CK's Daily MLB Tread Leans for 4/16/09

[sportsguy04]

Make that 10-1, my bad. Underdoggie is going to get paid too!

What you got for your later games this evening?

I took:

Phillies RL Big
Mets RL Small
BLUE jays RL BIG

[cocknocker]

To know what I am playing, you should always check out the big board on page 1 babe. Nice avatar. I like the Reds youth movement. They are headed in the right direction now.

[Cassidy]

What do you think guys Yankees +7.5 +150??

CK, I lost your Marlins +160 play, was unable to find out; is part of a series or pay system like JM and that is you did't post it?

[sportsguy04]

To know what I am playing, you should always check out the big board on page 1 babe. Nice avatar. I like the Reds youth movement. They are headed in the right direction now.

Yeah that always helps to look at your first post. But yeah Im huge Reds fan and they are definitely on the right track. Still think they are a year or two away. But you never know. Wish we could of signed a big bat in the offseason.

[CUAIrish]

wainwrights in a tough spot here

[sportsguy04]

wainwrights in a tough spot here

Never easy when your out of gas, bases loaded pitching to Soriano.

[CUAIrish]

wow got outta that, lets go cards!

[kmarinouofm]

liked i said if you were backing the indians today.. then you had to pull the trigger on the team total being over 3 runs..


St. Louis just scored their 4th run... another team total cashed for me

[cocknocker]

What do you think guys Yankees +7.5 +150??

CK, I lost your Marlins +160 play, was unable to find out; is part of a series or pay system like JM and that is you did't post it?

I posted it in the body of a thread I believe. I said that since I believe the Marlins would win the series then I would be playing a wager for them to win it.

[SoonerGreg]

I have the Phillies -1.5 @ +120 tonight. I've been cashing tickets fading the Nats after they were swept vs the Marlins. Here's to fading the Nats until they finally win one.

[isiah121]

CK, correct me if I'm wrong but you're better at capping baseball compared to NBA basketball.

[cocknocker]

Looking ahead to tomorrow, I like

Braves-125 HEAVY
White Sox+160
Seattle-125
Seattle/Detroit over 7.5

[kmarinouofm]

i am with you on the braves tomorrow CK.. i had great success the last 2 seasons tailing teams coming of sweeps...

[cocknocker]

CK, correct me if I'm wrong but you're better at capping baseball compared to NBA basketball.

Well I am better at baseball than basketball for everyday wagering, but when it comes to laying the wood and hitting my HEAVY wagers, it doesn't matter whether it's football, basketball or baseball. If you pay close attention to HOW I wager, you will notice that I am lights out when I lay something HEAVY regardless of the sport.

Those who know HOW to tail me usually only play my HEAVY stuff. This group of players know the right ones to play (the PC's and close buddies)Those plays are what endears me to my following.

Part of it comes from my keen eye for pitching. There are very few pitchers that are deserving of a -150 line. What i do is I look at those situations and pound them. I had a long list of pitchers and what they do with the heavy chalk as well as pitchers who win as big underdogs on my season long thread that I had abolished by the administrators. I asked that everyone print a copy of th informtion that I had on those pages as that is my wagering guide that I use.

[cocknocker]

I have the Phillies -1.5 @ +120 tonight. I've been cashing tickets fading the Nats after they were swept vs the Marlins. Here's to fading the Nats until they finally win one.

Tonight is the wrong night to fade the Nats. With 94% of bettors on the Philly free chicken dinner runline and 75% on the moneyline wager, the line fell from -136 to -130. Martis is a better pitcher than Blanton without the run support. You would dowell to pump your brakes and lay off of pounding this one heavy. When the Nats finally win one they will win two in a row and crush pockets

[Skelaton4]

Awesome call on the Indians Ck. I took them at +285 -1.5 runs for one unit and the money line +190 one unit. Cc is overrated

[danrman]

totally agree w/ ck's analysis on then nats game tonight and the reds are also better because of dusty baker.. the NEW reds manager should make the reds-cubs series coming up next week interesting for some value betting on the reds

[shoebox]

Well I am better at baseball than basketball for everyday wagering, but when it comes to laying the wood and hitting my HEAVY wagers, it doesn't matter whether it's football, basketball or baseball. If you pay close attention to HOW I wager, you will notice that I am lights out when I lay something HEAVY regardless of the sport.

Those who know HOW to tail me usually only play my HEAVY stuff. This group of players know the right ones to play (the PC's and close buddies)Those plays are what endears me to my following.

Part of it comes from my keen eye for pitching. There are very few pitchers that are deserving of a -150 line. What i do is I look at those situations and pound them. I had a long list of pitchers and what they do with the heavy chalk as well as pitchers who win as big underdogs on my season long thread that I had abolished by the administrators. I asked that everyone print a copy of th informtion that I had on those pages as that is my wagering guide that I use.

I second this when he sais heavy, big, or pc everyones ears better be ringing $$$

[CUAIrish]

[laxdjock]

Oh my! The Wahoos are up 9-1 now. This thing is getting ugly right before our eyes. I feel sorry for those who paid that amazngly high vigorish or thought they were getting a deal by taking the Yanks runline.

Once again.. CC is NOT a -200 pitcher.

I'm a fan......

CLE -1.5 +285, 1 unit
CLE ML +190, 2 units
CLE o3.5 +105, 1 unit

[cocknocker]

Okay boys and girls, you can open your eyes now.The Wahoos beat the Yankos 10-2 and cashed monster tickets for the 1st half AND the game for all of those who weren't afraid of the Yanks mystique.

Now come on Red Birdies! Pile it on bay-bee! Zambrano is not a -150 pitcher either. So tomorrow he better not be -170 or some old absurd shit like that by game time or else I'll be playing the Cardinals again.

[Skelaton4]

Ck my book has the Indians at +190 again for tomorrow.. What you thinking about that?
Also tomorrow they have zimbrano at -176 Should i hope on the cards already?

[laxdjock]

Tonight is the wrong night to fade the Nats. With 94% of bettors on the Philly free chicken dinner runline and 75% on the moneyline wager, the line fell from -136 to -130. Martis is a better pitcher than Blanton without the run support. You would dowell to pump your brakes and lay off of pounding this one heavy. When the Nats finally win one they will win two in a row and crush pockets

That's my concern....complete trap of a game.

I may go NATS ML for a unit....still on the fence.

[CUAIrish]

yea i was looking at tomorrow too, lots of big chalk!

[cocknocker]

Ck my book has the Indians at +190 again for tomorrow.. What you thinking about that?
Also tomorrow they have zimbrano at -176 Should i hope on the cards already?

Wait it out and then take the Cardinals and the Indians +1.5 apiece if it is your desire to play those games

[Skelaton4]

Roger that. tomorrow should be interesting

[TheLemonDropKid]

I like the over in the Nats game, the under in the Tampa/CWS game, the Braves will avoid the sweep, and Pittsburgh will also go over the total

MY HEAD IS ABOUT TO EXPLODE!!!

I can't seem to get into the right rhythm with you today CK......

I didn't have enough room to tail you play for play, so I had to pick and choose my spots with you.....here's how it worked out for me.

I tailed you on the CLE 1st Half...was winning that one 1-0 until the Yanks popped one out for the 1-1 tie in the BOTTOM OF THE 5TH!! So I pushed.....you said you won....guess our sites work differently.

Couldn't tail you on the whole game for this and of course CLE goes on to win easily 10-2. So I miss out on that one.

I tailed you on STL, but took the 1st Half because of what you taught me about reliever heartburn......was winning that one 3-1 until the Cubbies popped one out for the 4-3 win in the BOTTOM OF THE 5TH!!!!!! Didn't tail you for the whole game and STL is back on top 7-4 in the bottom of the 9th. So I lose my bet and miss out on another quality win as well.

I took the Over in the PIT/HOU game because of your post above.....had my 9 points by the 6th inning and then it just sat there the rest of the frickin' game. Another push......

I took ATL because of your post above and well.....that one just got crushed. No stress over that one....

I am now in desperate need of some wins.......I'm at the end of my bankroll for the week and I need to make a stellar comeback.

HHHHHEEEEEEEELLLLLLLPPPPPPPPPP!!!!!!!!

Can you believe my frickin' luck today??

So tonight I'm rolling with the Twinkies, right?

Do you feel really good about that one CK?

[cocknocker]

That's my concern....complete trap of a game.

I may go NATS ML for a unit....still on the fence.

You know what? I'm up by a lot. I am going to take the Nats reverse runline +230. Why not?


Nats-1.5 +230 (Light but right)

[cocknocker]

Alright I just updated my big board to include the Nats-1.5 reverse runline. I am playing it light, but I have a strange feeling that they will win this game, and by a whole lot. Blanton sucks and he can be touched.

[TheLemonDropKid]

Alright I just updated my big board to include the Nats-1.5 reverse runline. I am playing it light, but I have a strange feeling that they will win this game, and by a whole lot. Blanton sucks and he can be touched.

Would you recommend that I play the Nats and Twinkies tonight....or just lay off for one of your "heavy" ones since I'm close to my limit?

[laxdjock]

You know what? I'm up by a lot. I am going to take the Nats reverse runline +230. Why not?


Nats-1.5 +230 (Light but right)

I think I'll do the same...as between the NBA and MLB I'm up almost 16 units for the week.

[kmarinouofm]

well if you are right i hope my phillies can keep up and score some serious runs tonight... i got them on the team total over 4.5

[cocknocker]

I'm sorry Lemon Drop. But Greek has 4.5 first halves, not full 5 innings. That's some tough luck...You can always go see Johnny Mapalo the *** Drinker for a nice easy -5000 favorite winner if you need to get back into the win column te easyway. As for me I played all of my games today for the same amounts except for Minnesota. I put an appropriate amount of consideration on hat play but not much more than a standard wager for me.

[laxdjock]

Would you recommend that I play the Nats and Twinkies tonight....or just lay off for one of your "heavy" ones since I'm close to my limit?

Don't chase.

If you want to bet the last of your limit, +230 is a good value for what you get (I personally think Blanton is going to stink it up). My hesitation at first was with PHI's lineup, but every team is going to lose at least 60....so I'm hoping this in one of them for PHI.

[Jimbo42]

LDK,
What is up bro.... What r u doing.... for crying out loud....
Cleveland +170
St Louis -105
both for the game...chicken dinner.... Dude u are sorta complicating it... the first half are good but remember CKs playin Greek 4.5 inning..
I'm over here stressed about ur bankroll for u bro... you need to win... u are on the right sides... what to do... what to do???