iloseagain's' MLB thread

[iloseagain]

Quack Quack!

fukkin idiots giving up a goal with 56 secs left in the 1P

[iloseagain]

Before Today (Refer to post #519 if you dont think my units and % of bets won make any sense)
Overall 80-70 +17.54x units

Wash -1 -115*
Wash TT o4 -130**
Stl TT o4.5 -120**
Col/Cubs o7 -110**
Cubs TT o4.5 -120**
Cle/Nym u7.5 -110**
Cle/Nym 1h u4 -110*
TB -106**
Tor -1 -110*
SD/Ari u7 EV***
SD/Ari 1h u3.5 +105 0.5x
SD TT u3.5 -125 0.5x
Ari TT u3.5 -115 0.5x
KC/Oak 1h o4.5*
LAD -1 EV**
Memphis TT u86.5*
Ducks/Preds u5 -110*


Heat ML/Clips ML/LAD 2x to win 4.3x
Parlay: Ducks/ClipsML/Ducks u5 1x to win 2.7x
Parlay above 1x for 21.6x


6-10-1 -5.3x UPDATED... If dodgers can hang on, and clips win, will cash that nice little parlay to get 4.3 back.

[mlb]

youre on this under as well?

Yeah - didn't like that late goal

[iloseagain]

Yeah - didn't like that late goal

no not at all.. i need ducks too. didnt post in here, but i have them in 4 parlays. My biggest one is a 4 teamer. 2 have cashed. All thats left is ducks ML/Clips -7.5... I could honestly care less about the under as long as they win (and clips cover ha)

EDIT: ducks need to stop putting nashville on the PP, CMON MAN!

2-1 nash... Wellp now im fukked. Need ducks to win now. Shit.
3-1 goodnight. Ducks lose 2 in a row at home to start the playoff series. That is pathetic. What happened to their offense, good god.
1 goal in each of the last minute of the periods.. What the fukk can you do about that shit.. Jesus what a joke this Ducks team is, especially after going up 1-0 early in the game too.. Way to show up on your home ice in the first 2 games of the playoffs. Now do i chase them in nashville? I dont think i can.. Nashville should be -200 in the next 2 games the way these games have gone. If the Ducks can only score 1 goal in each of their home games, how the fukk are they gonna score on the road against a real good goalie?

[iloseagain]

JA Happ has been good to me this year in betting and fantasy baseball.. However, tomorrow is not going to be a fun day for him.. I am eyeing Red Sox TT for tomorrow in what will be a very good weather day. His ERA is nice (2.25), but his WHIP (1.50) tells me that he leaves a lot of runners on base. The Red Sox will take advantage of this in what will be an emotionally charged offense tomorrow.

Big early day play tomorrow!

[mikefan1034]

no not at all.. i need ducks too. didnt post in here, but i have them in 4 parlays. My biggest one is a 4 teamer. 2 have cashed. All thats left is ducks ML/Clips -7.5... I could honestly care less about the under as long as they win (and clips cover ha)

EDIT: ducks need to stop putting nashville on the PP, CMON MAN!

2-1 nash... Wellp now im fukked. Need ducks to win now. Shit.

3-1 now lmao thanks for the fade took Nashville. Ducks pressing and will fade like a cheap suit they aren't very good backed into the playoffs. Only team that I
Would trust down islanders

[iloseagain]

^^^okay youre blocked.. I dont respond to you anymore anyways. I wonder at what point does this trolling stop being fun for you.. I feel bad for you man. Youre literally a child. Bye bye.

[mikefan1034]

^^^okay youre blocked.. I dont respond to you anymore anyways. I wonder at what point does this trolling stop being fun for you.. I feel bad for you man. Youre literally a child. Bye bye.

Quack quack quack

[iloseagain]

4/17
6-10-1 -5.3x


Overall 86-80 +12.24x units

Tomorrow I am going to start playing less plays. This amount of plays is fun for action, but its way too much.. Bad days can be killer.

[Breadloser]

Good work so far, Keep it up.

[iloseagain]

Good work so far, Keep it up.

Thank you

[iloseagain]

Leans for 4/18
Bos ML or TT over (Playing the game over below, but still leaning these bets as well. We will see what happens with the lines tomorrow)
Nym/Phi u6.5 (Syndegaard is NASTY. Eickhoff is pitching really well also. Hate 6.5 totals because 3-3 is auto loss. However, I dont think Philly gets more than 2, and Mets were shutout after getting 6 early ones today. They havent been hitting either. Not even sure if they got more than a few hits after the 2nd inning against Cle today.)
Cubs/Stl u8 (Normally Id be betting the over in a Stl/Cubs game, but Cubs bats have been non-existant lately, and Stl's bats are about to slow down big time. I dont love this considering both pitchers have 6+ ERA, but I think Stl is due for a few unders and Cubs cant hit anything right now.)


Plays
Cws/LAA u8.5 -125** (Putting this in now. This will go down to 8 tomorrow. Angels just got swept by the TWINKS, while only scoring 2, 4, and 4 against AWFUL twinks pitching. Now they have to go to Chi-town and face a very good Rondon. Santiago isnt terrible and i could see this being a nice, low scoring game. 4-2 chisox.. Lean Chisox too, but no play yet.)
Bos/Tor o9 -115** (Putting this in now. I imagine this will go up, if anything. Happ is going to get whacked for the first time this year and Buchholz is going to give up 3-4 in 5-6 innings MAX. Bos might cover this over themselves.)

[buddha]

Tomorrow I am going to start playing less plays. This amount of plays is fun for action, but its way too much.. Bad days can be killer.

Nice move and necessary to succeed. That, along with Money Management.

Most find it difficult to "Cold Turkey" off of too many plays though, I hope you will commit to this.

The challenge is guys see plays "they would have made" that Win and they don't so much notice those that lost.

Try to stick to this though and your journey will be better.

Also...worth considering, some have had great success combining the making of fewer plays with a focus upon a handful of teams

razor sharp attention to Health, the Flow (Zone) a team is in (Good or Bad), Travel, Weather, how they do vs. Lefties and/or certain pitchers or in certain stadiums etc.

Like having a "Top Tier" of teams one looks for opportunity with but with great discipline passes, goes to lower tier games when opportunity is not present.

Just Food for Thought. GL.

[iloseagain]

Adding

Bos -120*


Boston is the play here. I wish i didn't lock in the over last night as it had moved down to 8.5... Hopefully over will hit too.

[ATLIEN6]

Nice move and necessary to succeed. That, along with Money Management.

Most find it difficult to "Cold Turkey" off of too many plays though, I hope you will commit to this.

The challenge is guys see plays "they would have made" that Win and they don't so much notice those that lost.

Try to stick to this though and your journey will be better.

Also...worth considering, some have had great success combining the making of fewer plays with a focus upon a handful of teams

razor sharp attention to Health, the Flow (Zone) a team is in (Good or Bad), Travel, Weather, how they do vs. Lefties and/or certain pitchers or in certain stadiums etc.

Like having a "Top Tier" of teams one looks for opportunity with but with great discipline passes, goes to lower tier games when opportunity is not present.

Just Food for Thought. GL.

Droppin some knowledge right here, wish i was wise enough to listen.

I plugged in the OVER 8.5 this morning feel like its a solid play...iloseagain whats your reasoning behind the redsox ml? I saw where LT explained his but it seemed more like a 'value' play to him, the last redsox game i watched was when bucholz got blown out and looked like a minor league pitcher...hard to put money on him imo

[iloseagain]

Yea buddha i was gona get to your message in a bit.

Atlien it might be a bit of a homer pick since I'm a sox fan, but also cuz happ is due for some serious regression and the sox can swing the bats. Happ has left a LOT of runners on base and i don't think that's going to continue today. I think sox swing the bats well and buchholz pitches well enough to win.. 5-3 game something like that. I don't even like my over pick anymore honestly but I'm just gonna let it play out and hope the sox go off.

Trying to decide if i should start Happ in fantasy or not...

[iloseagain]

Sox o4.5 -120*

[mlb]

im on over as well ...

wow I got over 4 juiced a little more than you however.

[iloseagain]

im on over as well ...

wow I got over 4 juiced a little more than you however.

damn i woulda liked 4.. Hate 4.5's

[ship2volk]

Nyy -130*
tor -140*
was -150*


Ytd 16-18 -4.59u

[iloseagain]

Nice move and necessary to succeed. That, along with Money Management.

Most find it difficult to "Cold Turkey" off of too many plays though, I hope you will commit to this.

The challenge is guys see plays "they would have made" that Win and they don't so much notice those that lost.

Try to stick to this though and your journey will be better.

Also...worth considering, some have had great success combining the making of fewer plays with a focus upon a handful of teams

razor sharp attention to Health, the Flow (Zone) a team is in (Good or Bad), Travel, Weather, how they do vs. Lefties and/or certain pitchers or in certain stadiums etc.

Like having a "Top Tier" of teams one looks for opportunity with but with great discipline passes, goes to lower tier games when opportunity is not present.

Just Food for Thought. GL.

Thanks for posting. This sure makes a lot of sense. It is very hard for me to like a pick, not bet it, then watch it win. I definitely have certain teams i avoid, and i try betting on streaks, like when TB was having serious trouble scoring the past 5-6 games (before the last 2), i was betting their unders. Then i saw them score 7 and i instantly bet them the next game and they won. I think looking out for certain things like that can definitely be beneficial. I am definitely going to try and practice some more discipline and not feel like i have to force a play when there isnt something i really like. Thanks for the tip

[iloseagain]

i leaned u6.5 on phi last night, and now its sitting at u7 +110. It looks as if they are begging for money on the under. This makes no sense to me considering both of these pitchers and the lack of offense from the 2 teams playing. This makes me now think the over is the play, but maybe i will just lay off completely.

[iloseagain]

Boston is the play here. I wish i didn't lock in the over last night as it had moved down to 8.5... Hopefully over will hit too.

Should have bought out of the over... Arghh

[ship2volk]

Should have bought out of the over... Arghh

picked up live over 3

[RollinDo]

Leans for 4/18
Bos ML or TT over (Playing the game over below, but still leaning these bets as well. We will see what happens with the lines tomorrow)
Nym/Phi u6.5 (Syndegaard is NASTY. Eickhoff is pitching really well also. Hate 6.5 totals because 3-3 is auto loss. However, I dont think Philly gets more than 2, and Mets were shutout after getting 6 early ones today. They havent been hitting either. Not even sure if they got more than a few hits after the 2nd inning against Cle today.)
Cubs/Stl u8 (Normally Id be betting the over in a Stl/Cubs game, but Cubs bats have been non-existant lately, and Stl's bats are about to slow down big time. I dont love this considering both pitchers have 6+ ERA, but I think Stl is due for a few unders and Cubs cant hit anything right now.)


Plays
Cws/LAA u8.5 -125** (Putting this in now. This will go down to 8 tomorrow. Angels just got swept by the TWINKS, while only scoring 2, 4, and 4 against AWFUL twinks pitching. Now they have to go to Chi-town and face a very good Rondon. Santiago isnt terrible and i could see this being a nice, low scoring game. 4-2 chisox.. Lean Chisox too, but no play yet.)
Bos/Tor o9 -115** (Putting this in now. I imagine this will go up, if anything. Happ is going to get whacked for the first time this year and Buchholz is going to give up 3-4 in 5-6 innings MAX. Bos might cover this over themselves.)

I like your CWS/LAA play LoseAgain...only concern is Santiago on the road...splits are so much different than at home...but ChiSox not hitting a ton yet, though I imagine they will soon enough.
ChiSox ERA in last few innings is sick...Angels pen is decent too.

[ATLIEN6]

Lol this game is nuts...dude if sox tie it up...wowww that shit would be epic

[iloseagain]

Lol this game is nuts...dude if sox tie it up...wowww that shit would be epic

woulda been.. Papi strikes out looking

[ATLIEN6]

woulda been.. Papi strikes out looking

facepalm

[iloseagain]

Cws/LAA u8.5 -125**
Bos/Tor o9 -115**
Bos -120*
Bos TT o4.5 -120*



Ugly ass start to the day.. Not sure if im going to add anything else.. Maybe one or two more MLB plays

[iloseagain]

Mets TT o4.5 +110* (There is something very weird about this game total. I think this is the play here. Mets get to 5 by the 5th.)
Cards TT o3.5 -130** (Took them last game at o4.5. Ended at 4 with a man on 2nd. Figures. If i can get them at o3.5, I have to take them. They havent scored less than 4 in 9 straight games. Maybe today is the day that ends, but ill take my chances.)
Marlins -1 -110*

[ship2volk]

Mets/Phi over 7 -130* (terrible Pillies bullpen and Mets on a hit spree past 3 games im looking at this over to be cashed in just by Mets alone)
WAS +150** (Washington has a strong start in the season and i dont think Fernandez will stop this team. Harper with 6HR and 15 RBI is just one of the Nats weapons)


Ytd 16-18 -4.59u

[Louisvillekid1]

4/17
6-10-1 -5.3x


Overall 86-80 +12.24x units

Tomorrow I am going to start playing less plays. This amount of plays is fun for action, but its way too much.. Bad days can be killer.

Always a good idea , gl

[iloseagain]

Mets/Phi over 7 -130* (terrible Pillies bullpen and Mets on a hit spree past 3 games im looking at this over to be cashed in just by Mets alone)
WAS +150** (Washington has a strong start in the season and i dont think Fernandez will stop this team. Harper with 6HR and 15 RBI is just one of the Nats weapons)


Ytd 16-18 -4.59u

Hey stop copying my writeup styles!! I thought those were my plays for a second haha. JK man. GL on wash, but youre on the wrong side here

Always a good idea , gl

Yes it is haha.. I said i was going to do this earlier, but i couldnt resist. Thanks and GL to you as well

[iloseagain]

Col +120*
Cubs/Stl u8 EV* (fading the old man)

[slayer14]

Cubs and marlins win tonight?