iloseagain's' MLB thread

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

i can seee the under in atl. Dodgers bats are dead right now. I like that under now that you bring it up. Cws game will definitely end before 6:10 lol don't worry man

I am contemplating this parlay...will hedge later a little if 1st part hits...

Sea - Clev (U 7.5) / AZ - SF (U 3.5 FF) +215

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 02:55 PM

Rollin sometimes i have some weird angles.. It had to do with the fact stl tt was juiced at o3.5 -120 too.. I am certainly not a conventional capper.. I try to read lines more than anything i guess

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Cash 1h cws/laa under.. Volk not sure what you saw here but sale is essentially unhittable and richards is pretty damn good too. Not to mention both teams bats are cold

Well, you could make a case for Richards having a bad road split the last season or 2...has had pretty good success vs. the ChiSox hitters in career though (except vs Abreu & Lawrie I think).

**ship2volk** · 04-20-16, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Cash 1h cws/laa under.. Volk not sure what you saw here but sale is essentially unhittable and richards is pretty damn good too. Not to mention both teams bats are cold

there is always that chance lol, tried to switch it up a bit

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Rollin sometimes i have some weird angles.. It had to do with the fact stl tt was juiced at o3.5 -120 too.. I am certainly not a conventional capper.. I try to read lines more than anything i guess

Got'cha...and in my mind and limited experience (3 years now), mlb lines are the hardest to figure out...you can have a huge line move that goes the other way in the result...or could mean something...that's why I rarely play anything unless I have a lean on it to begin with. NhL line moves pretty much follow suit.

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Well, you could make a case for Richards having a bad road split the last season or 2...has had pretty good success vs. the ChiSox hitters in career though (except vs Abreu & Lawrie I think).

Well whether its right or wrong, i don't look too much into stuff from years past. I look at the fact the richards is pitching well so far, white sox aren't hitting so well. Sale is ridiculous and angels aren't hitting well.. I saw this as 4-2 max

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Well whether its right or wrong, i don't look too much into stuff from years past. I look at the fact the richards is pitching well so far, white sox aren't hitting so well. Sale is ridiculous and angels aren't hitting well.. I saw this as 4-2 max

I may take your advice on this...I tend to do more research than necessary, though I like to see how a starting pitcher has fared in a certain ballpark, how they have done typically in beginning part/middle part/latter part of the year in their career (probably pretty useless junk here), and bullpens (though it's early to have enough stats compiled for consistency).
One thing I failed to take into account the other night in Miami was how poorly the Nats starter had done vs Marlins in his career.

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Might have a nice little 5x play later. We will see.

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 03:49 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

I may take your advice on this...I tend to do more research than necessary, though I like to see how a starting pitcher has fared in a certain ballpark, how they have done typically in beginning part/middle part/latter part of the year in their career (probably pretty useless junk here), and bullpens (though it's early to have enough stats compiled for consistency).
One thing I failed to take into account the other night in Miami was how poorly the Nats starter had done vs Marlins in his career.

You can look at all that stuff and still lose by 10 runs though haha.. I honestly don't do much research at all.. I put WAY more stock into recent games for teams and recent starts for pitchers

i prob spend 1-1.5 hours looking at stuff total for all of my picks

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

I just got home from work.. Ill be back on here in like half hour with the pick..

**ship2volk** · 04-20-16, 03:56 PM

CWS/LAA 1h o3.5 -105*
CWS/LAA o7 -110**
Cubs/Cards o7.5 ev*
CWS -150*

Ytd 20-22-1 -5.22u

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

i prob spend 1-1.5 hours looking at stuff total for all of my picks

Yeah, probably an hour per day for me too...work has been too rigorous to do more...I actually get a lot of work done amidst my numerous posts!

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 04:35 PM

Gonna have to pass on this M's Under...forgot that U 8.5 was on my top 3 list for the Minn-Brewers game.

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Yeah, probably an hour per day for me too...work has been too rigorous to do more...I actually get a lot of work done amidst my numerous posts!

Lol, same. prob doesnt seem that way with how much ive been posting the last month or so.

I cant do the 5 unit play considering i have 2 units on SF/Zona under already.. So, what im gonna do is split it between 2 plays

Bos TT o3.5 -140*** (I know i was just saying earlier about how i dont put much stock in past years stats, but i cant ingnore this one lol. Archer in 11 career starts Vs Boston = 1-6 W-L, 5.14 ERA, 1.64 WHIP. Also, he is injured or something, because his velo is down, and he is walking batters left and right. 3 starts in Fenway = 5.65 ERA 1.81 WHIP.)
SF TT u3.5 -135*** (I like this one because of the fact that SF is not hitting anyone right now.. Also, Grienke has faced this lineup a million times and knows how to pitch against them. Pitchers park as well. I see SF with 1 or 2 runs)

The original 5 unit play I had in mind was SF TT u3.5, but I just cant do it with the under on the game played already.. So, feel free to do whatever youd like haha... I really like both of these.

Plays
Cws/laa 1h u3.5 -120**
cws/laa u7 -120*
Mets -140**
Atl +120*
Sf/Zona u6.5 -125**
Sox -110**
Tex -145*
Hou +105**
Sea/cle u7.5 -115*
Sea/cle 1h u4 -125**
Bos/tb 1h u4 -105*
Bos TT o3.5 -140***
SF TT u3.5 -135***

**ship2volk** · 04-20-16, 04:48 PM

Was -110**
Tor/Bal o8.5 -125**

**RollinDo** · 04-20-16, 04:54 PM

Well, I already locked in the U3.5 in SF...but I got it for -145...hope we cash!

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Gonna have to pass on this M's Under...forgot that U 8.5 was on my top 3 list for the Minn-Brewers game.

What does this mean? Im confused

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 05:06 PM

1 more.. Lots of plays tonight

Rangers TT u4.5 -125**

**buddha** · 04-20-16, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Bos TT o3.5 -140*** (I know i was just saying earlier about how i dont put much stock in past years stats, but i cant ingnore this one lol. Archer in 11 career starts Vs Boston = 1-6 W-L, 5.14 ERA, 1.64 WHIP. Also, he is injured or something, because his velo is down, and he is walking batters left and right. 3 starts in Fenway = 5.65 ERA 1.81 WHIP.)

Would love this play if it wasn't so damned expensive. Archer seems like he is a POS right now. I believe I had a bet on an UN during his last out and I swear it was excruciating watching that guy pitch. Dumbass Bozo The Clown hairstyle of his if Boston bats can't get to this clown today I will be utterly stunned.

**funnyb25** · 04-20-16, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by buddha

Would love this play if it wasn't so damned expensive. Archer seems like he is a POS right now. I believe I had a bet on an UN during his last out and I swear it was excruciating watching that guy pitch. Dumbass Bozo The Clown hairstyle of his if Boston bats can't get to this clown today I will be utterly stunned.

That is the benefit of betting 5 dollars a game..juice doesnt matter

**ATLIEN6** · 04-20-16, 05:45 PM

funnyb25 hit the nail on the head...lol i don't give a fukk what the juice is at this point right now

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

That is the benefit of betting 5 dollars a game..juice doesnt matter

lol i put $60 on it actually sir... $20 per unit

I still dont understand the constant attempts at belittlement on this forum.. Like oh you dont bet as much as me! ...Cool man. Good for you.

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 06:25 PM

Boston 1-0 with 1st and 2nd no outs.

This might cash early.. Which would mean my 1h under loses early lol. Not sure why i still left that as a play after deciding that i love Sox TT

3-0!!!

**ATLIEN6** · 04-20-16, 06:31 PM

great fukkin call iloseagain, hopefully they keep it going

**funnyb25** · 04-20-16, 06:36 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

lol i put $60 on it actually sir... $20 per unit

I still dont understand the constant attempts at belittlement on this forum.. Like oh you dont bet as much as me! ...Cool man. Good for you.

There was no belittlement involved. I agree, it is tough to read how people state things via text. I was just stating a fact.

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 06:44 PM

cash FF sea/cle under

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 06:45 PM

Plays
Cws/laa 1h u3.5 -120**
cws/laa u7 -120*
Sea/cle 1h u4 -125**
Sea/cle u7.5 -115*
Bos/tb 1h u4 -105*
Bos TT o3.5 -140***
Sox -110**
Mets -140**
Atl +120*
Tex -145*
Hou +105**
Rangers TT u4.5 -125**
Sf/Zona u6.5 -125**
SF TT u3.5 -135***

Parlay Bal/o9 1.5x to win 3.5x

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 06:48 PM

4/19
5-3 -0.4x

Overall 96-87 +10.56x units

This is not including anything on 4/20.

**funnyb25** · 04-20-16, 06:53 PM

Bang!

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 06:53 PM

Cash Bos TT

Ill gladly lose the 1h under to cash that and likely cash Bos ML as well.

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 06:59 PM

Hey Rollin i meant to play that dodgers under but i forgot!! Looks good so far man hope you played it

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 07:29 PM

6 hits in this cle/sea game thru 7.. This MLB capping is getting easier by the day.. I feel like im really getting a hold of this game at the moment

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 08:04 PM

cash cle sea game under

kinda pissed i played sox 1h under instead of game under.. game might hit still

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 09:19 PM

ca$h the red sox!

**iloseagain** · 04-20-16, 09:29 PM

wellp this sf tt under might be a short one.. 1st and 2nd no outs for SF already ugh..

Balt wins but over doesnt hit... They had 3 fukkin runs in the 1st inning and didnt score again til the 10th to win.. Joke