2015 MLB plays

[leetreaper]

Explain the TEX/TOR and OAK/KC lines. I'll wait for the response.

You do realize it's impossible to be up 100+ units 3 years in a row betting simply off lines/movement, right? I've been watching baseball regularly for over 30 years, and I've spent countless hours capping it for 7 seasons straight. But apparently, you know and I don't. OK.

You still talk about same shit every single game, this is how you cap games: get the line from vegas, see home/away bs, pitchers stats etc etc and if it contardicts with the line you lay off, instead of making a good case for that game and BET IT despite not agreeing with VEGAS.

Cheers, i'm out. No bashing, I wish you all the best, just thought it's too obv what you are doing.

[No coincidences]

The books have adjusted their lines approach this year hence making your betting strategy is a losing one, it's very clear and a lot of sharps understand that.

So by "adjusting" their lines approach (a total assumption; you have no proof), their "new" strategy is to offer better teams at ridiculously high prices and the best team in baseball at even money over and over again (Cardinals at Miami for all three games) for no reason whatsoever.

Interesting strategy.

[No coincidences]

You still talk about same shit every single game, this is how you cap games: get the line from vegas, see home/away bs, pitchers stats etc etc and if it contardicts with the line you lay off, instead of making a good case for that game and BET IT despite not agreeing with VEGAS.

Cheers, i'm out. No bashing, I wish you all the best, just thought it's too obv what you are doing.

If I did this and nothing else over the past few years, I'd be homeless. There is no way in hell I'd be in the black at all in baseball, let alone clear over 285 units. You have ridiculously oversimplified the process.

And you still haven't explained those two lines from today.

[leetreaper]

A) I'm not down 100 units. And it was 3 straight years, not 2.
B) You can't win every single season in every single sport -- especially at that kind of clip.
C) You didn't answer the question. Why was Kansas City +136 and Texas +155?

Thats the point, who gives a shit, the books give you a present, fukking fistpump the monitor and except it, instead of you layoff because of the line, ie thinking its a trap. Cmin man. Line are wrong every day, cap your winners and get paid.

[BigDofBA]

Lines are off every day. This is true.

[No coincidences]

Thats the point, who gives a shit, the books give you a present, fukking fistpump the monitor and except it, instead of you layoff because of the line, ie thinking its a trap. Cmin man. Line are wrong every day, cap your winners and get paid.

In other words, you can't.

Can anybody?

[No coincidences]

Lines are off every day. This is true.

Big difference between being off by a little and being off like those two games I referred to.

[TPruet87]

coin - ignore this fraud. Keep doing your thing and you will get back to cashing tickets. Leet is a dart throwing troll and probably never even played baseballl. prime example of A blind squirrel eventually finding a nut.

[leetreaper]

In other words, you can't.

Can anybody?

Lines were perfect to me, no clue what are you talking about.

[BigDofBA]

That Texas line was absurd, as are these Royal lines.

So do I double down my square parlay winnings on Cashner? He sucks but he is -120 so he must be the play right?

[leetreaper]

coin - ignore this fraud. Keep doing your thing and you will get back to cashing tickets. Leet is a dart throwing troll and probably never even played baseballl. prime example of A blind squirrel eventually finding a nut.

[leetreaper]

Hellickson should get this one, looks like a similar matchup to Twinkies/Crew.

[BigDofBA]

Hellickson should get this one, looks like a similar matchup to Twinkies/Crew.

That's what I was thinking.

It seems like Hellickson has been pitching decent as of late and Cashner is trash.

Plus, the Padres can't hit and Zona has some offense.

I was just curious was Cashner is -126?

[paco]

In other words, you can't.

Can anybody?

1. Headfake
2. Drunk & hungover
3. Jays were hot/ Kazmir been hot. (Pitched great) 1 bad but and bs balk
4. Money moved
5. Some players just see chalk and parlay
6. To start debates on sbr

[paco]

1. Headfake
2. Drunk & hungover
3. Jays were hot/ Kazmir been hot. (Pitched great) 1 bad but and bs balk
4. Money moved
5. Some players just see chalk and parlay
6. To start debates on sbr

FYI, I took Texas

[leetreaper]

1. Headfake
2. Drunk & hungover
3. Jays were hot/ Kazmir been hot. (Pitched great) 1 bad but and bs balk
4. Money moved
5. Some players just see chalk and parlay
6. To start debates on sbr

Yeah you can find lots of good towards the line but making your decisions based on "off" line = lol.

[leetreaper]

FYI, I took Texas [ATTACH]82477[/ATTACH]

You see NC, everyone gets it except you...keep studying those lines lol.

[No coincidences]

Lines were perfect to me, no clue what are you talking about.

Again, elaborate.

[leetreaper]

Again, elaborate.

Lol how are you supposed to know if the line is right or not? Is it off? What should it be?

[leetreaper]

You get the line, you compare it to your model ( if you have one ) then bet, I got KC winning tonight at 55% and I see +130 I hit a freaking sumbit my bet instantly, whats not to understand???

[No coincidences]

Yeah you can find lots of good towards the line but making your decisions based on "off" line = lol.

So this is what capping a game means to you?

Wow.

[No coincidences]

Lol how are you supposed to know if the line is right or not? Is it off? What should it be?

You think the best team in the American League (by far) should be +136 to a sub. 500 overall/home team?

What "should it be"? A hell of a lot less than +136. I had it +110.

We'll see where you are come late-August. That's all I'm going to say.

[leetreaper]

So this is what capping a game means to you?

Wow.

...

[leetreaper]

You think the best team in the American League (by far) should be +136 to a sub. 500 overall/home team?

What "should it be"? A hell of a lot less than +136. I had it +110.

We'll see where you are come late-August. That's all I'm going to say.

So if its not +110 or less and you think KC will win , you won't bet it? I'm fukking losing you here...

[paco]

You think the best team in the American League (by far) should be +136 to a sub. 500 overall/home team?

What "should it be"? A hell of a lot less than +136. I had it +110.

We'll see where you are come late-August. That's all I'm going to say.

Coins, I think everyone is trying to understand why u let that deter u off. U had ur line of +110, u got 26cents more, why didn't u just play it?

[No coincidences]

So if its not +110 or less and you think KC will win , you won't bet it? I'm fukking losing you here...

Already said I wasn't betting today after last night's joke.

[leetreaper]

Coins, I think everyone is trying to understand why u let that deter u off. U had ur line of +110, u got 26cents more, why didn't u just play it?

'Cause I already explain it a million of times here.

[leetreaper]

Already said I wasn't betting today after last night's joke.

You're really losing it, it's just an example were talking about, whos saying anything about bettting today???

[leetreaper]

And yes, Cubs losing at STL is a joke, looooooooooooooooooooooooool

[No coincidences]

Coins, I think everyone is trying to understand why u let that deter u off. U had ur line of +110, u got 26cents more, why didn't u just play it?

Because I know for a fact I'm not smarter than oddsmakers. I respect the fact that they set a number (or move a number) for a reason. Or at least I did up until this year.

We've had this conversation a million times before. I don't know why you are confused again today.

[No coincidences]

And yes, Cubs losing at STL is a joke, looooooooooooooooooooooooool

You're right. The Cubs got hammered last night. Easiest play ever was StL. Never in doubt.



Honest question: did you watch that game? I doubt it.

[No coincidences]

You're really losing it, it's just an example were talking about, whos saying anything about bettting today???

You specifically asked why I didn't take KC today.

[paco]

Because I know for a fact I'm not smarter than oddsmakers. I respect the fact that they set a number (or move a number) for a reason. Or at least I did up until this year.

We've had this conversation a million times before. I don't know why you are confused again today.

I'm smarter than oddsmakers. Peace out. GL on tomorrow's games

[leetreaper]

You're right. The Cubs got hammered last night. Easiest play ever was StL. Never in doubt.



Honest question: did you watch that game? I doubt it.

It was blown by the bullpen as most of Chi games in late innings vs a freaking top team in abseball and basically unbeatable at home in years, ummm whats wrong with that?

[leetreaper]

Because I know for a fact I'm not smarter than oddsmakers. I respect the fact that they set a number (or move a number) for a reason. Or at least I did up until this year.

We've had this conversation a million times before. I don't know why you are confused again today.

Well, maybe they've adjusted lines process, is it the not a possibility why are you losing this year???