CK MLB Daily Thread Leans for Wednseday 4/22/09

[Dexter]

his stuff has gotten better, especially with some late movement. however he will never throw 100+ in a game ever again. probably better for his health and longevity though. i hope you cash it!

there is no doubt some underlying problem with verlander i cant play him and was actually thinking of fading him each start but decided against it after seeing this.

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=y&type=4&season=2009

his velocity is great this year as hes sitting 96mph. i havent watched him to tell you if hes topped 100, but i would think hes come close with an avg of 96. i still think there is something up with him injury wise. he has too good an arsenal to be struggling like he does.

on a side note - the dbacks barely covered for me today. i sure didnt expect the dbacks to once again give haren no support.

[ragiche]

Hew.That's was close.D-backs covers and Haren got his 1st win.

Way to go Dex and Pete.

[showtime2000]

One play in NHL,

NY Rangers +120


GLA

[ragiche]

Locked NYR +115. Keep up the good work showtime.You're really very good on pucks.

[Dexter]

no josh hamilton tonight, yet the total still went from 10 to 10.5. great sign..

[moneyline]

The Indians are the pick of the day. The Royals are 1-5 against lefties, are missing their young 3rd baseman, Gordon, as well as Guillen, sport a lineup filled with also rans and never weres, and Lee is primed to throw his first shutout of the year.

Indians in a walk ... although it should be close due to the fact Bannister, for some reason, pitches well against the Tribe and great against the hit machine, V Martinez.

[ragiche]

Showtime,

What do you think about the O/U of Chi/Cgy game at 5.5? Need some info.

[Dexter]

Don't worry. Just play them flat, without the extra vigorish. That's what i do. I want my 150 or so wins to count.

how do you play them flat? if the line is -120 for "yes" a run will be scored, how do you get even money?

[Dexter]

dex i like your mets play alot but im not sure ariz deserves to be that high a fav. (even though i know you will run line it) to a team where they couldnt hold a 4 run lead against last night.. colo had lost like 5 games in a row and now i could see them winning a couple in a row after coming back and getting the monkey off there back...

mets are not my play...ck said that cause he knows im a mets fan

[showtime2000]

Hey ragiche, no lean on the o/u but i am leaning on Chicago.

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Money line moving towards the Cardinals now.

[Chi_archie]

The Indians are the pick of the day. The Royals are 1-5 against lefties, are missing their young 3rd baseman, Gordon, as well as Guillen, sport a lineup filled with also rans and never weres, and Lee is primed to throw his first shutout of the year.

Indians in a walk ... although it should be close due to the fact Bannister, for some reason, pitches well against the Tribe and great against the hit machine, V Martinez.

your picks are irrelevant now....we won't really know when you are lying and trying a reverse jinx.

so that if you lose you can claim you "picked" a winner.....

watch the misinformation my friend

[moneyline]

But all of my stats and facts are correct. That's the important thing, much moreso than where I lay my money down, wouldn't you agree? Royals just blew a golden opportunity -- now the Tribe will take the lead in the bottom half.

1-0 is just not going to take this baby.

[laxdjock]

Tex v TOR o5.5 in 5 innings hit.....now I just need KC to hold on and the Mets to come back!

[Dexter]

your picks are irrelevant now....we won't really know when you are lying and trying a reverse jinx.

so that if you lose you can claim you "picked" a winner.....

watch the misinformation my friend

what did this guy tell you he had the rangers last night or something? lol

[mixpicks]

"CK" WHY Don't I See You With Lannon UNDER In 5innings EVERY GAME! (I keep saying it...and I [We] already Mentioned That...
anyway,So Far So Good, Last Play With Him Was vs FLA and as we all know FLA puts up Runs, Not vs Lannon Under In 5 Under In 5 Inn.is $$$$$ I may even start playing Him Under In 9innings two?
as for>NBA >Orlando< Is Going To Beat PHILLY, "as If They Done STOLE SOMETHING," Watch, Beat Down

[moneyline]

Dexter, I never said that ... I just posted my winning ticket a few seconds after the game concluded, that's all

[tbill11]

Royals are looking good...just gotta hope the pen holds on. Yes, that means you Jamey Wright...

[Dexter]

Dexter, I never said that ... I just posted my winning ticket a few seconds after the game concluded, that's all

huh? all you kept saying last night was that you had the jays, and now you want to claim you had tex?

your not only the new weekly troll, but you're also a lying bs artist.

[moneyline]

Works for me ... as long as my tickets cash, your opinion of me, while spirited, is irrelevant

I always post the opposite of what I play. It is my superstition ... like tonight, for example.

[Dexter]

Works for me ... as long as my tickets cash, your opinion of me, while spirited, is irrelevant

I always post the opposite of what I play. It is my superstition ... like tonight, for example.

thats cool - as long as we know now. you never said you were supersticous.

[moneyline]

Oh, yeah, I am a bit nuts that way, but when I tell people "This team is going to win" they lose ... when I say the opposite team is going to win, but still bet on the other team, things work out better. Makes absolutely no sense, but true nevertheless.

(like tonight, I have to write, till the end, I bet on the Tribe ... I will talk about my losses afterwards, however, like the 800 I dropped on the A's ML today in heartbreaking fashion )

[shoebox]

final plays

buccos +110 5 units
sdg/sf Over 8.5 +100 5 units
Ari Rl +115 5 units

not bad got some back

April numbers =

[Dexter]

thur-

its not going to be often that we'll get a chance to play the dodgers ace at such great value. both billingsley and rodriguez are off to solid starts to the season, and while i contemplated playing the under - the dodgers are 3-0 vs lefties this year which makes sense with guys like kemp, manny, martin all righties. billingsley has a 2.84/.98 era/whip in his last 3 starts, and the dodgers are 2-0 in games hes started at hou. last year, billingsley went 8ip, giving up no runs and in 2007 pitched a 2er complete game in texas. rodriguez is a great home pitcher, but he did get torched by the dodgers for 5er in 5inn last year at home.

-dodgers (ML) (4x)

[Dexter]

final plays

buccos +110 5 units
sdg/sf Over 8.5 +100 5 units
Ari Rl +115 5 units

not bad got some back

April numbers =

you are really going 5x on all these games?!

[showtime2000]

NY Rangers cash!

2 more NHL plays,

Chicago +125
Chi/Cal over 5.5

GLA

[shoebox]

no dex, just for the challenge, I have padres and reds on friday as a system play...those are heavy plays for me, I dont bet as much in MLB as I do in NBA on games. As far as system plays go I go heavy, my plays are lighter now..........unlike hoops


I would be using bad money management going heavy on all those

[Dexter]

no dex, just for the challenge, I have padres and reds on friday as a system play...those are heavy plays for me, I dont bet as much in MLB as I do in NBA on games. As far as system plays go I go heavy, my plays are lighter now..........unlike hoops


I would be using bad money management going heavy on all those

i didnt think you were, but when you posted units in the above post i wasnt sure...

[shoebox]

i didnt think you were, but when you posted units in the above post i wasnt sure...

yeah should of cut that out, I have gone up to 3X on baseball this year, system plays are played 3X and up

rangers, reds, pads are all system plays for FRI

[danrman]

hey showtime good call on the rangers and dex im w/ ya on the dodgers

[Dexter]

nice - i hope the dodgers lose tonight. love playing aces off a team loss the game before

[Dexter]

another pc play winner...lol

[shoebox]

another pc play winner...lol

those pcs are straight cash

[danrman]

where are all the trolls tonight.. pc plays hit dumbasses

[shoebox]

where are all the trolls tonight.. pc plays hit dumbasses

they only come out of the woods when theres a loss, come on Dan you should know this