iloseagain's' MLB thread

[iloseagain]

Hoping Quackers come through with a W.
Need them to win at least 3 games in this series to win a +200 parlay...which unfortunately ended (if Win parlay) with Pirates crapping the bed again today.

i did a parlay with them and o5 too.. looks like it may be a push at best, unless we can get a 3-2 lead and get a empty netter.. Lots of game left though, so who knows... I hate hockey, and never watch or bet on it, so i dont really know what to expect.. All i know is my buddies watch hockey and i know ducks have been playing well after a terrible start to the season.

[RollinDo]

Should have played the U 7 in SD...just remember last year SD Overs ran rampant at home...forgot they can't hit this year.

I was thrown off by the total line today in TB or would have gone bigger on Rays U7.

One of those days when you're brimming with confidence in so many plays and things don't go as planned. (Generally speaking)

[RollinDo]

i did a parlay with them and o5 too.. looks like it may be a push at best, unless we can get a 3-2 lead and get a empty netter.. Lots of game left though, so who knows... I hate hockey, and never watch or bet on it, so i dont really know what to expect.. All i know is my buddies watch hockey and i know ducks have been playing well after a terrible start to the season.

Man, I really like hockey...I go in spurts with my interest level, but playoff intensity can't be matched in any other sport (IMO).
I'm a Hawks fan so plenty to be happy about the last few seasons! And yes Ducks and TB have really turned it on in the 2H of season.

[iloseagain]

Should have played the U 7 in SD...just remember last year SD Overs ran rampant at home...forgot they can't hit this year.

I was thrown off by the total line today in TB or would have gone bigger on Rays U7.

One of those days when you're brimming with confidence in so many plays and things don't go as planned. (Generally speaking)

What about the total in TB threw u off? Wasnt it 6.5? TB is god awful man, look at my write up about that game on my lean from the night before:
(Sale/Odorizzi. Need i say more? TB cant score. They might only get 2-3 hits vs Sale. Cws aint much better. Odorizzi has filthy stuff. This game will be 2-1 or 3-2 MAX. I think one of these two teams will end up getting shut out.)

TB 2 hits and ended 1-0... LOL called that one perfectly

[RollinDo]

Last thought for tonight...so many freakin errors and walks it seems today that have resulted in lots of Overs.

I think the books were onto something with very little line movement all day on the totals with slight hints to the Overs.
The Cubbies game was the strangest total movement...thought we'd see about 10 runs in that one.

[RollinDo]

What about the total in TB threw u off? Wasnt it 6.5? TB is god awful man, look at my write up about that game on my lean from the night before:
(Sale/Odorizzi. Need i say more? TB cant score. They might only get 2-3 hits vs Sale. Cws aint much better. Odorizzi has filthy stuff. This game will be 2-1 or 3-2 MAX. I think one of these two teams will end up getting shut out.)

TB 2 hits and ended 1-0... LOL called that one perfectly

Nice call man...I guess I was expecting the total to lower to 6 with those stud starters. I did a medium play so it's all good.
Hope this U 7 cashes in Oakland after a rocky start.

[iloseagain]

4/16

Price has OWNED toronto in his career. 16-2 2.41 ERA 1.06 WHIP. However, Estrada also owned the red sox last time they played.. This game makes me want to play under, but i feel if i play the under, it will fly over. Supposed to be a nice weather day tomorrow. This game wouldnt shock me either way. I could see this being a 3-1 4-2 game or i could also see it being a 6-4 type game... Tough call here, will probably lay off completely.. I have been super low on Price for this year, but he is definitely a competitor and does not like to lose. Im very surprised at his numbers against Toronto as they are a fastball hitting team and Price thrown mainly fastballs. Those numbers are hard to ignore though. Under seems like the RIGHT play, but the right play isnt always the winning play.

[iloseagain]

Nice call man...I guess I was expecting the total to lower to 6 with those stud starters. I did a medium play so it's all good.
Hope this U 7 cashes in Oakland after a rocky start.

yea weird shit happened today. Im rootin for ya, but im also rooting for oak, so it will be a push at best for ya if oak hits..

[RollinDo]

Any leans for Sat?

I'll be pretty busy all day so little time to research.
Will play 3 tomorrow max.

Leaning Under 3.5 FF in Philly and Under in Oakland again.
Like Fish to come back with a W tomorrow and also Halos.

Cards an obvious one too with their hot play lately.

[RollinDo]

yea weird shit happened today. Im rootin for ya, but im also rooting for oak, so it will be a push at best for ya if oak hits..

I'm ok with that except I backed off of buying up to 8 runs.

I was too late in putting in KC +1 @ -145.

[iloseagain]

leans were posted.. here they are again.. i dont understand why the whole fukkin thing goes bold when i copy it.. i do only the picks in bold so that its easy to identify them, but when i copy paste it, they all go bold... Dumb.. oh there we go fixed em

Leans for 4/16
Stl/Cin o7.5 +105 (How are these totals so low every game? Stl is averaging 8+ RPG the last 5-6 games. The total today was 7.5 juiced on the under too. Final score 14-4.. Keep rolling with Stl hot offense.. Prob play TT too)
Cubs -1.5 (Gonna be crazy high juice for a RL, but Arrieta doesnt lose. Cubs should get bats going vs shit Bergman)
Sea u8 -120 and FF u4 or 4.5 (Felix has been LIGHTS OUT. Sea just unloaded all their runs today. CC sucks, but pitched decent last time and I imagine Sea doesnt score 7 again. 4-1 type game.)
Min EV (Min gets 2 in a row. Weaver sucks. Nolasco isnt good either, but Twins do have legit bats, maybe they have woken up finally)
Det/Hou u9 -115 (Verlander was quietly SOLID last year. Gotten whacked around a bit this year so far, but if Hou could only manage 1 run against Pelfrey who had SIX walks, then they arent scoring tomorrow either. Mchugh should put up another decent start as well.)
Bal/Tex o9.5 -105 (These teams can score. These pitchers arent very good. Should be a run fest again)


EDIT FOR THIS MORNING: Min up to -126.. Bos o/u down to 8.. Det/Hou is u9 -120.. Bal/Tex is up to 10.. Stl o/u down to 7.. Every fukkin lean moved in the direction i liked except stl over. Had a bunch of good lines last night, and now theyre all fukked.. Will still play most of them though

[iloseagain]

Any leans for Sat?

I'll be pretty busy all day so little time to research.
Will play 3 tomorrow max.

Leaning Under 3.5 FF in Philly and Under in Oakland again.
Like Fish to come back with a W tomorrow and also Halos.

Cards an obvious one too with their hot play lately.

if i learned anything today, its to not take ff unders with teams who are HITTING the ball.. Played ff under in stl.. got burned.. Wash is mashing right now. I would be careful with that one man. GL if you play.. There are better ff unders out there IMO

sea/yanks looks good
tor/bos looks good
cws/tb doesnt look great but you cant ignore the fact that tb just cant score right now
det/hou neither team can score either

[RollinDo]

Thanks man.

I may go with Rox TT (U 3) tomorrow too.
Like the U 8 in Yanks game too.

[iloseagain]

Thanks man.

I may go with Rox TT (U 3) tomorrow too.
Like the U 8 in Yanks game too.

that rox juice will be crazy, but i really think 3 is a push at worst.. thought it was today too, but to no avail

[RollinDo]

if i learned anything today, its to not take ff unders with teams who are HITTING the ball.. Played ff under in stl.. got burned.. Wash is mashing right now. I would be careful with that one man. GL if you play.. There are better ff unders out there IMO

They have mashed last 2 games you're right.
I may back off that...we'll see...lots of time to ponder...just have to limit to 3...well maybe 4 plays.

G'nite - hope Ducks come thru!

[iloseagain]

nashville goal... fukkin great

[iloseagain]

They have mashed last 2 games you're right.
I may back off that...we'll see...lots of time to ponder...just have to limit to 3...well maybe 4 plays.

G'nite - hope Ducks come thru!

right as you say that nash scores lol fukkkk... GL whatever u decide

[ship2volk]

Sea/NYY under 7.5 -110*

Ytd 13-17 -5.34u

[iloseagain]

Bos u -120*
Sea/NY 1h u4 -115**

My buddy has been on a terrible streak and these are his picks.. Might have to fade a few
Cubs -1.5
Yanks
Angels
Bos
Mets
1h Cubs

[iloseagain]

Hoffman -115 vs Chappell GOLF*

[iloseagain]

Leans for 4/16
Stl/Cin o7.5 +105 (How are these totals so low every game? Stl is averaging 8+ RPG the last 5-6 games. The total today was 7.5 juiced on the under too. Final score 14-4.. Keep rolling with Stl hot offense.. Prob play TT too)
Cubs -1.5 (Gonna be crazy high juice for a RL, but Arrieta doesnt lose. Cubs should get bats going vs shit Bergman)
Sea u8 -120 and FF u4 or 4.5 (Felix has been LIGHTS OUT. Sea just unloaded all their runs today. CC sucks, but pitched decent last time and I imagine Sea doesnt score 7 again. 4-1 type game.)
Min EV (Min gets 2 in a row. Weaver sucks. Nolasco isnt good either, but Twins do have legit bats, maybe they have woken up finally)
Det/Hou u9 -115 (Verlander was quietly SOLID last year. Gotten whacked around a bit this year so far, but if Hou could only manage 1 run against Pelfrey who had SIX walks, then they arent scoring tomorrow either. Mchugh should put up another decent start as well.)
Bal/Tex o9.5 -105 (These teams can score. These pitchers arent very good. Should be a run fest again)


EDIT FOR THIS MORNING: Min up to -126.. Bos o/u down to 8.. Det/Hou is u9 -120.. Bal/Tex is up to 10.. Stl o/u down to 7.. Every fukkin lean moved in the direction i liked except stl over. Had a bunch of good lines last night, and now theyre all fukked.. Will still play most of them though

[mikefan1034]

Good morning illose

[iloseagain]

Stl o7 -110*
Det/Hou u9 -120*
Min -126**
SF/LAD o7 -110** (Played this over in cueto/karmir last time and was 5-5 after 1 or something crazy)
Mil/Pit o7.5 -125* (prob a square play, but these pitchers are god awful)
Sea/NYY u7.5 -110***
KC/Oak u7 EV* (Hoping sonny shuts out KC and anyone right now can shut out Oak.. C Young is a crafty pitcher who should be able to keep them off balance)
Bal/Tex o10 -110*
KC +1 -125* (betting against oak right now)
Bos u8 -120*
Sea/NY 1h u4 -115**
Hoffman -115 vs Chappell Daily Matchup GOLF*

[iloseagain]

Cubs/Col 1h u3.5 -120**
Col 1h +0.5 +170*

[iloseagain]

cant resist

Stl TT o3.5 -120*

[slayer14]

Hoffman -115 vs Chappell GOLF*

No dont go there you doing really good on the nba and mlb picks.

[iloseagain]

No dont go there you doing really good on the nba and mlb picks.

lol man i love golf.. id golf every day if i could.. ill be watching this today dont worry

[iloseagain]

adding

Mets/Cle o7 -120*

[iloseagain]

Before today

Overall 67-62 -9.01x units

Bad day yesterday. If not for the booted double play by SF shortstop, that HRE very likely goes under. After that booted DP ball, which was as routine as it gets, Dodgers got 3 more hits, 4 runs, and 1 more error IN THAT INNING! Game ended at 28. Take those 8 away and we are sitting at 20.. Go figure.

I havent gone back and looked, but i have been very successful on 3x plays. I feel like ive won the last 3 or 4 at least. That HRE under was a 5x, but it sucked because of that error. 1-1 on 5x plays now.

[iloseagain]

Parlay
1x to win 5.6x
Col o7, LAA o9, Stl o7.5

[iloseagain]

No dont go there you doing really good on the nba and mlb picks.

birdie birdie start for the hoff. lookin like a possible bogey start for chap

[iloseagain]

cant resist

Stl TT o3.5 -120*

4-0 already.. who makes these lines?? Terrible. Stl has been scoring 4 runs by the 2nd inning in all of the last 3-4 games.. too easy

[iloseagain]

Cubs/Col 1h u3.5 -120**
Col 1h +0.5 +170*

idiots had leadoff double and couldnt push it across

[iloseagain]

Early Games
Stl o7 -110*
Sea/NY 1h u4 -115**
Stl TT o3.5 -120*
Cubs/Col 1h u3.5 -120**
Col 1h +0.5 +170*
Sea/NYY u7.5 -110***
Min -126**
Bos u8 -120*
KC/Oak u7 EV*
KC +1 -125*
Mets/Cle o7 -120*
KC/Oak 1h u4 -115*
Bos/Tor 1h u4 -110*
Bos -133*

Late Games
Det/Hou u9 -120*
Mil/Pit o7.5 -125*
Bal/Tex o10 -110*
SF/LAD o7 -110**


Hoffman -115 vs Chappell Daily Matchup GOLF*

Parlay
1x to win 5.6x
Col o7, LAA o9, Stl o7.5

[iloseagain]

fukkin CC giving up 3 in the top 5 killed my bet.. push instead of win.