royals SU LOSS
Dodgers SU LOSS
Cubs -1.5 LOSS
Athletics SU LOSS

Now tahts some good resutls! Ok, lets end tailing and just focus on fading. This system ended with ca minus 8 units. Not bad for ca 4 days.